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Good morning, everybody, and welcome to this meeting of the Health and Community Care Committee. I welcome the Minister for Health and Community Care, who is accompanied by John Aldridge and Gerry Marr. We are continuing to look at the budget this morning. We have a number of questions for the minister and her officials, some of which have arisen from the budget document itself and some of which have arisen from evidence that we have taken over the past few weeks.
I am happy to go straight to questions.
You will remember that when we dealt with the budget last year, we had some comments to make about the manner in which the document was laid out. It is likely that we will have comments along those lines again this year. There seems to be a general feeling that there has been some improvement in that respect, but that there is still quite a long way to go in terms of transparency. However, you will find that the questions that are addressed to you are about substantive policy and spending issues, rather than about the look of the document.
My question is for Mr Marr. When the director of finance, John Aldridge, gave evidence to the committee, he made several references to the performance assessment framework as a way of monitoring health performance. Some of us are aware of the process that was used in the past—I still have the scars from that—and, last week, Unison representatives referred to the accountability review as a secret meeting. How do you intend to ensure that the performance assessment framework demonstrates openness, is not overly bureaucratic, and provides details of qualitative data on critical success areas?
We are in the process of building the performance assessment framework. That was a commitment in the health plan. The performance assessment framework will be available to the new national health service boards so that it comes into force in the autumn.
I would certainly like to ask further questions. We are well aware of what the accountability review was like in the past and of how many people ran around for a few months before that process putting the ticks in the appropriate boxes. Can you assure me that we are moving away from that bureaucratic nonsense, whereby a tick in the right box means that everything in the garden is rosy as far as the people at the centre are concerned? When the performance assessment framework is under way, if a health board says that it has wonderful measures in place, involves its staff in the process and has education at every level of the organisation, can you assure us that we can go to the porter and ask, "What is your development plan? What training are you getting to ensure that what the unified board is saying is correct?" From years of experience, I still have a significant doubt that it works from the top down to the bottom.
I understand that, but what breaks the cycle in what we are planning in the accountability review process is that each of those domains will have an element of independent assessment. On clinical effectiveness and clinical governance, for example, the clinical standards boards will publish their reports on adherence to clinical performance. That process will form part of the clinical standards review that will be shared with the Executive in the accountability review.
I welcome what you have said because it represents a radical and fundamental shift in the way that we assess the boards. The difficulty has always been for the centre to hold the periphery accountable and yet allow the periphery to act in a way that is sensitive to local needs.
I apologise, convener, that I am not a picture of good health today. I am croaking at the committee.
We have been using multiple sclerosis as an example—it is an example and I do not want to get hung up on it—because it was debated in Parliament recently. The Multiple Sclerosis Society in Scotland has said that five boards had MS nurses in place and 11, or whatever the number is nowadays, do not. Will a minimum standard that people can see arise from the performance management review? Will the information be collated nationally so that we can say that within a certain period—not necessarily in one year—nobody in Scotland will not have access to an MS nurse, if that is regarded by the Clinical Standards Board for Scotland as the appropriate service that should be provided? Will that also apply to epilepsy and the chronic diseases, where nurses can make a huge difference?
It is about the building bricks. One of the commitments on performance assessment is that we will underpin the publication of the cancer plan, review coronary heart disease and review the mental health framework in a way that will produce what we describe as service frameworks. Those will define exactly what patients can expect of a service and what is required of the boards.
Are you going to get rid of some of the activity data? The process is quite interesting, because it shows the vast increase in productivity that has occurred. It is important for the staff to realise that they are doing so well, but it takes a huge amount of time for a health visitor to tick boxes every week. I question whether it is meaningful. Will that process go or will it be changed?
I have two comments to make on that question. First, I accept that often in the past we have been far too concerned with inputs. That is reflected in pages and pages of data. Secondly, we are setting ourselves the task of not falling into the trap, when designing the framework, of starting by saying, "What data do we have available?" That is not the starting point. The starting point is to ask, "What do we need to make a reasonable assessment of the performance of the NHS in local communities?" If we start at the other end, we will simply produce a different book from the one that we had before. We are very clear about how we are trying to construct the framework.
Richard Simpson has talked about minimum standards. It is important to reiterate how much our approach to redefining the relationship between ministers, the health department and the NHS is based on the principle of establishing national standards. The previous prevailing philosophy, with the system that underpinned it in the NHS over the past couple of decades, was the antithesis of that approach. According to that philosophy, different parts of the system could, often rightly, have variable practices and standards as long as they operated within the constraints of their budgets. We are explicit about the fact that we are now trying to establish national standards.
In response to Richard Simpson's question about targets not being tied to the budget, you referred to the national plan. However, the national plan contains 232 action points, of which only 13 have a time limit of 2002-03. I am not sure whether referring to the national plan answers our questions concerning joined-up thinking and whether targets and budgets will coincide.
Let me make the matter absolutely clear. We are unequivocal in our desire to improve patients' experiences. Several committee members have made the point that we need to leave behind the tick-box culture of the past. That applies equally to the way in which we formulate Government policy.
Let us return to the issue of the performance assessment framework. My concern is that that framework will be a retrospective look. Having spent from 2 o'clock to 6.30 last night in the Audit Committee, I do not want to go down that road again. It is because we were considering matters retrospectively that we found ourselves in difficulty in Tayside.
The question identifies effectively and precisely the issues with which we are grappling. Gerry Marr might want to come back with some of the details of how that might be encapsulated within the performance framework.
That policy framework means that I have had to change our managerial relationship with the health service. That is part of the commitment in the plan. We have a new health department; we have moved away from the previous management executive. The performance assessment framework is multifaceted but is based on continuous assessment, not sitting down at the end of the year and saying, "Gosh, we didn't do very well, did we?" The relationship that John Aldridge and I have with the service through managerial monitoring has changed as a consequence of the health plan and the lessons that we learned in relation to Tayside. We are required to satisfy our minister that those arrangements are very different from those under the internal market.
I am well aware of what you are saying, but I still have concerns. Although there has been some reorganisation and Gerry Marr and John Aldridge have a better relationship with the service, I am concerned about whether that flows throughout the department. People were working in little boxes for a long time.
We have made a significant start in redrawing that relationship.
Thank you for attending. Further to Richard Simpson's mention of MS patients, are you sure that the performance assessments and the national standards will include all categories of health problems and will not leave some patients out in the cold, such as the 500,000 people in Scotland who suffer from chronic pain? I am referring not to palliative care services, but to those in the community who have non-terminal but nonetheless quite awful problems such as back pain and arthritis. I see no mention of chronic pain, yet it is a bigger problem than cancer and coronary disease combined. Do you have any plans for performance monitoring in that area?
We have highlighted chronic disease management in the health plan, in recognition of the fact that the people who suffer from chronic conditions often have the greatest need of support from the NHS throughout their lives or for a prolonged period. However, because they require access to different parts of the service, they can often fall through the gaps. Although chronic pain has not been featured in quite that way in the health plan, the recognition of the need to have a genuinely patient-centred service, which is truly responsive to individual and often changing needs as people move through different parts of the service, is at the heart of what we aim to achieve. We recognise that changes are required at a number of different levels to ensure that that happens. This is not simply about what we monitor, measure and test. A great deal of the action that must be taken to make improvements for people suffering from chronic conditions must be at a local level.
I am pleased to hear you say that you are trying to improve the way in which performance is assessed in the NHS—that is vital. At yesterday's meeting of the Audit Committee, the former director of finance of the old Dundee Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust recounted what happened when the previous Government at Westminster made a significant investment in cancer services at Ninewells hospital. A professor was appointed, who opened up a service. However, there was then an upward curve in expenditure for which no allocation had been made. That contributed to a deficit problem that Tayside University Hospitals NHS Trust eventually had to deal with.
The example that you have raised and other examples that have surfaced of certain practices, particularly in Tayside, over a number of years illustrate the changes that need to be made. I will highlight two areas where I hope that our changes will guard against similar occurrences. The first is improved accountability, which involves both accountability at a national level, including reporting and other issues that we have discussed at length, and local accountability and greater transparency in the boardroom. Having one unified NHS board that includes staff, local authority and clinical perspectives around the table means that we can rebuild systems and have cultures that are far more open with regard to decisions that are being taken locally. Such openness was sadly lacking in Tayside for a considerable time, and I am pleased that the new chair of Tayside Health Board has gone some way towards turning that situation round.
Would it be good management on the part of those new managers not to treat patients in order to keep within their budget? I know that difficult decisions have to be made, but patients in Dundee were suffering from cancer and they required services. Even though the Tayside trusts spent money that they did not have, at least they treated patients. Was the alternative not to treat those patients?
I am loth to comment on the specific case that you have mentioned, because I have not been party to many of the details. However, the general point is that in any public service—including the health service—there is always a need to manage within available resources. As we are in a period of expansion and investment, the resources that are available to the system are increasing, but there will always have to be decisions about managing within budget. It is disturbing that occasionally there is no connection between good financial management and good service planning. As a result, there is sometimes a stop-start situation; a new service might be curtailed or withdrawn because there is not enough sustainable funding to support it. As I have said, through improved accountability and better management, it is possible to have much better planning processes to avoid the problems that have arisen.
In the case of Tayside Health Board, the warning signs came late. However, if there is an early warning, it is not good management to cut patient care as the first port of call. It is taking a very limited view of the total budget to cut cancer services if you have overspent on those services. If ÂŁ300 million is available, we should find out why things are going wrong and what can be done to reverse the situation. The last port of call should be taking decisions about direct patient care services.
I will continue on the same theme. We always tend to focus on spending, instead of trying to move the focus on to the measurement of outcomes of patient care. Florence Nightingale classified her patients as relieved, not relieved or dead, yet 150 years later, despite our sophisticated information technology, we do not have anything as sophisticated as she had. As John McAllion said, we are trying to gain a measurement of patients' health. I contacted the health boards about hospital-acquired infections, which are costly not only to the NHS, but to patients' health, and discovered that there is not even a commonly agreed definition of such infections in Scotland.
That short question covered outcomes, mental health and training. The measuring of inequalities is an interesting hot potato, but the main part of the question concentrated on Arbuthnott.
The other matter that was raised was hospital-acquired infection. I will comment on a couple of matters and Gerry Marr and John Aldridge may also wish to say something on the subject. A great deal of work has been undertaken on hospital-acquired infection by the department and the NHS, but notably also by the Scottish Centre for Infection and Environmental Health, or SCIEH. In fact, the Scottish infection control manual was cited by the Audit Commission south of the border as an example of best practice. However, there need to be further improvements to both practice and surveillance. I am sure that Mary Scanlon is aware that further work is under way to develop a national surveillance system.
Both hospital-acquired infections and training will be reflected in our performance assessment of the NHS. We have already published "Learning Together" and have made a central investment to pump-prime. The relationship between training and clinical governance is apparent. It is incumbent on local systems to make that investment wisely.
I also asked about Arbuthnott.
I shall talk about the Arbuthnott report and how the Highland Health Board is carrying it forward. The implementation of the report and reaching the right levels of spending in each area will be a five or six-year programme to which the minister is committed. We should not just look at what happens in an area over one year. Although Highland has done well this year from the move to Arbuthnott, its share of the resources that are available to the NHS in Scotland will continue to grow during the coming years until it reaches the appropriate Arbuthnott level.
The minister referred to the assumption that competitive tendering had led to hospital-acquired infections. Earlier this year, my mother was in hospital in Tayside. The hospital operated an in-house tender for cleaning, but it was dirty. If we consider the statistics throughout Scotland for private and in-house tenders, we can see that there is little difference between them. Would it not be better for the minister to concentrate on the standards and adherence to the SCIEH guidelines rather than the question of private or in-house tendering? I complained several times to the hospital about the lack of cleanliness. I was surprised that it operated an in-house tender. I now come to the best-kept secret: local authorities are very involved in care for the elderly, disabled and the mentally ill. How can we scrutinise their contribution to health care?
The health plan makes it clear that we are not prescriptive about how cleaning services should be provided. They must be provided on the basis of best value. That may mean that they are outsourced or that they are provided internally. It has been demonstrated to me from many quarters that there has undoubtedly been a move over the past 10 or 20 years towards routinely outsourcing such services and that price alone was regarded as the key consideration. That should not be the case—cleanliness is too important to be dealt with on such a basis.
But the electorate does not have the information.
I accept the issue about gathering information. We have closed the gap in respect of the information that we gather from local authorities about community care. We have worked closely with them and have monitored areas of increased investment in services for older people and delayed discharge. I welcome the fact that local authorities have been co-operative. We have to remind ourselves that, as locally elected bodies, they are accountable to their electorate.
If the Health and Community Care Committee cannot obtain information, how can local people obtain information to help them decide which councillor to elect? Where is the democratic accountability in that?
I think that the minister was saying that bridging that information gap was an on-going process. Let us move on. Mary Scanlon has had a fairly good crack at the whip.
The Finance Committee asked us to determine whether the objectives and targets set out in "Investing in You" have been met. Were the targets achieved? If not, what progress has been made towards achieving them?
Do you want me to focus on any specific targets?
Will you give us an overview of what has and has not been met?
Do you want me to clarify the targets that are set out in "Investing in You", which reflect the Government's commitments?
Yes.
John Aldridge spoke about the issue at a previous meeting. In the main, progress towards stated targets and time scales has been on course. However, there are certain projects for which that has not been the case either because of unforeseen factors or because, as projects have developed, other needs may have been identified, and we have had to realign resources accordingly. In general, progress towards attainment of targets has been relatively good.
Can we receive a written response with more information about progress towards the targets? I appreciate that it is difficult to explain in detail all the projects in the committee.
We can certainly provide information about progress with the targets. I emphasise that, because of the way in which the system works, the targets set out in "Investing in You" were for 2001-02, so we would not have expected to have completed all the projects by now.
Are we on target?
We can certainly say where we are on target and, as the minister has said, the vast majority of the objectives have either been achieved or are on target. One or two have had to be delayed, for whatever reasons. We will write to the committee on that. Some of that information is in the document before members.
From the evidence that we have heard, it appears that the three-year minimum guaranteed budget has been welcomed, particularly by local decision makers. The question that arises is whether it is possible to extend that budget. Could it be changed in other ways to promote more long-term, outcome-focused planning?
I am intrigued by the question whether the three-year budget can be extended, as we have been very clear on our spending plans over the lifetime of the Administration. We recognise that there will be an election at some point and—although we hope that we will be able to continue in the same direction with regard to investment and reform in the NHS—we know that we have to turn to the electorate in 2003. It is right and proper that our planning horizon is linked to that, and it is crucial—if we want effective management, good planning and so on, as we have discussed today—that we operate to a longer time horizon than has often been the case.
Give us an example of one of the quick fixes that you have been uncomfortable with under the present Administration.
As I said, the NHS has been blighted in the past by a mindset of quick fixes. I have already given an example: the whole construction of the NHS internal market in the late 1980s and into the 1990s was geared to a 12-month cycle and a financial bottom line at the end of that. Mary Scanlon and I will have to agree always to disagree about that, but I reiterate my concern about the effect that it has had.
In one of our evidence-taking meetings, Unison claimed that the Executive had made commitments that were not matched by additional funding and cited last year's pay award as an example. Last year, when the Health and Community Care Committee took evidence on the budget, it was apparent that there were similar examples, such as one-stop clinics, which had not been fully costed when a national commitment to them was made. Do you see that as a problem? If the Executive continues to make commitments that are not being fully funded, it will be open to criticism and there will be problems. How much scope is there for local decision making if the Government carries on making uncosted proposals?
I reject the assertion about uncosted proposals and I do not support the concept of fully funding everything from the centre. The key issue is that where major national decisions are taken on issues such as pay—Janis Hughes is right to mention that issue—there needs to be a degree of certainty that the resources are in the system to meet those commitments. The minimum increase that any health board will get is 5.5 per cent in the current year, 6.5 per cent next year and 7.4 per cent in the year after that. The NHS and health boards have not experienced increases in allocations to that extent for a very long time—if ever.
Gerry Marr suggested that trusts and health boards must balance their budgets and that any cuts in patient care must be a last resort. I agree with that completely. However, pressures are put on health boards and trusts to provide services that are supported or proposed by the Executive—a local example is digital hearing aids. If trusts try to provide such services and balance their budgets, but cannot do so because the budget is not enough, what else can they do? One can balance a budget only if the budget is adequate.
Those are pressures that exist in the NHS—they have existed in the past and will continue to exist in the future. However, as the minister has said, the level of investment presents an opportunity to make different decisions around those issues. The example of one-stop clinics is interesting. We have exceeded the target that we set because the local systems knew that that was what they wanted to give their patients. They found money within their local priorities and resources to exceed by far what we had set as a national target. In many cases, the creation of a one-stop clinic is a matter of redesign—it is not a resource issue, but is about being more effective and efficient.
I agree. After spending 20 years in the health service, I know that what is important is not how much money is put in but how that money is managed. However, given that up to three quarters of the new money for health boards is used for pay and other cost pressures, how much extra do you estimate that health boards will need to meet the targets that you have set?
For all the reasons that have been given, that is an unanswerable question, not least because the targets that have been set are not achievable just by spending money. That takes us back to the point that was made, but that is important.
I wonder whether the minister has had a chance to read "The Real Scope for Change", produced by Arthur Midwinter and Jim Stephens. They say that as three quarters of the money for the NHS goes on labour costs, an increase of 4.8 per cent is required for the situation to stand still. That puts the 5.5 per cent average increase into some perspective.
I would never describe better pay and conditions for staff as an additional burden. If we are serious about investing in the NHS, we must invest in its staff. I do not say that as a play on words as it is an important point. The fact that about 70 per cent of the NHS budget is spent on staff costs is all the more reason why, alongside increasing investment in the system, we must consider the way in which we organise human resources, as well as equipment and other available resources.
Perhaps you need to take a leaf out of your own book on that. The press releases that emanate from your department quite often talk about the headline-grabbing figures of investment, which, when we peel away the spin, are not real. Perhaps you need to talk about restructuring to free up resources rather than give the impression that there are tens of millions of pounds of new investment, which, when the spin is peeled away and pay awards and price increases are examined, is not the case. You raise, by your department's presentation, expectations that can never be met.
I do not think that anyone present would say that investment in pay is not an important investment in the NHS.
Neither did I, but my point was—
You said something about investment and peeling away pay. I am just commenting that pay is an important investment in the NHS.
No one is saying otherwise. The point is that, when we examine the investment in new development and services, we see that it is limited. That is what I was saying.
It is a simple statement of fact that there are record levels of investment going into the NHS and that we have made a commitment to that for each of the next three years. I quoted the minimum increase for health boards. The average increase will be 6.5 per cent, 6.9 per cent and 7.8 per cent. That is real, substantial, additional investment.
I agree with many of the points that you have made in the last few minutes, particularly your last point. Nobody would argue that more money is the whole solution to the problems in the NHS, but equally there is a need to recognise that many of the stresses and strains that local trusts are under are rooted in financial problems.
I am glad that Nicola Sturgeon has mentioned that issue, as I was going to do so in connection with the Western general hospital in my constituency. When the minister makes an announcement, does she communicate with the people on the ground? Does she ask them whether it is what they want and whether they are able to sustain the service? Perhaps the minister will answer Nicola Sturgeon's question and mine together.
The issue of communication is pivotal. We have spoken a lot about changing relationships with the service. In my regular dialogue with the service, that issue has been at the top of our action list. We must continue to work to improve communications. I venture to suggest that the NHS and the Government are not the best communicators. I share the local services' frustration when they have not had enough notice of something. Conversely, I get frustrated when we learn about things that are going on in other parts of the NHS of which we should have been notified.
For once, I was not saying that you did not get it right, which is a novelty. It is all very well if part of the services that are provided is not, in our opinion, the right way in which to use that money in the interests of patient care, but my problem is with funding and whether the additional money is sufficient—MRI scanners is only one example. Each time you announce additional funding for specific services, are you satisfied that what you are announcing allows trusts fully to do what you are asking of them? I have been told many times that that is not the case. Although you are giving trusts additional money, because of the hidden costs of doing what you are asking of them, often they cannot afford to take advantage of what you offer.
The concept of affordability is interesting. Often, the issue is not about affordability, but local priorities. As we become better at establishing the priorities for the NHS in Scotland and at narrowing the gap between national and local decision making, the scope for tension will be reduced. I challenge the notion about the ground of affordability, because sometimes others in the system do not identify a particular area as a priority. If we are serious about setting national standards for the NHS in Scotland, we must remove some of the ambiguity that has existed.
I suppose that accountability is part of the problem. I had a conversation with a local NHS manager, who shall remain nameless, about additional consultants. He said that he could take the money that has been offered and employ an additional consultant. The money would allow him to pay the salary of the consultant, but it would not allow him to employ the extra administrative staff or nurses to support the consultant, nor would it free up bed space. He concluded that he could not employ an additional consultant. You announced an additional consultant, but that trust cannot deliver on that announcement. What are the public supposed to make of such a situation?
Often, what the public make of such issues is the same as what members might say about the issues in debate. That is why it is important that we are clear about the approach that is being adopted in the NHS in Scotland. It is right and proper that we should identify increasing staff capacity as a national priority, not in a vacuum, but through ongoing discussion with the service.
The minister is absolutely right to focus on the need for priorities. After all, the founder of the NHS said:
If members make specific suggestions, such as the one that has been made by John McAllion, we are happy to investigate them. Changes that were made for this year's reporting arrangements were based on comments that were made last year. I sound the same note of caution as I did earlier, however, which is that we will never be able to measure exactly what is spent on particular areas, such as cancer. Many parts of the system might impact on patients during the course of their care arrangements from GP to acute services.
I would like a broad indication of hospital and drugs costs of providing different services, if possible.
If it were possible to make improvements in reporting and those improvements serve a purpose, and can be carried out without consuming a disproportionate amount of time, energy and resource, we shall be happy to explore them.
It is about feasibility and the value of the exercise.
Matters would be much more simple if we were truly pursuing the policies and vision of Bevan, rather than those of Thatcher, given such businesslike talk about budgets. We are running a health service, not a burger-bar chain.
The minister cannot complain. She has been asked questions that will take her from Burger King to public-private partnerships. All human life is here.
I wonder whether I should go into the issue of burger bars.
Excuse me minister, but if only £1 million is set aside for cancer services—
I am making an important point. The initial question was about achieving health improvement targets for cancer and coronary heart disease. We will not achieve our health targets simply by doing more and more in the NHS to treat ill health; we will achieve those targets by tackling the root causes of ill health. That is why that approach is centre stage in our health policy and across the wider work of Government.
What about PFI, minister? How are you going to monitor that to ensure that the private financiers do not make the huge killings that they stand to make and to ensure that the health service really benefits?
Dorothy-Grace refers to PFI in health, but of course the use of PFI or PPPs, extends to other areas. I note that there are wider issues that fall outwith my ministerial remit.
We will, of course, undertake post-project monitoring of the PFI projects. That is built into the system. To date, the PFI-funded hospitals that have come on stream have come in on budget and on time. That suggests that if the original value-for-money assessment was carried out correctly—we have no reason to doubt that—they are currently on track to deliver value for money.
When they are completed, will those hospitals belong to the public or to the financiers? They will belong to the financiers, will they not?
That will depend on the contract in individual cases. It is intended that all new projects will be returned to the public sector. Most of the older projects include an option for the buildings to be returned to the public sector.
Do you mean to be bought back? That would be double paying.
It would not be double paying. Matters can vary in specific cases but, generally, the cost to the public sector of buying the establishment at the end of the contract would be the residual value. It would not be paying twice, but paying what had not been paid through the PFI payments over the year.
You said, minister, that you would assess each PFI on its merits. Obviously, I hope that you did not mean only its financial merit. You referred briefly to the impact on staff. We should never lose sight of the fact that we will not have a good health service if we do not have good staff to deliver it. I declare an interest, as a member of Unison.
We can safely say that Margaret Jamieson still represents health service workers.
I am happy to give a commitment that we will continue to ensure that all staff who contribute to the NHS are valued appropriately. I am pleased that Margaret Jamieson rightly made the distinction between the staff element of PFI projects and the wider building projects.
On a technical point, the new scheme—
Before I let Gerry Marr go on to that technical point, I will let Margaret Jamieson in again, because I think that she has a specific question on another technical point.
The minister mentioned pension rights. Diligent as I am in reading trust board minutes—on a Saturday night, because I am a sad individual—I have found that we seem to have inherited a little difficulty. Pension fund provision has been insufficient, and the Government has now indicated that, for the next 14 years, we will have to supplement it. I do not see how that money has been allowed for. One trust in the Ayrshire and Arran Health Board area has said that staff employment costs will increase by 1.5 per cent, which will cost that trust £1.06 million per annum. If we multiply that to cover all Scotland, it comes to a significant amount of money. All that ties in with the previous question about what happens to individuals who have NHS pensions and who transfer. How will you ensure that their pensions are protected?
I never cease to be impressed by Margaret Jamieson's assiduous reading of the very small print of trust board minutes. I will ask John Aldridge to deal with some of the technical aspects.
I can certainly deal with the point about employers' contributions to pensions. We are well aware of the situation. The Government carries out a reassessment every so often—I am sorry, but I do not know how many—
Fifteen.
Every fifteen years. Contributions can go up and down as a result. After the most recent assessment, employers' contributions will go up. That will start to hit the trusts next year—2002-03. We have taken that into account in the total increases that the health system will receive. We reckon that the impact of that increase in contributions on the total provision to health boards will be between 0.5 per cent and 0.75 per cent. Therefore, the fact that the total minimum increases to health boards next year and the year after will be 1 per cent above the minimum that they get this year means that there will be more than enough to cover that impact.
You said that the effects would kick in in 2002-03. However, although there was a neutral effect in the budget year just passed, there will be a small increase during this budget year because effects kick in between January and March.
I understand that this year—2001-02—trusts must make provision in their accounts to allow for that. The overall effect should be neutral.
The effect will be neutral for 2000-01, but not for 2001-02, because the pension year is different from the financial year.
I have a point on PFI that I will put to the minister in writing, because I want to finish off with questions from Richard Simpson on the primary care sector.
I should declare that I am still a member of the Royal College of General Practitioners and the British Medical Association. I do so in light of certain things that those organisations are doing with which I do not agree.
I will take in turn the three main points that Richard Simpson made. If I picked him up correctly, the first point is one that we corresponded on and discussed in various forums last year, and is to do with additional payments on the drugs budget. That was some time ago and, from memory, a different approach was adopted in England, but that reflected a different approach in the initial setting of the budgets. We are all aware that the drugs bill represents a significant element of expenditure, not only in primary care, but throughout the NHS. That is why we continue to work with the UK Government to put in place measures that secure improvements in prices.
The witnesses raised a supplementary point. They said that they are unable to get information from the prescribing division and that there is still a massive delay, which makes it difficult for them to manage their funds. Through the National Institute for Clinical Excellence and the Health Technology Board for Scotland, we are now releasing new drugs. For example, there is a new circular on drugs for dementia. How is that taken into account in the budget? How can health boards manage the information so that the drive to increase funding will mean that there are supplementary funds? When you announce new initiatives on drugs, is there new money or do health boards have to meet those demands from within their existing budgets?
Health technology assessment is a huge area for health care systems around the world, as they consider how new drugs and treatments should be introduced into the system in a way that is both cost-effective and clinically effective. In the UK, we have recently established mechanisms for looking at developments in that area, through the National Institute for Clinical Excellence in England and the Health Technology Board for Scotland here. We are also developing various other consortium arrangements to ensure the best possible co-operation and sharing of advice and information throughout the system.
I cannot remember, either.
It was about delays.
Of course. Do you want to comment on that, John?
Dr Simpson is right to say that there have been quite serious delays in the provision of information from the prescribing directorate at the Common Services Agency because of technology problems. The problems have now been resolved. The agency can now process one month's prescriptions within a month, which is its target. However, there is a backlog, which it is now in the process of recovering.
That is good.
We retain a reserve at the centre to cope with eventualities and needs that can arise. As you say, some things can also be planned and predicted. However, we obviously want to limit what we hold in reserve at the centre, not least because we believe that the resources should be out in the system. As we have said in other contexts, it is important that local systems have control over their resources as far as possible.
Presumably the LHCCs can come back to you, to the health board or to their MSPs if they do not get the money from that health promotion pot to meet those aims and they are being called on to squeeze their budgets to provide Zyban and NRT.
I hope that they would not have to come back to us or to you. We want far more of those things to be fixed at local level. Although we are setting up unified boards and are therefore drawing together different strands of decision making into one strategic board, that process of integration and rationalisation has to be matched by a devolving of decision making and service delivery to the front line. As Richard Simpson knows better than most of us, we are in the realm of a big change in culture as well as in the flow of resources. We are certainly trying to put in place a national system that allows for far more to be pushed down to the front line, so that resource-allocation decisions can be taken as close as possible to where people are.
We shall come back to you in writing with any further questions. I am aware that we have taken up a good deal of your time and that you are not feeling all that well. Even if you came to the committee feeling well, you would probably not be by the time you had finished. Could you tell us briefly when the review of LHCCs is likely to be published? I have questions about some of the detail behind that, but I will not indulge myself at this point. When can we expect the review?
There is not one specific review exercise. There will be a series of different pieces of work. We are having a conference in June, at which I fully expect much of that work to be drawn together. Further developments will be taken forward around the time of that conference, which is specifically about LHCCs and will involve a wide range of primary care interests.
We probably have other questions about primary care, but we shall put those to you in writing. I appreciate that we have run on a little, but it was important that we covered all those issues. I thank the minister, Gerry Marr and John Aldridge for attending.
Meeting adjourned.
On resuming—