For item 2, I see that we have with us John Swinney, the Cabinet Secretary for Finance, Employment and Sustainable Growth. I presume that Bruce Crawford has, like our committee member David McLetchie, been held up at the Parliamentary Bureau. They will join us when they can.
Thank you, convener. I welcome the opportunity to meet the committee today along with the Cabinet Secretary for Parliamentary Business and Government Strategy, who is, as you said, still at the Parliamentary Bureau but will join us shortly.
I thank Mr Crawford for joining us.
My apologies for arriving late, convener.
Before you give us your statement, I ask David McLetchie, who unfortunately missed our last meeting, whether he would like to declare any interests.
I have no interests other than those that are declared in the Parliament’s register of interests.
I welcome this opportunity to give evidence to the committee and look forward to its and the Parliament’s renewed scrutiny of the Scotland Bill. As the cabinet secretary has no doubt outlined, we believe that the bill has the potential to provide the Parliament with meaningful new economic levers and further responsibilities in key areas where there is cross-party support. That is why the Government has identified and highlighted since the election six particular issues: the Crown estate, to allow Scotland to benefit fully from our natural energy resources; greater borrowing powers, to maintain our economy at this difficult time; corporation tax, to encourage future economic growth; excise duty, to respond to Scotland’s social needs; a greater role in broadcasting, to strengthen an important section of our national, cultural and economic life; and an improved role in the European Union, to ensure that Scottish interests are better represented in the forums of Brussels. The Government believes that its proposals to improve the bill are reasonable and represent a cross-section of opinion in the Parliament and wider Scotland. No doubt the committee will want to take further detailed evidence on these matters from the Government and others in the weeks and months ahead.
Thank you.
I am interested in testing the evidence for some of the financial proposals. That is something that we are going to be particularly interested in.
A wide cross-section of evidence has been drawn together. Some of it is on the debate that has been advanced by the Administration in Northern Ireland about the opportunities to reduce corporation tax and, as a consequence, achieve higher economic growth and higher tax revenues. Essentially, the Scottish Government respects the evidence that has been gathered as part of Northern Ireland’s process, which is currently the subject of consultation by the UK Government. The Northern Ireland Administration has marshalled a clear and firm argument for the UK Government and it is now the subject of wide consideration.
Can you clarify that if you gain control of corporation tax, you propose to reduce it to stimulate competitiveness, as you describe it?
That would have to be done in a responsible fashion. Any Administration operating within any set of financial arrangements has to act responsibly. As I have a fixed budget within which I have to operate and I cannot borrow to support the on-going activities of Government, I have to act responsibly in that context. If the power to levy corporation tax is devolved in the context of the tax variability that is envisaged by the Scotland Bill, that would be another and different set of responsibilities that I would have to exercise.
We could debate that, but perhaps this is not the time.
To an extent, that is always a vulnerability of reducing corporation tax. We would not be the first Administration to contemplate reducing corporation tax; others have done so, and there is always the danger that companies will engage in brass-plate operations. Clearly, the Scottish Government’s objective has to be to ensure that we have in place the type of obligations that ensure that companies are not able to operate in that fashion. A degree of regulatory protection must be in place to ensure that a meaningful economic contribution is being delivered as a consequence of companies locating in Scotland. The evidence in studies that have been undertaken in Northern Ireland, for example, on the greater economic activity that is encouraged by the lowering of corporation tax is a powerful case to consider.
Mr Baker talked about one of the new proposals from the Scottish Government but, from the point of view of the work of this committee, I will ask you about the existing proposals in the bill.
On the first point that Joan McAlpine raises, the ability to raise revenue is a limitation of the bill. The bill as it stands, in the light of the proposals from the UK Government, provides a slightly improved mechanism of operation for the tax-varying powers. The proposals that the Secretary of State for Scotland and the Chancellor of the Exchequer have recently outlined in relation to the cash reserve improve marginally the operability of the tax-varying powers but do not address the fundamental point that Joan McAlpine raises about the ability to raise revenue and to substantially enhance Scotland’s tax base as a consequence. The proposal certainly provides a greater degree of accountability for the management of public finances, but the central issue of boosting the ability to raise revenue is not tackled.
To go back to the first point about revenue raising, you say that the UK Government has modestly improved the bill. Is it your view that Scotland could be left worse off by the proposals as they stand?
Given tax volatility, which was discussed extensively in the previous committee, that is undoubtedly a possibility. In its evidence sessions, we discussed the scale of volatility in income tax revenues over the past three years. In one year, the volatility had been of the order of £1 billion. The short-term borrowing facility that is on offer in the bill as it stands is of the order of only £500 million, so clearly there is a practical issue that we could experience. We all hope that the past three years of financial information will most definitely not be the norm for the coming period, but it illustrates that, if we are to have volatilities in tax revenues, we must have adequate protection to ensure that we navigate our way through those difficulties. To answer Joan McAlpine’s central question, which was about whether we could be worse off, that is in my view undoubtedly a possibility and we do not have adequate protection to avoid that being the case.
I want to continue on from Joan McAlpine’s questions about income tax. As I understand it, the current 10p proposal in effect ties together the basic and higher rates, so that there is no flexibility. If we change one rate, we have to change the other. We will not be able to change the higher or basic rates on their own. Where does that lack of flexibility and inability to manipulate the tax bands leave the Government’s ability to use the mechanism to encourage economic growth and boost the economy?
To an extent, that comes back to the point that Mr Baker touched on about which tax levers enable an Administration to improve economic growth. I am persuaded by the argument that flexibility on business taxation assists in driving economic growth, but I have not seen convincing evidence that varying personal taxation has a discernible impact on the ability to deliver economic growth. The tax-varying capability under the bill is similar in character to the tax-varying capability that we have on the basic rate of income tax under the Scotland Act 1998. Currently, the Administration could decide to reduce income tax by 3p in the pound, but I would not be persuaded on that for two reasons. First, I do not think that it would help economic growth, because people do not make their decisions about contributing to economic growth based on that particular margin. Secondly, the measure would hit public expenditure unless we gained the ability to increase tax revenue in some other area of economic activity.
For you, the relevant question is not about the rate that is set and whether it is 3p, 10p or 15p; the question is about the ability to compensate, in effect, by having a basket of levers.
There are two questions. One is whether the ability to vary income tax provides an ability to stimulate economic growth. I am not convinced by that argument, although I am convinced of the argument in relation to business taxation. Secondly, if one were to vary income tax, there would have to be sufficient flexibilities in other ranges of taxes at our disposal to cope with the inevitable volatility that would come. As I said in answering Joan McAlpine’s question, there is an inherent volatility in income tax collection as it stands, some of which might be tempered or mitigated by the existing provisions of the bill, although some might not. That is the point that I was making to Joan McAlpine. There might well be a danger of a negative impact on Scotland as a consequence.
I want to understand where you stand overall on the financial aspects of the bill. Last year, you and your aides used some quite emotive language to describe the Scotland Bill as a “dog’s dinner” or a “poison pill”—you described the bill as quite dangerous. However, last week in Westminster, your MPs did not oppose it during its third reading. I am just trying to get an understanding of the slight improvement that you described earlier. What is that improvement and is the bill no longer a poison pill and no longer dangerous? What is your take on that now?
In my answer to Joan McAlpine I explained some of the dangers that exist. Those dangers have not gone away. I explained carefully that some mitigating or tempering interventions have taken place, but the bill still retains difficulties and dangers for the public finances of Scotland.
Thank you. In that response, you did not give the bill the description that you gave it last year. It is not dangerous any more; you seem now to be supporting it. For the sake of clarity, is that the case?
I have just answered Joan McAlpine’s detailed question on where dangers lie. If Mr Rennie is trying to push me into a corner, I say to him that I do still think that the bill contains dangerous provisions. The income tax power, as it is currently expressed—without sufficient other compensating factors and without the ability to deal with the volume of volatility that we have seen in the past three years—still has dangerous propositions in it.
Surely if you think that the bill is dangerous, you should oppose it.
Nothing is ever simple in this life. There are other parts of the bill that I think provide welcome enhancements. For example, the bill—even as it stands—provides advances on borrowing powers that do not currently exist, which I think is a massive limitation on what I and the rest of the Administration can do at this stage. The Government and I have to make a judgment about whether the advantages outweigh the disadvantages. The judgment that we have arrived at so far is that there are a number of advantages to the bill that mean that we were right to take the steps that we did in relation to the LCM. However, it is also part of our public duty to point out where some of the difficulties lie.
Time is moving on. I am aware that Mr Crawford is sitting there desperate to make a contribution, but no one has asked him any questions. I have James Kelly and Adam Ingram down to ask questions and I know that Richard Baker wants to come in on an element of finance that has not yet been covered. John Mason and David McLetchie also want to ask questions. You guys are going to have to be pretty quick, so can we have concise questions and answers please?
Okay. Thank you, convener.
The data that I have for the financial year 2008-09 show that the current arrangements for tax collection in Scotland give the Parliament and other authorities control over 7 per cent of the total tax revenue in Scotland. The Scotland Bill will provide us with control over 15 per cent, and a range of options such as corporation tax could increase that. We must, therefore, keep the matter in perspective. The degree of control over tax in Scotland has risen from about 7 to 15 per cent.
Does the cabinet secretary agree on the central importance of improved borrowing powers? He has said that he was disappointed with both the UK Government’s response to the committee and the Scottish Government’s representations in that area. Can he explain the logic of the UK Government’s position of having a cap of £2.2 billion? That does not seem to relate to any particular economic quantity or financial figure of which I am aware; it seems more like a back-of-a-fag-packet calculation. By contrast, the paper that the cabinet secretary has produced appears to have an inherent logic whereby we are considering creating a borrowing framework that is sustainable and the Scottish Government has worked out how it will be able to repay any debt over the long term. How are the cabinet secretary’s negotiations with the UK Government going in that regard?
The framework—if I can call it that—that has been set out in the Scotland Bill is not driven by a methodology; it is probably driven by the fact that the estimated cost of the Forth replacement crossing was just over £2 billion. The replacement crossing has been viewed as the biggest construction project in a generation, which it is, and that has rather set the framework. I do not think that there is any more science or methodology to it. If there is, the UK Government ministers would be better placed than me to explain it to the committee.
I call Mr Mason and ask him to be as brief as he can be—I ask that of the cabinet secretary, too.
I am sorry, convener.
I will try to be brief. You have emphasised economic growth in all your answers. How does welfare reform fit into that? The previous committee discussed that and suggested a space for dialogue, which does not seem very dramatic. Is welfare reform important or is it for further down the road?
Mr Mason will not be surprised to hear that I think that welfare reform is a pretty urgent priority. The United Kingdom Government is pursuing a welfare reform agenda that will have consequences for the obligations and burdens that we must address in our devolved establishment. Welfare reform is a significant issue. The earlier we address it, the better, and the better we can integrate the welfare reform agenda with the wider growth agenda.
If corporation tax were to be devolved, would we be able to introduce more bands for different sizes of company and reflect the social or environmental values that they might have?
Those are some of the opportunities that would exist if we were to have control over that area of responsibility. That question opens up some of the exciting agenda that it might be possible to act on as a consequence of the agenda that the Government is pursuing. On the low-carbon economy, for example, our approach to corporation tax could be driven by ensuring that some of those aspirations were more widely reflected within the agenda. Equally, we could consider the appropriateness of some of the company structures, business structures and social enterprise models that exist, with an eye to incentivising greater opportunities for those areas of activity. Without a doubt, there are opportunities in the area that the member raises.
Does the Scottish Government intend to produce a fully worked scheme, with detailed amendments, for incorporation into the Scotland Bill, to facilitate the devolution of all present excise duties that are charged by the United Kingdom Government?
We certainly intend to provide to the UK Government a detailed proposal that will set out the Government’s views and aspirations in that respect.
Yes, but a view and an aspiration are not the same as an amendment. This committee is here to consider proposed amendments to the Scotland Bill. Will the Scottish Government submit proposed amendments, in proper legislative form, for a scheme for the devolution of all excise duties?
In the interests of the convener’s strictures on brevity, the answer that I have given is the answer that I would repeat. We will provide the UK Government with a detailed proposal that will set out the Government’s aspirations and objectives in this area of activity.
So there will be no amendments from the Scottish Government; there will merely be vague aspirations.
There might well be amendments. I am saying that we will—
This committee cannot discuss amendments to a bill if there are no amendments to the bill, Mr Swinney.
I think that the cabinet secretary has answered as far as he is willing to answer.
The cabinet secretary has not answered.
I believe that he has answered as far as he is willing to.
I will answer Mr McLetchie again. If he wishes to go down the route that he habitually likes to go down, I will go down it as well, and we will slug it out.
Neither of you has time to slug it out.
We will slug it out, convener. On days like this, I am all for slugging it out with Mr McLetchie.
Right, so the Scottish Government has not concluded whether—
Enough, Mr McLetchie. We have time for a quick supplementary on the same subject from Mr Baker.
If you are looking to use excise duty to recover to the Government the extra funds that result from an increased price for alcohol products in Scotland, would that not require excise duty to be levied at the point of sale, rather than production or distribution, as it is currently? Will that be covered in the paper that you say you will send to the UK Government?
Those are some of the points that must be explored. The Government’s preference is to proceed with minimum alcohol pricing. That was our proposal in the previous session, and that is what we will propose in the course of this session. As is pretty obvious, the Government has responded to calls from parties in the Scottish Parliament other than the Scottish National Party for there to be control of alcohol pricing through alcohol taxation.
We move to the non-financial implications of the bill.
It would be good to bring my good friend Mr Crawford into the debate. Will you give us an outline of the options that you are considering for greater involvement in European affairs and the options for the Scottish Government to have greater influence in European decision making?
As Mr Swinney suggested, the Government will bring forward papers and proposals on that, which we will share not only with the UK Government but with the committee so that it can understand exactly where we are in the process and what our views are in that regard. That will be helpful in letting people understand exactly where the Government is coming from, in the same way as we have produced the papers in regard to the borrowing powers that have been discussed this morning.
May I take it that those proposals will be before us before our next meeting?
The Government will bring forward its proposals in its own time. We have already discussed with the UK Government the issue of when we will introduce those proposals. I will not stipulate exactly when that will be, but it will be in good time for the committee to consider them as part of its scrutiny of the Scotland Bill.
In his opening statement, Mr Crawford referred to the McCluskey report and the debate in Parliament later this week. What is his view on how that group was able to come to its interim conclusions when it did not take detailed evidence and, in fact, had not conducted any interviews? How was McCluskey able to reach his conclusions on a basis so lacking in detail? Will you outline the timetable for the production of the full report? Will it include proper evidence taking?
I am not here to discuss the ins and outs of the McCluskey report. I am here to discuss the overall perspective on the Scotland Bill. We have had the interim report. There will be a debate in the Parliament on Thursday morning in that regard, at which the Government will lay out its position clearly. I do not want to get ahead of that debate on Thursday.
Mr Crawford commented that his proposals would be produced “in good time”. The Calman commission started about four years ago. Just last week, after the bill’s third reading in the House of Commons, we received the Government’s submission on the Crown Estate. Is this an appropriate time to bring forward new proposals?
I have previously heard comments like Mr Rennie’s with regard to what the Government is doing and when it is doing it. There is a fair bit of the process still to go. The first reading in the House of Lords will be in September or October; that will be followed by the second reading in the Lords. There is the opportunity thereafter for amendments at the Lords committee, by which time it will probably be getting on for October. There is the Lords second stage and the Lords third stage, all of which will allow the UK Government to introduce amendments.
I was pleased with last week’s decision by the First Minister on the Offensive Behaviour at Football and Threatening Communications (Scotland) Bill, because it showed that he had listened and realised that we wanted a longer process and greater time in which to consider the bill.
I suggest to Mr Rennie and the other committee members that the papers that the Government will produce will be a fantastic opportunity for the committee to take evidence on the Government’s suggestions and proposals and to scrutinise and examine them.
My understanding is that the UK Government is reluctant to take a decision on the aggregates levy until an EU decision is made. Can you confirm that that is the case? Do you agree that, irrespective of the EU’s decision, the principle of the devolution of the aggregates levy could be included in the Scotland Bill and that, if the EU decision was delayed, that part of the bill would not have to be enacted until the EU decision was clarified?
First, let me make it clear that it was this committee’s predecessor committee that suggested that the aggregates levy should be included in the Scotland Bill. However, your assumption about the legislative process is correct. On how much that is interrelated with the European Union, I am happy to write to the committee to confirm whether your view is correct.
A separate issue that is of great importance, particularly to me as the convener of the Education and Culture Committee, is the devolution of broadcasting regulation. I am sure that many members, as well as wider Scotland, are interested in that area. What benefits do you envisage accruing to Scotland’s cultural sector and the creative industries in Scotland if broadcasting regulation were to be devolved?
First, with regard to suggestions from other members round the table on the Government’s proposals, the Government will bring forward a paper on the broadcasting proposals in due course. The Government recognises that there is a clear need for greater accountability and responsibility for broadcasting in Scotland. There is agreement across the political spectrum that Scotland needs its own distinctive broadcasting space to reflect our society and culture, and the debates and the decision making that go on in our country.
Do you expect that devolution of broadcasting regulation, which sounds like a rather dry and technical point, would allow the Government to create an atmosphere that enabled the sector to grow? The approach could lead to the expansion of economic activity in the creative sector, in particular enabling more productions to be made in Scotland, allowing people to grow their careers here and enabling us to attract work from other parts of the UK and perhaps abroad to be filmed, produced and directed in Scotland.
You make well-founded points. Not long ago, on 16 June, the Parliament agreed to a motion, which had the support of the Liberal Democrats and the Greens, which reflected some of the areas that you outlined.
Thank you, minister. There are no other questions—[Interruption.] Mr McLetchie, you will have to indicate that you want to ask a question a bit better than that, instead of waiting until the end of every discussion—
I had quietly put up my hand, convener.
Please carry on—quickly.
My question is for Mr Crawford. Does the Scottish Government now accept that the Supreme Court should have a jurisdiction—albeit of a more limited nature—in Scottish human rights cases where the issue raises a matter of criminal law and procedure?
You will see that the Scottish Government will lodge a motion tonight on its position on the Supreme Court. The Parliament will debate the matter on Thursday, when the Government will clearly set out its position.
You are saying that the Government cannot tell us whether it remains of the view that there should be no access to the Supreme Court for cases conducted in Scotland.
I will not fall into the trap of allowing you to put words into my mouth as well as John Swinney’s mouth. I made my position clear. The Government will lodge a motion tonight on the Supreme Court, and the debate on Thursday will allow the Government to lay out its position clearly.
Convener, the motion will be lodged in 1 hour and 18 minutes’ time. Why does it remain a state secret for 1 hour and 18 minutes? Why cannot the Government’s position be revealed to the committee that is meant to be considering the Scotland Bill? That is a nonsense.
It is the prerogative of the Government to set out such matters when it so wishes, as it is your prerogative to try to cause trouble whenever you can do—you are very good at that.
We will do the best that we can do to help you in that regard and to try to indicate the timescales that are involved. As Mr Swinney said, there are many in-depth discussions to be had on a number of areas.
Thank you. I thank you and Mr Swinney for coming, which was much appreciated.
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Call for Evidence