Official Report 551KB pdf
We will now take evidence on the current state of Scottish tourism—an issue on which committee members have expressed an interest. For our first panel of witnesses, we are joined by Norman Springford, who is the chief executive of Apex Hotels, and by Gavin Ellis, who is the owner of the Knockomie hotel in Morayshire. Did I pronounce the name of the hotel correctly?
Yes.
Thank you both for joining us as representatives of private sector industry. I do not know whether you wish to make some introductory remarks, but I will first ask some general questions to give you a chance to give us your views.
I can answer from a national perspective, because as well as Edinburgh hotels and Dundee hotels, we have properties in London. The general consensus is that London has had an especially successful tourism season, and is showing improvements in corporate business as well. That has percolated up to Scotland—well, to the cities; I cannot speak for the rural areas.
Good morning. Our businesses are in rural Scotland: I have interests in Mull and in Moray. As you will all know, Moray has had a tough time recovering from the instant closure of RAF Kinloss, but we are looking forward to 39 Engineer Regiment relocating there in June next year.
Mr Springford, you did not address the growth target. Is it achievable?
I am not so concerned about whether it is achievable. It was a historical aspiration, if you wish, rather than a hard-and-fast target. The world has moved on and the global economy has clearly changed. The target of 50 per cent growth by 2015 is now historical and, if realism kicks in, achieving it is unlikely. That is not to say that the tourism industry and VisitScotland cannot have such a target. We need something to aim for and whether we choose 50 per cent, 100 per cent or 20 per cent does not matter. The important thing is how the industry—which is a combination of the public and private sectors—strives to achieve an improvement in our economy.
Thank you. I open it up to members to ask questions.
We have heard about the tourism opportunities that are coming up within the next few years—the Commonwealth games, the Olympic games, the Ryder cup, homecoming, and so on. We have been told that those events represent an unprecedented opportunity for the tourism industry. However, I heard the two witnesses say that the position for businesses depends on whether they are situated in a rural or urban area. Will those opportunities have the same impact in rural areas as in urban areas? How can we spread the impact out from the urban areas? It is obvious that Glasgow will benefit from the Commonwealth games, but how do we get people to come out from Glasgow and visit the rest of the country, including areas that are furthest from the urban centres?
There is clearly a difference between the rural and urban economies and how they are promoted. I am not being parochial just because I happen to come from Edinburgh, but my view is that London is the gateway to the UK in the same way that Edinburgh is the gateway to Scotland. The promotion of London and Edinburgh will percolate out to the other parts of the UK.
The Olympic games will be a challenge. I have never known them not to be a challenge. If we look at their history in Athens and other places, we can see that they have always caused problems.
It is interesting to know that we are perhaps not marketing smaller events and that the focus on larger events might be detrimental in that regard. However, why would the Olympic games be detrimental? Is it because London is the gateway to the UK, as you said? Do we need organisations such as VisitScotland to promote other gateways to the UK so that people need not be stuck in busy London but can celebrate the Olympic games from, for example, the comfort of a Highland resort?
My view is still that it would be like trying to push water uphill to move the gateway from London to another part of the UK. London has been and always will be the gateway.
The success of the framework for change will depend on close working relationships between the private sector and the public sector. Is that happening in practice? In that regard, are you a member of an area tourism partnership?
I am a great believer in the public and private sectors co-operating, although I accept that it is difficult to do. I am not saying that one sector is better than the other, merely that they are different. The public sector will think differently from the private sector and have different strengths and weaknesses. I accept that combining the two sectors is very difficult but, from a political point of view, it is essential. My view is that the hospitality sector has been dependent on state handouts for too long and that we have been reluctant to become involved in the promotion of our own industry. If we can encourage greater co-operation between the private and public sectors, that will be to the benefit of all.
I agree with Norman Springford. Where we may not have taken advantage of all our assets in Scotland plc is in not getting everybody to understand the impact of what growth means for Scotland. With the tourism framework for change, we could have done better if we had understood where we had capacity for waiters and chefs, for example, and then funded further education or degree courses to fill that capacity. Rather than allowing people to do courses for which we do not have jobs, we should have indicated where we had capacity and the ability to provide jobs and therefore growth. If that had permeated down to councils, the planning could have been faster and more efficient. We could still do that if we changed our attitude. A lot of it is just about attitude; it is not money but a change of attitude that we need. The attitude should be that we can grow. We can do that if we set people free in some areas, and planning is one of the biggest such areas that I hear people in our industry talk about. By the way, that is not just in relation to tourism; it is across the board.
And the second part of the question?
Can you remind me of the second part?
Are you a member of an area tourism partnership?
As chairman of Apex Hotels, I am not, personally.
I am a director of the Moray and Speyside tourism development company.
Mr Springford, you mentioned earlier the importance of the private and public sectors coming together, but you say that you are not involved in any of the partnership work. Is that for any specific reason?
No, far from it. Until last year, I was chairman of Destination Edinburgh Marketing—Lucy Bird is appearing as a witness later; she will give you her own comments on Marketing Edinburgh—which is evidence of my enthusiasm for public and private sector co-operation.
Could I add that the Moray and Speyside tourism development company is a partnership between the council, Highlands and Islands Enterprise and VisitScotland? Everybody is at the table, and everybody is working together—perhaps not all at the speed that we would wish, or with the same sense of urgency, but we are there and we are working together.
Good morning, gentlemen. First, let me go over the issues of growth and the information flow. We often hear statistics being bandied about. According to an analysis by VisitScotland, tourists spent 77.2 million nights in Scotland in 2005, but the figure fell to 67.9 million in 2009. How do you interconnect, if you do, with VisitScotland? How does it gather information from your organisations? Also, given the nature of the products that we provide, and the fact that we have tourism products as diverse as restaurants, hotels and extreme sports all across Scotland, do you believe that the current organisation of VisitScotland is fit for purpose?
Part 1 of the question suggested that there had been a reduction in tourism. As part of the hospitality sector, and the hotel sector in particular, I see tourism as only part of our business; perhaps we could describe it as leisure business. Fifty-six per cent of our business in Edinburgh is corporate business. We are therefore a more balanced sector than we would be if we dealt only with tourism. There might have been a reduction in visitor numbers, but those numbers are not the only indicator of whether the sector is profitable. We also need to look at how much revenue is generated from the sector, where the business is coming from, and what the spin-offs are. Our view is that tourism is everyone’s business in Scotland. It is such an important industry that we can almost say that every facet of business in Scotland derives benefit from it, directly or indirectly. To my mind, it is not all about numbers. It is about what we do with the experience, and about how we generate more revenue from tourism. It is quite an important industry as far as Scotland is concerned.
I do not disagree with that, but if we consider the overall spend, we see that it is not just the number of nights that has gone down. The spend has gone down from £4.6 billion in 2009 to £4.1 billion. The Government has just committed an extra £8 million to VisitScotland. I accept that the tourism industry is much wider than VisitScotland, but I am trying to explore the interconnection between them. You referred earlier to the embracing of tourism as a whole. VisitScotland is the main body; I am trying to find out how you feed information to it about its performance. Does VisitScotland support the products that you are trying to sell?
If you are specifically targeting the performance of VisitScotland, we do not directly feed information into its statistics section. In fact, the opposite is true: VisitScotland has a particularly strong statistics section and we ask it for information that it has gathered from other sources. We find it to be a particularly valuable source of statistics such as the ones that you are quoting.
I empathise with that view in relation to marketing, but I am talking about the operation and the drive to make things happen in disparate areas of Scotland. Is VisitScotland operationally effective?
VisitScotland would be able to tell you what its remit is, but I do not believe that it is an operational body—it is a marketing body, and I would not expect it to be operational other than in lobbying and influencing. It may well influence questions such as whether air passenger duty should be removed or whether there should be route support for airlines, but in relation to achieving those objectives it plays either a marketing or an influential role.
But you would agree that any good marketing organisation should collate information. You say that you do not provide information to VisitScotland, but you get information from it.
Yes, and it does so. VisitScotland will be able to speak for itself about what its statistical team does, but that work is why we can turn round and say, for example, that 78 per cent of visitors to Edinburgh are day visitors. We do not get that information from our own hotel systems because, clearly, those people are not staying with us. We are dependent on an outside agency to compile that statistic, and that agency is VisitScotland.
There are many people collecting statistics—usually for their own benefit—through PKF, the University of Glasgow, the University of Strathclyde or VisitScotland itself. There is also a sub-group called Tourism Intelligence Scotland that is doing some great work on market analysis. It has produced many useful information booklets for each sector to help people to expand their business. However, if you are looking for an excuse for commercial failure in parts of rural Scotland, you cannot blame VisitScotland for that—you have to blame the economy.
I am not blaming anybody; I am just asking questions.
Hotels and pubs are closing; we cannot fail to see the number of pubs that have closed in cities and rural areas throughout Scotland, and that is because of market failure. That is a different question—we need to ask ourselves why that market failure is there.
How do you tap into the opportunities from business tourism? I am pretty sure that Apex is very much involved in that, but I would like to hear Mr Springford’s views on how we can attract even more business tourism. I am also interested in Mr Ellis’s view, given the recent events in Moray and the growth of opportunities in renewables from the increase in green energy facilities in that part of Scotland. How are you tapping into that?
It is initially a question of definition. Our view in undertaking our segmentation analysis is that a guest who stays with us is either one thing or another: they are either business—or corporate—tourism, or they are not. We do not have a definition of business tourism—we have the corporate guest and the leisure guest, and they do different things. Some business guests come on an incentive travel package. Places such as Gleneagles have suffered badly in the past couple of years because the benefit that they derive from corporate incentive travel had dried up to a large extent, as it has not been fashionable and there has been a general recession that affected the corporate area. We do not classify business tourism as a category or market. As I say, it is strictly business and leisure, and the two types do different things.
There is no question but that the Moray economy has been hugely reliant on the Royal Air Force, although not wholly reliant on it, as we have vibrant whisky and forestry industries. The community is making an effort to change, through the Moray economic partnership. Over a generation, we will change, but we could change more quickly if there were fundamental infrastructure changes, such as those needed on the A9 and investment in rail transport to the north. The trains from Inverness to Edinburgh and Glasgow are pedantically slow. If they were faster, we could grow a lot faster and therefore contribute more to the economy.
While we are on that issue, I take Mr Springford’s point about London being the gateway to the UK, and we can talk about airline passenger duty until we are blue in the face, but how would you change the situation? We have very good airports in Scotland, including Edinburgh, Glasgow, Inverness and, in my neck of the woods, Prestwick. How might we change the situation in which London is the gateway to Scotland?
I do not necessarily believe that we should change it. As far as I can see, the system works reasonably well because most European or international guests visit London as the number 1 destination. Given the importance of London, I see no difficulty with that, just as I see no difficulty with regarding Edinburgh as the gateway to Scotland. If a leisure or tourist guest comes to the country—I am talking nationally, so about the UK, rather than Scotland—they might visit York, Stratford-upon-Avon and, likely, Edinburgh. That is the first visit. If they like what they see and we give them good value for money, they will come back and visit elsewhere.
I would like people to come to Edinburgh. Although York, Stratford and London are attractive, in these times of expenditure constraints on individuals, how do we get more direct flights? How do we market that? What is the airline strategy for Scotland?
On some issues, we cannot buck the market. Airlines internationally will only get bigger. We must concentrate on connectivity between us and England. I believe from conversations that I have had that we are losing our strong connectivity with Heathrow. We should worry about that a lot. On the other hand, we have opportunities. To avoid the air tax, many people coming from America fly into Schiphol and then on to Britain. Maybe we have the approach a little wrong—perhaps we should think of some of our European partners as the gateway to Scotland. If there is a punitive air tax, customers will avoid it. Perhaps we should think of Schiphol as part of the solution. However, we need connectivity with the south through fast trains and airlines that connect. The Heathrow connection is under threat.
I have one more question, which is on skills. One key reason why businesses such as yours are successful is not just because they sell at a price, but because of value. Value is largely contingent on the quality of your staff. What connectivity do you have with local colleges and other sources of employees to ensure that quality standards continue to rise? How easy is it for you to get the people whom you require with the skills that you require?
Personally, I think that connectivity is improving. Only three weeks ago, we had a pile of Moray College students in who looked keen and were ready to learn and ask lots of questions. Can we improve on the situation? Damn right we can. We need to look at our European competitors and find out what they have that we do not.
This is perhaps not the right forum in which to express this view, but I certainly feel that people coming out of further or higher education are generally not fit for purpose. Apex tries very hard to form links and associations with some of the FE and HE colleges and universities to ensure that there is a programme that offers more than just the normal one week’s work experience. I would not call that kind of work experience useless, but it does not help if someone who comes for a week or a couple of weeks gets thrown into filing or something else because the staff are too busy to carry out any training. Many of the programmes that we are encouraging and which we hope that politicians will take on board and encourage more of link a lengthy period of work experience to an FE or HE course. As a result, instead of taking a three-year degree, students might have a five-year programme, part of the curriculum for which would include going out into industry for several months. Industry would be able to do the basic training, improve its training methods and get some value back from the student. At the moment, students are being thrown out of colleges and universities with a particular academic record but no experience. The difficulty is that, for example, you can be taught how to deal with an irate guest only at a hotel’s reception. Indeed, I can tell members that there is nothing better than the experience of having to deal with an irate guest at 11 o’clock at night when you have had to tell them, “I’m sorry—your room’s been sold to somebody else.” If we can improve the communication and establish links between business and education authorities, it would improve ability, certainly in the tourism industry.
Our secondary school students need to be coming out of school with social confidence for the good not just of the hospitality industry but of all industry. Indeed, we should also focus to a certain extent on ensuring that they have commercial confidence because many of the people we employ do not understand that their wages are paid not by Norman Springford and me but by the customers.
I cannot believe that Apex Hotels ever has irate guests, but perhaps it happens occasionally.
Indeed. With regard to the previous question on transport links, the witnesses will be aware of an on-going consultation that is seeking views on, among other things, London trains stopping in Edinburgh. What impact would such a move have on tourism north of Edinburgh?
Are you talking about the sleeper trains?
I understood that the proposal was for all the direct trains from London to stop in Edinburgh and for people to disembark in order to catch a connection north.
The real issue is the quality of the rolling stock going north, which is not fit for purpose and indicates a lack of understanding of the markets. For example, people who are into biking have to book their bikes on to the train, which requires them to make two bookings. The system is just not fit for getting to Aviemore, which is one of Europe’s biking capitals. Of course we would prefer the trains to go all the way to Inverness, but we have to get our own house in order and get the rolling stock fit for purpose.
We all welcome the recent phenomenon of the staycation as a response to economic difficulties. It seems to have given an uplift to tourism performance in Scotland over the past year to 18 months, but the figures for the preceding decade do not look very good at all, particularly against the background of steadily rising world tourism over the same period. I see that as something of a failure. What are your thoughts on the underperformance over that decade?
Although we can all do anything we want with statistics and show that there has been underperformance in certain areas, we as a company will benchmark ourselves against local and national competition and against past performance. Over the past decade, we can look to improved figures year on year. When one market share drops or one sector underperforms, we take steps to ensure that another market will replace it.
We have to understand the realities of the market we work in. In that time, the pound was particularly strong and it was therefore particularly attractive for people to visit countries such as Spain. This year, people have not only been staying in Scotland, or staying in Britain, but going to Turkey, because of currency fluctuations. There is a market reality check here. Also, I am the first to admit that we have not invested in our product across the country. Edinburgh and Glasgow have been able to invest in hotels and things, but there are parts of Scotland where that investment has not been possible due to the returns and the commercial reality of the money people are making. The past few winters have been particularly tough. Businesses have closed early this year already, which will affect the money that they can reinvest in their product.
We are placing a lot of hope in the events that are coming to Scotland over the next few years as a great opportunity for tourism—of course they are—but does it worry you that there may be a problem for tourism businesses dealing with a huge influx and then nobody? There is feast and famine and are you concerned that that may operate at the expense of longer-term tourist draws or attractions? Also, are you concerned about seasonality? Is there anything that we can do to improve that by lengthening seasons or whatever?
I am not in the least concerned about the major events that are coming—they are great opportunities. As I see it, there is a tremendous opportunity to build on what those events will give us. What is important is how we do that, which is where VisitScotland becomes an extremely important entity. It must be properly funded, and the industry must be in a position to get involved in public-private co-operation to improve our lot. We have a great opportunity, globally, to put Scotland on the map, which we should be seizing. That is fine.
I guess that I was referring to what Gavin Ellis said in his introduction. He mentioned year-round attractions such as mountain biking, but I am concerned that, although the big events are undoubtedly opportunities, we might be putting too much focus on them at the expense of promoting the year-round, year-after-year activities that attract tourists.
Let me put it on record that events such as the Ryder cup and the Commonwealth games are essential, as they put Scotland on the world stage. They are broadcast on televisions in corners of the world that we do not know about. I often say that tourism is the Heineken industry, because we reach parts that others do not. The power of television is such that it reaches parts that we do not know about. That is extremely important.
If I could wave my magic wand and grant you four wishes—one from the UK Government, one from the Scottish Government, one from VisitScotland and one from local authorities—what would you want those public agencies to do to assist you in achieving the 50 per cent target?
That is a big question to answer off the top of your heads.
I will give my four first. Nationally, I would go for fast trains from Inverness down to London; I would also like a wish on VAT, because I think that that has to be dealt with. I would like the Scottish Government to do something on infrastructure costs, to help with getting people around the place. Ever since the three wise men went to give Jesus presents, it has been about travel. I would like local government to understand that we are in this together and that it is not an us-and-them situation—it is about us working together rather than in isolation to make a better and more prosperous Scotland. I would like local government to understand tourism.
The clerk has just reminded me that, when the three wise men got to Bethlehem, there were no rooms available for them to stay in.
That would be a good situation.
The wise men came from the east—the good part of the country.
I forgot about my request to VisitScotland. I would like our industry to understand that VisitScotland is all about marketing, not the other things. VisitScotland’s responsibility is marketing and we have to understand that.
Mike MacKenzie began by talking about domestic tourism and I want to follow that up. I am a wee bit worried by the idea that domestic tourism has become more important during the recession. We have just let that fall into our laps by happy circumstance. The Scottish Government’s headline interventions in tourism are mostly about international tourism and events such as homecoming and so on. Perhaps those measures or interventions made sense before the recession but I wonder whether we need to change our focus now. Mr Springford talked about the uncertainty about the future and how important domestic tourism will continue to be, but if recovery from the recession continues to be long and slow, we might expect opportunities from domestic tourism to continue in the short term.
Yes, I agree. Although it is nice to be able to say that the market has an international flavour and that we would do best to promote it, as I said earlier, 78 per cent of the business that comes to Edinburgh hotels is from the domestic market. A surprisingly high number of people from the south-east of England have not been to Scotland. You ask whether we should be promoting more domestic than international tourism and I say that we should.
I offer caution, because we cannot buck the market. I go back to what I said about the currency. If it gets cheaper for people to go elsewhere, they will go there. We must keep our eye on the ball. The foot-and-mouth crisis affected our American market drastically and hotels that were particularly exposed to that market suffered. There is nothing so sure as change and we need to be ready to react to it. It is not about fitting people into little boxes and saying, “It must be one market.” We must be keeping an eye on the other markets as well. We must never expose ourselves in the way that we were exposed during the foot-and-mouth outbreak, because we really suffered then. We must learn from the past but try and predict the future. Our emphasis should probably be closer to home. From that point of view, I agree with Norman Springford, but I issue a word of caution.
I suppose that everybody would agree that
Although I understand your sentiments and why you say that, if Britain and Scotland are to grow economically we must concentrate on some invisible exports as well. We need euros and dollars in, and the situation needs to be balanced.
Earlier, Mr Springford spoke about the need for more partnership working between the public and private sectors; he also said that the solution was not more state handouts. Mr Ellis said that we should be training people for existing jobs.
I will try to remember all your questions and answer them in sequence, going back the way.
You admitted that there is a perception about job versus career. You said that you and the industry are working hard to try to change that perception. As well as the industry, what is your company doing in that regard?
The prescribed programme is to say, “We’ll say this is going to happen and then it will happen.” Again, it is about attitude. For example, when a youth comes to us for employment, we will try to explain the career opportunities that are available and that their role is one not of subservience, but service. We use a programme called flow, which is part of an extended, on-the-job training programme. The intention is to say to an individual that there are many opportunities in the hospitality industry and that it is not about being just a room attendant or something similar—there are opportunities in every facet of the business, whether it be financial or whatever. We try to impart that message to people when they come to us. We want them to know that whether or not they are suitable for a particular role, they will have other attributes and perhaps other skills that they may want to develop and that the hospitality industry can develop them, but there is the difficulty that—probably at school level—careers officers paint the picture that the hospitality industry is not a particularly sexy industry to be involved with.
We employ up to 15 people, so we do not have the same infrastructure as Apex Hotels. We do not employ anybody on modern apprenticeship schemes, mainly because our seasonality affects the consistency of training. However, I support everything that Norman Springford said. As I said earlier, we are not preparing our youth for the real world. We have to get the attitude sorted out. The expectations and the culture are incorrect and we somehow have to change that.
Mr Ellis, just as a point of interest, out of the 15 or so people whom you employ, how many are Scots?
As of 1 December, everybody will be British. Our last Polish person will leave us on 1 December and we will be 100 per cent Scottish. One person was South African but is now Scottish. He has got a UK passport and is a very happy chappie. The reality is that the whole team will be Scots. I am proud of that, but that was not the reality 12 months ago.
I am conscious of the time, so I will ask just one more question. Both of you spoke earlier about work experience and people coming through the education system who perhaps understand the theory but not the practical side. Do you offer summer placements to people going through college and university so that they can gain experience of your sector and go back to college at the end of the summer with a better understanding that is not just about the theory?
We have a programme with Napier University whereby we will take a university student and offer them training modules at our cost. We have a number of modules, which can be anything from hotel accounting through to room attendants and waiting. The idea is that we offer week-long modules completely free, which people fit into their curriculum—the modules are not in addition to what they do; there is a choice as to whether they go on the programme or not. As part of the programme, they are encouraged to work up to 20 hours a week with us on a part-time basis, there is full-time employment over the summer and during breaks from the curriculum.
We do that in conjunction with Moray College. Two chefs are currently working on the programme with us. Across the board, however, I would like to see more earn and learn both to help fund students through their education and to help the industry. It is a two-way thing. I see a lot of potential in earn and learn.
The final question is from John Wilson.
The hotel industry has not been seen as a good payer—it does not remunerate staff well. Indeed, in some areas, people can be paid more for stacking shelves in a supermarket than in the hospitality industry. Is that a fair assessment? Is the fact that once they have come through college or university people can get better remuneration and possibly have better career paths elsewhere part of the issue about the commitment of people to the hospitality industry?
That is old news. Our industry competes well in the marketplace. We have to do that. Tesco, Sainsbury’s and all the other supermarkets are competing for the same staff and we have to compete on an equal basis, although we can probably offer people more career aspects. What you describe happened yesterday; it is not the current reality. The minimum wage sorted that one out for starters.
I am inclined to agree with that, although to be honest I probably share the view that the industry is not seen as a good payer. Perhaps people in the industry are also seen as having to work long hours. Although there is a national minimum wage, which we clearly abide by, and we tend to aim our remuneration at the national living wage, quite a large number of management employees in the hospitality industry who work more than 48 hours a week—and expect to do so—opt out. Saying that is not a source of pride for me, but that is the reality. When an employee goes off the hourly paid process and becomes a management salaried individual, we generally find that they work more than 48 hours a week. It has almost become traditional and accepted that that is what people need to do in the hospitality industry. As I say, I am not proud of that, but that is the reality.
As a committee, we understand that tourism is not just about attracting visitors; it is about creating jobs, opportunities and the correct remuneration. I am glad to hear that Mr Ellis and Mr Springford see the hospitality industry moving forward, but we have to get that message out to our young people. Going back to Mr Ellis’s point, I wonder whether those young people are not seeing a career path in the industry because the industry itself and VisitScotland have failed to get across the real opportunities that exist in that respect.
I do not think that that is a particularly Scottish issue or challenge but, as far as Scotland is concerned, could we improve? Damn right we could—and should. We should get out of bed every day wanting to do things better and I hope that we will. Some, but not all parts of the industry are making an effort to go into schools, get involved in careers days and talk about the opportunities in our industry, but it is patchy.
I endorse those comments. There is no point in making further comment.
I thank Norman Springford and Gavin Ellis for giving up their time this morning. The committee very much appreciates your input, which will be helpful in our examination of what I think is a very important sector for Scotland.
I welcome to the meeting the next panel of witnesses and ask them to introduce themselves and tell us what their roles are.
I am chief executive of the Cairngorms Business Partnership, which is perhaps unique in Scotland in its merging of the traditional chamber organisation and the new destination management organisation. We look not only at tourism but at wider business and economic issues around the Cairngorms national park. We have 300 members and our board members are elected to represent the park’s five areas and its different business sectors.
I have just arrived in Edinburgh as chief executive of the city’s first DMO in its true sense as a public-private partnership. At the moment, we are owned wholly by the City of Edinburgh Council, but the majority of our board members are private sector individuals. Having been here for only 20 weeks, I am still on a learning curve. I will do my best to answer your questions, but I might not know absolutely everything.
We will be very gentle with you.
No we won’t.
Behave yourself, Mr Brodie.
I will not mind it if you are robust.
I am the chief executive of Glasgow City Marketing Bureau, which is a destination marketing and management organisation. It has a membership organisation based around it and generates approximately £1 million of private income from business community support.
Thank you very much. It is interesting that, to one extent or another, you all represent public-private partnerships and membership organisations. I will kick off with the first question. Has the economic downturn in recent years impacted on the income to your organisations and the work that you have been able to do? What role do your organisations have in trying to cope with the fairly difficult economic times?
The model that we have taken forward combines private sector bodies. There has sometimes been the criticism that there are too many public sector bodies. Certainly in our area, we had an oversupply of private sector bodies—some local businesses were paying three or four subscriptions to organisations. The Cairngorms Business Partnership is attempting to pull those organisations together so that there is a single subscription to pay. That represents great value for money and, critically, means less expenditure for businesses. We recognise the pressure that is on the bottom line and on every pound of expenditure. The model is certainly being well received by businesses.
On-going promotion is as important for Edinburgh as capital growth. We must recognise that in England the core cities group, which includes Manchester, Liverpool, Leeds, Birmingham and Bristol, is considering how to develop the business improvement district—BID—structure into a TBID, or tourism BID, structure. As I understand it, legislation is in place to allow sectoral BIDs in Scotland. Funding in that context is a partnership between the private and public sectors. It is vital to ensure that the private sector gets what it wants from any sectoral BID and that it has the ability to drive forward the city in a way that is relevant to it. We must recognise that the English cities are considering that opportunity.
Our budgeted income from our membership has this month exceeded our target. Retail support for the Christmas campaign has increased from last year, with seven major UK retailers supporting it. Income from Glasgow City Council and from national Government support has increased, partly because of the bids that have been presented to the UK Government, the Scottish Government and Glasgow City Council in relation to opportunities for growing business in the city. We have confirmed business up to 2021 and are bidding for up to 2023. Opportunities to secure income need to be generated so that income can be grown.
What have you done to respond to the impact of the recession and the consequent budget reductions for tourism in your areas?
In the Cairngorms, as in Edinburgh and Glasgow, we have worked hard to pull together marketing campaigns. There has been no shortage of support for that at local-business level, although it has not been on the same scale as that in Glasgow. We have levered in funds from the private sector of about £200,000, which is the highest figure that we have ever had. Businesses recognise the requirement to invest in marketing and they will buy into a strong local collaboration with local leadership. They will see a return from that.
This is about alignment of spend. In my first few weeks in post, I have been looking at how we might work with the private sector and some of the bigger employers, such as the universities, to align spend in order to ensure that the marketing effort is all going into one place. We are running a Christmas campaign with input from Edinburgh airport and various parts of the private sector, as well as from the central BID in Edinburgh, so we are beginning to align spend to maximise impact and return on investment. We are also working with VisitScotland; we accept that a big organisation such as that can buy media more effectively than some smaller organisations can. The creation of a partnership with its marketing team—while keeping our city’s individual identity as the capital city, of course—will, therefore, be an important part of our strategy.
In tangible terms, we have a restaurant booking engine on our site, and we work very closely with the Glasgow Restaurant Association, which is based in our offices. That makes things incredibly simple when we are putting packages together for events and conferences, because the association is literally one door away. We also have a flight booking engine on our site and, as you know, we do accommodation for people taking short breaks in the city. We are linked to 16 or 17 different websites at the moment, so in regard to reasons to visit, we are not the single portal for entry. We do large block bookings for accommodation for events, on which we work with the organisers. Our experience ranges from the G8 summit and the Special Olympics to the 2014 Commonwealth games, which will involve about 100,000 room nights going through contract. We also secured the rooms that were required for the Ryder cup; we had a process for that.
Mr Taylor spoke about a winter marketing programme to which a number of retailers had signed up. Is it seven retailers?
Yes.
I am not a big shopper; I never have been and—to be honest—I never intend to be. However, I saw this week a news item that described a 9 per cent reduction in footfall in the retail sector. How will that affect your campaign? I ask all three witnesses how that could affect what you are trying to do.
Our research indicates that retail is one of the primary reasons for short-break visits to Glasgow. It is critical that we support the retail sector. The UK footfall figures are approximately 9 per cent down and the estimates that we are getting from retailers indicate that Christmas retail sales might be some 5 per cent down on the previous year. We are working hard to counterbalance that, because 50 per cent of all retail sales are taken through the Christmas period; that is how important the period is to cities and to every retailer in the country. If the retail footfall is down, it has an immediate impact on their profitability and on employment. We will fight hard alongside our retailers to generate footfall and try to encourage spend in the city, because if we do not, 5 per cent might become 10 per cent. That is a substantial risk.
The trend in Edinburgh is slightly different, in that retail spend in October was up 5 per cent, which is good. We are obviously pleased with that.
Retail is not the prime economic driver in my patch; it is outdoor activities, which shows the difference between the destinations or key customer points in Scotland.
If we want to create a joined-up structure, we need to have the players at the table. The tourism strategy that we have developed in Glasgow with our partnership approach has been key. VisitScotland, Glasgow Chamber of Commerce, Glasgow City Council, the Glasgow City Marketing Bureau and Scottish Enterprise are all at the table. Those five organisations meet regularly to develop the strategy and push out the actions against the action plan. Glasgow is in a good position. We have a strong relationship with the national tourism agency, and that is going from strength to strength. It has been built over a number of years, and the city is reaping the benefit of it.
Ditto in Edinburgh. We have a similar emerging tourism strategy, which will be the first for the city. It is a public sector and private sector partnership, and we are working with VisitScotland as the national agency. The key thing for Edinburgh will be delivery of that plan. We are exploring that as one of the actions.
My area might be able to trump that, because we are working closely with VisitScotland on secure growth funding. We have just announced a partnership programme to examine the visitor information centres and visitor information provision throughout the national park. We are working in partnership with five local authorities, two enterprise agencies, the Cairngorms National Park Authority and VisitScotland. We, too have a positive partnership, if a somewhat more complicated landscape.
I am keen to understand the mission and purpose of each of your organisations. I was interested in what Mr Rankin had to say about the economic remit of the Cairngorms Business Partnership being wider than tourism. What is the budget for each of your organisations?
As a round figure, the gross budget for the Cairngorms Business Partnership is £400,000. As I said, the split between public sector and private sector partnership funding is about 50:50. Four years ago, the organisation was 80 per cent public sector funded. Our organisation’s aim is sustainability in its truest sense.
My budget this year from the City of Edinburgh Council is £1.2 million. That will reduce by 10 per cent year on year for the next three years. I also have business membership income, because we also run the Edinburgh Convention Bureau and the accommodation booking service. We also currently have the private sector partnerships that I alluded to for specific campaigns, although there is a job to do more widely.
What is your budget?
Our budget is £1.7 million.
Is that the amount when you factor everything in?
Yes—that is the total.
Our mission is simple: we create customers. That is the fundamental function of our organisation. Our funding from Glasgow City Council, which is the principal stakeholder, is £3.9 million. That will reduce by £100,000 next year. Our total expenditure is expected to reach £6 million this year. That includes funding for a variety of different activities. It includes financial support around events such as the Commonwealth games. Funding for route development and a subvention for conferences is also included.
Is it correct that your organisation is a new organisation that has grown out of a previous organisation?
Yes. I established the company for Glasgow City Council five and a half years ago. At that point, the budget was £2.2 million.
Of the £6 million, £3.9 million is public money from the council.
Yes.
You probably expect my next question. How do you ensure that you are getting best value and how do you measure success? Is it based on visitor numbers, growth in employment or income generated for the local economy? What metrics have you put in place to ensure that you measure success year on year?
On our tourism ambitions, growth targets are set down in the tourism development plan.
Edinburgh works across five priority areas—live, work, visit, study and invest—that are distributed to us by the City of Edinburgh Council. My board is consulting on where our priorities should lie, as we speak, and I would be surprised if tourism does not feature high up on our list of priorities. Following on from what you have said about progression routes—we can debate that further later, if you like—I suspect that the study market might be another priority. Another priority will be about how we can encourage new investment.
Do you publish those figures?
The figures are available on our website.
Glasgow City Marketing Bureau has approximately 20 published key performance indicators. The board monitors the indicators bimonthly. One target this year is to achieve a 75 per cent hotel occupancy rate, which is about 0.5 per cent higher than last year’s target. From April through October, we have run at a rate of 80 per cent. Substantial different types of information support that, such as independent information from Deloitte, PKF and Lynn Jones Research, and we have daily analyses that go back for the past 12 years. That gives us a tangible measure of output for the 12,000 hotel rooms in the area that we seek to fill.
Thank you for those comprehensive answers. I have one final short question. As a Glaswegian who represents an Edinburgh constituency, I must choose my words carefully. To what extent do the two organisations that represent Edinburgh and Glasgow work together when that is in the country’s wider interest?
As Scotland’s major cities, we need to work together. I have been in Scotland for only five minutes, but I have already had three conversations and one meeting with Scott Taylor. The opportunity is great.
I will pick up Lucy Bird’s point about rail. Glasgow and Edinburgh’s combined economies make a greater gross domestic product contribution than do any other combined economies in the United Kingdom outside London, so high speed 2 has a reason and rationale for going from the central belt to London. That would substantially support the UK economy and the growth that is generated.
The conference bureaux work well together on the operational opportunity. They are in competition, but the staff work well together and complement each other’s work.
I call Anne McTaggart.
It is okay, convener. My question has been answered.
I remind members of my earlier declaration of interests: I am an unpaid director of an arts festival in Glasgow that has in the past received small amounts of tourism-related funding.
It is great that the Cairngorms national park is considered to be one of the big three destinations in Scotland. Our clear agenda is that we are looking to create all-year-round tourism in the national park.
In Edinburgh, we are looking at how we create a year-round market. Of course there is a significant peak with our festivals in August, when seven of the 12 Edinburgh festivals take place. It is about how we bring the wings up to meet that tip.
Our focus is on major events that will bring customers into the destination. Festivals as well as community events and other smaller cultural and social events have support from organisations such as Glasgow Life, which quite rightly focus on developing and supporting such events.
Is there a danger that the focus on a small number of very large events such as the Commonwealth games in Glasgow means that we miss opportunities elsewhere? Could we be better at developing small annual events around the year instead of focusing on a handful of big events?
Glasgow hosts more than 500 community events, and more than 130 music events take place each week. It is about where we, as a destination marketing organisation, are best able to bring focus. I completely agree that there is a need for a strong event community and a real creative community that delivers a different beating heart in Glasgow from those of other cities. That is really vital. It is pretty clear what we do for a living.
The focus of the national agencies—for example, VisitScotland is working closely with Creative Scotland to maximise the opportunities of the year of creative Scotland next year—is absolutely vital in that context. We must make sure that the capital infrastructure is brought up to a level that meets 21st century market standards. That is why my first comment was that on-going promotion is every bit as important as capital growth.
On Lucy Bird’s comment about reaching the 21st century market, a challenge that is particular to the Highlands, although perhaps not to the two major cities, is that of reaching our customers.
Do you agree that there is a need for the UK Government and the Scottish Government to shift the balance from the priority always being wired broadband and to think more about the next generation of mobile signal? Never mind 3G; it could be much easier to reach some of the areas that you are talking about with 4G than with wired broadband.
Definitely. We are pleased to see the Government moving some of the budget from revenue to capital expenditure. However, I am concerned when I see roll-out deadlines of 2016 and 2017. The world will have moved on by then and we will need 4G. It is no use forecasting 3G delivery at that point; the customer will have moved on and will be going to the lakes or somewhere else. We wholly support your point.
I have a question for Ms Bird and Mr Taylor. You will be aware that the Scottish Government is consulting on a cities strategy. How much have you been consulted on that so far? How are you ensuring that you have sufficient input?
As I said, I am keen for some of the Lothians to take the opportunity to benefit from their proximity to the capital city. I have met East Lothian Council and I will soon meet Midlothian Council.
Glasgow has been working closely with Scottish Enterprise—and, as a result, the Government—on the economic strategy. Membership of the Glasgow economic leadership board was announced only a few days ago. Its chair is Jim McDonald, who is also on the board of Scottish Enterprise, and a number of business leaders are attached to it. Glasgow’s economic ties with Scottish Enterprise will be much stronger than they have been.
I would not regard Dundee as the hinterland of Glasgow, either. However, I take your point.
You will be aware of the recent change of ownership of Forth Ports. We are developing a relationship with Forth Ports, as the strategy moves with the city. Obviously, the port is part of the city’s economic development, and we are working with Forth Ports to promote the city as a destination for the cruise market.
We have a really good, tangible opportunity. We have worked with the port authority in Greenock to develop and fund a cruise brochure, which it uses overseas to promote Greenock as a stop-off point. That piece of print demonstrates what Scotland, and Glasgow and Greenock, have to offer the cruise market. It is an important opportunity.
I want to ask Alan Rankin about infrastructure needs. Clearly, there is a success so far, but what would make it even more of a success?
We have contacts with Flybe, through Inverness airport and Highlands and Islands Airports Limited. The cruise market was using Invergordon, but the fact that I cannot answer in detail what the connections are means that we need to work harder in that market.
On infrastructure funds, it is important that we look at air route development funds and how we incentivise Scottish airports, especially Edinburgh, to provide a one-stop shop to international visitors.
Did you say Prestwick?
I did not. [Laughter.] I meant all airports, but especially Edinburgh.
We are a little behind schedule so I ask people to keep the questions and answers brief.
We have seen an upsurge in tourism figures over the past 18 months or so because of the growth of the staycation. For the 10-year period prior to that, our statistics look pretty poor. Why do you think that was?
That is a very broad question.
If we are getting down to international statistics I am sure that VisitScotland might be the best to answer that. We have to recognise that the economy that we have now is a completely different proposition from what it was.
With respect, I am talking not about the past couple of years but about the decade prior to that.
There are a number of possible answers. One of them concerns the international passenger survey figures that are collected. If you have ever been through an airport and been questioned about where you came from, where you are going and the purpose of your visit, you are probably the first person I have ever met who has had that experience. In all my travels through the airports in London I have never seen the international passenger survey—the desks have never been occupied. I question the analysis of some of the figures.
So you are telling me that the Government figures for that 10-year period are wrong and that the situation is much better than the underperformance reported in the Government’s figures.
I honestly believe that.
That is very interesting.
I think that there is an opportunity to increase the infrastructure to ensure that the connectivity routes to Scotland—the air, rail and road links—are as speedy and as good as they can be.
I have a quick final question for Alan Rankin. I have always been impressed by the ability of Aviemore and the Cairngorms to overcome the problem of seasonality. You have done that much more successfully than other rural areas. What is your secret?
A lot of new, young businesses have come to the area. It is clear that we have had a bit of a mogul in the form of the snow that we have had over the past few years. The last two years have been an absolute exception.
I want to ask about the target of increasing tourism by 50 per cent. All three of you have given quite an upbeat account of the industry in your various regions. Do you think that we will meet the target of achieving a 50 per cent increase by 2015?
I will carry on where Scott Taylor left off in his questioning of the figures. Tourism was recently valued at £11 billion. The 50 per cent target was based on a £4.5 billion baseline in 2006. Measuring the industry is a real challenge. What is tourism? We are jumping between £11 billion and £4.5 billion. Should we just pick a number and start from there? A lot of work needs to be done to evaluate the industry and the benefits that it brings to other clusters that support and work with it.
I echo that, and I go back to my answer about making sure that we are fleet of foot in recognising what the market requires, in making sure that our infrastructure and providers are able to provide it, and in promoting it effectively. I think that a 50 per cent increase is a very high target. We have a long way to go.
A 50 per cent increase is still our ambition. We should not shy away from that target; we should be measured on it and aim to achieve it.
That answer takes me to the question that I wanted to ask about occupancy rates and the availability of rooms. I also go back to a point that Mike MacKenzie made. In the statistics that the committee has been presented with, it looks as though the tourism figures for the past 10 years have flatlined. The picture that I am getting from the witnesses today is that the figures are increasing. For example, we heard that 40 new hotels in Glasgow have been developed during the past 10 years and they are creating occupancy rates that do not seem to match the figures that we got from elsewhere.
The simple answer is probably no. VisitScotland’s challenge is with the national gathering of those statistics at a UK level, which is compromised. That makes it very difficult for VisitScotland to take an overall picture to compare what took place last year with what took place the year before and the year before that. We work with VisitScotland, as we do with Scottish Enterprise—collectively, we put money in to give us an analysis that we can use. The work by Deloitte is a clear case in point: Scottish Enterprise, Glasgow and VisitScotland make combined contributions so that Deloitte can provide us with information about the performance not just of Scotland’s cities, but of European cities. That provides us with a measure of where we are going, and with that information to talk about we sit down with potential investors or hotel developers and SDI, which is active and supportive but which cannot use figures that are UK international passenger survey figures.
Absolutely. I echo every word of that. We also buy into the Lynn Jones research that Scott referred to earlier, which is part of the picture, but not all of it.
In the Cairngorms, we took matters into our own hands and created our quarterly business barometer because we did not have the facts and figures to hand. The barometer records occupancy rates, business levels, visitor sources, duration of stay—all the core information that we need to drive our business plan. However, that is just an island of information and if we could connect it for benchmarking purposes—I come back to my earlier point about more joined-up thinking around destinations—we would have a collectively stronger story to tell.
I have to put on record my congratulations to Scott Taylor and his Glasgow team on the figures he gave us. Conference bookings up to 2023 clearly show the confidence that people outwith Scotland have in Glasgow. However, how do we overcome the issue that Mr Taylor raised of being unable to build new hotels and new accommodation if the banks are not willing to lend? There will come a saturation point. We will not be able to grow any further if those resources are not released, if the hotels are not built and if the beds are not available. How do we overcome that, as businesses, as regions and as an economy?
That is a very good question. I am not sure that it is an entirely fair question to put to the witnesses, but if they have any comments, we will hear them.
I disagree: we heard evidence that all the panellists are working with enterprise agencies and other partners in their areas, and the more partners can come together and identify the shortfalls, the more that would help to free up some of the resources required by others to create opportunities. How do we grow the tourism and conference markets in Scotland when there seems to be a bottleneck in the release of resources?
The business barometer records businesses’ response to the access to credit issue, which is a significant challenge. Another element that needs to be put into the equation is the speeding up and consistency of the planning system across the country. In August, Travelodge announced a £35 million kitty to build properties in or near national parks. I am fearful of the speed of response to that investment plan through planning restrictions and hurdles that will be put in Travelodge’s way. Credit is a problem, but we also need to address inconsistencies in the planning process.
I echo what Alan Rankin has said. In some sectors, some banks are constricted by their own working practices. Their criteria could be more flexible than they are at present—some influence could be brought to bear there. It may be that some of the newer operators are more interested in flexibility, which may, in turn, create the market forces for the others to become flexible too.
We work closely with the hotels team in SDI, and with Glasgow City Council on planning and fast tracking. What we bring to the table is the ability to articulate demand and supply for the period ahead. I would not change the SDI hotels team at all. It does a super job at representing Scotland, and we get our share of the opportunities. It does really well. I compliment and commend that team.
Are you talking only about the four large banks, or about the new entrants to the market?
The Co-operative Bank is keen. It is based in Manchester, but we have made a presentation to its office in Glasgow. We have also made presentations with investors to the Clydesdale Bank, and it is always open to that sort of initiative. However, our approach is piecemeal, and it does not take in the big four.
I have one final question for Lucy Bird and Scott Taylor. The Ryder cup, the Commonwealth games and the homecoming are coming up in 2014—a whole slew of important events. Time is running out. What detailed planning meetings have you had with VisitScotland? I do not mean general discussions, but active and detailed joint-planning discussions about how everybody can help with those events.
I have met EventScotland and discussed where it is at—although where my organisation is at comes into things, too. I have also held considerable discussions with the Edinburgh festivals, which have been taking things forward through their forum. I understand that the Edinburgh festivals have been working very closely with VisitScotland, and I will be upping the momentum over the next six months.
It sounds as if the discussions are fairly general at the moment.
Yes, but that is probably more about where my organisation is, rather than about where VisitScotland is. The experience of the Edinburgh festivals has been different.
We are closely embedded with EventScotland on the Ryder cup. We work tightly with Robbie Clyde and we are holding venues for him as requested. The accommodation side is pretty locked down. Our daily relationship with EventScotland is really tight. It is well run by Paul Bush, and there is a good team. EventScotland forms part of the strategic major events forum in Glasgow, which covers all the major events in the city. It is a tight partner in Glasgow, as is VisitScotland. Malcolm Roughead and I are closely involved with 2014, and VisitScotland is closely involved in the Olympics.
Right. Thank you all for giving up your time and coming along. Your evidence has been extremely helpful.
Good afternoon, as it is now. I thank the third panel of witnesses for joining us. I ask you to introduce yourselves and say what your roles are. We will start with Willie Macleod and work our way across the panel.
I am representing the Scottish Tourism Forum, of which I am a board member. My day job is primarily in tourism and economic development consultancy, and I am a non-executive director of a couple of businesses that are involved in hospitality and heritage-related visitor attractions.
I am the programme director for BusinessClub Scotland.
I am representing BusinessClub Scotland as its chair.
I am the chief executive of VisitScotland.
I am the chair of VisitScotland.
I thank you all for coming along. I apologise for the fact that we are running a little bit behind schedule, but I hope that you enjoyed listening to the earlier evidence session, and that you perhaps picked up on some of the issues that the committee is keen to pursue.
We have heard very positive news this morning, and a lot of the things that we are doing, such as the winning years, are key.
First, as I said at that meeting, the conditions in the period around 2006 were vastly different from what they are now. Secondly, I appreciate that you are using 2009 numbers, but you will see from the numbers that are available for the first six months of this year that there is a 4 per cent growth in tourism. That is a fantastic performance given the current economic climate.
I understand that, and this will be my last carping comment. I would anticipate that VisitScotland would have its hands around the numbers so that we know what the Government will spend and the direction in which we are heading, which is key to our economy. Despite a lot of the good news that we have heard this morning and which we heard last night, frankly, I do not see that you have got your hands around the numbers. You say what the budget that you have been given indicates and you have talked about some of the things that are happening; I want to see what you believe the numbers are.
Hold on, Chic. Before we move on from the growth target, I would like to ask a follow-up question. It is important to get this on the record.
I said that in the context of where the numbers had come from; at that time, the prevailing economic conditions were completely different. It is about moving forward and building on the ambition that we have. It is important that we remain ambitious. Whether the figure is 50 per cent or whatever the industry decides will replace it, it is absolutely ambitious to use all the opportunities that exist for us. There are multiple opportunities. I repeat the point that, in partnership, we will be able to take this forward and develop tourism and the Scottish economy.
I repeat what I said to the committee previously. I applied for the post of chair of VisitScotland because of the growth agenda. Growth had been flat for several years although we had the 50 per cent ambition. If you look at any industrial sector in Scotland, the UK or, gee, the world, a target of 50 per cent growth in three years—36 months—is a huge ambition. Nevertheless, it sits there as an ambition to go for, and that is where the concept of the winning years fits in.
Thank you for that clarification, Dr Cantlay. You are quite clear that that is your ambition. I point out that, although there are three to four years to go, the target was set for a 10-year period and we have not made much progress over the previous six to seven years. At a previous meeting, Mr Roughead said that the target is not achievable. You will understand why there is concern among members of the committee that we are getting mixed messages from Scotland’s tourism agency, which has been tasked by ministers with taking the industry forward. We are not getting a clear steer from you about whether you think that the target is one that we can work towards. When Mr Swinney came to the committee, he said that the Government is committed to achieving the target. Can we be absolutely clear: is VisitScotland now saying that the target is realistic and achievable?
That is different, if you do not mind my saying so. It is an ambition that we are going to strive for. Fifty per cent growth in 36 months is a huge target when we have previously seen almost no growth. The 50 per cent target was set at a time when growth across global tourism was 4 per cent—it has recently been negative for a period. It was set in that context. The challenge for the tourism leadership group is how the industry can set a target or an ambition going forward that will stand the test of time. Undoubtedly, if we looked at the target now, we would look at it from a different perspective.
I will let Chic Brodie back in, in a minute.
It is a huge challenge for any sector represented here, but the cabinet secretary is right to say that there is still that ambition. It is the industry’s ambition, and that is why VisitScotland is responding in an aggressive way to try to tackle the situation. Tourism is potentially a short-term win for many countries around the world. Other Governments have learned that achieving 20:1 returns from Government spend on marketing, for example, is a good way to move economies forward. Countries such as the United States are having a real go at international tourism in a way that they have not done before. That is why we really have to go for this, and to focus on the winning years. We shall see. Undoubtedly, and appropriately, you will clock this up in 2015 and see how we have done. My ambition is to have our best go at that 50 per cent target.
Okay, thank you. That was not a yes or a no; I think that it was a maybe—
We will give it our best shot.
Okay. Does Chic Brodie want to come back in on this point? I know that Rhoda Grant has a question on this point, too.
I would like to move to a more positive environment—
On this point?
On this point, let us agree that it is an ambition, and a target that we will all strive to achieve. However, my last issue is that the situation has not arisen in the past three years. The framework for change was written in 2006; the figures should have been examined annually and adjustments made on the basis of what was happening. The situation should have been highlighted a lot earlier than in 2011, which is three or four years before the ultimate target date. Can we agree that that will now happen, and that such activity will be the basis for the input to any budget or spending review in the future, so that you are not just given a budget?
That is a fair point. Another significant point that came up earlier is that there was 50 per cent growth from £4 billion to £6 billion. However, I am more comfortable with the £11 billion figure. That includes accommodation and the day-trip business, which represents a significant element of tourism. The tourism leadership group has been getting its mind round the scope of the industry that we will focus on. Had that been done in 2005, the tourism framework for change might have been designed slightly differently.
I want to ask about the baseline for the 50 per cent increase. Instead of looking for a 50 per cent increase on £4 billion, you are now saying that the figure is £11 billion, which tells me that we are beyond target. Obviously we are not, however, because you are talking about adding different things into that figure. In order to get some clarity on where we are in relation to the target, can you tell us what the baseline is? What is the figure on which we are looking for 50 per cent growth? What does it include, and what sectors does it involve? We have heard evidence that this is difficult to measure because it is hard to define what is and is not tourism, so it would be good to have a baseline to measure against.
The point was made that the figure has been flatlining. The figure was about overnight accommodation. I am sure that Willie Macleod will correct me if I am wrong, but I think that the process started in 2004 and the figures were published in 2006. That process was based on that figure of about £4 billion.
So the baseline is £4 billion in overnight accommodation, which means that we need a £6 billion increase in overnight accommodation if we are to reach the target.
The £4 billion is not just overnight accommodation; it is the associated spend of those who stay overnight in Scotland. It includes the amount that they spend on food, drink and retail. It is the gross expenditure of international and domestic visitors.
That is helpful. Would it therefore be your opinion that a 50 per cent growth target is not achievable? In other words, do you agree with the position that was taken by VisitScotland last month?
I would find it difficult to support a view that, by 2015, we will have a £6 billion industry based on the £4 billion or £4.2 billion baseline from 2005. I respect the fact that VisitScotland is taking the day-trip market seriously—it is an important market for many tourism businesses—but we must be careful that we are not comparing apples with pears when we talk about the £11 billion and the £4 billion. Those figures are made up of different markets.
I want to ask Dr Sawers about business tourism. We hear that Gatwick is running out of capacity and we know that Heathrow runs into problems with fog. What are tourism agencies and yourselves doing about business conferences that might prefer to go to the south-east of England?
I will answer that question by first explaining the role of BusinessClub Scotland, which was formed in 2004 by the six business organisations in Scotland. Our role is primarily to drive business engagement in the major events that are already taking place in Scotland. I hope that, with our focus on ensuring that businesses are aware of those opportunities and that they are pointed in the direction of the agencies, organisations and trade associations that can give them the skills and support they need to win major contracts, we will deliver the economic legacies not just of Glasgow 2014 but of the Ryder cup and the hundreds—indeed, thousands—of events happening across Scotland from the Ayr flower show to the Portsoy boat festival.
Thank you for that clarity.
That is a very good question. There is what you might call the holy trinity, which is made up of the national agency, the local authorities and the representatives of the various DMOs, some of whom you questioned earlier. The aim is to focus on each party’s area of strength and what it can bring to what we are targeting or trying to implement.
As far as transport requirements are concerned, do you think that the strategy with regard to airlines and ports is adequate to support your objectives?
The tourism leadership group, which is working on the successor to the tourism framework for change, will examine issues such as high-speed rail. That is entirely appropriate, because it relates to our long-term ambitions.
It worries me that the tourism strategy seems to be a wee bit based on the luck factor associated with attracting these big sporting events, which are nevertheless very welcome. People speak about the residual benefits, but it strikes me that there is a risk that all those sporting fans who come to watch golf or the Commonwealth games will, the following year, go to another part of the world to watch another sporting event. How is the residual benefit supposed to work? What is the mechanism?
There are tools that we are trying to utilise. The legacy of our capability to organise world-class events is one feature. An example is the Scottish Hydro arena, which is being built for the Commonwealth games and which seats 12,500 people. That is a complete game changer for sporting events and business tourism through conferences and conventions, as Scott Taylor would tell you. It is so big that it outruns the capacity of Glasgow, which relates to the question that you asked about Glasgow and Edinburgh working together. To fill the Hydro arena for conference or convention activity would be a game changer. Creating the legacy is about harnessing the power of the various events. Part of that will be about sport, but part of it will go much further.
There are three strands to that. There is the immediate economic impact from the event as a result of people coming and spending money. Then there is a halo effect. If the event is presented successfully to what will be a global audience in many cases, that will have a knock-on effect that can only be good for the type of work that Lesley Sawers does. That is where BusinessClub Scotland comes in. It can pick up contacts and do the networking. That is looking to the longer term, rather than only the short-term immediate impact of the event.
We have heard that rural businesses in particular are suffering, and there are concerns that the London Olympics will suck tourism away from Scotland. Is there a concern that the big events in the cities will be to the detriment of rural tourism businesses that are already struggling?
The Olympics are a good example of an opportunity, although we could say that there is a threat, too. London will be the key focus in the UK during the Olympics period and people will travel there. We could think of some of the issues as challenges, such as the transport issues and air connectivity. There is a challenge, but there are opportunities, too. There are opportunities to pull people out of London to come to Scotland. There is the cultural Olympiad. In relation to staycations, we believe that many people in the UK will want a holiday around the peak season and will want to stay in the UK because the Olympics are on and they want to watch them on telly. The south of England will be full so, if people are going anywhere, they will come north.
We heard earlier that occupancy rates in Glasgow hotels are running at about 80 per cent and that, even now, there is a clear demand for new hotels in Glasgow, yet the banks are a significant constraint on developers building new hotels. Are you concerned that that will significantly limit our ability to take up the opportunities of increased tourism as a result of the large events?
I hope that the events will be an opportunity. I see that Lesley Sawers wants to comment.
I will come to the banking question, but first I want to go back to an earlier question from Mike MacKenzie. BusinessClub Scotland urges the committee to think of the wider economic benefits to Scotland from major events. Not only are they important for tourism and in giving Scotland an international profile, but they are huge drivers of economic regeneration.
The contracts for the major infrastructure projects for the Commonwealth games are being let and Sir Robert McAlpine and Balfour Beatty are the main contract winners at the moment. However, what has really been the key to success in terms of a lasting economic legacy is the subcontracting that is going to many businesses based in Scotland. Scottish companies have already won 80 per cent of contracts for the games.
I want to go back to Mr MacKenzie’s point. I do not know whether Mike Cantlay or Malcolm Roughead would agree with me, but I do not necessarily agree that our tourism strategy is based purely on major events. The major events are a fantastic reason to visit Scotland, and you cannot have a tourism industry unless there are reasons why people want to visit the destination. However, there are other elements to the strategy that are equally important.
I am very grateful for that, Mr Macleod, not least because you seem to be the only person who has touched on the idea that the big events can serve as an introduction to Scotland for people who are perhaps visiting for the first time and who can get to know some of the other attractions that Scotland offers. I find it disappointing that nobody else has developed that theme. That is what I understood a large part of residual benefit to be about. I am disappointed, because we are perhaps ignoring the biggest residual benefit.
I am happy to take that on the chin. We are looking at eight features in the winning years, of which three are sport related: the Olympics, the Commonwealth games and the Ryder cup. The Disney movie is a quite different asset, as are the creative, natural and homecoming themed years. When I make a presentation to a community, it usually shines through that not all of those will work perfectly for that community, but some will work really well for it. The trick is to use what we have as an opportunity to drive things forward.
It is not that we do not share that aspiration and ambition. It was remiss of us not to say that; it is almost like an unstated belief. As well as being a great place to visit, Scotland is a great place to live, work and do business. The events provide huge opportunities to bring significant inward investors to Scotland. We are working closely with the enterprise agencies to make sure that we test our models during 2012 so that we can showcase everything that Scotland has to offer beyond its tourism assets.
I have a couple of questions.
We talked last night, and I will hotfoot it to see them.
You are right that there is an opportunity. For places outwith the cities the issues are still the same: it is a question of getting funding and being able to release capital to take advantage of the opportunities that undoubtedly exist. You heard about the overspill related to events such as the Ryder cup and the Commonwealth games. We will pick up the example that you raise with our business unit tourism team.
It was remiss of us not to mention last night something that is as good an example as I have seen. We used to have area tourist boards, but we are now moving into a world where industry is taking more control of its auspices and coming together in destination organisations, which we support strongly.
On the back of the successful tall ships race, the BusinessClub Scotland is asking how to maximise the business impact of such events in the local community. That involves raising awareness of an event’s procurement opportunities.
I will speak to you about that after the meeting.
I will take the lead on those questions. I confess that I am a recreational sailor, so I have a vested interest. I also have a vested interest in retaining the coastguard service on the Clyde.
I totally agree with Willie Macleod. A great opportunity exists, but it will remain a potential opportunity until the product is in place.
For clarity, that activity would be outside the remit of BusinessClub Scotland. We would get involved in major aquatic or water-based events, but only in relation to how we use our hydro assets for business advantage.
Would you get involved in something like the Tiree wave classic?
Yes.
Through EventScotland, we would get involved in promoting the economic opportunities of an event such as that.
Mr Roughead, you mentioned CruiseScotland and Sail Scotland. Will you provide the committee with further information about their activities in writing?
Yes.
I have a question about the Olympics, about which we have heard a lot today, including from the previous two panels of witnesses. What specific actions do you intend to take to encourage people from London and the south of England to come to different parts of Scotland while the Olympics are on? The Olympics games will happen at the same time as the festivals are on in Edinburgh, but what message will you give to tell people from London and the south of England why they should come to the west of Scotland, for example?
I will answer on Scotland in general, and we will assume that the west of Scotland is included in that.
Scottish Enterprise, the Scottish Government and business organisations are doing a lot of work to profile and position Scotland as a great place to work and do business because of our expertise in financial services, renewable energy, tourism and a range of sectors. It would not be appropriate for us to share the detail on that, because it is still in the planning stage, but we intend to showcase team Scotland in London during the Olympics.
There is a controversial proposal to erect five giant Olympic rings on Edinburgh castle. Do any of the witnesses have a view on that?
I was scribbling and hoping that somebody else would answer that question. [Laughter.]
I am aware of one irate e-mail from a member of the Scottish Tourism Forum who objects strenuously to the proposal. Personally, I think that it is a little small-minded to challenge it. My personal view, as a resident of Edinburgh, is that it might take my attention away from the tram works.
We will not go there this morning.
I have no wish to.
It is not for me, as a representative of BusinessClub Scotland, to comment on that, but I reinforce Dr Cantlay’s comment that we cannot miss the business opportunities that will come to Scotland from 2012.
All members of the panel handled that question very diplomatically.
How do panel members measure the social and cultural benefits of tourism investments and events?
That is a very good question. A methodology has now been adopted by UK Sport and all other sporting bodies. The work is carried out by an organisation called Repucom. The methodology looks at not only economic impact but social and cultural impacts and, as you can imagine from the name, reputation. A suite of measures is utilised. If you would like, I am more than happy to send the committee more details.
That would be helpful.
Our focus is primarily on the economic impact, but we are finding so far with the Commonwealth games that there is a huge emphasis on the community benefit clauses. They have been introduced to the games and are being looked at by other major event organisers globally, which is excellent.
The whole homecoming concept has been interesting. The themed years have had a profound effect on Scots. There has been a year focused on food and drink and the year of active Scotland to encourage Scots to get out and go to places where they have not been before and to try things that they have not done before. We are now working on a theme of creative Scotland and a theme of natural Scotland.
Jane Gotts alluded to community benefit clauses. We should remember that Scotland is leading the way. We have done a lot of research internationally on the measurement of the economic, social, community and health benefits of other major events that happen across the globe. We cannot find any event that gets into some of the softer measures, which have strong economic benefit and value to the nations and regions that organise the events. We are leading the world with the legacy plans, structures and processes that we have put in place to measure the impact of the Commonwealth games and the Ryder cup.
One key aspect is drawing in the skills from the third and voluntary sectors. Both sectors play an active role in the legacy plans at both the Scottish Government and city levels. That is also something that has not been done elsewhere.
That is music to my ears. Given the benefits of including communities in your local tourism decision making, in what ways do you do so?
I am sorry, but I missed that question. Did you ask in what ways we include communities in planning or delivery?
In both, actually. How much do you involve communities in the planning and delivery processes?
EventScotland delivers a national events programme for which there is a bid fund. Organisers and communities bid for the funding and, if they are allocated funding, they are also allocated an event manager to help them with advice or what has been learned from similar events that have taken place previously. Ultimately, we will keep away from communities that put on events unless they want our support, because they will know what they are doing and what they want to get out of them. We are available more as a facilitator and catalyst.
I would like to say something about the business community. There are around 300,000 businesses in Scotland, the majority of which—around 90 per cent—employ fewer than 10 people. The intention of BusinessClub Scotland is to ensure that those small companies in local communities win contracts. It is important that local businesses in the east end of Glasgow take ownership and maximise the opportunities, as we mentioned in the context of the tall ships event at Greenock.
I have a question for all members of the panel. I do not know how effective the globalscot network is, but how do you plan to use it internationally to put across the marketing message for the winning years campaign?
Funnily enough, I have just realised that, in three minutes, I am meant to phone the chair of Scottish Enterprise, Crawford Gillies, to discuss that point.
Given your programme, it could be an international vehicle for selling and marketing.
Absolutely. It has a strong ambassadorial role. Its expertise has been used to influence decision-making processes for bringing conferences, for example, to Scotland.
We will forgive Dr Cantlay if he needs to go to make his telephone call to Mr Gillies.
I endorse what Malcolm Roughead and Mike Cantlay said. We work through Scottish Enterprise to access the globalscot network, but it is not just the globalscot network that we are looking to work with to promote major event opportunities: it is the entire Scottish diaspora.
I have a brief question. Have any of you heard of Seamus a’ Ghlinne?
Perhaps you could give us the context.
I am quite disappointed by that, but it makes my point well. Stuart McMillan was talking about our failure to capitalise on recreational boating and the associated tourism. My concern is that we are failing to capitalise properly on our heritage tourism.
What we need to do is persuade Disney to remake “Kidnapped”. That will bring people flocking back to Scotland’s shores.
Like in “Taggart”—“There’s been a murder”.
Indeed.
I have one short question. Dr Cantlay, you are quoted in today’s Scotsman as saying that £2 billion is being invested in the next three to four years. I assume that that is within the tourism industry. Could you clarify where that investment is taking place and, importantly, where the financing for it is coming from?
It is not £2 billion over the next three or four years; in effect, it is £2 billion now.
I would like to respond to Mr MacKenzie. We make a great deal of our heritage-related tourism—the built heritage and the natural heritage. One of the unsung heroes in that regard is the Heritage Lottery Fund in Scotland. It has invested heavily, through grants, in some of the projects that Mike Cantlay mentioned, such as the Burns centre at Alloway, the national museum of Scotland and in the portrait gallery, which will reopen soon.
Do you agree that we could make a great deal more of it?
You caught me out with James of the Glen, so I must agree.
I thank our witnesses for coming along. Their help is much appreciated. My apologies for having slightly overrun, but we have all found the discussion extremely helpful.