Flood Insurance (PE1441)
Agenda item 3 is consideration of two new petitions. PE1441, by Professor David Crichton, is on flood insurance problems. Members have a copy of the petition, a note by the clerk, a Scottish Parliament information centre briefing and a supplementary evidence paper from Professor Crichton.
Thank you for inviting me to the meeting. I have asked Adrian Webb to join me. He represents a major insurer of homes in Scotland and one of the growing number of insurance companies that recognise the excellent work that has been done in Scotland to manage flood risks.
Thank you, Professor Crichton. I encourage Adrian Webb to get involved whenever he wishes to do so.
Certainly. I do not want to single out a particular newspaper, but my experience of The Sunday Times is that it generally gets its facts wrong, although you may have misquoted it. The statement of principles does not run out at the end of 2013; it runs out at the end of June 2013, which is less than a year away. There is no guarantee that flood insurance will be available after that. That is the gist of my petition. We should be preparing for that and for whatever replaces the statement of principles.
I think that a well-known hospital there was named after you.
I have toured the Whitesands area, which is very interesting. It could easily eliminate its flood problems by dredging the river, but that would disturb freshwater mussels, which are protected under European Union directives. Therefore, it has been decided not to dredge the river but to protect the mussels, as they are very important. Some people would say that they are more important than people.
That is interesting. I suppose that you are saying that Dumfries has adopted the Venice model for adapting to rising sea water.
Yes. It has taken a conscious decision to leave the mussels alone and to let people adapt their buildings so that they get used to floods. I believe that, since the war, Whitesands has flooded about 65 times, so people are used to it.
I have two quick questions before I bring in my colleagues. I have experience of large-scale flooding on a fairly new estate in Inverness. I was involved with the council and the Forestry Commission to try to sort that. I was concerned that planning permission had been given for the estate. The Scottish Environment Protection Agency gives 100-year and 50-year flood risks for each area, but is enough done at the planning permission stage to take on board possible flood risks?
I am worried that perhaps not enough is done. When councils had active flood liaison advisory groups, which were compulsory under Scottish planning policy 7, that was not a problem. I was a founder member of every FLAG, as they were called. When I went to a council meeting, I could ensure that it did not grant planning permission in flood risk areas, on the basis of two reasons. One was that I could say that, under Scots law, the planner can be legally liable for granting planning permission in a flood risk area. Secondly, I argued that, if the insurance industry pulled out, the properties would be blighted and would lose value. I found that mentioning the word “blight” to a planner concentrated the mind wonderfully and they stopped allowing building on a flood plain. Since SPP7 has been replaced and FLAGs are no longer compulsory, most local authorities no longer have them so, once again, planners are free to do what they want. I cannot be held responsible for what they are doing.
At a previous evidence session with another committee, the Met Office gave an interesting presentation on flood prediction. In effect, it said that a radar system covers Scotland but there are two huge gaps, which are Moray, which as you know has a horrendous flood record, and Orkney and Shetland, which also have a problem. There is a debate between Westminster and the Scottish Parliament about provision to fill those gaps. Technically, it is possible to fill them, but that would involve a big cost. What is your view on that technical aspect? Would more flood prediction through the Met Office’s radar stations help?
The trouble is that, if a flood is predicted, not a lot can be done at short notice. We need more of what I call cathedral thinking, which is thinking in the very long term about restoring the flood plain and removing properties from it. Perhaps Adrian Webb would like to comment on that.
In setting policy, people are often driven by the most recent flood or by short-term views, but flooding requires a long-term view. One of the reasons why I am here today is that my company not only insures but employs a lot of people in Scotland, and we feel that Scotland has to have its say in what is a crucial debate about the statement of principles—which, as David Crichton said, comes to an end next June—particularly because of the divide between Scotland, and England and Wales, in their approach to and management of flooding.
Thank you. I will now bring in my colleagues, starting with Jackson Carlaw.
I think that you have submitted the petition because you are concerned that, when the statement of principles expires next year, the on-going situation could be prejudicial to people in Scotland. You said that there has been a process since 1961. When was the current statement of principles that is due to expire agreed to?
I think that it was agreed in 2008.
Actually, I think that it goes back further than that, to 2002.
A statement of principles was agreed at that time, but it was changed in 2008 to allow insurers to charge higher premiums.
In the period between the establishment of the statement of principles—if that happened in 2002—and now, has the perceived subsidy that you think has been transferred from Scotland to England grown? In other words, has the position in Scotland improved and the position in England deteriorated during the course of the current statement of principles, or was the balance prejudicial to Scotland at the point at which the current statement was established?
The subsidy has certainly grown because flood claims are now much higher. Over the past 10 years, flood claims have on average amounted to £450 million per year. However, the average over the previous 10 years was only £150 million per year. The main difference is that, since devolution, the flood risk in Scotland has reduced enormously. My supplementary evidence contains tables showing the amount of properties in flood risk areas in Scotland compared with the amount in England; in England, the percentage is 23 per cent and in Scotland it is 4.5 per cent. The differential has grown enormously.
That is what I was trying to establish. I take it, then, that you do not think that a new statement of principles would necessarily be in Scotland’s interests as it would encompass the United Kingdom as a whole.
You have raised two issues, the first of which is the response that we have received. I have written to Richard Lochhead and Michael Russell, whom I have known for many years and have previously advised on flood insurance issues, and they have rightly forwarded the concerns to the minister responsible, Mr Stevenson. I know that Mr Stevenson has gone to London to talk to the Treasury on a couple of occasions, but he has never replied to me and, as far as I know, he has not lobbied the Treasury for Scotland’s interests. I say that because I have been directly involved in discussions with the Treasury and the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, and there has been no mention of any special consideration being given to Scotland. I do not know what Mr Stevenson has told the Treasury, but I strongly suspect that he has not raised the issues that I am raising here.
Stewart Stevenson has now demitted office and has been replaced. If the statement of principles expires in June 2013, what do you realistically think is the timeframe for Scottish ministers to influence an outcome that might allow the solution that you perceive as appropriate for Scotland to be achieved?
Adrian Webb might like to comment on that.
You mentioned 1961. That was a very important year because it was the year in which it became compulsory, albeit on the basis of a gentlemen’s agreement, that the home insurance industry throughout the UK would include flood cover automatically as a part of every home insurance policy. Except in some special circumstances, UK home insurance policies cannot be written without flood cover being a part of them. There is a fear that, if the market were to open up and home insurance policies started to be offered without flood cover, people would be guided by their pockets rather than the true risk. The worst cases that insurers see involve people who believe that they will never be flooded but who are suddenly hit by a catastrophic flash flood. Those people are the ones for whom the Government becomes the insurer of last resort.
Before I bring Chic Brodie in, I will put some information from the Scottish Parliament information centre into the public domain. We are told that Scottish Government officials have been engaged in monthly discussions with DEFRA about the forthcoming lapse of the Scottish statement of principles, which has been mentioned. In addition, the former Minister for Environment and Climate Change, Stewart Stevenson, met the ABI and the British Insurance Brokers Association to assess the way forward and wrote to the then Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, Caroline Spelman, after her statement on flood insurance. Some action has been taken, and it is useful to put that on the record.
Good morning, gentlemen. There is no such thing as a coincidence. In a previous life, I was a councillor in Surrey Heath. One of the things that raised my Scottish ire was the level of grant that was made to the council to cover potential flood protection issues. In the review that you have conducted, have you taken into consideration not only the insurance impact but the level of subsidy that is granted by the UK Government to councils in the Thames valley?
The question of flood defence subsidies is quite complicated. It is governed very much by Treasury rules. The position is that the whole of the UK has a comparable level of subsidy per head of population. However, when you compare the numbers at risk of flood, the subsidy per head is much lower in England and Wales, because there are more people at risk of flood. In Scotland, because fewer people are at risk of flood, the subsidy works out much higher per head. However, overall, the Scottish subsidy is less than it is in England and Wales.
Have you had any conversations with Government officials on the University of Dundee’s report, “Flood Insurance Provision and Affordability—Beyond the Statement of Principles: Implications for Scotland”, which was published in July 2012?
I have talked to the university about it, but I have not felt it appropriate to discuss it with the Government, and the Government has not asked me to comment on it.
Your written submission is useful, particularly the Crichton three-point plan on the last page, which says:
That is an excellent question.
I made the point earlier that I do not think that resilience would cost much more than current reinstatement. That would be the case particularly if resilience had to be provided, because the suppliers who were capable of providing it would come forward and would benefit as a result. Prices would go down and economics would come into play.
There is also the climate change adaptation aspect. When there is a flood, people end up throwing a lot of stuff into landfill, and new bricks, cement and plasterboard have all to be generated. They have very high levels of embodied energy, which is also bad for climate change.
Professor Crichton, earlier you referred to the planners in Scotland and how they are more diligent in relation to the release of land for building. You did not refer to developers who, on some occasions, put pressure on local authorities and planners to release land for building, where local experience shows that there could be a minor risk of flood. How do we get the message over to developers as well as planners that we have to be watchful of the sites that are being released in areas where floods have historically taken place?
That is another excellent question.
That absolutely hits the nail on the head. The crucial thing about flood liaison advisory groups and the reason why we are sad that they are no longer compulsory is that they brought local knowledge to bear on the issue. However we view developers, they are in business to develop properties, such as houses. The beauty of the FLAGs was that they brought together local knowledge and expertise, and also local interests.
One of the big issues in England is that the developers have learned that, if they build for owner-occupiers, they cannot sell the houses because people cannot afford the insurance. For that reason, they build social housing, schools and hospitals. In England, we find thousands of schools and hundreds of hospitals built on flood plains and the rest of the space is filled in with social housing. The most vulnerable people in our society end up living in the most hazardous areas.
Thank you for reminding us of the 1985 act. I hope that developers and others will take note of it and be reminded that it is in place.
That is another fantastic question; it really goes to the heart of the issue.
I thank John Wilson for those points. Going back to that interesting point about the 1985 act, I just want to ask Adrian Webb whether, in his experience, his company has ever sued a developer in Scotland to reclaim insurance costs.
No, not to my knowledge.
I know that you could not possibly comment on your competitors, but are you aware of any action by other companies under that act?
No.
I am.
Perhaps Professor Crichton could comment.
The main case that I am aware of was pursued by a property developer—the Barratt construction company—which pursued a planning officer for allowing it to build in an area that was subsequently flooded. The company acted as poacher turned gamekeeper, if you like.
Assuming that the matter is not sub judice, can I ask whether the action was successful?
The case did not go to that extent, as it was settled out of court.
The committee may well wish to pursue that point with insurance companies in Scotland. That is a very interesting point, which I was not aware of.
That is a key difference, as David Crichton mentioned earlier, between what happens here and what happens as soon as you go across Hadrian’s wall. That is also why it is important that Scotland has a clear voice at this crucial time, when we are facing a very interesting nine months up to the end of June 2013. I know that all parties, including the Association of British Insurers, are ultimately after a constructive solution, but I think that the problem down in the south-east is that people tend to be a little Whitehall-centric in their considerations, if I may say so.
Yes, there is no interest in anything north of Islington.
From my personal experience of bad flooding in Inverness, the lack of maintenance of culverts caused huge problems, particularly for the hillside development.
Thank you, convener. I hope that you can bear with me, as I have a bit of a cold today.
Yes, that is an excellent point. I am glad that you raised the issue of Grangemouth. In fact, Falkirk Council is one of the last councils still to have FLAG meetings, which are very useful because there is a particular concern about Grangemouth.
The Government has set up the regulatory review group, which is looking at a number of the issues, so the Government is well aware of the situation. However, a one-in-200-years storm could come along next year, which is a concern. If we can get the FLAGs up and running in other local authorities, that will benefit those areas.
I note that Professor Crichton expresses concerns in a paper about the National Flood Forum of England and Wales and about the Scottish Flood Forum. What have they said to you? What discussions have you had with them?
The word “national” should be in quote marks, because the National Flood Forum is concerned only about England and Wales—it is not a UK national forum. I deal with that forum because I deal with the UK as a whole. Obviously, it is not particularly interested in what happens in Scotland.
You have just said that the National Flood Forum of England does not care about Scotland. I found interesting your suggestion that DEFRA and Her Majesty’s Treasury discussions are very much against Scotland’s interests.
I would not say that the discussions are deliberately against Scotland’s interests, but the departments just assume that Scotland is a northern province of England—members might have found that in other cases, too.
I thank both our witnesses for an excellent discussion. All committee members have been impressed by our witnesses.
Professor Crichton has made a number of good points in this debate. I suggest that, as well as writing to the Scottish Government and the organisations that you highlighted, including ABI Scotland, we should write to the UK Government to ask for its views on the issue, and to SEPA and the Convention of Scottish Local Authorities for theirs. I suggest that we also write to the Scottish House Builders Association to ask for its views and perhaps remind it of the 1985 act. We could also write to Homes for Scotland.
In addition, we should say in the letter to DEFRA and HMT that it is regrettable, if not dangerous, that the Scottish Government is not represented in the discussions. We should make the point that there should be such representation, notwithstanding Professor Crichton’s attendance.
The SPICe briefing points out that there are monthly meetings between Scottish Government officials and DEFRA, but nevertheless we can certainly make Chic Brodie’s point to the minister if we have him here. Do committee members want to wait until we have had a response from the Scottish Government before inviting the minister?
We will consider that at a future meeting. Are members happy with the range of options that we are considering? Do members think that we have missed out any points?
This may not be normal practice, but would it be in order to send a courtesy letter to the Rural Affairs, Climate Change and Environment Committee to advise it of the situation regarding the petition, rather than refer the petition?
I think that the clerks talk informally to each other. The petition is currently before us, and if we want to, we can decide to refer it at a later stage. However, it is perfectly within our powers to pursue that particular point.
I thank both our witnesses for their excellent contributions. Clearly, the committee is interested in the petition and we will keep you informed about developments.
Thank you for your attention. If you need me again, I am happy to come.
Thank you.
Nathro Wind Farm (PE1445)
The second new petition is PE1445, by Ashton Radcliffe on behalf of the SWAN Action Group (Angus Glens), on stopping the wind farm at Nathro. The committee is invited to make a decision on the admissibility of the petition. I draw members’ attention to paper 3, by the clerk.
You are correct to say that the petition deals with a live planning application that is to be considered by Scottish Government ministers. As such, I do not think that it is appropriate for the committee to deal with the petition at the present time. However, I suggest that we contact the petitioners and remind them that, pending the outcome of the decision by Scottish Government ministers on the planning application, they are free to lodge a petition of a more general nature on the planning process or wind farm development processes. At present, the committee’s hands are tied because the planning process is live, so we do not have the authority to intervene.
Do members agree to the suggested approach?
We have ruled that the petition is inadmissible in so far as it relates to an individual application. John Wilson made the interesting point that the petitioner can come back to us with a petition on a Scotland-wide issue.
Thank you, convener. I am not surprised by the committee’s ruling. It would be helpful if my constituent were to consider lodging a more general and more strategic petition that would allow them to make some of the important points that the application in question raises. It is entirely clear that the present petition is probably, as the committee has ruled, misconceived.
Yes. Thank you for coming along, Mr Don.
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