Engagements
I am delighted that I and the party leaders will shortly be joining the Cardinal of Scotland to launch the new tartan that was commissioned to celebrate the visit of His Holiness Pope Benedict to Scotland next week. I notice that all the party leaders are sporting the tartan in one form or another. I am sure that the whole chamber will wish to join me in saying how much we are looking forward to the visit of His Holiness to Scotland next week.
Has the First Minister had the privilege of visiting the construction of the Queen Elizabeth class aircraft carrier at Rosyth or on the Clyde?
No, I have not had that privilege, but I know that my deputy leader Nicola Sturgeon is in constant touch with both management and unions at the Clyde yards, including being in touch with BAE this very morning, for obvious reasons.
I would certainly recommend that the First Minister finds the opportunity to visit the construction of these carriers. Last month in Rosyth I joined workers who were constructing sections of the first carrier and stood on what will be the deck of the biggest naval ship ever built in Scotland, or indeed Britain. It is truly remarkable in its complexity and scale, but even more remarkable are the pride and skill of those who are building it. To even think of cancelling that first carrier at this stage is crazy.
Yes. The full implications of the cancellation of one or both projects will be spelled out in that dossier. The extent of possible job losses would range from 5,000 to 10,000 across Scotland, depending on how one calculates the figures. It should be understood that there are other threats to the defence infrastructure in Scotland, in particular in the north-east of Scotland, where huge job losses would also be possible if adverse decisions were made.
It is absolutely the case that we must marshal the most united campaign in defence of the contracts. That is the lesson from previous occasions, for example when Rosyth was betrayed by previous Governments in the early 1990s.
May I suggest that we proceed on this basis? As I said, we have responded to an invitation from the Secretary of State for Defence and agreed to take part in a ministerial meeting. The letter, which I have with me, says that the meeting is to take place before final decisions are made—that is made clear. Therefore, we are concerned about this morning’s reports and other reports during the past few weeks. Hence the submission that we have drawn up. I am happy to share the submission with all the parties in the Parliament. Of course, it might be that there is not cross-party unity on certain aspects. However, if we can establish unity in terms of an understanding of the full implications for the economy and skills base in Scotland, that will be an achievement in itself.
There is no disagreement between the First Minister and me about the consequences of a decision to cancel the contracts. Cancellation would mean the loss of 4,000 jobs in Govan, 2,500 jobs in Rosyth and perhaps as many as 10,000 supply-chain jobs. Hundreds of apprenticeships would go. Cancellation would not only in effect end shipbuilding in Scotland but undermine our engineering base, which is so important not just for the future of shipbuilding but for other, new industries, such as renewables.
We established that consensus and agreement in my answer to the first question, so we should not struggle to remove it by the time we reach the answer to the final question.
Secretary of State for Scotland (Meetings)
I will meet the Secretary of State for Scotland next Thursday.
I thank the First Minister for his comments.
First, the costs of the national conversation were £400,000, not £2 million. However, whether they were £400,000 or £2 million, they seem to me to be considerably less than the estimated £90 million cost of the alternative vote referendum that the Conservative party proposes to hold on the polling day for the Scottish Parliament elections next year. I find many things about that referendum remarkable, but for the Conservatives to propose a referendum that they do not support on an electoral system that they do not support with the intention of campaigning against it when they get to the referendum strikes me as more remarkable than anything else that can have happened in connection with referendums not just in the history of this Parliament but in the history of politics.
Presiding Officer, the First Minister and I are responsible for events within this Parliament.
The proposal for a bill on independence and financial responsibility is now complete and will be published shortly. As I said yesterday, we will now take the case to the people of Scotland for endorsement.
Cabinet (Meetings)
The next meeting of Cabinet will discuss issues of importance to the people of Scotland.
Yesterday, the First Minister highlighted the importance of creating jobs in Scotland’s renewable energy industry and gave a guarantee of 20,000 apprenticeships. Is the new course for wind turbine technicians at Carnegie College in Dunfermline one of those that is to be guaranteed?
The points are as stated: the estimate for jobs in Scotland’s renewables sector is 20,000 in the fairly immediate future—some announcements coming up shortly will confirm that ambition—and the figure of 20,000 apprenticeships is, of course, also correct.
“It wasnae me” did not last long there. [Laughter.]
Order.
The German company Siemens has worked with Carnegie College to create the first-ever four-year wind energy technicians course. The company wants to triple the numbers every year and yet it is made to traipse between the Scottish Qualifications Authority, Skills Development Scotland, the responsible Government department and the Scottish funding council. On its website, the SNP says that the Government has created a
I have three things to say to Tavish Scott. First, I am perfectly happy to look at the case that he puts. I will write to him on that. Secondly, there should be general acknowledgement that the training system in Scotland has been brought together under Skills Development Scotland. That is exactly the process that has happened. Many of the organisations that were previously involved are now encompassed by Skills Development Scotland. Thirdly, I agree that there is more scope for making efficiencies in the delivery of public services in Scotland. That is why we brought forward the Public Services (Scotland) Reform Bill. Doing so allowed us to ensure that two, three or four organisations did not do what one organisation could do; yet, when we brought the bill to the chamber, the sustained opposition came from the Liberal Democrats.
The announcement that Connaught has gone into receivership is a major concern to many of my constituents. One hundred and fifty jobs are on the line, many of which transferred to Connaught from Dumfries and Galloway Council when Dumfries and Galloway Housing Partnership awarded its maintenance contract to Connaught. In addition, Connaught subcontracts to a number of small local businesses, the future of which are now uncertain. Will the First Minister assure me that his Government will do whatever it can to facilitate a solution that safeguards those jobs in Dumfries and Galloway?
Yes, I can, and I do so for not only the constituency member but the range of members across Scotland who have an interest and involvement in the matter. As Elaine Murray knows, Alex Neil is already involved in seeking to do exactly what she suggests. I am sure that Mr Neil will be very happy to report to her and other concerned members.
The First Minister will be aware of the decision by the UK Border Agency to withdraw funding for the police force at the ports on Loch Ryan. Given the open nature of the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, the United Kingdom frontier is effectively at Stranraer and Cairnryan, so is it right that the devolved Scottish budget should be expected to pay to police the UK border? What does the unilateral nature of the decision that the Home Office took without consultation say about the future of the respect agenda?
Certainly, it places it in some doubt. It seems beyond argument that, as long as responsibility for the UK Border Agency is reserved, the respective London departments are responsible for funding its operations. It is just not acceptable for the UK Border Agency to withdraw police cover and say that the onus could fall on one of the smallest police forces in Scotland. We are making urgent representations on the matter. In so doing, we are supported by the local chief constable. Hopefully, after reflection, the UK Border Agency and the Home Office will recognise that this is not an effective economy to make.
Alcohol (Minimum Price)
Based on a detailed analysis, we consider that a minimum price of 45p per unit is appropriate. In the first year, we could see 50 fewer deaths, 1,200 fewer hospital admissions, 400 fewer cases of violent crime, 22,900 fewer days’ absence from work, and 1,200 fewer unemployed. The total value of harm reduction for health, crime and employment would be £52 million in the first year and £720 million over 10 years.
The First Minister might be interested in the initial analysis that the Scottish Parliament information centre carried out into the submissions that were received by Labour’s commission on alcohol. Of the 80 respondents, 45 were in favour of minimum pricing, 23 did not express a preference and 12—mostly drinks manufacturers—were against the proposal. Only one of the 80 respondents—a drinks company—put forward Labour’s preferred proposal of restricting alcohol sales below the total cost of production, duty and VAT. Given that Labour’s own alcohol commission failed to find support for its proposal, does the First Minister agree that it is time that Labour stopped playing politics with the health of the nation, accepted the overwhelming evidence in favour of minimum pricing and got behind the Scottish Government’s plan?
I am not surprised that a majority of organisations supported minimum pricing. There is a mood swing in Scotland, with a recognition that minimum pricing would be effective. More and more people in Scotland recognise that we must rebalance this country’s relationship with alcohol, and more and more people are prepared to support courageous decisions to do so.
Why did it take so long for the First Minister to name the price? Is he completely comfortable with the fact that a minimum unit price, now named as 45p, will hand a windfall of £140 million to retailers, but nothing to the Exchequer—and that it is unlikely to produce much for health either?
Richard Simpson spent several years—almost—bemoaning the fact that a minimum price had not come forward, and he presented that as a serious problem with regard to his support for the Alcohol etc (Scotland) Bill. Now that a minimum price has come forward, he presents other reasons for not supporting the bill. I have given statistics on what a minimum price of 45p would do. The social responsibility levy, to which I referred in answer to Joe FitzPatrick, partly answers the questions that he put.
Notwithstanding Joe FitzPatrick’s claims, does the First Minister not accept that there is no evidence in support of all the extravagant claims for minimum unit pricing, other than the now widely discredited University of Sheffield modelling study that was commissioned by the Scottish Government, which even its own authors accepted in evidence to the Health and Sport Committee had no greater currency, authority or standing than a weather forecast?
Sheffield university has more currency, standing and authority than Murdo Fraser.
Given the need for the minimum price to effect a material change in public health in order to satisfy the requirements of article 36 of the Treaty of Lisbon, can the First Minister explain why his Government appears to have rejected the advice of medical experts, such as Dr Peter Rice of the Royal College of Psychiatrists, who considered the appropriate level to be 50p, and the Faculty of Public Health in Scotland, which expressed a preference for 60p?
In the first year, 50 fewer deaths, 1,200 fewer hospital admissions, 400 fewer cases of violent crime, 20,000 fewer days’ absence from work and 1,200 fewer unemployed seems to me a significant improvement in Scotland’s health and welfare. That is the estimate of the benefits of having a minimum price of 45p per unit.
Mackerel Stocks
I thank Karen Gillon for asking an important question. The Scottish Government is leading the way in calling for a strong response from Europe to the irresponsible behaviour shown by Iceland and the Faroe Islands.
This morning, I met fishermen’s representatives. I recognise their concerns about the future of the industry because of the actions of irresponsible small, independent nations, such as Iceland, which the SNP held up as being such a good role model in its 2007 manifesto. Will the First Minister tell us what he personally will do to protect our fishing communities with the powers that we have if the negotiations on 12 October do not bring about the international sustainable agreement that we all seek?
I thanked Karen Gillon for asking the question, but I am not certain that her supplementary indicates a command of fisheries. On Tuesday night, I met fisheries representatives, who publicly thanked the Scottish Government for the efforts that it is making on the issue.
Ferry Services (Northern Isles)
Liam McArthur has been overtaken by events. Ferry services to the northern isles provide a vital lifeline service to communities across the Orkney and Shetland islands. That is why the Scottish Government has increased the funding to NorthLink by a quarter since May 2007. I am sure that the member will join me and the leaders of Orkney Islands Council and Shetland Islands Council in welcoming the announcement by the Minister for Transport, Infrastructure and Climate Change that the services will not change this year.
I welcome the U-turn and the lifting of the immediate threat. Does the First Minister acknowledge that this is just the latest in a series of threats to the lifeline ferry services to my constituency? In 2007, his Government removed £1 million from Orkney’s internal ferry budgets, returning it only after sustained pressure. Earlier this year, with absolutely no consultation, ministers decreed that the Aberdeen service to the northern isles would be slowed down to save money. Again, the justification for that was challenged and the Government made a U-turn. Most recently, the threat of a £1 million budget cut that has been hanging over the north isles was lifted only amid the outrage that was caused by the simultaneous decision to spend £6.5 million on extending the cheap ferry fare scheme on the Western Isles routes for a further 12 months.
I will give Liam McArthur two figures. In 2007-08, in the last budget that was set by the Administration of which he was a supporter, Scottish Government subsidies to NorthLink were £29.2 million. In the current year, they are forecast to be £35.6 million. That is an extraordinary and substantial increase of more than 20 per cent during that period of time.