Good morning, everybody. Welcome to the sixth meeting of the Education and Culture Committee in session 4. I remind members and all those in the public gallery that mobile phones should be switched off at all times, as they tend to interfere with the sound system. We have received apologies from Joan McAlpine, who is at another committee meeting. George Adam has agreed to attend in her place—welcome, George.
I will start with the good news. It has been notable how well the announcement of increased funding for higher education has been received by the university sector. As members will be aware, there was quite a lot of skirmishing around the nature of the gap in the lead-up to that; however, Universities Scotland has made it clear that it believes that any gap has been closed and that the funding represents a sustainable settlement for the next three years. That has been motivated significantly by the fact that universities have certainty over the next three years, whereas, in other parts of the United Kingdom, there is significant uncertainty. A balancing is probably going on in university principals’ minds between levels of resource to which they might have aspired and the certainty that has been delivered.
Thank you for making that clear.
The impression that I get from universities is that they believe that it has. They think that, for the next three years, they will be in a position to attract international staff, staff from the rest of the UK and international students on a competitive basis. That is more for their judgment than for ours, although I have noted carefully what they have said in response to that question. Some universities are in more direct competition with universities in other parts of the UK than others. In effect, the more research intensive they are, the more in competition they are.
I have a supplementary question on the funding gap. I do not want to rehash the work of the technical working group but, back in June, David Willetts estimated that the cash available to higher education in England would go up by 10 per cent by 2014-15; however, in our draft budget, public funding is going up by 14.6 per cent. On top of that there will be fees for students from the rest of the UK, which might amount to another £60 million or £70 million—another 6 or 7 per cent. That makes for a total Scottish increase of 20-plus per cent. On the basis of that comparison, it seems that this funding settlement will not only close the gap, but might well go further and make Scottish higher education better funded. Is my reading of the figures accurate?
It is entirely accurate in the percentages that you are talking about, but there is great uncertainty about what will happen in England. David Willetts’s figure is one figure, but the competitive market down there appears to be febrile at the moment and it is difficult to assess accurately what will happen.
Good morning, Mr Batho. I will ask you three questions—if the convener will allow me—about the proposed merger of the University of Dundee and the University of Abertay Dundee, which is outlined in the letter dated September 2011 that you sent to Nigel Hawkins, the chair of court at Abertay.
I have not seen that figure—it is presumably simply the salary of the outgoing principal multiplied by five. The spending review will not in any sense have taken that saving into account, not least because it is currently set out entirely at sector level and does not go down to—nor is it aggregated up from—individual institutions. I can state categorically that any possible savings from a principal’s salary, if there was to be a merger and only one principal, would not have been taken into account during the spending review calculations.
The Scottish funding council’s submission, which we received yesterday, says that the SFC is a non-departmental public body that operates between the Scottish Government and the autonomous universities and colleges. Can you indicate to the committee the direction that you received from the Government regarding the letter dated this month that was addressed to the chair of Abertay university’s court?
Can you clarify which of the two letters that is? I have had two letters leaked this month.
It is the second one.
Is it the letter dated 23 September?
I do not have the exact date; it says September 2011. It is the one that says that Dundee university and Abertay university should reach a decision on merger by the end of October.
Right. In drafting that letter, the funding council took account of the guidance letter from the Cabinet Secretary for Education and Lifelong Learning that we had received that week. The guidance letter asks us in higher education
Were Dundee and Abertay identified by the cabinet secretary, or by the Scottish funding council?
They were identified by the Scottish funding council on the back of my letter of 5 September, which said that there is an opportunity at the moment to look at the situation in Tayside because of the principal vacancy. Professor Terry is the acting principal, but his position is clearly identified as such. In the funding council’s experience, principal vacancies open up opportunities to look again at the balance of provision.
There have not been many university mergers in Scotland, and those that there have been have come to pass through an understanding between institutions that they have areas of complementarity that might allow them to come together for synergy and fusion. The present situation has been SFC-directed. Does the direction to move towards a merger overstretch the Government’s statutory or other legal powers?
Our letter did not direct either institution towards a merger. We made it very clear that we wanted there to be discussion around merger, which is very different. We are clear in our minds that we do not have the legal powers to enforce a merger. We are also alert to the point that you make: institutional mergers, whether in the college or the university sector, have a much greater chance of success—I will put it no higher than that at the moment—if the partners are willing and recognise the opportunity. That is the circumstance in which we are operating in relation to Abertay at present—not enforcing, but strongly encouraging discussions with us on the possibilities.
I would like to discuss wider issues than just Abertay and Dundee. We have talked about the funding council not having the legal powers, but it does have financial levers, and people are concerned that the use of those levers is driving this process and that they might be used in other cases too.
I fully understand the context. We are in challenging financial times and if we start saying that we must make the best use of every pound, our actions can be interpreted as being significantly financially driven. I would not separate financial and educational concerns, though: the two must go together.
That is helpful. I am struck by your reference to smallness and vulnerability, and the inextricable link between financial and educational aspects. I am bound to say that that is entirely at odds with the Cabinet Secretary for Education and Lifelong Learning’s approach to rural school closures, on which he has insisted on a moratorium, but that is an issue for another day.
If you are very quick.
The financial circumstances in which we operate are, at present and looking forward, extremely tight. Are you confident, with regard to how these mergers and collaborations will work, that there will not be a spike in initial costs even though the longer-term projections are that savings can be made and sustained? In the context of your remit on overall provision, will there be particular locations where universities or colleges will be ring fenced from any requirement to consider a merger or greater collaboration?
I will answer the spike question first. If you are going to merge institutions, or have deep collaborations between them, and if one of your reasons for doing so is to achieve greater financial efficiency, you have to be blunt and acknowledge that most of the costs for universities and colleges are staff costs. If you are to realise efficiencies, it will entail reducing the overall staff costs, and it will entail up-front investment. The funding council is clear about that. The guidance letter and the white paper indicate a significant reorganisation of the college sector, and we will have to make provision in order to deliver savings for a sustainable future.
I know that the funding council is supposed to be institution-blind, but because of the location of certain institutions, there will clearly be fears that any mergers or collaborations could lead to the withdrawal of provision over wide areas. That will be more true in the college sector than in the university sector.
I have heard different speculations from across the university sector, and none of them comes near any of the thinking in the funding council at the moment. In Tayside, as I said, opportunities have emerged, not least because of the principal vacancy. We will also consider opportunities elsewhere, as they emerge. What we do not have is a black book with a list.
I want to return to Abertay and Dundee for a minute. You said that the Scottish funding council, rather than the Scottish Government, decided to consider a possible merger. Did the initial suggestion come from the Scottish funding council, or from Abertay and Dundee? If it came from the universities, was it both of them?
I will describe the history. We had been in touch with Abertay through a long and difficult recent period, and we had a very good relationship with both the chair of the board and the acting principal. We were advised that they were moving ahead with the first stages of the process of appointing a principal. At that point, we felt that a pause would be sensible—and not simply because a very effective acting principal was in place and doing an effective job in stabilising the institution—and that the pause should be used to consider possible structural changes.
And you clarified that it was from the Scottish funding council. Were both Abertay and Dundee receptive to your suggestion of a merger?
Both had a significant pause in their response, but Abertay said in its reply to me that it feels it entirely appropriate to consider the overall provision of post-16 education in Tayside. In other words, it is not digging itself into a ditch and demanding to maintain the status quo for ever, but is willing to look at the situation more broadly.
You are being very diplomatic. I have another question on capital funding. There are concerns about reductions in universities’ and colleges’ capital budgets. Are you aware of important projects in either sector that could suffer as a result of the spending review?
The main new project in either sector is the Glasgow School of Art. We are clear that we have the resources for that to continue. In our guidance letter from the Scottish Government, we received a clear indication that the costs that the funding council must meet for the non-profit-distributing proposals for Inverness, Glasgow and Kilmarnock are also considered to be covered within our overall capital allocation. Those three new projects are still on track. That places pressure on the maintenance capital that will be available. I can look at the global figures on capital coming to the Scottish Government from a significantly curtailed capital settlement in the United Kingdom Government, whose effect is further exacerbated by the fact that much of that is non-comparable because it is defence capital, and appreciate that there is an enormous squeeze on capital. In the guidance letter, we are charged with ensuring as best we can that resources are available for maintenance. We are encouraged to look at our loan support scheme on that point.
You were clear this morning that the closure of the funding gap gives universities some security for three years, but capital projects often have a life beyond that. Do the pressures identified mean there must be significant rationalisation and reduction in university resources over a longer period of time, perhaps 10 or 15 years?
I was quite pleased to look at a three-year horizon because so many factors will change. Most of universities’ capital investment is not funded by the funding council; only a small proportion, perhaps 20 per cent, is. Glasgow School of Art is the exception because it is small. At Roslin, a £100 million investment by the University of Edinburgh is being opened, for which we had no direct funding responsibility. The university used its capital allocation from us to lever additional funds from the market. However, the availability of other capital funds will be a challenge in the future. I do not see fundamental threats within the three-year timeframe that indicate that the funding council should be worried about academic year 2015-16 at the moment.
Again, that is a very diplomatic answer.
Given the generosity of the revenue settlement, do you foresee institutions investing more in capital? I remember one principal saying that, if he got an extra £10 million in revenue, he would use it to borrow £100 million and build a new department. Is that likely to happen over the next three years?
I imagine that some of them will make precisely that decision, not least because if an institution is to remain competitive with its United Kingdom counterparts, big shiny new buildings—I am sorry if that is slightly flippant—are important in attracting world-class faculty and international students, who of course themselves bring resource. If facilities are poor, it is that much more difficult to do that. Such investment is of a piece with investing in the competitiveness of the institution.
Does Jenny Marra have a quick question on capital?
Mr Batho has not yet had a chance to see Mike Russell’s letter, which is quoted in The Courier this morning. Mr Russell says that he would hope that
Was that a question on capital?
It was a question on the general subject.
I am trying to get through this stuff. I ask Mr Batho to give a brief answer, because we have a lot to get through.
Shared campuses are an issue that relates to capital funding.
I am sorry. I did not follow your question all the way through. If Mike Russell is saying in a letter today that he would want a broader look at the position in Tayside, I am not sure how that leads to the conclusion that in some sense he was telling us what to do in relation to the earlier intervention. I am sorry; I have not followed the logic of your question. If you can help me out, I will be happy to respond.
Convener, do you want me to clarify?
Perhaps you can do that in writing. We have a lot of questions to get through.
I will look at the Official Report of the meeting and respond to the committee.
I am sure that the committee will be interested to hear what you have to say on the point.
The Scottish Government has made a clear commitment on student places in the higher and further education sectors. The spending review proposals include a significant cut to the colleges budget. How can the commitment to maintain places in both sectors be met? What challenges will the colleges sector face in that regard? On page 105 of the spending review document, the justification for the approach is partly that savings will be made in the colleges sector through a move to “rationalise provision”. How will such an approach be developed in the sector?
We are operating specifically in the context of the Government’s commitment on places in the higher and further education sectors. The number of places is, of course, a concept that is not absolutely defined; it can be a headcount figure, an activity figure or whatever. Between now and when we issue our indicative allocations in December, we must work closely with the Government and the colleges—there is a particular issue to do with the colleges, as you pointed out—to establish the best way of living within commitments that, if they are not conflicting, have some tension between them, to secure the best possible provision for students within the financial envelope, while ensuring that issues to do with access, retention and articulation are maintained.
I will put university places to one side, because it is easier for the committee to measure and plot how the Government is delivering on that commitment. As you have outlined, it is more difficult in the college sector. The depth of cuts faced by the college sector is leading to concerns about the quality of delivery for students. For example, we know that there has been a reduction in contact hours recently and you mentioned larger class sizes. Another concern is the possibility that we will lose things that are of value in the non-accredited area.
I am happy to keep the committee in close touch with our thinking. I am slightly hesitant about writing in the next couple of days, because we have only just got the settlement and our guidance letter, so a lot of serious thinking is going on in the funding council. I am happy to ensure that the committee is kept informed at different stages of the process, if that is okay.
I have a brief question on bursary support. The economic strategy commits to maintaining bursary support for college and university students. Can the funding council say how bursary support will be maintained over the next three years? Will it be maintained in real terms?
Again, I am afraid that it is too early for me to weigh up all the different parts of the equation. Of course, we are alert to the commitments that the Government has given. It is our job to balance those with the other demands on colleges and with the demographics, and to produce something that works and ensures that the level of bursary is sufficient to fulfil the Government’s commitment that nobody should be prevented from going to college in particular—the funds for that are within our gift rather than that of the Student Awards Agency for Scotland—because they cannot afford to do so.
I call Liam McArthur for a brief supplementary question—with a brief answer if possible.
Claire Baker talked about the concerns about the breadth and quality of provision. You added in a couple of potential risks during the transition period for colleges and the potential for industrial action, and you also accepted that it will be a tough process for colleges. I noted your answer to Marco Biagi earlier, when he invited you to suggest that the Scottish Government has given almost twice as much as it needed in order to plug the gap in the HE sector. Is that likely to encourage the colleges in considering the cuts—which are 20 per cent in real terms and 14 per cent in cash terms—to make the case that, in order to make the tough situation a little better, some of the funding should be redirected to colleges instead?
I will sound like a parody of a TV programme: colleges may say that, but I could not possibly comment.
The Scottish Government has given firm commitments for further education in terms of delivering 25,000 modern apprenticeships. It has also committed to ensuring that 16 to 19-year-olds who are not already in employment or undertaking an apprenticeship or education will be given an opportunity for education or training. Do you have any concerns at this early stage about the cost and capacity implications for the colleges of those commitments?
I similarly noted the colleges’ concerns about those commitments. A complicated pattern is being presented. It is a matter of saying not that the college sector is the safety net and last resort for people but that, across the system of private training providers, the Skills Development Scotland provision, the college provision and staying on at school, there should be a guarantee of a place in education or training for every 16 to 19-year-old.
It is always good to end on a positive note.
I am very happy to do so.
I welcome our second panel of witnesses. We have Robin Parker, who is the president of the National Union of Students Scotland; Mary Senior, from the University and College Union Scotland; David Belsey, who is the national officer for further and higher education at the Educational Institute of Scotland; and Lord Sutherland, who will be well known to many of us.
My take is that the settlement is towards the upper end of the predictions with regard to the funding gap. Perhaps it should act as a reminder to principals that they have an opportunity to show a bit more restraint over rest-of-UK fee levels, particularly given that some Scottish universities have set the highest fees in the UK.
We welcome the funding settlement for universities. It has redressed the loss that universities suffered in the previous spending review, which saw a significant decrease in university funding that is being played out in the system just now. Indeed, Scotland saw a 10.9 per cent cut in funding for teaching in universities for the funding year that we are going through now.
By all standards, the settlement is, in very difficult times, a good one for universities compared with many other sections of the public sector. That is the baseline, but there are a number of caveats and conditions. One is that the agreement must run for three years; there must be no eroding over the next two or three years. If it does not run for three years, the benefits that are in the headlines will not come through to play their part in the future of universities.
The EIS welcomes the HE budget and the funding for HE. Does it fill the HE gap? We do not know, but we believe that it is going in the right direction. Will it keep Scottish universities as competitive as rest-of-UK or international institutions? Again, we do not know.
Correct me if I am wrong, but I thought I heard you say that the average fees down south will be set at £9,000.
I understand that the average fee for Scottish students in HEIs will be around £7,000. We do not know what the average fees are going to be in England. They are around £8,000, as I understand it.
I thought that you said £9,000, which is why I asked the question.
I am sorry: the maximum is £9,000. I meant that the average is around £8,000 at the moment in England.
That is helpful, thank you.
I want the panel’s brief views on two issues, the first of which I pursued with panel 1—the proposed merger of the University of Abertay and the University of Dundee. What are your thoughts on the impact of that for education and staffing? Secondly, can I have your thoughts on the cuts to the FE budget? I was told by one college that it feels that the cuts represent a 25 per cent reduction in its budget over four years. Do you think that staff numbers can be maintained in the face of such a cut?
It is probably appropriate for me to comment on the Abertay and Dundee situation and for David Belsey to answer your second question. Jenny Marra has been in touch with some of our representatives in Abertay and Dundee universities, so she will probably know that there was considerable distress among our members, particularly in Abertay, when they heard the news that the funding council had written to the chair of the university court about a merger.
The EIS believes that mergers should be driven not by financial need but where there is a convincing education rationale. Our concern is that the merger proposal seems to be driven by financial need. The EIS also believes that such things should be mergers, not takeovers.
I am not an accountant, but I am not quite sure that that is how it works.
In what way?
I am not sure that you can multiply 5.2 per cent by three and add it to the 13.56 per cent figure.
We can, if inflation remains the same. If inflation changes and drops to the UK Government’s aim of 2 per cent, that will be different. If we take inflation to be the same in three years as it is today—a huge assumption—there will be a real cut of 29 per cent. If we assume that for the first year, then the front-loaded cut can be calculated. It is 13.56 per cent over the three years. In the first year it drops from £544 million in 2011-12 to £506 million, which is a £38 million cut. The following years have cuts of £13 million and £24 million. The first year’s cut is the big one.
The end to which my question was aimed was whether staff numbers can be maintained and whether student places can be maintained in the face of the cut.
We do not believe that staffing can be maintained with such a large cut. Student places cannot be maintained in terms of the number of student hours being delivered per course at the moment. You could reduce a number of variables to keep the number of places the same, but the amount of FE delivery that each student receives would be cut so that a full-time student would be in college only two days a week.
I am not a specialist in FE, but the numbers suggest that the colleges are in for a very hard time.
I reiterate that mergers have to be led by institutions and by students. Another concern is that the two institutions play distinctive roles in terms of access and widening participation. That is an element of specialisation at Abertay that Mark Batho did not mention: as well as offering particular courses, it has a distinct mission that must be protected.
We have discussed college places. All members of the committee will have spoken to people at their local colleges and will have repeatedly heard concerns about the depth of the cuts in college funding and about whether the number of college places can be maintained.
Providing funding for HE is entirely the right thing to do. In difficult economic times, investing in skills and young people is entirely right. In the longer term, for comparisons in funding and in considerations of overall amounts going into higher education and universities, we need to look beyond the rest of the UK to the rest of Europe and the wider world.
I agree with Robin Parker that providing funding for HE is the right way to go. There will be a reduction in the number of people of school-leaving age going to university, but the demographics mean that other numbers will increase, so the number of places should be maintained.
I want to ask Lord Sutherland a specific question. You have put on record your deep concerns about how the proposed merger has been handled, and you talked about the University of Dundee being “world class” in life sciences and medical sciences. The two universities offer very different things, so would you say that it might be difficult, on education grounds, to bring them together?
The universities have presented themselves as being different. That is not surprising. They are universities in the same city, and each wants to play to its strengths and to show that it offers added value.
I had wanted to ask panel members whether they thought that the process was institution-led, as the then Minister for Schools and Skills said, but clearly from the views that have been expressed, that is not the case.
Of course. A review of university governance is taking place, and the outcome could be significant for how future mergers are pushed through. I hope that this committee will keep an eye on that.
I have a quick question for Lord Sutherland. Do university courts have a legal obligation to proceed with the appointment of a principal? Is it in the funding council’s legal remit to delay that process?
As I understand it, in that case, the funding council asked the university to delay, and the chairman of the court agreed to do so. I do not think that the funding council has the capacity to stop the process. The university court has a statutory responsibility to ensure that the university is well managed and well governed, and it has made its judgment.
Does the funding council have the legal power to force a merger?
It does not at present, in my understanding.
We will move on to the issue of capital, which was raised briefly earlier. I ask Liz Smith to begin.
My question is similar to the one that I asked Mark Batho. There are considerable difficulties in the capital budget and, as Lord Sutherland rightly suggested, they could go on for a long time. Are you nervous that those difficulties—the funding cuts for capital projects—may mean that some projects will be cut back or scaled down?
Yes again—of course, if you have less capital, you can do less. The real worry is that projects are at different stages, and the stage that each is at does not necessarily reflect its importance for Scotland.
The EIS also has concerns regarding such cuts, as the capital budget was cut by around 50 per cent last year. The merger of the three colleges in the centre of Glasgow to form the City of Glasgow College was driven by the promise of new capital investment and new estates, which has not been realised. Funding for that project has now moved to the non-profit-distributing model, which presents some concerns for EIS members.
Does the panel accept that the situation that we are in is largely led by the fact that the overall capital settlement that we received from the UK Government is substantially less than it has been in previous years?
Yes.
I am not trying to apportion blame, but there are clear difficulties for the Scottish Government as well as for individual institutions.
I will flag up one other issue that it is obvious will impact on the sectors—pensions. The Cabinet Secretary for Finance, Employment and Sustainable Growth indicated in last week’s Scottish budget that he will transfer Westminster’s pension scheme changes to the Scottish teachers’ superannuation scheme, which will play out in some of the post-92 institutions and in the college sector. The Scottish Government had a choice on that—although I appreciate that it was very difficult given the question of where else it would find the money.
We turn to further education and the Government’s commitment to places for 16 to 19-year-olds. Clare Adamson has a question about that.
What likely implications do the budget and related proposals for post-16 reform have for learners’ access to institutions following possible mergers, course and teaching provision, and the quality of the student experience?
One of the few really good points is that there has been a strong steer from the cabinet secretary that all forms of financial support for students in FE, including the education maintenance allowance and bursary provisions, will continue at the high level, following the amendment to the previous budget. That is to be fully endorsed, as it is incredibly important for students’ ability to access further education.
On the implications for learners, the post-16 paper sets a good vision for 16 to 19-year-olds, and the realignment of the sector to support their needs could bring about added support for that age group. I think that the intention is to improve retention, and the changes in some of the courses will improve the quality of teaching in FE and the learning experience.
I reiterate what has been said about the whole learner journey and the importance of 19 to 24-year-olds. Members will be aware that the unemployment figures indicate that that is the pressure area, so it is important that there is provision for that group.
I was pleased to see the comments in the various papers about support for apprenticeships, for example. However, I do not envy members their job, because they have to reconcile all the many competing commitments. For example, who is asking whether Scotland needs more apprenticeships or more university courses in law? That question must be asked, because it is about the future of Scotland. The Parliament has a major role to play.
Have the witnesses estimated any of the savings that might be made in post-16 education and which institutions would be likely to be affected? Is that a bridge too far?
Both sectors have already made significant efficiency savings, and it will be difficult to squeeze them further.
In the college sector, there are different schools of thought about whether backroom support savings can be made. My sense is that, with last year’s cut, those services are already down to the bone.
A number of the savings in the FE sector seem to be derived from mergers, and there is concern about that within the sector. Certainly, the EIS does not want mergers to proceed simply to save money. It believes only in mergers for which there is a convincing educational rationale.
Lord Sutherland referred briefly to the review of university governance. Do the witnesses see a need for that?
The UCU certainly sees a need for it. We spoke to the cabinet secretary about governance in the sector and, indeed, in May we held a meeting in this committee room at which we raised some of our concerns about it.
Like the UCU, the EIS supported the review of higher education governance and has submitted evidence to it. We are worried by a number of issues. There seems to be autonomy, but no accountability. The growth in the power of university executive groups and managers within institutions has eroded feelings of collegiality among staff in some universities, which has caused the EIS concern and led us to seek greater participation for staff in the governance structure.
I should state first that I am on Professor von Prondzynski’s university review panel. I am concerned about two things. One is that universities are not being challenged sufficiently by their courts on certain decisions that are made. For example, on rest-of-UK fee levels, university courts were in many cases presented with only one option. Some universities even considered whether a court meeting was necessary. I think that we would all agree that such a decision is sufficiently important that a court meeting should take place to discuss it.
I am not sure that I would agree with everything that each of my colleagues comes out with.
To allay Lord Sutherland’s fears, we are as a panel looking at models of governance throughout Europe and around the world.
I am sure that Lord Sutherland is relieved. I ask George Adam to move us on to questions about access to institutions.
I think that Clare Adamson has already asked a question on that.
Some wider points need to be raised. I am interested to hear the panel’s view on the impact of the changes to the FE sector on the learner journey and access to specific courses. Is there a danger that individual courses will go if there are mergers between courses that are the same or similar? Will that mean that there will be a reduction in places on those courses? Is the student experience likely to be affected by the changes?
On the wider element of access, I will start with the good news story: there is a strong increase in the amount of loans available to students for higher education. For a long time students have been living below the poverty line in Scotland, so that increase should be welcomed as it will encourage access to higher education at colleges and universities in Scotland.
A merger of two colleges does not necessarily lead to a reduction in the number of courses being delivered, in the number of students being enrolled or indeed in the sums of money. All that will depend on the detail of each individual merger. If the Scottish funding council ensured that every merger came with a guarantee that the total number of weighted sums delivered by the constituent colleges into the merged college would be the same as it was before, that would ensure that the amount of teaching activity was not reduced. Mergers do not automatically lead to less teaching.
Two fundamental things control access and its acceptability. One is aspiration and the other is opportunity. Aspiration is a matter for schools and families. In parts of Scotland, if that does not increase, we will not get increased access, so that must be worked out.
It is important that changes and mergers are equality impact assessed, because some groups in society will find it more difficult to travel to learning opportunities that are further afield.
On Mr Parker’s comments about access and the loans issue, we have a large commitment to the traditional 18-year-olds who leave school and go to university, but that no longer represents the majority of people who access further or higher education. Given that the loans budget line is going up by 65 per cent, is there an opportunity to address disparities in provision in the system and, if so, which ones would you prioritise? Would it be those in further education or higher education or those relating to part-time students or postgraduates?
One situation that could be improved is the imbalance between the financial support available for younger students and that for independent students. There is an opportunity for those to be equalised, which would be fairer in principle. Secondly, support for part-time students should be considered, whether that involves ending up-front fees or finding other ways to support part-time students more. Those are two areas to emphasise.
A small fee grant is already available for part-time students with incomes under £22,000. Are you talking about a loans scheme for living costs or something to pay for up-front fees? What would it be best to do with the money?
The first thing would be to remove the barrier to part-time students so that there is no up-front fee for those on higher income levels. At present, the situation for part-time students is complex, with about three or four types of support. It is incredibly difficult for prospective students to know what support is available and for them to navigate the system.
I have two concerns about the student support proposals. The NUS has rightly welcomed the £7,000 minimum income guarantee. The spending review document talks about “the poorest students”. Who are defined as the poorest students and how many students does that include? Do you have an idea of when the guarantee will be introduced, as that is not clear from the document?
As far as I understand, the £7,000 minimum income guarantee will be introduced as soon as possible, which is 2013-14. To get everything set up, there is a certain lag time, but the plan is to get ahead as soon as possible. You are right that the detail will be important. We will be fully involved in conversations on that to ensure that the right decisions are taken.
So support for college students is in the general fund that then goes to the colleges, which then decide the level of student bursaries. We have heard this morning that colleges face a 20 per cent real-terms cut in their budgets over the next three years, so you must be concerned that that will impact on the bursary pots.
There have been broadly positive noises on bursaries, but we need to keep an eye on that. We have said for a long time that there is the opportunity to bring the bursary support that goes to colleges into central Government provision, which would mean that there would be a greater guarantee of protection. We would still very much like that to happen. If it did, it would remove a concern from colleges, which have indicated to us that they do not necessarily want to deal with bursaries. They feel that there are enough decisions to be taken without taking decisions about which students get priority for FE support. That could be brought into a central budget for central decisions, which would give students a lot more protection.
I am conscious that my question is probably more for the cabinet secretary, but you have clearly had discussions with him about the operation of the minimum income guarantee. What is your understanding of its applicability to rest-of-European-Union students as well as to Scotland-domiciled students?
That is quite straightforward. The way in which European law works means that we can make a distinction for European students in relation to student support but not fees. EU students coming to study in Scotland will receive no financial support with their living costs from the Scottish Government; they will receive financial support for that from their home Government.
We are just about out of time, so I will finish with a perfectly straightforward question to panel members. I was going to ask for a one-word answer, but if you can just keep your answer as short as possible, I would appreciate it. We have heard a lot today about the difficulties of managing the cuts in the capital budget and in the FE sector. How would each of you make the savings that are required in the sector?
It is not really our place to say where the cuts should happen.
That is not really the answer that I was looking for, Mr Parker. You must have some ideas.
I can say what areas I do not think should be compromised at all: student places and front-line provision. I think that everyone would agree on that and that the committee should hold the cabinet secretary to account on that.
I recall from somewhere that we called for principals’ salaries to be cut, so I think that we would vote for something like that.
I echo that view and I think that university senior management teams should also be looked at. Under the terms of the governance review, we have looked at the growth of senior management teams and their salaries.
This is the budget that we have to live within, and we all know that the situation is very difficult. I said the other day that I feel sorry for John Swinney. I do not often feel sorry for politicians, but he has a dreadful job squaring this difficult budget. What we have to do is to say, “Well, if that’s what we can afford, what do we want from it?” That will not happen next year, but it should be happening in two, three, five or eight years’ time. Unless there is that kind of discussion in Scotland, we will not use our resources to best effect.
Can I come in?
You have thought of something.
Two words: learner journey.
I thank all the members of the panel very much for coming along this morning to give us their expert views. I suspend the meeting briefly.
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