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Item 5 is evidence from John Swinney, the Cabinet Secretary for Finance and Sustainable Growth; David Henderson, head of local government finance with the Scottish Government; Ruth Parsons, director of public service reform; and Graham Owenson, local government finance team leader. I welcome the cabinet secretary and all to the meeting. If you wish to make an opening statement, cabinet secretary, I ask you to proceed. Alternatively, we can go straight to questions.
I suspect that what I have to say you might have heard before, so we may as well go straight to questions.
Once or twice. You may have heard some of the questions before in the Parliament.
The cost of the council tax freeze, for which provision has been made, is £70 million per annum. The Government has put that sum of money into the local government settlement. When we set out the approach to distributing local government finance, it will be made clear that I will retain £70 million for distribution once local authorities have decided their position on whether to freeze the council tax. A subsequent order will be introduced to allocate the £70 million to the local authorities in question, once the council tax setting arrangements have taken their course.
The freeze will not help people who are on the lowest incomes and who do not pay council tax.
The freeze will clearly benefit those people who pay the council tax. That is one of the most attractive parts of the Government's position.
We received evidence this morning about the below-average increase in the expenditure that will be available to local government, once we take out the council tax and other measures. Will that have an impact on people who do not pay council tax? Will cuts in services impact on them?
Through the headline local authority settlement, the Government will deliver a strong and positive message about our investment in local public services. The Government will allocate to local authorities a 4.6 per cent increase on the 2007-08 allocation. If we were to add the increase above inflation of 0.5 per cent that the Government is receiving for its budget in the next financial year, we would get a 3.2 per cent increase across the board. However, we are giving local authorities a 4.6 per cent increase in their budget. We should add to that the fact that local authorities will for the first time be given the ability to retain within their resources and programmes the efficiency savings that they make, and the fact that the Government has relaxed substantially the ring fencing of funds, to allow for a more flexible approach to the delivery and design of local public services. Taking all that into account, we see that the financial package for local authorities is robust and will allow them to invest in delivering the key features in the concordat that the education secretary and I signed with COSLA and the other statutory and non-statutory functions that local authorities habitually perform.
I am sure that you or your officials heard this morning's evidence from the COSLA representatives, who confirmed that the increase in expenditure was below average—it will be 0.5 per cent above inflation in the next couple of years. I think that that was agreed.
I spent the morning with the Economy, Energy and Tourism Committee, so I did not observe what was happening here.
Sorry.
The increase in cash terms in 2007-08 is 4.6 per cent. The point that I made a moment ago was that if I had applied a uniform 0.5 per cent uplift to all the budgets, irrespective of their contents, local authorities could have expected their budget to go up by 3.2 per cent. In fact, the budget is going up by 4.6 per cent and I am putting in place the elements of the retention of efficiency savings locally and the relaxation of ring fencing, which will bring efficiency savings.
You did not deny that the bottom 20 per cent will get nothing, or that the increase in expenditure is 0.5 per cent over inflation, which is below average.
Excuse me; I will go through it a third time, convener. It is a 4.6 per cent increase on the local government settlement of 2007-08, which is nearly 2 per cent above the rate of inflation. I am at a loss to understand where you get your figure.
It is below the average since 1990.
I rest my case, convener.
It is below average.
At the cost of repeating myself to the committee, I will go through it again. During the past few years, Scotland has seen significant above-inflation increases in public expenditure. In the financial year 2002-03, if my memory serves me right, the Scottish Government of the time received an increase in the departmental expenditure limit of more than 11 per cent above the rate of inflation. In the forthcoming financial year, we will receive an increase in the departmental expenditure limit of 0.5 per cent above inflation.
You also say that there are opportunities for local government to boost resources through efficiencies.
I do.
It was made clear to us this morning that those efficiencies can be gained only through redundancies.
I did not hear the evidence so I am not in a position to speculate about what was said. However, at the Finance Committee yesterday, COSLA said that 2 per cent efficiency savings were achievable and that local government could go even further with the opportunity that the Government has created by relaxing ring fencing, which is significant because it will allow local authorities to design services and approaches in a more flexible way, without some of the rigidities that are required by ring fencing. That can be undertaken without any of the consequences that you are talking about. In this debate, it is crucial that we give the authorities the flexibility to take some decisions locally and design their services accordingly.
COSLA said that local authorities could not continue to squeeze their budgets. We would all agree that they have achieved quite a lot of efficiencies over the years, so it will be difficult for them to achieve more without contemplating redundancies.
Local authorities have a formidable record on efficiency savings; that is beyond dispute. The recent efficient government report for 2006-07 recorded local authorities' contribution to delivering more efficient government.
We heard earlier this morning about the move from backroom services to front-line services. How will we create efficiency savings if there are no compulsory redundancies and everybody decides to stay?
First, there is always turnover in staff. Secondly, there will be individuals who wish to leave the public service. Thirdly, individuals can be redeployed in other ways to deliver services in a different fashion.
That is all possible but, in your estimation, at the end of the spending review period, will there be more people employed in local government or fewer?
My judgment would probably be that there will be fewer, convener—
Fine.
I welcome you, cabinet secretary. I hope that, at some point, you will go into more detail on the implications for housing. However, I have a couple of questions on your plans for the council tax.
On the point about the council tax, the people to whom I speak during my travels around Scotland are grateful for the Government's commitment to freeze the council tax. I have met many pensioners who pay full council tax and find that enormously difficult. They are pleased that the Government has decided to put their interests at the heart of the agenda, and they will benefit.
But it would be fair to say that the bottom 20 per cent in terms of income will get no benefit from it at all.
It is clear that people who pay council tax will get the benefit of the council tax being frozen. I accept unreservedly that the Government must be prepared to be judged on the decisions that it makes on its spending priorities.
You said that there is a likelihood that small businesses will be able to create jobs, but you are not building into the scheme an obligation for small businesses to participate in local employability schemes. You said that you will ensure that there is increased economic growth, but you said only that there was a likelihood that small businesses would create jobs. Given that you are putting a significant amount of money into the scheme, in a tight budget, why not put in conditions that would allow you to get the benefit of such investment?
If my memory serves me right, I recall that the previous Administration tried to set a condition on business rate cuts in relation to research and development activity but was unable to design a scheme in which that was possible. We have decided to provide the incentive to improve the company performance of small businesses right across the country in every community in Scotland. That will be a beneficial move to stimulate the level of economic growth—I am confident that it will have that beneficial effect.
Given that the settlement is tight, I find it quite remarkable that although there is such certainty about what is being given, no attempt whatever has been made to get something back—we will just have to cross our fingers.
I suspect that the difference in income will be marginal, bearing in mind that the revenue raised is £17 million out of a total council tax revenue of just over £2 billion.
That is £17 million pounds for an authority such as Argyll and Bute Council. When it was agreed that that money should be ring fenced, that was welcomed.
Yes, but £17 million will not be realised from council tax on second homes in Argyll and Bute.
I did not say that it would.
With the greatest of respect, I have to say that you have conflated—
Let me finish. There will be a disproportionate impact on communities that have second homes and which experience the consequences of that. If you abolish the council tax on second homes, what will be the consequence on the funding that has been generated in communities that have disproportionate numbers of second homes? Has that been considered?
Let us not take a total national figure of £17 million and suggest that that will have a disproportionate effect on the finances of Argyll and Bute Council. In fact, the total council tax raised in Scotland is in excess of £2 billion.
You are going to reduce it. If you reduce the take, by definition you will reduce the take from second homes and communities that rely more on second-home income will be disproportionately affected. While there is only a freeze on the council tax, the effect may be marginal; it may be more significant once you abolish the tax altogether.
Those are two entirely separate issues. First, as I have said, the impact of the council tax freeze on second homes will be marginal—£17 million out of a total of £2 billion of council tax revenue. In distributing the £70 million following the council tax freeze, we will take into account the income from second homes to ensure that some of the possible marginal consequences are not felt by local authorities in Scotland.
I am sure that the convener will not take it amiss if he and I have slightly different recollections of the evidence session with COSLA this morning. The witnesses acknowledged—as has been acknowledged by others here today—that it is a tight settlement because of the income that the Government here is receiving from London. They also acknowledged and welcomed an end to top-slicing and some of the more restrictive practices that have operated in the past with local government's funds being ring fenced. I wonder whether you can say something about the philosophy behind that and the benefits that you hope to see accrue to local government as a result of its having more flexibility and freedom in those areas?
We are dealing with a much tighter settlement than we have had in the past, and that is being felt right across the board. Nevertheless, we have managed to put in place a settlement that is good for local government. On the day when the Government's budget was announced, I was pleased that the president of COSLA said that he would not do a deal with any Government that left local government short. That showed his acceptance of the fact that we have delivered a good settlement for local authorities.
Good morning, Mr Swinney. Earlier, I asked COSLA about the financial implications of single status and equal pay for local authorities and the settlement that you have reached. As a member of the previous Finance Committee, you will recall that in its report on this matter, which was published in March 2006, it concluded:
For the simple reason that the matter is for local authorities to resolve as part of their functions. As some local authorities have entirely resolved their single status and equal pay questions, it would be inappropriate for the Government to become involved in such matters. It is not a global local authority issue; it is an issue for a number of authorities—the majority of them, I concede—to resolve. Governments over the years have made it clear that local authorities have received financial support to address single status and equal pay issues, and some have done so.
Yes, but you did not think that a year and a half ago.
I knew that this was coming.
In February 2006, at a Finance Committee meeting with Mr McCabe, the occupant at the time of at least a small part of the post that you hold, you complained:
I thought that at some point we might get around to my sins of commission as a member of the previous Finance Committee.
This morning Councillor Watters, the president of COSLA, said that many of the liabilities are uncosted and unquantified and that these financial chickens will almost certainly come home to roost over the period of this settlement.
I have not given consideration to that point, but in relation to the structure of the concordat, we have the opportunity to discuss those issues with COSLA on a bi-monthly basis. We can discuss the whole approach to single status and equal pay to address the question of how much more progress is required. I stress, however, that the financial consequences of all those issues are matters for local authorities to address—as some local authorities have done already.
How can that be a matter simply for local authorities to address, given that they are being invited to freeze their council tax, have run down their reserves in many cases and will expect the Scottish Government to fund any liabilities that remain unquantified and unspecified?
Local authorities are self-governing institutions and they have financial responsibility for the resources that they are allocated and the liabilities that arise out of single status and equal pay issues. The matter is one for them to determine. Obviously, the performance and experience of local authorities vary in relation to their reserves, and it is entirely up to them to determine how they manage their reserves and what they deploy to support particular aspects of expenditure.
Back in February and March 2006, the cost of funding equal pay compensation for local authorities was estimated to be between £310 million and £560 million. Has the Scottish Government, in conjunction with COSLA, made any estimate of the range of the potential unquantified liabilities for equal pay compensation claims that might arise over the next three years?
I have no better estimate of the position as it stands than the one that you cited from the inquiry that the Finance Committee undertook last year. The issue must be addressed through the proper decision-making processes of individual councils.
Is it your submission that the cost of settlement at the upper end of that estimate—the £560 million, which some people have said is not even the upper end—is all factored into, and has to be satisfied from, the global financial settlement that you have agreed with local authorities? Is that the Government's position?
My position is clear: the resolution of single status and equal pay issues is a matter for local authorities, to be considered in the context of the financial settlement that the Government is offering. Some local authorities have been able to resolve those issues, but others have not, so far, done so. Therefore, it is appropriate for individual local authorities to take the steps that they think are required in order to address the matter.
I am surprised that you are taking refuge in the position of the previous Government—I thought that there was meant to be a major change in Scotland in 2007.
That takes us to the nub of a significant issue—the nature of the relationship between this Government and local government, in comparison with the relationship between the previous Government and local government. With the greatest respect, the way in which we are proceeding represents a seismic change from the way in which the previous Administration proceeded. We have constructed a relationship with local authorities that is not about me, as the Cabinet Secretary for Finance and Sustainable Growth, making decisions on every point of detail in each local authority's priorities and spending plans.
Your position is that it is a matter of indifference to the Government whether councils follow the advice of the Accounts Commission on the level of reserves that they should have. Is that correct?
The Accounts Commission provides advice to local authorities on reserves. It would be unwise of local authorities not to take due account of what the Accounts Commission says. Given that professional guidance and advice are available to local authorities, it would be completely inappropriate for ministers such as me to second-guess local authorities' decisions. They are self-governing organisations that are elected by and responsible to their local electorates. It is entirely appropriate for the Government to set out a policy framework within which we wish to work with local authorities to deliver certain objectives, aims and aspirations, as set out in the concordat, but, beyond that, local authorities should get on with the business of running the affairs of the local communities for which they have responsibility.
If it is unwise of local authorities to ignore the advice of the Accounts Commission on reserves, do you accept that it would also be unwise of a Government to construct a financial settlement that ignored that advice?
The Government establishes a financial settlement that it discusses with local authorities. Another example of the seismic shift in the nature of the relationship between local and central Government is the fact that, in advance of the spending review, we had a series of highly constructive discussions with local authorities about spending requirements and so on, in order to avoid the situation to which you have drawn attention in a number of parliamentary debates—namely the ping-pong that goes on about whether there is enough money in the settlement and all the rest of it.
During COSLA's evidence, concerns were raised about the level of voluntary sector funding in the local government settlement. There seemed to be a lack of knowledge among some members of the committee of the announcement that you made on St Andrew's day, in which you said that £93.6 million would be provided to the voluntary sector over three years, which I understand represents a 37 per cent uplift. Will you expand on what that investment will be spent on?
There are three means by which the voluntary sector in Scotland acquires funding. The first channel is for services that are funded by local authorities, of which there are many. The second is for services that are funded by other elements of the public sector and by the lottery. Some of that funding comes from the health service, while some comes from other parts of government, such as the environment bodies, which distribute funding to voluntary organisations. Such funding is supplemented by the national lottery.
Earlier you did yourself something of a disservice—I will explain why. Page 3 of the report that the budget adviser has given the committee states:
I am pleased with the settlement that we have been able to deliver to local authorities in a tight spending round. Crucially, the proportion of the Scottish Government's budget that is allocated to local authorities will begin to rise again—albeit by a marginal factor—having declined consistently for the past six to eight years. Essentially, resources for local authorities as a share of the Scottish block have gone down, and the Government has decided that they need to start going back up again. That is evidence of your point.
Concerns have been raised about the impact of the council tax freeze on people on low incomes, and particularly on people whose homes are in band A. Will you confirm whether the financial impact will be around £9 a year per household? That compares with, for example, the £130 a year that the changes in UK taxation in April next year will cost people with incomes of less than £10,000 a year.
The latter figure is not one that I have available to me just now. However, I can say that there will be a beneficial effect for everybody who pays council tax. I suspect that that will come as substantial relief to those who have had to endure a 60 per cent increase in council tax over the past 10 years.
I have concerns about the small business bonus scheme. Local authorities have been advised that they need not worry if firms in their area close down, because their income will be protected. That is the reverse of the structure in Ireland, where the only way in which local authorities can raise money is by rates and there is, therefore, a direct incentive for local authorities to work with the business community to improve the environment for local businesses. Most local authorities do what they can to help local businesses, but surely the issue of incentivising local authorities to consider their dealings with the business community should be revisited.
There is an argument for considering how we can incentivise through business taxation, although that does not form part of the Government's budget proposals. In my experience, local authorities are keen to encourage the process of economic development in their localities. As I was discussing with the Economy, Energy and Tourism Committee this morning, I want to ensure that local authorities have greater proximity to and responsibility for the economic growth agenda.
I crave your indulgence again, convener. With regard to the new fund to tackle poverty and deprivation, I understand that there will be a merging of three funds: community regeneration, working for families and community voices. Current expenditure is £131 million a year. However, that will jump to £145 million for each of the next three years. Why has there been that increase, why is it being held at the same level over three years, and what impact on service delivery in those areas do you think it will have over the three years?
The funds have been drawn together to follow up some of the suggestions that were made by the Finance Committee in the previous session that related to a concern over the proliferation of funding streams to tackle poverty. The Government has responded to that by trying to put in place a more cohesive and effective fund. That should bring about a simplification of funding streams, as a consequence of which there should be efficiencies in the way in which the funds are distributed. That should guarantee that they have the same—if not greater—impact without some of the burdens of cost and bureaucracy that have characterised them in the past.
In relation to the single outcome agreements with local authorities and the associated framework, can you give us an idea of how you will ensure that local authorities act consistently in relation to Government priorities? How will the Parliament be able to monitor and scrutinise the use of the large sums of money that are to be transferred to local authorities? That will be more difficult for the Parliament and the Government to do, particularly given the removal of ring fencing. When are the single outcome agreements likely to be in place? How are they to be developed? Will they be developed to ensure that, for example, they provide clarity about deliverables but do not become so detailed that they turn into unworkably large and rigid documents?
Your question captures some of the dilemmas that exist. If one wanted to put together a single outcome agreement that monitored to a precise degree certain indicators in every local authority, we might end up with a single outcome agreement whose length rivalled that of "War and Peace". There is a balance that must be struck.
I welcome that response. I also very much welcome the fact that we have been given a firm deadline and that the committee will be further involved in discussions.
Good afternoon. I have two main questions, but first I want clarification on comments that have been made both today and last week in the chamber about the new fund that will be set up to tackle poverty and deprivation. Will that fund consist of the three funds to which Mr Gibson referred or will other funds also be rolled up into it? In the chamber last week, Mr Maxwell seemed to indicate that it might include more than just those three.
I am advised that more than just those three—I think there will be seven in total—will be rolled up into the new fund. Mr Henderson has the information, so perhaps he can explain.
I do not have chapter and verse on all seven, but the fund will include seven grants. A number from outwith the local government portfolio will make up the total.
It would be helpful to get a note of the seven and the budgets that they will bring with them into that rolled-up fund.
We can certainly provide the committee with a note on the composition of the fund.
I will move on to my other two questions.
That will depend on the extent to which local authorities agree to the package. That is the clearest answer that I can give—I apologise if it does not sound terribly clear. Essentially, what happens will depend on what each local authority is prepared to sign up to. If the local authority is prepared to sign up to every element of the Government's package, including a single outcome agreement, but decides that it will not freeze the council tax, that is a much tighter definition than a decision that the authority does not want to enter a single outcome agreement, which it might conceivably also say. In a sense, my response will reflect what each local authority is prepared to sign up to. That will be done case by case.
An authority that did that would not be eligible for some of the £70 million, for example.
No, it would not.
Who will be responsible for meeting the indicators that are referred to in the concordat?
The indicators in the spending review document, which are also reflected in the concordat, are the responsibility of the Government. Ministers are accountable for them: obviously, a key element of that will require working in partnership with local authorities on shared priorities. Clearly, certain commitments that the Government makes will depend on the contribution of local authorities to delivery of the outcomes. The advantage of the settlement that we have achieved through the concordat is that we now have a set of agreed up-front shared priorities that the national Government and local government are working to deliver. That gives us a strong platform for delivery of what is envisaged in the concordat and for wider public service delivery by local authorities.
I find that answer very interesting and helpful in one respect, but it does not completely tally with what local government representatives have told us. They seem to be firmly of the opinion that the indicators relate to what the Government would achieve and what the Government plans and aspires to. I do not know whether you need to have more discussions with the councils or whether you can clarify the issue.
I am looking for the exact reference in the concordat. We refer to the sharing of priorities. I cannot find the reference—one of my officials will find it for me.
Am I right in thinking that, although a concordat has been arrived at with COSLA, an outcome agreement has to be reached with each individual local authority before we will know what local authorities have signed up to deliver?
Yes, but I assure Patricia Ferguson and the committee that the Government will not sign up to single outcome agreements and agree to the package unless we have confidence that we can achieve our national outcomes and indicators.
The evidence session with the COSLA representatives was refreshing, in that they were very open about their discussions with the Government. They said that they went into the discussions saying that between £10.8 billion and £11.5 billion was the range of their expectations for their settlement in the next financial year. They settled for £11.14 billion. Obviously, they would have liked £11.5 billion, but they think that that is a good settlement in the circumstances. COSLA's written submission states that the negotiations
I agree with what the president of COSLA said about flexibility bringing responsibility. I cannot persuade myself of the malevolent view that, unless money is ring fenced, local authorities will spend it on different priorities. I cannot believe that local authorities are waiting for the removal of ring fencing, rubbing their hands and saying, "Great—we won't have to spend money on vulnerable people in our society any longer." I refuse to believe that. By removing ring fencing, we can provide flexibility to ensure that services are designed appropriately for local circumstances, and remove a volume of frankly pointless bureaucracy that goes with ring fencing.
Can I ask one final question? There will be new Governments in 2011 and 2015. Is this a principle of mutual respect between national Government and local government that should be extended irrespective of which Government is in power?
I look forward to committing the Governments in 2011, 2015, 2019 and beyond to that principle.
Well done, Mr Doris. If that does not get you up the list, I do not know what will.
The only thing that Bob Doris missed was to suggest that I will be a participant in all that. That would have definitely got him up the ladder.
On that point, we had an interesting discussion with COSLA on the parochial matter of Inverclyde having pockets of deprivation and the fact that some of the funds that have been rolled up are important to us. COSLA assured us, and I hope that you will confirm, that the funding will be protected for the three years and will not be rolled up or allocated on a per-head basis that does not take into account deprivation and our other problems. It is positive news that, in effect, that funding will be protected for the next three years.
We are changing a number of arrangements for funding streams, but the distribution mechanism and its effect will be stable. I accept Duncan McNeil's point. Once the concordat was agreed, we embarked on a more detailed set of discussions with COSLA about distribution issues, which are informed by individual local authorities' perspectives. We have had good discussions to the satisfaction of local authorities on the stability of the arrangements. I will examine the matter closely in the next few days, before I make the local government finance settlement statement next week.
I presume from your earlier evidence that we can give the voluntary sector some reassurance that the outcomes of spending un-ring fenced moneys will be subject to scrutiny by the Government and the committee.
The atmosphere that I am trying to create for the discussion involves our having not only a focus on national outcomes and indicators, but a clear steer—I made the point explicitly in my response to Mr Gibson and have made it on countless other platforms—that we want the voluntary sector to be significantly involved in the design and delivery of public services. We encourage local authorities to pursue that locally. I hope that that provides sufficient reassurance.
I am happy to take your assurance. I think that, like COSLA and the committee, you will acknowledge that a serious problem of perception exists. The third sector—the voluntary sector—perceives that it will take a disproportionate hit as a result of some actions. I am prepared to accept your assurance that that is not the case, but I hope that you agree that we all need to work to reassure those people. As you said, part of that reassurance will involve our scrutinising outcomes and whether the impact on voluntary sector funding has been disproportionate. I am happy to work with you on that.
I accept that entirely. The message that ministers have given the voluntary sector has been entirely consistent with what the convener has said, but we must monitor how individual decisions are taken and their consequences.
I welcome that comment and the fact that we will be a part of that monitoring or at least of the scrutiny process that results from that monitoring.
We need in the fullness of time to have a separate discussion about where the committee sits in relation to the scrutiny process. I am happy to discuss that.
I have questions to which you can respond in writing if you do not have the time to respond to the substantial points now. It would be useful to know the rationale for ring fencing money for some purposes but not for others. The logic of working on the basis of flexibility is to make all money un-ring fenced.
I will try to address all those questions.
I am sorry; I probably misrepresented what I wanted to say. Will the organisations that work on behalf of excluded groups, equalities groups, disabled groups or whatever have a part to play in shaping and monitoring the single outcome agreements? Their fear is that if they do not, their particular issues will not be recognised in whatever comes out of the other end. I am not asking about how the Government conducts itself over equalities duties because local government has a responsibility in that respect. It is about how the single outcome agreement will incorporate an equalities dimension to what it looks like and how it is judged.
That is a question that we can answer during the practical steps that we are taking to agree the single outcome agreements. I certainly want to see such issues reflected: local authorities would take the same view.
Could you confirm that it would be a good idea for him to meet those organisations? They are anxious that he has not shown the same degree of urgency in meeting them as, for example, the higher education sector. They should be reassured that their concerns will be allayed.
I am sure that you appreciate that I do not know where the Minister for Communities and Sport is on that question, but I will certainly report to him. The last thing that the Government can be accused of is a lack of engagement with organisations around the country. I am sure that a lot of organisations feel that they are sick of the sight of ministers, frankly. I will recount your point to the Minister for Communities and Sport.
I understand, but the issue is not whether it all goes pear-shaped. If you are concerned about spending on a particular group of vulnerable people but everything else is going a whizz, can you re-ring fence money to meet certain targets?
I presume that the specific issue that you raised refers to the indicator in the concordat that
I call Alasdair Allan to be followed by Kenny Gibson—I am conscious that we have taken half an hour more than our allotted time with the cabinet secretary.
As I understand it, one area in which money remains ring fenced is the health and well-being budget. How does the Government view the measures of deprivation that are used when calculating that budget, and are any of them in need of adjustment or review?
The Government uses the Scottish index of multiple deprivation to assess most such questions. That mechanism has many strengths, but it has a weakness in that it cannot capture small pockets of deprivation, particularly in dispersed populations. It captures significant blocks of deprivation pretty effectively, but it is not focused enough for rural areas.
At the start of the next financial year, there will be a 13.3 per cent increase in the local government capital budget. In the two years following that, there will be only a 1.8 per cent increase and then a 0.1 per cent increase. COSLA has welcomed the overall increases, but why has it been front-loaded?
The increase has been front-loaded to ensure that local authorities have the capacity to take forward some of the practical physical work that is required to ensure that we can, between local and national Government, deliver the reductions in class sizes. From my experience of local authorities, I know that there will be an endless amount of capital work that local authorities could undertake. However, we took the decision to front-load the settlement to give the maximum opportunity for progress on class sizes.
How much is included to reduce class sizes?
The uplift in the budget for the first financial year is 13.3 per cent.
Is that specifically for class sizes?
The money is not ring fenced, but, as I have said to Mr Gibson, one reason why the increase is front-loaded is to take account of the fact that there is clearly a consequence of the policy of reducing class sizes. Infrastructure and fabric works may be required in schools, so we have to provide resources to allow them to happen.
Will it become clearer after we discuss it with the various local authorities?
It will become much clearer.
Will we be able to identify an overall figure or council-by-council figure of what has been allocated to reduce class sizes?
You will be able to see the capital allocations to local authorities, but we are not putting a little price tag on each allocation to say that the money is exclusively for class sizes. I was simply illustrating to Mr Gibson that the reason why the increase is front-loaded is to recognise that there is an infrastructure and fabric issue at the outset.
I take note of your smile, cabinet secretary.
I am always smiling when you are here, convener.
Thank you very much for your time and for that of your colleagues—we appreciate it. We hope to resolve any outstanding issues in writing, if that is okay.
I will be very happy to respond. There are issues on which I have not been able to give definitive answers today—they will follow in writing as soon as possible.
Thank you.
Meeting continued in private until 13:40
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