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We welcome Eddie Follan, who is the public affairs manager for Energywatch; Norman Kerr, who is the director of Energy Action Scotland; and Nick Waugh, who is policy officer for Help the Aged. We have received apologies from David McNeish of Citizens Advice Scotland, although the CAS has submitted written evidence. We appreciate your attendance. I will give you a couple of minutes to make short opening statements, if you wish.
The paper that Energy Action Scotland has submitted sums up our view. I am happy to start with questions.
I am happy with what Norman Kerr has said. We welcome the opportunity to give evidence to the committee, and we welcome the fuel poverty inquiry that you are undertaking.
I agree. We recognise that many organisations other than ours were involved in briefing members of the committee, including environmental and anti-poverty organisations. I am happy to take questions.
Thanks. The Minister for Communities and Sport recently gave evidence about the future of the central heating programme. Your organisations and others have highlighted the question whether that programme is now fit for purpose with respect to targeting and reaching the right people. Is the programme achieving the overall objective of reducing fuel poverty in Scotland? How important is targeting to the whole debate?
There are two issues with targeting. One is actually identifying the group that you want to target: where they are, where they stay and how you give them the information that will bring them forward. The second is whether you want to expand the programme to target other groups within fuel poverty. Through the Scottish house condition survey, Communities Scotland provides a comprehensive picture of where fuel-poor households are. The difficulty is that we do not know the individual addresses, so we cannot go and chap the door.
I second that.
We will hear the witnesses' views first—members will get an opportunity to ask questions later.
The central heating programme is fit for the purpose that it was originally intended for, which was to provide central heating for people who had none. The question about its future tends to centre on what happens when the majority of installations are replacements. It is clear that the central heating programme by itself can never eliminate fuel poverty, so there are two questions: how do we target the current programme to fuel-poor people and the most vulnerable households, and how do we take it forward so that we can meet the target in 2016?
I support what the other witnesses have said. Older people are still more at risk of fuel poverty. The programme has benefited them and successfully lifted a lot of them out of fuel poverty. However, there is a case for looking at what to do with the programme next and at whom it is targeted. A lot of families are on low incomes. Children's organisations estimate that 100,000 children live in fuel poverty and that some 5,000 live without a heating system. If we are going to debate the programme and where it goes next, it is apt that we should consider such groups.
I would like to come back on the fit-for-purpose question. When the programme started, it was directed towards people who had no central heating. Along with others, Energy Action Scotland believed that that was a laudable way to press forward. However, we recognised that it was the first step because—we have repeated these figures time and again—around a third of all houses in Scotland are off the gas grid and are unable to access the cheapest form of fuel; around a quarter of houses in Scotland do not have a loft and are not fit for loft insulation; and around 30 per cent of houses do not have a wall cavity or one that can be filled, due to the house construction. There are constraints within the programme, and as the years have passed it has become more apparent that we need to review the programme to see how it can address the houses that it cannot currently target effectively. We must examine that more closely.
What contact have you had with the Minister for Communities and Sport or his officials on the review that is taking place?
Energy Action Scotland carries out a programme of work on behalf of the Scottish Government, which is negotiated every year with the minister's officials. We continue to meet those officials regularly, and we are due to meet the minister next week to talk about that and to examine the way forward.
What do you mean? Have you met the minister as part of the review, or is next week's meeting your first meeting?
Our first meeting with the minister will be next week.
I presume that you will raise issues about extending the scheme to include households with children and disabled people. If the current scheme, which includes repair and replacement, remains in place, what will be the cost of extending the programme to such households?
I think that children's charities submitted a paper to the committee in which they suggested that around 5,000 households should be targeted initially. If we multiply 5,000 by £3,500, we arrive at the figure.
The figure is about £16 million.
Yes. There is a debate to be had about whether we can continue with the programme in its current format. In the paper that Energy Action Scotland submitted, I suggest that the Scottish Government could be asked to fit 10,000 heating systems every year for the foreseeable future. We need a wider debate about how we encourage people who have received a new system from the Scottish Government to maintain and care for their system, so that it lasts longer. If a system is not maintained properly, it might break down after a few years. It might not be anyone's fault, but within five years of getting their brand new system from the Scottish Government, a person might ask the Government for a replacement.
Have Help the Aged and Energywatch participated in the review and been asked for their views?
Energywatch has not been asked for its view. We have met officials to discuss issues other than the central heating programme, such as social tariffs, and we will meet officials in the next month, but not as part of the review.
Help the Aged has not met officials as part of the review.
My question is mainly for Norman Kerr. I think that we agree that the central heating programme has made a tremendous difference to many people in Scotland, but we would like it to go further. In your submission, you say that the grant has remained at £500 since the programme's inception, which is a fair comment. What grant do you and other panel members think would be sufficient to take the programme forward in the way that you envisage?
About two years ago, we suggested that the grant should be increased to about £750. At the time, we were considering the average cost of loft and cavity wall insulation jobs, if they were brought together. The figure that we arrived at would not be far off the mark today. A grant of £750 would be adequate to fit both main measures to houses that require them.
That is interesting. A grant of £750 is not excessively larger than the current grant, and it might allow for the expansion of the programme in certain areas. However, the increase is well above the inflation rate over the past five or six years. Does the revised figure allow for an expansion of the programme to make other people eligible?
No, we simply considered the cost of materials. Price rises in loft and cavity wall insulation materials and in copper piping for the central heating programme have well exceeded inflation. I think that cavity wall insulation is 30 per cent dearer than it was three or four years ago. There has been a massive rise in the cost of such materials.
You believe that the main, means-tested grant should be increased from £500 to £750. There is a smaller, non-means-tested grant of £125. A pro rata increase would make that grant nearer £200. Is that broadly correct?
Yes. As part of the review, we would be happy to consider the effectiveness of the smaller grant. We have had concerns for some time about households' ability to organise the work themselves and about the lack of a schedule of rates. People might be at risk from unscrupulous businesses that know that a grant of £125 is available, so they might add £125 to the cost of the job simply to get it.
Has an estimate been made of the administrative cost of handing out grants of £125?
Not that I am aware of. The next panel might be able to answer that.
Recently, I asked a parliamentary question about the number of measures that have been obtained under the warm deal. The answer shows that, although 15,500 dwellings were covered by the warm deal in 2005-06, only 152 received more than the minimum measures. The answer states:
If it is not index linked, it should certainly be reviewed every three to five years.
David McLetchie mentioned the £125 grant. There is also the social housing warm deal grant of £320. What is your view on that? I understand that you are concerned that it does not represent much of an incentive for local authorities to carry out more than the minimum of work.
We argue that local authorities should be given more than £320, so that they can effectively deliver more measures. There is an expectation that local authorities will match the grant with energy efficiency commitment—EEC—funding or with their own capital grant programme. Our difficulty is that EEC funding does not pay for all the measures that are available through the warm deal or the central heating programme; it focuses on lighting, cavity wall insulation and perhaps loft insulation where there is none. It is difficult for local authorities to tie into the fuel utilities' EEC budgets, because the fuel utilities have already made commitments to a number of local authorities. We are not convinced that Scotland is getting its fair share of the EEC budget in the first place. We are giving local authorities something that is welcome—many authorities welcome it—but we are not giving them adequate funding to do all the necessary work.
EEC—which is to be known as CERT, or the carbon emissions reduction target—presents issues for low-income consumers, who pay proportionately more of their bill towards EEC. I reiterate what Norrie Kerr said: we do not know how much EEC money is spent per household in Scotland, although attempts have been made to find that out.
I defer to my colleagues' greater wisdom, as the subject is beyond the speciality of Help the Aged.
I have a specific point. Energy Action Scotland says in its submission that it is a member of the fuel poverty forum, which Citizens Advice Scotland's submission says
For more than a year, I have been in post with Energywatch, which is a member of the forum, and the forum has not met in that time. That is the result of various pressures and other factors, as well as changes because of elections.
I support that view. Citizens Advice Scotland notes that the forum last met in June 2006. It is fair to say that that was the forum's last formal meeting. After that, officials constituted a sub-group of the forum to examine whether the forum was fit for purpose and still able to deliver what the then Executive was looking for. Events overtook us and officials could not present the options for a reconstituted forum to ministers.
Are you concerned about any implications of the changes that are beginning to be made as a result of the review of the programme that was completed in December 2006? I do not know whether that date is right, but I think that that is when changes were introduced.
Several issues have been raised. On the quality of work, Energy Action Scotland would be concerned if grants for central heating or insulation were simply given to tenants, who would then be left to arrange work themselves. Both managing agents have gone through a scrupulous process to bring in quality contractors. All members will have heard of occasions on which things have not necessarily gone right, but the managing agent can put things right. If a tenant has a job done, pays for it and is not satisfied, I do not see how they can retrieve the situation once they have parted with the cash. Who should say whether the job has been done satisfactorily—the tenant or people using the technical standard that needs to be adhered to? People who adhere to the technical standard would already be participants in the scheme. The programme manager would have them as a contractor, because they could control their work. I would worry about the quality of work of anyone who was operating outwith the scheme, which could lead to the scheme being brought into disrepute.
How should we deal with people who say that the quality of the service that they were given was affected by the people who installed the system perceiving it to be free to the person receiving it? People have said that if they were paying for the system themselves, they would be able to say when something was unacceptable, but they have just been told, "This is the programme." I accept the point that has been made about vulnerable people, but how can that be dealt with? It might be thought that a gulag of people who receive a free service do not get treated in the same way as people who pay for it.
There have been some casualties. During the transition, four organisations withdrew: two closed completely, with the loss of some jobs; one sold on to a bigger organisation; and another withdrew from the insulation part of the new programme but continued to provide training, which was its core business. Earlier in the year, Energy Action Scotland calculated that 200 jobs had been lost throughout the industry.
I call Patricia Ferguson to ask the next question. The committee will be aware that we have received texts and e-mails containing questions from the public. Accordingly, Patricia Ferguson will ask a question that was submitted by a Miss Wallace from Glasgow.
I have no more information on Miss Wallace than that she is from Glasgow. She asks:
I am very glad that we have been taken away from Miss Wallace's question. She asks how wind farms will reduce fuel poverty. Our view has always been that the cheapest unit of energy is the unit that you do not use or generate in the first place. We need to keep firmly focused on the fact that increasing the energy efficiency of our houses reduces our reliance on any type of fuel.
That brings up a bigger question about sustainability. Energywatch works in Scotland and across the United Kingdom, and we very much welcome the pilots and await the results. The sooner we can mainstream the technologies, the better.
I want to follow up on those answers. I was going to ask Mr Waugh a question on a different issue, but I will come back to that.
Energy Action Scotland is a member of the steering group, but I do not think that we are in a position to say when the report, or other information, will be available to Parliament. The question would be better put to the officials you will be hearing from. They may be able to give you the timelines.
I want to follow up the comments about the smart meters, which pick up on a point from one of our text correspondents, Pete Mowat, who is a housing officer with a social landlord, Prospect Housing Association, in my Edinburgh Pentlands constituency. He has asked how Parliament and the Scottish Government can help to push the fitting of smart meters in all homes to help reduce bills and energy use and to enable accurate billing. What are your views of smart meters as a policy instrument for tackling fuel poverty? How will the target of every home having a smart meter by—did you say 2011?
In 10 years' time.
Sorry. How will that be achieved? Who will pay for that? Is it the energy suppliers, the householder, or the social landlords? Will it require some kind of funding support from the Government, particularly in relation to getting the social landlord sector going?
First things first; I will give a bit of background. The energy white paper sets a target of 10 years, and the Government has said that it should be on course to achieve that, but there is also the added complication of something called real-time displays.
Is it likely that the Government will have to drive the energy suppliers to fit meters in their customers' homes?
The energy suppliers are fully on board with the agenda, and Energywatch is working with the Energy Retail Association to push the Government to ensure that the industry gets the mandate that it is calling for to allow that to happen. I am sorry—I missed the second part of your question.
Essentially, the roll out will be directed by the UK Government through the supply companies rather than being something that social landlords will be able to opt in to by saying that they want a programme for their housing stock. It will be driven by the supply companies rather than by householders electing to fit smart meters in their homes.
That is likely to be the case—the roll out will be supplier led. One or two smart meter pilots are being conducted in England and social housing providers are involved in some of those, but I would say that the roll out will be supplier led.
The issue of pilots has been raised with me. I understand that there are no pilots in Scotland, but that there are pilots with social landlords in England.
Yes, that is the case, as far as I am aware.
I have a point of information, convener.
You will need to be brief, Norman. I have three or four indications from others who want to come in.
Scottish and Southern Energy is in the throes of putting together a trial. In the next three to six months, there will be a trial of smart metering in Scotland. Committee members might like to take the opportunity of speaking to the company, either individually or through the committee. I am sure that it would be delighted to give you information on the trial.
Thank you. That was useful.
Panel members, including Mr Kerr, have raised the issue of the areas that the existing central heating scheme and the warm deal find it difficult to reach, perhaps due to the housing type involved, the age of the property, or the type of tenure.
In many cases, they are quite separate. I understand the issues for care and repair in this regard. If someone has a hole in their roof, it is difficult to determine whether that constitutes fuel poverty. That said, one could argue that, if all the heat is simply going out of a hole in the roof, the person is living in fuel poverty. I am not sure how the scheme could be amended to tackle such issues, given that we would also be talking about the state of windows, doors and so forth. I would not be so bold as to venture to suggest how the scheme could tackle all that. There are also the issues of care and repair funding and the scheme's access to local authority support. The committee might want to consider those issues in greater depth.
Bob?
I am sorry, convener, you caught me out there. I think that I am putting questions at the start of our next session.
I am sorry. I did not mean to mislead you. Kenny?
No problem, convener. I am always ready.
Earlier, we talked about targeting. The warm zones approach is to tackle an area ward by ward, street by street and door by door. If that is done in a coherent and co-ordinated way, warm zones can provide assistance of one form or another to every household in an area.
Referring to the central heating programme, your paper stated:
The Scottish house condition survey clearly shows the groups of people who are at most risk of fuel poverty. They are young single adults, families with children under five and people with a disability. One of the reasons why we have called for the fuel poverty forum to be reinstigated is so that it can examine in depth the number of households that are affected. That is a moveable feast because, every year, a report from Communities Scotland shows the progress that is being made. We should use the information. I understand that Communities Scotland has been drawn back in as a Government function. We should use the Scottish house condition survey to direct where programmes go. There are single-parent households and households with children under five that do not have a central heating system. There is already an element of means testing within the current programme. I am conscious that we are running out of time, but there is perhaps a debate that needs to be had in the fuel poverty forum so that it can advise ministers and others on targeting.
Older people, who make up the majority of people in fuel poverty, will always be one of the main priorities, if not the top priority. They are more at risk, partly because they have a fixed income. Along with unemployed people and families with young children, they are in a vulnerable situation. They are subject also to excess winter deaths, which fuel poverty programmes have not directly addressed. The figure for excess winter deaths is at an all-time low in Scotland. Whether that is connected to the free central heating programme is a matter for debate. However, an extra risk exists.
I can only agree with my colleagues. It was interesting to look at the figures that showed who had central heating, what impact it had and their chances of living in fuel poverty. I imagine that a lot of low-income families in private sector housing have a partial central heating system. Some 15 per cent of them live in severe fuel poverty and are spending more than 20 per cent of their total income on energy bills.
We appear to have come full circle. With regard to the schemes, the Minister for Communities and Sport, Stewart Maxwell, said:
You make a very good point. I wondered earlier whether we could continue along this route, given that it could be said that the programme has experienced a bit of mission drift. When it was introduced in September 2000, it was for older people who did not have central heating; however, it has been expanded several times since then. We could debate whether those expansions were managed or whether they were the result of political pressure from other groups. However, the programme has changed from its initial concept.
I know that the question is difficult to answer, but it has emerged as a consequence of evidence from the minister and other organisations. Help the Aged has just said that age should be the trigger for replacement systems; however, some of the older people who might receive a new system might not necessarily be in fuel poverty.
That is correct. As Alasdair Allan pointed out with regard to care and repair, the question is how we support elderly people in the management and maintenance of their homes. Of course, that is not simply a case of ensuring that homes are wind and watertight; we must consider, for example, whether they are healthy for people; whether they will keep them warm and dry; whether they will prevent them going into fuel poverty; and, indeed, whether they will prevent them from becoming excess winter death statistics. People should be encouraged to go into maintenance programmes or to take out insurance to ensure that they look after their asset.
I will put the question to Eddie Follan: is the current replacement programme sustainable or, indeed, desirable?
There are difficulties associated with it and I have a lot of sympathy with those who represent the interests of children and young people on this matter. After all, people who do not have central heating suffer as a result. Like Norrie Kerr, however, I do not think that we can sit round the table and decide who should get a central heating system and who should not. We must be more strategic than that and have more discussion with Government and other stakeholders. The disability charities would say that people who receive disability living allowance should get a central heating system. It is difficult for me to say whether the present system is working, but I know that problems exist for people who have heating systems that are not adequate to heat their homes.
I will ask two complementary questions that have come in by text. I may have some opinions on the answers. The first text asks:
The second question is about the winter fuel payments of £200 or £300 toward heating, which are not available to young people. Although the winter fuel allowance is often described as being for heating, it is used for a variety of things. That answers the question.
Does the question not get to the heart of the studies that have shown that a large number of adults who live on their own are in fuel poverty? What are we doing for those people?
We give them access to measures such as the warm deal and the energy efficiency commitment, but we do not give them access to the central heating programme.
Do other witnesses have answers for the people who have texted us? When will the free central heating programme be extended to people under 65 who receive disability living allowance?
I do not have the answer to that.
There are no answers. Perhaps it is unfair to ask the question—it might be one for the minister.
People are listening and watching. The Government has a role in making grants, but the energy suppliers also have a role in supporting vulnerable people who live in fuel poverty. We would like a minimum standard social tariff, mandated by the Government. We are pushing for that and many suppliers are moving in that direction by making support products available to low-income and vulnerable consumers.
We have received differing evidence about the health benefits of the programme: the minister said that he is disappointed about the extent of the programme's health benefits, but Eddie Follan's submission states that it has clear health benefits.
My question is related to that point, convener. Several eyebrows were raised when Mr Waugh seemed to suggest that the central heating programme and warm deal appear to have had no impact on the number of deaths from hypothermia among the elderly. Perhaps I picked him up wrongly, but my understanding is that the number of such deaths has reduced significantly since the programme was introduced. Mr Waugh may want to expand on that, because I believe that the programme has had a major impact in helping elderly people who have received systems since it was introduced.
The programme has had a major impact—that is what I was trying to say, but it may have come out wrongly. The fuel poverty programmes have certainly had an effect on the number of excess winter deaths, which is the lowest it has ever been.
Eddie Follan made a point about the fuel poverty forum, and Johann Lamont mentioned that it has not met since the SNP Government came into power.
It has been a lot longer than that.
Well, it is disappointing that the group did not meet during the last 11 months of her party's tenure in Government. What should the focus of the fuel poverty forum be? How often should it meet?
How often it meets is a matter for forum members to address when they get together. We can have it one of two ways: we could have the minister chair the forum, which would dictate how often the forum would meet—as Johann Lamont pointed out—or the forum could have an independent chair. I am going by what I see happening at the fuel poverty advisory group, which seems to have teeth in terms of the recommendations that it makes to Government.
That is a pretty good start. Would Norrie Kerr like to add anything to that?
Unlike Nick Waugh, I am not convinced that the central heating programme and the warm deal have contributed significantly to the reduction in excess winter deaths; I do not know that we have evidence to support that.
In terms of excess winter deaths—
Excuse me, Kenny. Eddie Follan wishes to add to that.
Sorry, convener.
The committee will have heard evidence on this—we need to think outside the box a wee bit when it comes to the impact on the life chances and education of children and young people. I remember sitting in the house in the 1960s and 1970s doing my homework, and there being just one fire on. The point about the impact of cold, damp conditions on children and their performance at school has been well made.
Do panel members think that if we are properly to evaluate the impact of the central heating programme and warm deal there should be an independent study that specifically considers excess winter deaths?
The Scottish Executive undertook a study over three years. As the programme continues, it becomes harder and harder to find a control group of people who do not have central heating. The asthma study also had difficulty finding a control group of people who had asthma but who were not going to be treated. We cannot say, "There's free central heating, but we're not gonnae give you it; we're gonnae see the impact on your health of not having it." That ties a study's hands. It is unfortunate, but we must rely on self-reporting.
I must bring this part of the meeting to a close, because we must hear from our second panel of witnesses. I appreciate the time that you have taken to give evidence. We will continue to take an interest in the issue and to progress our work through short evidence-taking meetings. I look forward to working with you in the future and I thank you for coming.
I thank the panel members for coming to the meeting. Much political heat has been generated recently by the central heating programme, but there seems to be growing consensus that the scheme needs to be reviewed so that it can be improved.
Thank you for the question. I think the first point concerned the waiting list. Regional variation was also mentioned. There is regional variation and some people have been waiting a significant time. In three areas—Shetland, Orkney and the Western Isles—people have been waiting a considerable time, which Scottish Gas deeply regrets. We have ensured that we have served the many and have therefore pushed through a high volume of installations since we took over the programme on 1 October 2006. The consequence of that is that we did not focus sufficiently on the outer islands, but I have now made a commitment that anyone who has been waiting more than six months in those islands will have their heating system fitted before Christmas. I hope that that will address a number of questions. We regret that it has taken us some time to get the right arrangements in place with the contractors to fit those systems.
From a rural local authority perspective, I can only back up what Bob Doris said. If gas systems have been installed, there seems to have been no problem, but we have had a great deal of trouble with oil installations—I can certainly pass on a few names to Eddy Collier.
I am still not clear why the two visits are necessary. Is there a technical aspect to the first visit or is it only about assessing the client against eligibility criteria?
I will address those questions, and Mr Black might want to comment as well.
I have always found that, no matter how good the eligibility survey is, the contractor still wants to go into houses to see what to do. Even though he receives a form with the plan of what is going to happen, he wants to see the place, even if it is just a half-hour check of what needs to be done. I do not think that there is a way round that.
As the convener said at the start of today's meeting, unfortunately—I am sure it is for good reason—Citizens Advice Scotland cannot be with us today. However, it will be helpful to highlight one of the points that it made. I will ask the panel's view on it and on another point from one of the texters who has contacted the committee today. They relate principally to waiting times and uptake.
I guess that I need to take the second question.
What are the various organisations doing on access to promotional material, which brings people into the scheme, and what effect might that have on waiting times?
I am sure that my colleagues from Communities Scotland will want to comment as well.
The contract with Scottish Gas requires it, as managing agent, to promote the scheme appropriately in the light of capacity and demand. We encourage it to use the network of advice agencies—I understand that it has contacts with about 4,000 organisations across the country to put out information through those routes.
Today's news from Mr Collier will be welcomed in the islands. I thank him for informing us that people there who have been waiting for six months will get their central heating installed before Christmas. When you refer to people who have been waiting for six months, from what point in the process is that six months measured? Do you mean six months from the initial application or from some subsequent point?
Alasdair Allan asked two questions. I will deal first with the second question, which was about whether there was specific segmentation. The answer is that, at the start, we had six months to install 6,000 systems from scratch. We were using staff who had been transferred under the Transfer of Undertakings (Protection of Employment) Regulations—although no managers came from the previous programme—and we had no systems, no phones and no records of applicants, other than on bits of paper. As you can imagine, it was pretty difficult to get the process started.
You say that the waiting period begins once you have received people's details, but in the islands and perhaps elsewhere, many people's dealings are through a local agency. In the Western Isles, the local agency is Tighean Innse Gall. Do you mean that the waiting period begins once Scottish Gas has processed the paperwork that has come through a local agency?
We publish all the applications that we receive, regardless of whether they are received through a managing agent. When a case appears on our computer system, it meets our definition of an application. Once we have a record of an application on our computer system, we can manage it. At that point, we organise the eligibility survey.
I will follow up some of the points about transitions—my questions may be not for Eddy Collier but for others. The minister has said that Scottish Gas was not delivering and was disappointing, and some such points have been addressed today. The contract runs until March 2008. Has the impact of leaving Scottish Gas been discussed? Have any papers been produced in the Government about the consequences of moving away from having Scottish Gas as the main supplier?
I will answer that and build on some of what Mr Collier said. Under the contract provisions on whether to extend the contract, we must consider whether Scottish Gas is capable of delivering in the extension year. We have monitored the situation closely since the contract started and through the period that Mr Collier described of the initial high volume when Scottish Gas started from scratch.
The scheme is also under review. What discussions have taken place about changes—geographical targeting, for example—or a major review? What discussions have taken place with Scottish Gas and others about a change of focus in the delivery of the scheme?
My role with Communities Scotland concerns the management of the contract. As we normally would, we have discussed with Scottish Gas the delivery implications of all the hypothetical and theoretical options, to the extent that we could understand the implications of a variety of circumstances for delivering the contract.
Did you discuss with Scottish Gas possible changes to delivery of the central heating programme?
We did not discuss whether that would be advisable.
Did you discuss cost implications?
Yes—precisely.
At the committee's last-but-one meeting, the minister said in response to David McLetchie that the review is, for the time being, internal. We have presented ministers with evidence that is similar to that which has been presented to the committee today. In due course, ministers will consider that evidence and reach a view about how they want to proceed, perhaps after taking account of the views that the committee expresses as a result of today's meeting. However, we are at too early a stage to be clear about that.
The contract will change in 2008. If Scottish Gas is asked to deliver a changed programme with geographical targeting, a reduction rather than an increase in replacements, or enhancements in relation to children and people with disabilities, that will affect the contract, will it not?
To be clear, we have extended the existing contract, which allows for negotiations if eventualities arise during the contract that suggest that a change of approach is required. In principle, the contract would simply be extended from its present position.
I am sure that Eddy Collier and Scottish Gas will be pleased about that. Changes to contracts usually cost more and put Scottish Gas in the driving seat. That is just an observation.
Our primary focus is on ensuring that we serve the public in Scotland. Under this year's programme, which runs until the spring of next year, we will install 12,000 systems. We have installed 10,000 systems in the past 10 months, so we know that we are working at the right run rate. The good news is that we are not having to install 600 systems a week, as we did at the beginning of the year in order to catch up. We are more controlled.
Dr Scott, you said that you are at an early stage with the internal review. Is it not the case that you need to make some firm decisions before the comprehensive spending review? As an area within the Executive, you will have to have fairly firm views before you go into the comprehensive spending review. Otherwise, you will come out the other end with a predetermined budget and a limited ability to expand the programme. Do you have a timescale for the conclusion of the internal review so that you can match up the findings with the finance and ensure that you deliver?
The answer to your question on the timescale is no. The minister has not given me a deadline by which to complete the review. He will want to reach a decision that takes into account all the factors, including the comprehensive spending review.
How can you have an internal review unless you have a budget? Will you have a standstill budget? Can you assume that you will have enough money to deliver what you deliver at present? Do you have options for expanding the budget?
I cannot speculate on those things. All Government programmes are matters for judgment pending the spending review. The issue that we are considering at present is fuel poverty and what is needed to tackle it. I cannot speculate on the resources that we will have under the spending review.
I just wonder how you can have a review without some sense of how big the programme will be in terms of resources.
I will take Patricia Ferguson first, and then David McLetchie.
Thank you, convener. You asked part of my question, so I will move on to something else.
The review has been exploring the nature and extent of fuel poverty; we have been exploring the problem, but the solutions are very difficult and complex. The evidence presented to the committee today, and the committee's views, will doubtless influence us in our approach to finding solutions.
Is your remit to consider what comes next or to consider which other categories of society are affected by fuel poverty?
I think that the minister will want to take a view on that in due course, but he has not done so yet.
The minister has made it clear that he wants to enhance the delivery of systems. The minimum that we would therefore expect is a standstill budget; I cannot imagine that the Government will not commit to that at least—although I am sure that most of us would want the budget to increase.
I hope that the review will be all those things—flexible, imaginative and more. The microrenewables project does not report until summer 2008, so we will not have the results for a little while. When we get them, I hope that we will take them seriously and try to build them into whatever is offered in future.
I want to ask a couple of questions on the promotion of programmes, and my questions will probably be specifically for Mr Collier. A text correspondent has asked what energy suppliers do
Thank you for that question, which is a difficult one. If one were allowed to transfer information from the social services to Scottish Gas directly, the roll out of the tariffs would be easier. However, as we know, it does not work that way for data protection reasons. Targeting people is therefore difficult.
Is that likely to be around 10 or 15 per cent of those customers' average bill?
It will be a bit more significant than 10 per cent, but I do not have the exact figures with me. I came to talk about the heating programme, but I can get those figures for you.
That is fine, thank you.
We have a programme that is already running in England, but I know of no plans to roll it out across the border. I would have thought that our findings from the programme in England would be just as valid here. The issue is about understanding that if one measures more frequently the use of any commodity, one will change one's habits. That assumption has not been proven, but that is what the trial is about, as well as the technology.
Have you already had some results from the trial or is it still being evaluated?
The trial is still in its early days, but we have active customers who have meters from whom we are able to get readings by text message and so on. There are some benefits to the system—the earlier discussion on this issue was worth listening to—but there are also costs associated with it. We are trying to find out what the benefits really are to both the provider, in terms of accuracy of reading, and to the consumer, in terms of a reduction in consumption.
When will the pilot conclude?
I am not sure. I know the person who runs it very well, so I will ask him and get back to you.
Earlier, it was suggested that a pilot scheme could be started within three to six months. However, I do not want to delay any results. If the pilot scheme down south is comparable, it would be interesting to know what stage it has reached. Perhaps we can find that out.
Are you talking about the smart metering pilot?
Yes.
I will take away your request and find out whether there are any results that we can share at this point.
We would appreciate that.
I will do something uncharacteristic and acknowledge, as a constituency member, that Scottish Gas has been helpful in dealing with the problems that were flagged up around the transition. We found that the Eaga parliamentary liaison people were good as well, but the meeting that we had with local officials from Scottish Gas was productive. There has been a drop in the amount of correspondence around the vexing issue of the central heating programme, which, although it is supposed to be a joy to us all, sometimes just creates a lot of work.
I am sure that the minister would consider the notion of a revised forum. He will do so. I defer to Roger Harris on the issue of the cap.
We understand that, so far, the cap has not resulted in any situation in which an installation could not be carried out. However, I understand that its value will be reviewed if evidence shows that it is getting out of date. The question whether the cap mechanism should be reviewed is not part of the contractual side of things.
Energy Action Scotland's report states that an upper grant has been set, but suggests that
We would be happy to do so. I understand that applicants are always given full information about options and running costs, and that they choose the type of system they want. However, we would want to keep that aspect of the contract under review anyway to find out how effective the approach has been and whether specific problems exist. We can tie up with Energy Action Scotland, find out what evidence it has and consider that evidence in more detail. That would be appropriate.
Having advertised for text messages, we have also received an e-mail, from J B McGuire, which is addressed to the committee but is also probably of interest to those who are giving evidence. It says:
May I take away Mr McGuire's e-mail, convener?
Of course.
It is always disappointing to hear that we have let people down. However, we are talking about a large-volume programme, and people will have been disappointed as a result of service and eligibility issues. All that I can say is that we are doing a lot to strengthen the programme. It will be no comfort to Mr McGuire to hear about our ramping up and doing 600 installations a week, which obviously leads to a certain amount of stretching of the processes and letting people down, as we cannot manage such a volume for an extended period. However, we are now down to a level at which we can process things well. As I said, I will take away the e-mail.
I thank Johann Lamont for her comments. I am not usually called sensitive, whether unduly or otherwise, so I appreciate what she said.
Yes, we have a plan, but I refer to the bathtub analogy that I gave earlier. If the bathtub fills up, there will be people who have waited for more than six months.
What do you consider a realistic timescale? What waiting period would you be happy with once you have managed to work through the difficulties and backlogs across Scotland? Are we talking about a month, two months or three months?
Are people concerned about the length of time or the uncertainty? Often, they are concerned about the uncertainty, and we have to get better at communication. When people are waiting at the fish counter, they like to know that they are number 45. We need to take that sort of approach because people will understand that they will have to wait longer if we are very busy. We need to give customers an idea of the average waiting time when they apply. If we can do that more effectively, it would help to keep your mailbags smaller. I recognise that I have caused members some problems, for which I apologise.
Realistically, what should that timescale be?
I do not know what it should be; it is a very difficult question because it is about the balance between demand and supply.
Let me give an example. If someone applies in May, they will not mind waiting for three or four months. However, most people who apply in September, when the weather is getting worse, will want their installation done before winter, if possible. Even if you fixed on a period of two or three months, there could still be considerable discomfort for people who are waiting for installation.
That is a terribly circular argument, as I am sure that you appreciate.
Yes.
I suppose that the process has to take longer than it would if it was paid for with one's own money in the private market, because the dynamics are different. The heating market is very busy at this time of year. Contractors have quite a lot of private work as well and we cannot just tell them to give up all their private work to work on this programme; we must strike a balance.
You have described your talks with Government to tackle a particular geographical issue, and that is good news for people in that area. Are you and the Government confident that that initiative will have no unintended consequences? Wherever someone is in Scotland—whether they are in Ayr or Arbroath—and despite what we were told by the first panel about improving weather patterns, if they have to wait for their central heating, six months is six months. Can you be sure that there will be no unintended consequences involving people having to wait longer in other parts of Scotland, and that the initiative will go forward?
Yes. I have a separate dedicated team that is working on the islands and in rural areas to ensure that we drive the scheme through. That will not affect the scheme's general progress.
I asked that question because of your point about the availability of skills and the skills mix. I presume that all the people with the skills will need to travel from the central belt to the rural and remote areas in question and stay there for a particular period of time. If they are up there, they are not in the central belt.
There is a mixture. Where possible, we try to use local labour, which makes more sense, given that local labour does the maintenance.
Is there the capacity in remote areas?
No—not fully; there is a combination of approaches. You are therefore right: some bigger firms have made capacity available to us. However, we now have the capacity and a plan for each of the postcodes that I mentioned earlier. For specific dates, contractors have committed labour for installation work. Therefore, we will still be able to deliver the volume that we are talking about. We will do around 1,000 installations a month, ensuring that we focus on the islands.
How will you report that to Communities Scotland?
There is an awful lot of reporting to Communities Scotland. It receives information regularly. Roger Harris may want to comment on that.
We have close monitoring arrangements with and receive weekly reports from Scottish Gas. Our delivery team works closely with the local manager and his team. We are kept in constant contact with them and know week by week what is happening.
Do you have specific arrangements in place to ensure that the initiative in the Highlands and the remote areas has no unintended consequences? If not, why not?
Our perception from what has been described to us is that the initiative, as Mr Collier said, involves additional staff and proactively addresses bottlenecks. Much of it is not so much about capacity as about the timing of what Scottish Gas's contractors and third parties such as the electricity companies do. It is about making sure that information is flowing. There has been a tendency in the past for particular cases to get lost in the volume. The initiative will ensure that work is dealt with on a case-by-case basis. It is a question not of making bigger demands on capacity, but of being smarter about the sequencing and organisation of tasks. In that sense, I do not think that the initiative will have significant unintended consequences.
I will build on Mr Harris's point. I have a list of all the people in the islands who have been waiting more than six months. There are 167 of them, so we are talking not about large numbers. They will possibly not be too happy with Scottish Gas about the delay, but the numbers are manageable; we have their names and we have the contractor to do the work for us. Providing that we get the load checks—we have good agreements in those areas, particularly with Scottish Hydro Electric—Mr Allan's mailbag will be lighter than it might have been.
I suspect so.
We need to make sure that we deliver that plan, and I have given a commitment that we will do so. We will make sure that Mr Harris and Dr Scott see that we do. However, it is 167 people out of thousands, so I would not worry.
I am reassured, as long as the number of installations reaches 1,200. If it goes below that figure of 1,000 a week—
It is 1,000 a month.
I was seeking a drastic improvement there.
I look forward to managing that scheme when it comes about.
My point follows on from that of the convener. I, too, have islands in my constituency—Arran and Cumbrae—and I have received inquiries from those areas. There are islands also in Argyll and Bute. The convener made a point to which I was leading when I talked about people waiting five or six months. We should not have the situation whereby, in one part of Scotland, 85 per cent of people have been waiting more than three months but, in another, only 45 per cent have. We should try to ensure the same level of service across the country.
You have done well, but let us get some answers.
Fair enough, convener.
It is a great question, but I am going to refer it to Mr Harris.
The regulations specify who is eligible and who is not. We simply have to apply the regulations.
I would certainly hope that the review would make the rules more flexible on the issues in question.
We simply have to abide by the law.
I want to step backwards beyond Mr Gibson's add-on question.
Mr Harris can comment on what we publish and what we do not. We measure the level of complaints, so we look at any criticism of the scheme and get back to the customer quickly if we cannot deal with it straight away. We also measure what we term the net promoter score. We ask customers how likely it is that they would recommend us to a friend or neighbour for a heating scheme, and we measure that out of 10. We call those who give us nine or 10 "promoters" and those who give us nought to six "detractors". We subtract the percentage of detractors from the percentage of promoters and keep track of the score. It is a good score—I forget exactly what it is at the moment, but it is around 40-plus per cent, which is pretty good considering the granularity of the question. It is not dissimilar from the score for our private sector work.
Is the question that is asked "Would you recommend us?" or does it go into more detail about why people would, or would not, recommend you?
The question also asks why. It is an effective approach. In addition, we have external quality assurance. Bierce Technical Services carries out inspections. Communities Scotland—which has the relationship with Bierce—tells us that the quality of the systems is "very good". I am pleased by that.
We take note of Scottish Gas's customer satisfaction analyses. Our team also receives direct calls, which we refer to Scottish Gas. The calls are usually from people who have reached the end of a chain of frustration. We are well aware that those people represent a small sample—and such complaints have been dropping off recently—so customer satisfaction surveys enable us to put their views in context.
My question is for Sandy Black and the witnesses from the Scottish Government. Local authorities run repairs and improvements grant schemes in relation to fuel poverty and other matters. Should there be a rationalisation of local authority and nationally administered grant schemes? Should local authorities play a major part in the review to ensure that everyone is singing from the same hymn sheet?
Yes. There should be rationalisation and local authorities should be involved. The contact that we have suggests that there are many schemes and programmes, which are run by various bodies, from central and local government to the utility companies. Although such programmes have similar aims, there seem to be mixed messages about how they should be developed. The way forward is to have programmes that come from a central source but are run locally—I ask the committee to consider that.
I cannot comment on the prospects for the review. However, local authority powers to provide assistance are the subject of discussion in the wake of the Housing (Scotland) Act 2006. The issue is live across the spectrum.
Has rationalisation been considered in the internal review?
Not yet, but I am happy to take account of views. My instinctive answer is that I would need to be more convinced that significant overlaps and delays were occurring because of multiple delivery arrangements. I am not yet aware of such problems. It is easy to call for rationalisation and consolidation, but first we need to be clearer about the problem that we are trying to solve. We should focus on the problem and then think about the delivery arrangements.
There is a plethora of delivery mechanisms. Jim Tolson talked about public awareness. Surely it is important to rationalise, so that everyone knows what can be delivered, not only in their area but nationally.
That is quite possible, but one needs to think carefully about whom one is trying to target with what measures. That might bring us to rationalisation or drive us further down the road of specialisation. However, I take the point, which should be considered in due course.
It is about joined-up thinking more than anything else.
I agree.
Yes.
Thank you for your attendance, which the committee found useful—I certainly did. As I said to the first panel of witnesses, we will continue to take an interest in the issue and I hope that we can work with you in future to ensure that what we all want is delivered.
Meeting continued in private until 12:45.
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