Chamber and committees

Data is not available estimating the savings on the direct cost of crime as a result of the reported reduction in consumption in the Monitoring and Evaluating Scotland’s Alcohol Strategy: Second Annual Report.

The University of Sheffield modelling estimates that a 50p minimum unit price will result in a reduction of direct crime costs of £2.9 million in year one and a reduction of £24 million in the cumulative discounted value over ten years. This is allocated differentially over drinker type with a reduction in direct crime costs for moderate drinkers of £0.7 million in year one and a reduction of £6 million in the cumulative discounted value over ten years; a reduction of £0.8 million for hazardous drinkers in year one and a reduction of £6 million in the cumulative discounted value over ten years; a reduction of £1.3 million for harmful drinkers in year one and a reduction of £11 million in the cumulative discounted value over ten years.

It is not possible to estimate any reduction in deaths due to the reported reduction in consumption in the Monitoring and Evaluating Scotland’s Alcohol Strategy: second Annual Report as the impact on the number of deaths may take a number of years to become apparent.

Information on total alcohol-related deaths can be found at: http://www.gro-scotland.gov.uk/statistics/theme/vital-events/deaths/alcohol-related/index.html.

The update report (October 2012) and subsequent additional data (December 2012) were planned and accounted for within Healthcare Improvement Scotland’s overall budget and did not require any additional or external funding. There were no publication costs for either report as they are electronic publications.

Data is not available estimating the cost saving to the public sector as a result of the reported reduction in consumption in the Monitoring and Evaluating Scotland’s Alcohol Strategy: second Annual Report.

The University of Sheffield modelling estimates that a 50 pence minimum unit price will result in a reduction in the value of harm of £64 million in year one with a reduction in the cumulative discounted value of harm of £942 million over ten years. his is allocated differentially over drinker type with a reduction in the value of harm for moderate drinkers of £9.3 million in year one and a cumulative discounted value of harm reduction over ten years of £147 million; for hazardous drinkers, a reduction of £10.1 million in year one and a cumulative discounted value of harm reduction over ten years of £235 million; for harmful drinkers, a reduction of £44.5 million in year one and a cumulative discounted value of harm reduction over ten years of £558 million.

Data is not available estimating the financial value of harm reduction as a result of the reported reduction in consumption in the Monitoring and Evaluating Scotland’s Alcohol Strategy: Second Annual Report.

The University of Sheffield modelling estimates that a 50 pence minimum unit price will result in a reduction in the value of harm of £64 million in year one with a reduction in the cumulative discounted value of harm of £942 million over ten years. This is allocated differentially over drinker type with a reduction in the value of harm for moderate drinkers of £9.3 million in year one and a cumulative discounted value of harm reduction over ten years of £147 million; for hazardous drinkers, a reduction of £10.1 million in year one and a cumulative discounted value of harm reduction over ten years of £235 million; for harmful drinkers, a reduction of £44.5 million in year one and a cumulative discounted value of harm reduction over ten years of £558 million.

<>The level of alcohol consumption/sales is estimated from various sources. Information on alcohol duty clearances can be found on the following link: https://www.uktradeinfo.com/Statistics/Pages/TaxAndDutybulletins.aspx. The Alcohol Factsheet March 2012 table 2.1 shows data relating to alcohol clearances for calendar years 1994 to 2011. Table 2.2 shows data relating to pure alcohol clearances by type from 1986-87 to 2010-11. These figures are on a UK basis. Data for Scotland is not identified separately other than for whisky. Information for whisky produced in Scotland in quantities released for consumption and revenue can be found on the Alcohol Bulletin November 2012 table 9 for calendar years 1994 to 2011.

Information on alcohol consumption can be found in the Scottish Health Survey. The latest (2011) data is available from the following link: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2012/09/7854 at chapter 3.

Data for 2008, 2009 and 2010 can be found at: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Health/scottish-health-survey/Publications; no data is available for 2007.

Information on retail sales data in Scotland can be found at: http://www.healthscotland.com/uploads/documents/19333-sales%20dataset1994-2011_Off-tradeexcludesdiscount%20retailers_082012.xls. This shows levels of retail alcohol sales data in Scotland from 1994 to 2011 (no data is available for 1996-99). The data has been supplied to NHS Health Scotland by Nielsen/CGA.

Data is not available estimating the impact on quality-adjusted life years lost by victims of crime as a result of the reported reduction in consumption in the Monitoring and Evaluating Scotland’s Alcohol Strategy: Second Annual Report.

The University of Sheffield modelling estimates that a 50 pence minimum unit price will result in a reduction in the value of crime quality adjusted life years of £2.2 million in year one with a cumulative discounted value of £20 million over ten years. This is allocated differentially over drinker type with a reduction in the value of crime quality adjusted life years for moderate drinkers of £0.6 million in year one and a cumulative discounted value of harm reduction over ten years of £6 million; for hazardous drinkers, a reduction of £0.6 million in year one and a cumulative discounted value of harm reduction over ten years of £6 million; for harmful drinkers, a reduction of £0.9 million in year one and a cumulative discounted value of harm reduction over ten years of £8 million.

Data is not available estimating the impact on health-related quality of life as a result of the reported reduction in consumption in the Monitoring and Evaluating Scotland’s Alcohol Strategy:Second Annual Report.

The University of Sheffield modelling estimates that a 50 pence minimum unit price will result in a saving of health quality adjusted life years of 300 in year one and a cumulative saving of 9,800 in the first ten years of the policy. This is allocated differentially over drinker type with a saving of health quality adjusted life years for moderate drinkers of 100 in year one and a cumulative saving of 2,100 in the first ten years of the policy; a saving for hazardous drinkers of 100 in year one and 3,500 in the first ten years of the policy; and a saving for harmful drinkers of 100 in year one and 4,200 in the first ten years of the policy.

Information on recorded crimes in Scotland can be found via the following link:

http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Crime-Justice/PubRecordedCrime.

The Monitoring and Evaluating Scotland’s Alcohol Strategy: Second Annual Report does not estimate what impact the reduction in sales has had on crime.

The Scottish Government is committed to introducing minimum unit pricing in order to help tackle alcohol misuse in Scotland. A key component of minimum unit pricing is that it targets a reduction in consumption of alcohol which is cheap relative to its strength. This is significant because it is these alcoholic products which are favoured and consumed by hazardous and harmful drinkers. Minimum unit pricing would, therefore, affect hazardous and harmful drinkers more than moderate drinkers, in terms of the amount they drink, how much they spend and how much they benefit from reductions in harm.

The University of Sheffield modelling estimates that a 50 pence minimum unit price will result in a reduction in total crimes of 3,500 per annum. This is allocated differentially over drinker type with total crimes for moderate drinkers estimated to reduce by 800 per annum, for hazardous drinkers by 900 per annum, and for harmful drinkers by 1,700 per annum.

Data is not available estimating the reduction in absenteeism from work as a result of the reported reduction in consumption in the Monitoring and Evaluating Scotland’s Alcohol Strategy: Second Annual Report.

The University of Sheffield modelling estimates that a 50 pence minimum unit price will result in a reduction in absence days of 32,300 per annum. This is allocated differentially over drinker type with absence days for moderate drinkers estimated to reduce by 11,000 per annum, for hazardous drinkers by 8,900 per annum, and for harmful drinkers by 12,200 per annum.