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Chamber and committees

Official Report: search what was said in Parliament

The Official Report is a written record of public meetings of the Parliament and committees.  

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Dates of parliamentary sessions
  1. Session 1: 12 May 1999 to 31 March 2003
  2. Session 2: 7 May 2003 to 2 April 2007
  3. Session 3: 9 May 2007 to 22 March 2011
  4. Session 4: 11 May 2011 to 23 March 2016
  5. Session 5: 12 May 2016 to 5 May 2021
  6. Current session: 12 May 2021 to 1 May 2025
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Displaying 788 contributions

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Finance and Public Administration Committee

Budget Scrutiny 2025-26 (United Kingdom Context)

Meeting date: 26 November 2024

Craig Hoy

Last year, one of the problems that we had with the Scottish budget was the inability to project public sector pay, which led the Scottish Fiscal Commission to come up with one figure that, in the end, was not reflective of the higher figure that fed through. Public sector pay levels are a matter for the Government and the trade unions, but what more should we in Scotland be doing to ensure that we properly project public sector pay, so that our forecasts are robust and we do not end up with very large in-year revisions?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Budget Scrutiny 2025-26 (United Kingdom Context)

Meeting date: 26 November 2024

Craig Hoy

Is this a UK and Scottish problem, or are there similar trends in equivalent economies?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Budget Scrutiny 2025-26 (United Kingdom Context)

Meeting date: 26 November 2024

Craig Hoy

I laboured the point in my questions because it is a concern of the committee; it lies at the heart of the problem that we have with the Scottish budget.

I refer to the measures introduced by the UK Government to target the overspend, including the potential savings that were put in place in July, with

“departments absorbing at least £3.2 billion of the public sector pay pressure ... immediate action to stop all non-essential government consultancy spend”

and

“a 2% saving against government administration budgets”.

The UK Government has said that that process is on-going. How confident are you that it can realise that set of potential savings? Are you seeing anything like the equivalent determination in the Scottish Government to implement those kinds of efficiency savings in expenditure?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Budget Scrutiny 2025-26 (United Kingdom Context)

Meeting date: 26 November 2024

Craig Hoy

Earlier, you discussed demographic trends in relation to the UK workforce. We have been dependent on net inward migration for employment. Is there a risk that, as we close that gap, the UK will be seen as a less attractive place to come and live and work, bearing in mind that, despite the net inward migration into the UK, Scotland is not realising its fair share, which is leading to imbalances in the labour and employment market here? Is there a risk that our dependence on net inward migration could be undermined by the closure in the gap?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Budget Scrutiny 2025-26 (United Kingdom Context)

Meeting date: 26 November 2024

Craig Hoy

Presumably that work should begin now; the UK Government should not be negligent. It should act with gusto and determination.

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Budget Scrutiny 2025-26 (United Kingdom Context)

Meeting date: 26 November 2024

Craig Hoy

We have heard today about the UK Government’s perspective on welfare and unemployment. How concerned should we be about the fact that Scotland has a higher percentage of people who are claiming long-term disability benefits and that the trend seems to be that the percentage of people claiming those benefits is rising faster than it is elsewhere, which should presumably be a concern for any Government.

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Budget Scrutiny 2025-26 (United Kingdom Context)

Meeting date: 26 November 2024

Craig Hoy

With regard to the active labour market, post-pandemic, there is a sense that people are retiring earlier. Sometimes, that relates to pensions legislation; other people are perhaps just not working quite as hard as they did pre-pandemic. In public policy terms, how do you seek to reverse that trend?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Budget Scrutiny 2025-26 (United Kingdom Context)

Meeting date: 26 November 2024

Craig Hoy

How concerned should we be about the level of inactivity in the labour market across the whole of the UK, and specifically in Scotland, where it is higher as a percentage of the population?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Budget Scrutiny 2025-26 (United Kingdom Context)

Meeting date: 26 November 2024

Craig Hoy

The impact of the national insurance increase on the public sector is topical in Scotland at the moment, as there appears to be a potential dispute between the UK Government and the Scottish Government in relation to the Barnett consequentials that are coming forward. The Scottish Government says that it requires £500 million, but the UK Government is presently giving £300 million. How accurate or robust is either of those figures? How easy is it to project what the figure for Scotland would be on the back of the national insurance increase, specifically in relation to public sector jobs?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Budget Scrutiny 2025-26 (United Kingdom Context)

Meeting date: 26 November 2024

Craig Hoy

In relation to your assessment of the UK tax take and so on, the convener identified that you have some issues about making projections. In Scotland, there has more recently been a principle of Scottish exceptionalism—we do things differently, and we create new bodies to do things differently. Would there be a case for the Scottish Fiscal Commission being brought into the Office for Budget Responsibility so that you could work seamlessly together to get a more accurate picture of the state of Scotland’s finances?