Skip to main content
Loading…

Chamber and committees

Official Report: search what was said in Parliament

The Official Report is a written record of public meetings of the Parliament and committees.  

Filter your results Hide all filters

Dates of parliamentary sessions
  1. Session 1: 12 May 1999 to 31 March 2003
  2. Session 2: 7 May 2003 to 2 April 2007
  3. Session 3: 9 May 2007 to 22 March 2011
  4. Session 4: 11 May 2011 to 23 March 2016
  5. Session 5: 12 May 2016 to 5 May 2021
  6. Current session: 12 May 2021 to 22 August 2025
Select which types of business to include


Select level of detail in results

Displaying 2621 contributions

|

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Medium-term Financial Strategy, Economic and Fiscal Forecasts and Policy Prospectus

Meeting date: 13 June 2023

Douglas Lumsden

Oh! Thank you, convener—you took me by surprise.

Cabinet secretary, you mentioned earlier in response to questions from Liz Smith that the employment rate went down slightly. From what I can see, it went down by 1.8 percentage points, which is not a slight drop—it is a huge drop, in relative terms. What impact will that have on the tax net position that flows through? It looks as though the net position will be positive, but with a drop such as that, what changes might there be to the position?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Medium-term Financial Strategy, Economic and Fiscal Forecasts and Policy Prospectus

Meeting date: 13 June 2023

Douglas Lumsden

How will you address that economic inactivity?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Medium-term Financial Strategy, Economic and Fiscal Forecasts and Policy Prospectus

Meeting date: 13 June 2023

Douglas Lumsden

Yes, but it is £3,437 million by 2026-27.

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Medium-term Financial Strategy, Economic and Fiscal Forecasts and Policy Prospectus

Meeting date: 13 June 2023

Douglas Lumsden

You mentioned the figures from the OBR and those from the SFC, which diverge quite a lot. The OBR’s forecast for earnings growth is 2 per cent and the SFC’s is 2.6 per cent, although the SFC says that that

“should be interpreted with caution as it is sensitive to changes in ... the ... forecasts”.

How much confidence do you have that earnings growth in Scotland will outperform that in the rest of the UK? As we all know, that is key. When it comes to the fiscal framework, we have to outperform the rest of the UK in order to receive positive block grant adjustments.

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Medium-term Financial Strategy, Economic and Fiscal Forecasts and Policy Prospectus

Meeting date: 13 June 2023

Douglas Lumsden

The figure that I am looking at is the increase between 2023-24 and 2026-27, which is more than 10 per cent.

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Medium-term Financial Strategy, Economic and Fiscal Forecasts and Policy Prospectus

Meeting date: 13 June 2023

Douglas Lumsden

Am I out of time, convener?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Medium-term Financial Strategy, Economic and Fiscal Forecasts and Policy Prospectus

Meeting date: 13 June 2023

Douglas Lumsden

Thank you, convener—I will come in briefly.

We see that non-domestic rates will increase by more than 10 per cent over the next three years. Can you give us some narrative around that? Is it because of growth or because businesses are going to be charged more?

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Medium-term Financial Strategy, Economic and Fiscal Forecasts and Policy Prospectus

Meeting date: 13 June 2023

Douglas Lumsden

Yes, there is cause for optimism, but the SFC also says that the figures

“should be interpreted with caution”.

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Medium-term Financial Strategy, Economic and Fiscal Forecasts and Policy Prospectus

Meeting date: 13 June 2023

Douglas Lumsden

I will move on to public sector reform. You mentioned that you are working on an overall picture of what the public sector landscape will look like. When do we expect to see that? I imagine that it will be key for setting the budget in years to come.

Finance and Public Administration Committee

Medium-term Financial Strategy, Economic and Fiscal Forecasts and Policy Prospectus

Meeting date: 13 June 2023

Douglas Lumsden

You mentioned public bodies working better together. Will they do that voluntarily, or do you think that that has to be mandated? The evidence that we have heard is that it is possible to get proper, big reform only when it is mandated centrally.