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Agenda item 2 is on the budget process 2005-06. I welcome Professor Arthur Midwinter, the budget adviser to the Finance Committee. He has prepared for us a helpful briefing paper on the budget process, which is a good starting point for our consideration of equality issues. I am sure that committee members will have lots of questions on it.
The Treasury guidance on outputs and outcomes suggests that they should be quantitative. My view is that output and outcome figures are not answers in their own right and that we should interpret them against wider policy objectives to make sense of them. The notion that all that is needed is a few simple performance indicators that can be put in a league table is just nonsense.
That was helpful, thank you. The Executive has made quite a play of mainstreaming equality and having equal opportunities as a budget heading; indeed, the minister has made it clear that that is an Executive priority. We would be interested to know how that is working and what kind of audit is taking place to ensure that the Executive is delivering on its priority.
Thank you for your briefing paper, Professor Midwinter. Paragraph 8 is on spending plans and you give figures in tables 1 and 2. However, there are significant gaps, as you point out. In paragraph 8, you say:
They are probably not costed; they are dealt with as part of a wider policy. The people who run the services tend to say, "If we generally invest in education, this will have a particular benefit for these high-need groups." However, I doubt whether we can put figures or benefits on that, which is where mainstreaming would probably come in. In my paper, I specifically identified those parts of the budget that I regarded as directly benefiting equality groups in some way or as being aimed at a particular problem. The Executive has always argued that there is a level at which spending on education, health and so on benefits equality groups, because those groups have higher-than-normal needs. However, we should not just take that argument at face value. We ought to probe it rather than just assume that it is true because people say that it is true.
In paragraph 8 of your paper, you talk about equality proofing the budget. Is the Executive breaking down the budget? For example, is it gender proofing the budget? Are there signs that the Executive is looking at its spending in terms not only of targeting but of how policies affect particular groups? I talked previously with you about the adverse effect that compulsory competitive tendering had on women as a group. Are there signs that the Executive is looking at its spending, policies and priorities with an eye to their possible adverse effects?
You would be pushed to find signs of that in the annual evaluation review. I am outside the system, but my understanding is that guidance is given to departments about the construction of the budget and within that they are advised that, if they make a new spending proposal, they must say how it will advance cross-cutting agendas such as equality or sustainability. However, such documents are not in the public domain, so we do not know from the outside how crucial they are in the final analysis. My understanding is that the Executive is using the two pilot studies as a basis for providing a mainstreaming toolkit. I would guess that there is not as much analysis going on behind the scenes as you think there is. However, that is only a guess.
The committee could consider probing further into that. You referred to the Executive talking behind the scenes about advancing mainstreaming, but the opposite of that has not been mentioned, which is the adverse effects that policies might have on certain groups.
The equality audit concept is one of the ways in which the committee could probe such matters in great depth. The committee could call witnesses in the normal way and have researchers go into the system to get evidence out of it. From the documents that I have seen and the discussions in which I have been involved, I am fairly clear that the approach is one of incremental and modest change rather than radical change.
The Executive seems to have been squeamish about insisting that public sector agencies have such targets. I agree that if the money and resources come from the Executive, those agencies need to demonstrate that they are mainstreaming equality.
If the Executive has an agenda and it has put in place service-delivery agencies to deliver the programmes that are approved by the Parliament, it is perfectly sensible for the Parliament to have some kind of report on their performance. Particularly in the case of the big services in health and local government, it appears that no data on the dimension of employment are presented. We have data for the Executive, which is a big employer in Edinburgh but a small employer in Scotland as a whole in comparison with health and local government.
The committee might feel that it would be worth while for us to raise the issue with the minister. Would you mind telling us a bit about the pilots? I know that that is not your remit—it is the minister's—but I am hearing whispers from members that they want to know more about them.
I have not been involved in any discussions about the pilots.
I understand that.
I have heard that the Executive is looking at two case studies. It is using one of the techniques that were developed under gender-based budgeting to look at the effect of the spend on its stop smoking campaign. The other pilot involves the participation of women in sport. The Executive is saying, "If we were to look at those areas through a gender-budgeting perspective, what would be done differently and what kind of data would be generated?" I understand that, on the basis of the findings of those two exercises, the Executive is trying to develop a mainstreaming approach to the budget.
It will be important to have some kind of audit on a regular basis to match against the previous year and to track developments—
That is particularly so because the system is not geared to generating that kind of information. The Parliament has to take the information forward with the Executive. From what I know, I think that the Executive would be willing to co-operate with the committee if it decided to go ahead on that basis.
I am still struggling—and probably always will struggle—with the budget process, which I find difficult. You say in paragraph 11 of your paper:
My experience over the past three years is that the Executive is open to committees' proposals, particularly for initiatives that are below the budget level. Often the things that interest committees are below budget level 3; they are part of a programme—or are projects within a programme—rather than one of the programmes that are costed in the budget documents.
As we pick things up during our inquiry into disability, we could probably cross-check the information with what is going on in the Executive to see whether there is anything new or existing that is of interest.
That is something that we have to bear in mind. A number of organisations have told us that a major issue for them is the resource problems that people face.
The inquiry is probably an opportunity to tie ends together.
I would like to pick up on the important point about the outcomes of the targets and about just how much money is being spent. We are constantly hearing about people who are not getting the services that we feel they require. We also hear people putting forward sensible ideas about issues such as transport.
Even though the Executive has a fairly firm and clear commitment to developing outcomes, it is fair to say that there continue to be huge gaps in the links between the money and the outcomes. It is hard to monitor things, even for a specialist, particularly when the money goes in big lumps.
That is right, given that a lot of the money goes to other agencies where—
The Executive spends hardly anything itself. It passes on the money.
That is right, which takes us back to the agencies. We need to examine their outputs if we are to see whether the money is getting to the appropriate organisations. There is an issue around equality at the local level—I am thinking of local authorities, health boards and so on.
I found your paper illuminating. As a new member, this is the first time that I have dealt with the budget in this much detail. The paper provokes many questions about what the Executive is doing with the money.
I understand that Margaret Curran has a co-ordinating role to play, given that she co-ordinates the Cabinet sub-committee that deals with the implementation of the Executive's strategy. When the minister comes before the committee to give evidence, it is perfectly in order for you to push her to find the answers to these questions—that is the purpose of the exercise.
In section 6 of your paper you say that some interest groups might regard the repositioning of the equality issue as downgrading. Given what you have just said, am I right in thinking that you, too, see it as downgrading?
The repositioning of equality is capable of being interpreted as downgrading, which is why the committee needs to get the minister on the record. This is the first time that the document has come out. I am happier with the new format, and happier that the Executive has fewer priorities than before. From the framework, however, it is not clear how I could monitor whether the Executive is delivering on equality. From how the document is laid out we cannot know that equality is a priority. I am fairly confident that some of the groups will think that it has been downgraded. It might just be an oversight, because of the new style that the Executive has used to produce the document this year.
But you suggest that it is a top priority for the committee to get clarification—
My reading of the document is that it does not show that equality is a priority. Equality is a sub-theme.
The committee needs to take that on board.
I would not want anyone to think that I was being kind or generous to the Executive—I would never be that—but I wonder whether it is possible that the Justice Department has an equality component but has not identified it. That goes for other Executive departments that have not identified an equality component. Is that possible, or does that component simply not exist at all? Is the problem the laying out of the information, rather than the fact that equality is not included?
Professor Midwinter?
I am thinking through my response rather than just leaping in with an answer.
I do not know what is more worrying: the fact that those components are not present; or the fact that they are, but the departments do not recognise them. Both those possibilities are a problem.
I am a firm believer that the transparency of the process requires the equality components to be in the documents. If they are not in the documents, you assume that they are not present. If they are present, you should push to make sure that they are in the documents. Only if they are in the documents that have been approved by the Scottish Parliament can you say that the Parliament has signed up to the agenda and that the spending has your approval.
Given that the Executive is talking about mainstreaming—which some might think of as downgrading—but has only just started to identify in some departments equality components relating to that, is it possible that in future years the equality components will not be specifically identified as they are at the moment?
Do you mean once they become mainstream?
Yes.
Ideally, those factors would be taken into account automatically and the Executive would not need to be asked to provide guidance as to how it is advancing its equality strategy. If that happened automatically, the budget process would be easy because it would entail only a simple costing; the plans for the ministers' portfolios would contain the relevant elements and the accountants would simply cost the process. However, we are a long way from that situation. For a number of years to come, the documents will be produced as they are currently. We are a long way from having everything mainstreamed.
If some departments are only just starting to identify equality components, I would think that the culture of some of the various departments would mean that some equality components have not been identified.
I am sure that that is true. I have no doubt that some departments are doing things that they are not aware are related to equality issues.
The priority for the committee is that we are moving towards mainstreaming equalities. In that regard, I am worried that some of the information that we are getting might be lost. We should be trying to ensure that we get a baseline. We need to understand where we are now, so that we can measure whether mainstreaming is working in later years.
I would assume that, once the pilot studies have been done, the department will come to the committee with a paper on how it proposes to make progress with that work. Certainly, the department will come to the group that I am a member of for advice on that. This committee should keep the emphasis on the subject in your discussions with the minister. I am sure that the department will be committed to the work, which is new ground for most of the civil service.
It is new ground, but there appears to be a commitment to mainstreaming equality. The idea of having an equality audit might allow us to consider what is happening.
It would help the process.
In the Communities Committee, you mentioned the big issue of poverty. Do you want to comment on that to this committee? Many equality issues relate to poverty, which has to do not only with a lack of money, but of opportunity, information and so on. Of course, such issues tend to impact more on women, people with disabilities and minority ethnic groups. For example, women are the heads of the majority of single-parent families and, because of that, they tend to depend more on social housing than on the private mortgage sector. What priority has the tackling of poverty been given in the paperwork that has been produced, specifically with regard to equalities issues?
My concern with the poverty strategy relates to the arguments that we were airing earlier in that there has been a failure to identify the resources that are going through to groups in poverty. The strategy is clear: the Executive wishes to reduce inequality. The Executive's set of indicators for measuring poverty at the absolute level are dependent on what happens to benefits at the Whitehall level and on what happens to the level of income in the economy.
I suggest that the committee contact key stakeholders for their views on the budget process, particularly with regard to equalities issues and gender budgets. Do we agree to do that?
That would be helpful. Those key stakeholders will be preparing papers to submit to the spending review and so should be able to give you some good feedback.
I thank you for your paper and for your input.
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