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We move on to agenda item 3, on the Scottish solutions inquiry. We are joined by Lewis Macdonald, the Deputy Minister for Enterprise and Lifelong Learning and, from the Scottish Executive, Lucy Hunter, head of the higher education and science division, and Jamie Hume, head of the higher education branch.
I am happy to do so, if you wish.
I will raise with you a general point, which was made early in the committee's evidence taking—in fact, I think that it was made before we took any oral evidence—on the amount of money that the Executive is putting into higher education as a proportion of the budget. The Scottish Executive budget has expanded considerably over the past couple of years, but the fact was highlighted that higher education is not expanding to the same extent as other items in the budget. What do you feel about that, especially given the importance that we all attach to higher education?
I agree that that is an important issue. It is important to begin by acknowledging that, in the current spending review period, there has been an increase in funding for higher education in the order of £100 million, which approaches a 7 per cent real-terms increase. We would not accept the idea that the increase in higher education funding should always match the increase in the overall budget. Whether in higher education or in any other area of Government spending, we do not think that simply maintaining a subject area's share of expenditure from one spending review period to another makes any sense. We would not have spending reviews if we thought that there was a magic formula by which we ought always to abide.
I do not want to put words in your mouth, but, leaving aside what might happen in England and Wales, which is the cause of our inquiry, do you get the feeling that our spending on higher education at the moment is about right?
We certainly have a strong position in the world marketplace, and the change in spending over the current spending review period has allowed us to maintain that level of competitiveness—for example, it has allowed us to maintain appropriate levels of access. We are conducting phase 3 of the review to determine what the appropriate level of spending for the next period will be. We want our conclusions to be informed not only by our phase 3 inquiry but by the committee's considerations and what happens elsewhere. As I said in my opening remarks, it is not yet possible to measure the consequences of what happens elsewhere, but we intend to keep close to the proposals as they progress and to be able to reflect their impact in our plans for the next spending review period.
I will push the minister on collaboration, about which we have heard quite a bit from those who have given us evidence. It would be fair to say, without giving anything away, that the committee has taken some interest in the issue. How do the Executive and the funding council evaluate the success or otherwise of collaborations so far? What measures do you use to say that something is good or bad; what are your parameters? I am interested to know where you are with that.
Measurement must be case by case. For instance, the collaboration between the University of Edinburgh and the University of Glasgow on computer science is world beating. It is a good example of the kind of collaboration that can happen and which we want to encourage to continue. There are also collaborations between universities in Scotland and universities elsewhere—for example, in the United States of America, in Europe and elsewhere in the United Kingdom—but we realise that there is a specific Scottish dimension to collaboration. Scotland is a small country, after all. Universities Scotland represents a relatively limited number of institutions that are able to work together in a very close way that is perhaps not always available to higher education institutions in larger countries. That is a strength that we want to build on.
Given what you have said about the benefits of collaboration and the relative smallness of Scotland, do you think that we have too many universities, although not too many students?
No, I do not. Diversity is a strength as well as a basis on which different institutions can collaborate. In a number of areas, there have been discussions around collaboration that have led to mergers between institutions. We do not have a firm and fixed view about that. Through the Scottish Higher Education Funding Council's strategic grants, we have encouraged collaboration and made it possible. However, the decisions on institutional form and so on are best made—or certainly initiated—by the universities themselves.
I have two questions that flow from each other. In your opening remarks, you said that it is not possible to measure the consequences of what happens elsewhere. That is probably a fair comment. The purpose of our inquiry is to consider what the likely consequences for and impact on Scottish higher education will be if top-up fees are introduced.
We recognise that there is the potential for disadvantage. You are right to preface your remarks by saying that it is not yet possible to predict that with any certainty, as we do not yet know what proposals will come forward in England, far less how they will proceed through Parliament or the detail of their implementation and how that might impact on Scotland.
If we assume that top-up fees are introduced in England and Wales, all the evidence suggests that disadvantage may be created. Many stakeholders, including several university principals, have suggested to me privately that if that happens and disadvantage is clear, and the Executive is not prepared to make up the gap that those people perceive—whether or not you accept that that gap exists—they may say that top-up fees are needed in Scotland, too. If those stakeholders, such as university principals, beat a path to your door and say that if the Executive is not prepared to fund them, they must have top-up fees to remove the unfair playing field, is it inconceivable that the Executive would say, "No, you can't have top-up fees"?
We have made it as clear as we can that we have no intention of going down that route. The graduate endowment approach is the correct way of providing student support and we have seen and heard nothing to persuade us otherwise. University principals will make their case for funding, as we would expect them to, and we will listen carefully to them.
I do not want to put words in your mouth, but will you confirm that the Executive has not excluded contributing to filling the funding gap that would be created if top-up fees were introduced?
That is an important "if". At the moment, the only gap that exists operates the other way round, as Scotland has the competitive advantage. If changes elsewhere put us at a disadvantage, we would seek to address that. As I said a few moments ago, we would do so in several ways, one of which would be to consider the contribution that should come from central Government resources, but we would also consider other ways of working with higher education institutions to assist them in addressing their requirements.
You referred to the fact that Scotland does rather well at recruiting and retaining staff. Considerable concern has been expressed about whether we will continue to do so well, particularly in research. It has been suggested that we might even lose whole teams if money is not made available, but it has also been suggested that collaboration might be one way to overcome that. However, collaboration would make teams more attractive only if they had the finance to do that. Would you encourage collaboration on more than just the research and development side? In response to a question from the convener, you suggested that we did not have an excessive number of higher education institutions. Are there ways in which institutions can come together to take out some of the administrative cost base and redirect the money into R and D, teaching or some other aspect of their primary purpose?
That may be the case. On your first question about recruitment and retention, you were right to highlight the concern that our strong position could be undermined by changes elsewhere. That is why staffing is one of the four subject areas that we have asked the third phase of the higher education review to look at specifically.
I have one further point on the same general area. Has the Executive given any consideration to encouraging the higher education institutions and research institutes to make being a researcher more attractive in Scotland than elsewhere by giving greater stability to researchers through their contracts? I know that one or two institutions have looked at that, but is it under consideration by your working parties? If someone has a short-term contract, they will not hang about if they get a better offer. However, if someone has a two or three-year contract, as opposed to a one-year contract, they might stay.
In our discussions with the higher education institutions, we have made it clear that we want to see a reduction in the levels of short-term contract working. In order to work toward that end, we have asked the Scottish Higher Education Funding Council to produce annual reports on the position with regard to short-term working.
I would like to ask a few questions about the policy-making process. A number of witnesses have used the phrase, "We are where we are." I would like to reflect for a moment on why we are where we are, and on where we go from here, given that we are where we are. Can you tell us what consultation or dialogue took place between UK ministers and Scottish ministers prior to the publication of the Department for Education and Skills white paper?
Not from personal experience. I was not involved in such discussions. My understanding is that the DFES white paper was produced at the beginning of the year, as a consultative document. In saying that, I look to my colleagues, who were officials in the Enterprise and Lifelong Learning Department at the time but, to my knowledge, we were not involved in that.
You indicated that the Executive was not involved prior to the white paper's publication. Would you consider that to have been a flaw in the policy-making process? I am sure that you will have read thoroughly all the evidence that has been presented to us. You will note, for example, that Dr Chris Masters of the Scottish Higher Education Funding Council described it as "unhelpful" that there was not more consultation as regards Scotland before the publication of the white paper.
As a minister, I am finding that, particularly now that we have begun the second session of the Parliament, the habit and structure of consultation between Scottish ministers and UK ministers are getting stronger all the time. That is partly down to experience and it also relates to the changing role of the Scotland Office. It is a sign of the maturing of devolution that we have increasing dialogue with UK ministers on all manner of things. For example, Jim Wallace met Charles Clarke earlier in the month to discuss various matters. I met Ivan Lewis in September and discussed higher and further education and training matters with him. There is a growing dialogue at those levels, and I think that that is the right direction in which to move.
Let me pursue a couple of points further, starting with a constitutional point. Although I am sure we would all wish the devolution settlement to be reflected and respected as part of the policy-making process, the UK Government surely has a responsibility to be concerned with the impact of its policy on the whole of the United Kingdom. Devolution should not give rise to situations where Scottish considerations are conspicuous by their absence. Returning to the evidence that we received, I note that Rami Okasha from the National Union of Students Scotland said:
Dialogue can only be helpful on both sides in the relationship and it is developing alongside the devolution settlement. We make great efforts to ensure that colleagues south of the border are aware of the Scottish dimensions in this and other areas of policy. In my view, devolution has helped us to make our case, as it allows us to take a slightly more distinctive position when that is called for. UK ministers should certainly be aware of and take into account the Scottish dimensions of such issues.
Given all that you have said, I want to look to the future. In our questions and repeatedly in the course of the inquiry, we have become stuck in the loop of not knowing how to respond to something that has not yet happened. Should we not seek to influence what happens rather than simply wait to react to it? Given that you say that there is now improved and increased dialogue between ministers, what is the purpose of that dialogue? Is it to impart information or is it to seek to influence the eventual outcome of the decision-making process at a UK level?
In essence, the purpose of the dialogue is to ensure that any decisions that UK ministers take are taken in full cognisance of the position in Scotland and of their potential impact in Scotland. That includes imparting information. Critically, it includes coming to an agreed understanding of what the factual position is. As I am sure that you have discovered in the course of your inquiry, that is not a straightforward matter and it is something that we are keen to flesh out in our higher education review. It is also important to address that matter with UK colleagues who are making a decision on the areas for which they have responsibility; we want to ensure that in doing that, they are aware of the position here and the potential impact that their decisions might have.
We took evidence from Professor Arthur Midwinter early on. The Executive can expect Barnett consequentials as a result of the plans in the white paper for spending on the endowment in England and, potentially, on increased participation. I want to confirm whether the Executive also expects increased funds as a result.
Yes, we do. If the proposals on top-up fees are implemented as they are currently constituted, they will be implemented in tandem with changes to the English student support system, which will involve fees being paid directly by Government or through the student loans system from 2006. That expenditure will turn into income for Government only as loans are repaid three or four years later. That will therefore involve a significant additional level of central Government public spending on higher education in England and Wales. There will be a direct consequential from that and a percentage will feed through the Barnett formula into additional funding for Scotland.
Do you think that the Executive might also accept that there is a good argument for investing those funds specifically in Scottish higher education to address some of the issues that will result from the introduction of top-up fees south of the border, particularly as those funds are being created because of the proposals in England?
First, I return to the point that I made at the outset, which was that the decisions that the Scottish Executive Cabinet makes on how to deploy its budget have to be informed by the circumstances and the competing claims of different sectors of potential public spending commitments. Therefore, any consequentials—whether they are in health or higher education—are subject to that same approach.
I have two points, but I might as well pick up the second one first because it relates to the budget consequentials. In paragraph 15 of the Executive's submission to the committee, it is stated clearly that the Executive expects there to be consequentials for the calculation of the Scottish budget as a result of the changes that are proposed in England. As Richard Baker highlighted, the key point is that the funds transfer across to higher education. If I wrote down your comments correctly, you just said that that adds to the flexibility of response for Scottish ministers.
We would not want to do anything that would contribute to reversing the benefit that we currently enjoy. In examining the evidence that we gather in the course of our review and from the committee and other sources, we will consider the ways in which we can protect the competitive position of higher education in Scotland. I am sure that you would not expect me to make any commitment on behalf of my colleagues as to the ring fencing of any consequentials for any particular purpose before the spending review.
I would not expect you to look that far ahead, although most people would think that it would be reasonable for the minister with responsibility for higher education to argue the case that we are talking about, given the relative position between Scotland and England.
It refers to the value in public expenditure terms that is put on money that is provided as a student loan. In other words, the provision of a loan that will be repaid at relatively limited interest rates over a long period is not the same in public spending terms as simple expenditure, but neither is the money 100 per cent recouped. There is a grey area as to what it represents in public spending terms. The figure of around one third is probably a conservative estimate. We would expect consequentials to be affected by that, at least.
Universities Scotland made a couple of comments. You will be aware—as it has been publicised—that it suggested that an investment of around £102 million would be necessary if the legislation were introduced as suggested and came into effect in 2006. The submission from Universities Scotland details that sum and gives further information on it. I accept that we are speaking hypothetically in terms of the specifics, but I think that it is likely that the legislation will be introduced. What observations can you or your officials offer on the view that that is the money that would be required simply to maintain Scotland's position relative to that of England?
You will be aware that that figure has been arrived at with reference to the levels of expenditure at the beginning of the spending review period and to the expenditure of a group of Scandinavian countries within the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. We have not seen all the details of the basis of that calculation and we would be happy to discuss that with Universities Scotland. Although we think that it is appropriate to compare the commitment to higher education of various countries on a per capita funding basis, we do not think that the setting of necessary income levels for future years can be done simply by reference to prior levels, levels in other countries or a kind of global sum.
I am surprised that Universities Scotland has not sent you the information that it sent us.
It has sent us the paper, but some of the detail is not clear.
Universities Scotland has put a price on the gap—how that stands up remains to be seen. You mentioned interministerial relations in response to Susan Deacon's question. In discussions with Alan Johnson and Ivan Lewis and their officials, was it made clear that the Scottish Executive expected that Scotland would be worse off if the proposals went through as they stood?
No. We have discussed with ministers what the impacts might be, but we have not tried to prejudge those, because we are not yet in a position to quantify them. Although we have seen interesting figures put forward from various directions, until we know what will go through in UK legislation and how that will be implemented, which universities in England will implement it and what effect that will have, we cannot quantify the impact. It would be difficult to expect others to quantify precisely what the impacts might be. However, we have discussed the consequences for Scotland of changes in England.
It may be difficult to quantify what the effects might be, but the fact is that there will be a deleterious effect on Scottish higher education vis-à-vis the current position which, as you will have noticed from today's edition of The Herald, the University of Glasgow is stressing again. That has been the view of all universities. I find it surprising that you are not willing to say that you know that there will be a negative effect although you do not know the precise effect.
We are having the phase 3 review because we want to pin down the potential impacts. It is far better to substantiate the issues at stake and quantify what might be involved than to raise concerns that we find difficult to substantiate further down the track. We are keen to work with Universities Scotland and other stakeholders to put together a clear body of evidence on which we can base the discussions and lay out the potential impacts on Scottish higher education.
Throughout the inquiry I have been anxious to stress that the provision of tertiary education in Scotland is not confined as significantly to the university sector as it is in England. The further education sector contributes significantly to the total of 51 per cent participation. The demographic mix in our institutions is different, with more adult returners, more part-time students and more degrees being done in further education. I notice that in paragraph 8 of your submission you quote paragraphs 5.7 and 5.10 of the white paper, which are on expansion into foundation degrees, which might be said to be similar to the higher national diploma, which is the norm here. In paragraphs 11 and 12 of your paper you consider what might happen to the total of any increased funding coming in.
I have not made any commitment to seek hypothecation. I am sure that that is clear from the Official Report, but it is perhaps worth repeating. On plans for the future funding of tertiary education in Scotland, the plans that we have to merge the funding councils for further and higher education indicate the direction of our thinking and our recognition that the strength of our higher education sector and the strength and potential of our further education sector cannot be separated—on the contrary, we want to pull them together.
That is what I hoped to hear for the broad range of students who are going through tertiary education. However, there is an issue to do with the support for, sustainment of and improvement in research to enable us to keep our competitive edge. What thinking has the Executive done on introducing funding or support mechanisms to improve our research capacity?
A number of things are already in play. A few moments ago, we talked about liaison with UK colleagues. We have a good deal of regular official dialogue about research provision and funding with the Office of Science and Technology, and 12 per cent of the UK research councils' funding comes to Scotland, which contrasts with our 9 per cent of the UK population. We do well in that respect, but there are no grounds for complacency. Looking ahead, we want to build on those strengths.
That prompts a further question. As was pointed out to us when I asked a question, the work of the ITIs will be subject to national and international bidding processes, and there is no guarantee that that work will stay in Scotland. What steps are you taking to ensure that those areas of Scottish research and collaboration that are already world class will continue to be world class while we continue to identify and develop others?
You are right to say that we would not instruct the ITIs to commission research only from Scottish universities. We want them to commission the best research. However, we also want them to enable Scottish universities to be in a position to win that work. They are already talking to Scottish higher education institutions about how those institutions can best relate to the ITIs and take advantage of the investment that we are putting into them.
I want to press the minister about the interface between enterprise, business and the universities. There is an ivory-tower problem. If you have people in a successful business in a high-tech area, or even a successful graduate, those people or that graduate may be contacted by their alma mater asking for a large cheque. However, such people are not going to universities to give lectures or tutorials in their subjects. If they did, that would be a small acorn from which mighty oaks might grow, in the sense that companies might employ research facilities at universities to develop products. What proposals does the Scottish Executive have to address the fundamental problem of lack of communication?
Mr Stone is right to suggest that there is potential—we want to pursue that. Again, we would encourage universities to talk to businesses and industry in their areas to promote that kind of cross-fertilisation. That is the right direction to take.
Is there a problem with academic elitism? People may say, "We don't want those people in here because they might not understand what we're on about." I feel that that is what sometimes happens.
That is not my experience. In recent months, I have visited a number of universities and a number of university spin-out companies and I have been struck by the increasing cross-fertilisation between industry and higher education. I think of the life sciences in Dundee and of the energy industries in Aberdeen, among others. In those areas, the universities seek to work with industry and progressive employers see great advantages in working with universities. For example, a senior member of staff in an academic institution might spend a day or two every month working with a team in a private company on a particular project to carry that project through to fruition. The same company might well have an arrangement to take students during the summer or to give them work experience at other times during the academic year. That allows the company to take advantage of the academic process through which those students are going.
I want to raise two final points. The white paper proposes raising the earnings threshold for repaying the student loan to £15,000, but the original Cubie proposal was £25,000. Is £15,000 a sensible figure for Scotland? Do ministers have scope to choose a different figure for Scotland?
I am not sure whether there is scope for that; I think that there is probably not.
Because we use the student loan scheme, which is collected by the Inland Revenue, there is a single threshold for student loans that applies throughout the United Kingdom, no matter where the student is resident or domiciled. The proposed £15,000 will apply throughout the whole UK.
In theory, we can collect income tax at a different basic rate in Scotland, so can we not have a different threshold for student loans?
The 3p-up-or-down principle might not apply quite as directly as you suggest.
I was thinking about administration: this is an administrative problem, rather than a problem of principle. The problem is that it would be administratively too difficult.
You raise an interesting point, but not one that we have pursued thus far. The adjustment of the threshold is an interesting proposition and we will watch it closely. We have not investigated the matter, but I have a funny feeling that you might be about to ask me to.
My second point is more general. We all agree, in comparing Scottish education with education south of the border, that we have a competitive advantage—I think that that was the term that you used—and we all agree that a good higher education sector is essential for the health of the economy. However, given that we have that competitive advantage, a taxpayer might be tempted to ask why the Scottish economy does not perform better than that of the rest of the United Kingdom, rather than not quite so well. Are you concerned that there does not seem to be transference from higher education to the wider economy?
A moment ago, we discussed the intermediary technology institutes, which are designed precisely to address that issue. We want to strengthen the feed-through from academic excellence to the wider economy. The Scottish economy's structural weaknesses have been explored elsewhere and will be again but, in my view, those weaknesses do not include weakness in our academic research base. Historically, there have been serious difficulties with commercial research and development, which—with my enterprise hat on—I am keen to address. It is important that we have direct feed-through from academic research into the commercial sphere but, as I said, that is beginning to happen significantly more.
When you mentioned that we would receive a copy of the interim report of the Executive's various working groups, I think that you used the word "shortly". Could you be more precise?
The ambition is to have the report with the committee during the first week or two of December—before you go home for Christmas, if you want extra reading.
I thank the minister and his officials for attending.
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