Official Report 519KB pdf
Under item 2 we will consider reports from the Electoral Commission and the Electoral Management Board for Scotland on the 2012 Scottish local government elections.
Thank you very much, convener. On behalf of my colleagues, I welcome this opportunity to discuss the outcome of the local elections in May and the lessons that we have learned for future events.
As John McCormick said, the board was created by the Local Electoral Administration (Scotland) Act 2011. The aim of that act was to create a body that could co-ordinate the administration of local government elections in Scotland by assisting local authorities and returning officers in particular to carry out their functions in relation to those elections, and promote best practice.
Thank you. Dr Clark, would you like to make some opening remarks?
Yes, thank you. I welcome the chance to talk about the local elections and my research on them. I have been working in and writing on Scottish local elections since the 2003 round. In particular, I have done quite a lot of work since the introduction of the single transferable vote system in 2007, including the paper that is in front of the committee this morning. I was also an accredited observer for the Electoral Commission during the 2012 elections. From my point of view, having done research on the elections and having observed them on the day, they were well-run elections and a credit to all involved in administering and implementing them.
Thank you. I will start the questions by asking Ms Pitcaithly about the nomination process. In my neck of the woods in Aberdeen we had the infamous incident of the Helena Torry mannequin being put up for election. What needs to be done to strengthen the nomination process so that that kind of thing does not happen again?
We covered that in our report and we think that there is scope for improvement in the nomination process. In the lessons learned section of our report, we say about the Aberdeen mannequin case that
I welcome the panel to the committee. I will start with the issue of 16 and 17-year-olds voting. Has any research about that been done with 16 and 17-year-olds and those who will be in that age bracket in time for the next election or the referendum?
Who will pick that one up?
We in the Electoral Commission have a clear view that the franchise and its extension are matters for the Parliament. We encourage research on electoral issues and issues relating to the franchise, but it is not an area on which we would take a view. Whether the franchise should be extended to 16 and 17-year-olds properly rests with the Parliament.
Dr Clark, have you done any academic research on the subject?
No. Little research has been done on that innovation for the referendum. To the extent that there is any psephological consensus on it, it would be that extending the vote to 16 and 17-year-olds will have an impact on turnout, which will decline, because not many 16 and 17-year-olds feel the need to go out and vote—they have other things to do. However, as I said, there is no recent research on the issue.
The only comment that the board would make is that although this is absolutely a matter for the Parliament and parliamentarians, we urge that such significant changes be made well in advance and that the technical issues involved in extending the franchise be given a very clear focus in your deliberations as you consider the legislation, in particular the paving legislation that we understand is in prospect.
Dr Clark, I was very interested in your response a moment ago. Does your point not highlight exactly why 16 and 17-year-olds feel the political process to be a bit distant? With regard not just to the referendum but any election—for example, local authority elections—is it not vital for those who run elections as well as political parties to have some mechanism for getting the message across to younger people in their language that it is really important to vote, that decisions are made on their behalf and that they should take part in the voting process?
I agree whole-heartedly, but I suggest that three or perhaps four groups of people be involved in the education process. Political parties should certainly be involved, and it is important that politicians get out and explain campaigns. It is also important for institutions such as the Parliament and electoral administrators to get out and about and engage with people, and it is equally important for civil society to be engaged in this work. Indeed, there might even be a fifth group, comprising people like me.
Dr Clark, has any academic research been carried out on the two small-scale elections—the health board and Crofting Commission elections—that have involved 16 and 17-year-olds?
The simple answer is no.
Excuse me if I have picked you up wrongly, Mr McCormick, but in response to Anne McTaggart you said that the Electoral Commission’s role is to ensure that the process is correct and runs as smoothly as possible. It would of course be remiss of us not to say that the previous election was one of the smoothest that we have had and I congratulate you on that. However, if you believe that the process is being jeopardised by a lack of research on particular areas—and in particular the issue of 16 and 17-year-olds that Anne McTaggart highlighted—do you have an opportunity to feed in your concerns in order to make the process a bit more streamlined and positive?
Yes, and we welcome that role. According to the shorthand, we are the elections watchdog and as an impartial, neutral and generally evidence-based organisation we encourage others to base decisions on evidence and to carry out research. Indeed, we conduct a fair amount of research ourselves. After every electoral event such as an election, referendum or whatever we carry out research with voters and non-voters on why they did or did not vote, their experience of voting and so on. We base our comments on elections, the behaviour of voters and recommendations to Governments and Parliaments on evidence and encourage others to carry out research in other places. Academic research, particularly that carried out by Dr Clark, is very much appreciated.
We know that the turnout for the 2012 local authority elections was 39.8 per cent. However, my concern is that, as the Local Government and Communities Committee in the previous parliamentary session heard, such a figure obviously applies only to those who are registered to vote.
The only point that I will make for the board is that we know what the electorate is—it is just under 4 million—but we do not know what it could be, because, as you say, the electorate is made up of the people who choose to register. That figure could be higher. However, in some countries, a lot more people are missing from the register than we think might be missing in this country.
The electorate is 4 million and the eligible population is not a lot higher. The figures suggest that about 94 per cent of the population is registered. There could be duplication, because some people might be registered twice, or there might be errors in accuracy, but that suggests that take-up of electoral registration by the population generally is good. I agree that there will be pockets where that is not the case but, overall, the take-up of electoral registration in Scotland is good and I believe that the level is similar to that in Australia, which has compulsory registration.
The figures to which Mr Wilson referred came from extensive research that the Electoral Commission conducted in 2010 in a number of constituencies. We found that, of those who did not register, a high percentage lived in rented accommodation; a high percentage were students who did not register where they were living at the time when the election came; and another large percentage were from black and minority ethnic communities.
One of the easiest times to get people to register is when an election is coming up, because the issue is at the front of their mind. That is one reason why we do public awareness raising, as we are asked to do by the Scottish Parliament, and why my colleagues do similar public awareness activities. During the public awareness process for the local government election, in a six-week period before the election, colleagues managed to get about 37,000 people registered to vote who had not been registered, which was a 0.9 per cent increase in the electorate. There are opportunities to get people to register.
The figure that Mr Byrne has given of around 6 per cent of the population not being registered to vote is quite worrying. It might compare favourably with Australia, but we are not looking at the Australian electoral system; we are looking at the Scottish one. My concern is that, given Mr McCormick’s comments about members of minority groups, young voters, students and others who might decide not to register, anything up to 20 per cent of the population in some areas of Scotland are not registered to vote. Can we make registration easier than it currently is? Every year, I have to fill in a form and return it to the ERO. Last year, I was sent an A4 sheet of paper with the form to remind me that, if I wanted to vote, I had to fill in the form. Is there any way in which we can get close to 100 per cent of people being registered to vote? Relying on individuals to register themselves might not be the way to do that.
We are about to change to a system that will put more emphasis on people registering themselves. As Andy O’Neill said, we try to make it as easy as possible for people to register. In the vast majority of cases, there is no change necessary to the information on the yearly form, and we get people to confirm that by phone, by text or online. More and more people find electronic methods more convenient—almost 40 per cent of our returns are submitted electronically rather than by post. People find that convenient.
There is always a balance to be struck between, on the one hand, increasing the ease of registration and voting, and, on the other, ensuring that the anti-fraud measures that are built into every piece of legislation now are able to work properly. That is particularly relevant with regard to postal voting. It is sometimes more difficult now for certain people to be able to cast a postal vote, and we all have concerns over the number of postal votes that are rejected because, for example, the signatures do not match. The balance between ease of use and anti-fraud measures is obviously a matter for parliamentarians. It must be got just right so that we do not unnecessarily inhibit someone’s opportunity to cast their vote.
Mr Byrne, you referred to people who have registered multiple times. That is perfectly legal. Indeed, multiple voting is legal, provided that it is done in different council elections—you could have up to 32 votes if you were resident in 32 locations. Of course, that is not the case in the elections to the Scottish Parliament, Westminster or the European Parliament. That is just an observation. To what extent does multiple registration take place?
I do not know the figures. However, the tendency is for there to be less multiple registration in Scotland than in England. That goes back to case law in the 1970s, where what was important was a person’s main residence rather than their ancillary residence—if someone had a holiday home, that would not be counted as a residence. In England, the case law is different, and there is more of a tendency for a holiday home to be counted as a residence. Dual registration is not common. The group in which it is most prevalent is students. That is based on English case law, which also applies to Scotland.
Just to be clear, are you saying that the legal basis for multiple registration is not clear?
Multiple registration is not illegal, but you have to be resident in each place. If someone can argue that they are equally resident in two places, they can be registered in both places. In Scotland, the definition is tight, and the person would more or less have to pick one of those places.
Without going into this in huge detail, do you think that greater legal clarity would be useful? If there is insufficient clarity, the target that John Wilson wishes us to aim for would have to exceed 100 per cent.
It would have to exceed 100 per cent, yes.
I have found the debate to be interesting thus far, and I hesitate to ask this question, but I will ask it nonetheless. Is there a discussion to be had about having an opt-out system in which everyone is automatically registered and people opt out if they decide that they do not want to be registered and do not want to participate in any election?
That used to be the case until around 2001. The ERO had a duty to register people whether or not they wanted to be registered. In 2001, the system changed to an application system. A person had the right to apply to be registered. I think that section 11 of the Representation of the People Act 1983 was repealed in 2001.
Was that system easier to operate, or was it similar to what we have now?
I was working on it then, but not at the same level, so I do not know how easy it was to operate. I know that there were one or two cases of people refusing to take part in the electoral process and being fined for not taking part. The ERO had a duty to register people, and if a person did not give the information, they were more than likely to be fined.
Margaret Mitchell has been very patient.
Good morning, everyone.
I think that our polling research includes those who did not vote and those who voted. Some 78 per cent of those who were surveyed, including non-voters, said that they believed that it was convenient to vote at a polling station. Of those who voted in the poll, 98 per cent said that they were satisfied with the process, compared with 1 per cent who said that they were dissatisfied with it. Therefore, the number of people who were dissatisfied or who thought that it was not convenient to vote at a polling station was dominated by those who did not go. There is a lot of research relating to that.
Perhaps we can write to the committee later and flesh that out, as I do not have all the details in front of me. Some 76 per cent of voters who voted in polling places were quite content with the help that they got, for instance, but 28 per cent said that they did not need the information. We speculate about why 28 per cent said that they did not need the information in the polling booths, which included graphic posters. It may be something to do with the fact that we changed the messages from being reactive to proactive. In 2012, there was a proactive message of, “It’s numbers—1, 2, 3 and so on—not crosses.” In 2007, a reactive message was given only when it was asked for. Some of the research gives us an indication of why people were dissatisfied, but we have to speculate about others. I am afraid that I will have to write to the committee to flesh that out.
I would have thought that that information is quite interesting. It is good that 75 per cent were content, but we are looking at the planning, organisation and administration of the polls, so it would be fairly good to flesh out what the dissatisfied 12 per cent and the 13 per cent said. You have given some indication as to why people were dissatisfied. People could have been dissatisfied because of the location of the polling station or because they thought that they did not get adequate instructions when they got there. I would certainly appreciate further information on that when you write back to us.
No, nothing in particular. We need to look not only at those who voted but at those who did not vote to find out why they did not. However, I have nothing to add to that.
I agree with Dr Clark on that. That is a very interesting point. The survey included those who did not vote. Perhaps as we go into the research on a more granular basis and follow it up, we might find reasons why people do not go to vote. Whether there is a perceived lack of confidence in the process or whether there is something that we can address in our public awareness work and our communications, going into that will be very interesting. However, that work remains to be done.
In this year’s election, far fewer people complained to us on the day about the process—about having to vote more than once and use different systems. The decoupling of elections seems to have helped to increase voter confidence and voter satisfaction on the day.
The comments section of the board’s annual report is all positive; no negative feedback appears to have been given. Was there anything negative? If not, that is strange, and you must tell us how to achieve that—I do not imagine that there is any other walk of life in which someone is not complaining. Was any negative feedback given? If so, what was done to address it?
The feedback that we collated informally from voters on the day of the elections was much more positive. The local feedback from our staff—the people who work for us in polling places, such as presiding officers and clerks—and from the returning officers to whom I have spoken was positive.
The comments that we put in the annual report reflect the board’s role in co-ordinating activity among electoral professionals. The board is there to promote best practice and to ensure a consistent approach across the country. As such, the comments in the report from returning officers, electoral registration officers, major suppliers, the Electoral Commission and others reflect what we have done to serve that community. That element of the report is not primarily focused on the voter. What we do overall is focused on the voter, but the comments in the report deal with how the board served the professional community.
I will add to what Ms Pitcaithly said. The positive anecdotal evidence on the day from returning officers and people on the ground was widespread across the country. Forgive me for quoting statistics again but, in our follow-up polling, 99 per cent of respondents said that it was easy to get inside a polling station and 99 or 98 per cent described the polling place as safe, well ordered and well run. Those figures are remarkable. Some of the credit for that must go to the board and its co-ordinating role, whose aim was to ensure a consistent experience across the country, as Mr Highcock said. The figures are encouraging and for that we should pay tribute to the professionals on the ground and to the board.
I notice that evidence was gathered on the performance standards of returning officers and on those who performed beyond the expected standards. The commission looked for examples of creativity and innovation, particularly from returning officers. Will you give an example of what you were referring to?
We try to discourage too much creativity in elections. [Laughter.]
As far as I am aware of the detail, the point relates to returning officers and those who are in charge of a polling place taking account of local circumstances and adapting polling places to ensure that they are accessible and that communications are well ordered and so on. That relates to working within the guidelines from the board to achieve consistency, while taking account of local circumstances. That will depend on what we get back in the research to justify that—the position varies from area to area.
That answer is helpful, because the mind boggled in thinking about exactly what you were referring to.
I want to pick up on what Mr McCormick has just indicated about voter satisfaction. This may just be a localised issue, but the location of the polling station in a ward in North Lanarkshire was changed without many people’s knowledge and some people turned up at the traditional polling station that had been used for the previous four elections, including some who turned up at 7 o’clock in the morning on their way to work. They were told that the polling station had been changed and that they had to vote at another polling station, which was in the Coatbridge area and outwith the main residential area. That meant that it was a substantial walk to get there, particularly for the elderly. We know that the elderly like to go to the polling station and vote in person.
I cannot answer the question about research on the impact of what you describe, but I can say on behalf of returning officers that in elections we must use the polling schemes that our local authority approves. It is the local authority that determines the polling schemes. I know from experience and from talking to colleagues that changing the location of a polling station is not done lightly and that we would not do that capriciously. I am sure that, in each case when that has happened, some consideration was given to whether the change was necessary. Such changes inconvenience people if they do not read their polling card to check where they are supposed to vote and just turn up to vote where they have always voted. It is not necessarily their fault, because a lot of information has to go on a polling card these days.
We do not have any research on the issue, Mr Wilson. I am grateful to you for raising the issue and drawing our attention to it.
Dr Clark, has there been any academic research on turnout after the location of a polling station has been changed or the station has closed?
No. There has been very little research into turnout and location of the polling station. I think that it is an issue, but academics have not got into that yet.
I think that Anne McTaggart has a question.
Thanks, convener. I was going to ask about the use of schools as polling stations in relation to childcare, but it is obvious that the issue has been brought to the Electoral Management Board’s attention.
We have used the same signage in polling stations for many a year, and some of it is not adequate, particularly if a polling place is in a large building. I have seen folk wandering round a school playground trying to find the entrance—and sometimes giving up. Can we improve the situation? Is there guidance on the use of signage?
Yes. There is good guidance from the commission on all these matters. On election day, all returning officers do a tour of their polling stations. I do not go to all 120 polling stations in my area, but I go to as many as I can and I have a team of people who ensure that every station is visited. On polling day this year, I put up additional signs outside a couple of polling stations, where I felt that the presiding officer had not properly signposted the entrance at 7 am.
What happens if it is not the caretaker or janitor but the electoral officers who are late? I have seen that happen on a number of occasions over the years. Is there a problem that is not being dealt with adequately?
I would not like to think so. Election offices will be staffed from before 6 am on the day of the election, to deal with the problem of presiding officers or clerks phoning in sick or phoning to say that they cannot get their car started or whatever. We have standby staff, who are ready to be sent to wherever a problem occurs. In my 20-odd years as a returning officer, I have never found a polling station where nobody turned up to run it, but sometimes we might find that the polling clerk is running late—
One person in a panic.
Well, the role of the election office on election day would be to go out and support that person. When the caretaker did not turn up to open one of the polling stations in my area this year, we had to run the first 10 or 15 minutes of voting out of the back of a car. I was there with the presiding officer doing that at 7 am, while a colleague chased up the church hall caretaker.
As part of the training, is there a walk round the polling station, so that the presiding officer can get a good understanding of the location? There might be more than one entrance to the facility, and the building’s size might be an issue. Presiding officers might need to plan where signage will go. Is that a regular part of training?
We have a training template provided to us by the Electoral Commission that is extremely useful and ensures consistency. It is very comprehensive and there is little chance of missing anything out if that template is followed. We would add to that with local knowledge. My staff visit every polling station well in advance, in case we need to change the polling scheme because it is no longer accessible or whatever. They then undertake further visits in the days leading up to the poll to ensure that the entrance has not been changed and that nothing has been done that suggests that we need to issue different guidance.
That sounds like a thorough process prior to the election day. However, as the convener has suggested, there may be some polling stations where there is a shortage of signage. You have said that you have had to put signs up when you have gone round. How do you explain your having to do that if the process is being fully implemented?
Last May, I had to do that in one particular polling station because the presiding officer was new and had simply underestimated how much needs to be done before a polling station can be opened at 7 am. We suggest that presiding officers should be on site by no later than 6.30 am because, if they have a full half hour, they have time to do what needs to be done, including putting up all the signage. Sometimes, however, they find themselves a wee bit short of time and put up the basic signage but do not do everything that we would want them to do. If we go out visiting shortly thereafter, we can help with that. It is often just a matter of underestimating how much needs to be done. The more experienced presiding officers know that they need a good half hour and must work hard with their polling clerks to do everything that needs to be done.
My question follows on from that. Some of the biggest political spats that I have seen on election day have involved politicians—elected members or those seeking election—trying to define the difference between the polling station and the polling place. If anything brings politicians together, it is that point, and not always for good reasons. Could there be better signposting in that respect, to say, “You shall not cross this line with those colours on”? It sometimes puts the officer in charge under a bit of pressure and it can be a bit embarrassing, especially if some of the general public are there. There is nothing worse than would-be politicians arguing the toss about whether they can go into the polling station.
I think that it would confuse the voters if we had “Polling station” and “Polling place” signs.
I think so, too. When we train the staff who work in the polling stations, we make it very clear that that is a major issue that will, undoubtedly, arise unless they are very lucky and the building is so clearly defined that there cannot be any argument over it. In most cases, there is the potential for somebody who wants to argue the toss to come up with something to suggest that they are entitled to be in a place where a colleague or an opposing candidate suggests that they are not entitled to be. Sometimes, all the candidates take one view and the staff take another.
We have fallen into a classic technician’s trap. For the past 20 minutes, we have been talking about polls, polling, polling places and polling stations. What percentage of the population knows what any of that means? “Polling” is a technical term, not one that is in common usage. What people are doing is voting, so why does the signage not say, “Vote here”, or “Here’s where you vote”?
I do not have a view on that matter, but you have given us something to think about. We advocate the use of clear, everyday language in every communication. Perhaps Dr Clark has some research on that.
I am pretty confident that there will be legal requirements for us to use, in the appropriate context, the words that are in the legislation. However, does that inhibit our using plain language for the customer, who is the voter, not the poller?
“Polling place” and “polling station” are technical terms in the legislation that refer to particular things. However, from memory, I do not think that there is anything in legislation that says that signage that assists the electorate in getting to where they can cast their vote must use those terms; the signage could say, “Vote here”. We could form sub-groups on the issue or conduct public awareness campaigns.
Absolutely. We could use both terms. Older people—certainly those of us of a certain vintage—know the term “polling station”, but younger people might not recognise it.
May I fundamentally disagree? When you double the terminology that is used, you treble the confusion. You need to simplify to the point at which there is a single, unambiguous and clear message that is incapable of being confusing. I am saying nothing about whether the necessary legal permissions exist to do what I am suggesting, but it would be useful to know whether there are inhibitions that we might have to address before the next time when we go to a voting station.
We will let you reflect on that question. Dr Clark, is there academic research in this field?
Again, academic research is lacking in this field. However, there is some research that suggests that the more you use plain language to talk about politics, the more people will be engaged. However, it is important to remember that that issue is not connected to the one that we are discussing. Legislation and so on will impact on the matter as well.
Perhaps you can think about the issue and write to us to say what you intend to do in that regard.
This Parliament has responsibility for local government elections and the UK Parliament has responsibility for other elections. If we were to arrange for local government elections to use the language that Stewart Stevenson suggests but the UK Parliament wanted to continue to use the language that is currently used, would that create confusion for the electorate because, in one election, the sign says, “Vote here”, and, in the next, it says “Polling place”?
To add confusion, in England, the signs tend to say “Polling station” not “Polling place”, anyway, so there is a difference already.
Being an anorak on elections, I know that the distinction between polling places and polling stations is important when campaigning on the day of the election. Like John Pentland, I have been involved in discussions with local returning officers on issues to do with the distribution of election material in the polling station. Those of us who are at the front line of politics and trying to promote candidates need to know the definition of the polling place and the polling station for the purposes of distributing material. It would be useful if the Electoral Management Board tested its members—the 32 local authorities—to find out whether they apply the same rigorous rules across the board. Clearly, there are differences in how some returning officers apply the rules on distribution of material and in how the message gets down to the local polling places and polling stations.
I am happy for the board to look at the arrangements that are in force at the poll, which each returning officer publishes and shares with the candidates when they are nominated. We normally ensure that every candidate gets that information and is clear about the arrangements in the particular area. However, I take your point that it would potentially be helpful for those arrangements to be exactly the same everywhere. We are happy to do some research—particularly this year, when we are not running an election—on whether there is a lack of consistency. Sometimes, there is simply a difference in the way in which the rules are expressed.
I have a follow-up question that relates not to polling places and polling stations but to signage during election campaigns. A number of local authorities have banned lamp post flyposting. I have read a piece of research that says that that might lessen the impact of election day. Although there is a lot of onus on the Electoral Management Board, the returning officers and the Electoral Commission to make the electorate aware that an election is taking place, there is also a major onus on political parties to do that. I have been to places where people have said, “I didn’t know an election was on, because there are no lamp post posters.” That is the usual indication when an election is going to take place. Has any research been done on that? Dr Clark might want to respond to that. Once again, local authorities have different rules in relation to a practice that basically involves parties publicising an election that is coming up.
There is extensive research that suggests that the stronger a local campaign is, the more likely it is that the turnout will be higher. Other factors feed into that, such as the competitiveness of the seat but, in particular, the stronger the campaign, the more likely it is that turnout will be high. In the recent election, only 11 local authorities permitted such posters, which is very low compared to, for instance, Northern Ireland, where the streets are covered with posters during election time. Correspondingly, turnout is also much higher, although the environment in Northern Ireland is more politicised. A strong campaign and obviousness that an election is on can only benefit turnout.
It is worth highlighting that the board can have no influence on such matters, because the decision is for each local authority. Certainly, in the past few years, we have moved from a situation in which most councils allowed the practice to one in which most councils no longer allow it, for their own reasons, which could be to do with public liability or public safety. I am not speaking for the local authorities; I am simply reflecting the fact that they have to take their decisions on the matter and we all have to abide by those decisions.
That issue has got everybody really excited, but we need to move on.
The issue is to do with participation, so it is good to spend a bit of time on it, as that is a key concern for the committee. The commission’s recommendation 4 states that it encourages lamp post posters to be displayed. I have mixed views on such posters. There is an issue about enforcing their removal after the election, because they can be there for months on end. From a politician’s point of view, if they were banned it would save a lot of work. I would be interested to hear a bit more about that.
I agree. I will ask my colleague Andy O’Neill to comment on that, but first I will make a last comment about the lamp posts. We have said in our report that we think that posters on lamp posts have an impact and there is the research that Dr Clark referred to. Street furniture is used to create the atmosphere that an important event is taking place. We will undertake as a first stage to have discussions with the Convention of Scottish Local Authorities to see whether there is any way that we can address that issue for forthcoming elections. We have a little time before the next local elections. Andy can comment on the other general research points.
Mrs Mitchell is right—the most common answer to why people do not want to vote is that circumstances do not allow them to vote. The other categories that people normally associate themselves with are that they do not feel informed enough, they do not want to vote, or they do not like politicians—all views that are in the media and that members will be familiar with.
Those percentages are interesting, because they do not add up to 100 per cent. Do the categories overlap?
I can send you the research so that you can see all the categories.
I am surprised that Stewart Stevenson did not pick up on that immediately.
Perhaps that was his next question.
I referred to the percentage of people who said that they knew a great deal or a fair amount about the local elections, but what about those who did not know about them from the public awareness campaign?
Again, I will have to write to you about that.
It would be interesting to see what they said. Thank you.
I want to ask a few questions about postal voting, because that has not featured very much in the discussion so far. The first question is a practical one. Does the rising proportion of voters who are choosing to vote by post—although it is not rising as fast as it was—have any practical effects on the process that we need to have our attention drawn to?
Yes. I remember the days when postal voting was very much not the norm—it was quite unusual for people to have postal votes and people had to have a reason to have a postal vote granted. Now, a large percentage of votes are issued by post to people and a large percentage of those votes are returned compared with the votes that have to be cast at a polling station. Ultimately, a large percentage of the votes that are counted will come through that route.
Yes, but it is not necessary for the electors themselves to take their postal votes to a polling station, nor to take them to their own polling station.
No, indeed not.
I therefore take slight issue with that.
Okay. I am probably making too many assumptions there, but there are issues with the timing. I urge that the timescale for issuing postal votes be brought forward so that there is more time for people to return them to us.
That takes me neatly to my next question. For many of my constituents, the system is very difficult because they are often on standby for going offshore, as many of them work in the oil industry. They select a postal vote and they are routinely registered, but at two days’ notice they may be called away, and they may be away for three weeks.
There is a provision to allow someone to vote on someone else’s behalf, but through proxy voting, not through power of attorney.
But that requires to be pre-planned, which is the difficulty. In the circumstances that I just described, pre-planning can be difficult.
We would not at present be able to accept a postal vote for which the statement had been signed by somebody who was exercising power of attorney, because their signature would not match the signature on the application, which is what the law requires us to check.
And of course the proxy vote does not need to be exercised by the proxy; it merely adds an option.
Yes, exactly.
With regard to the issues that Mary Pitcaithly raised, we must distinguish clearly between the issues around proxy voting and people who are called away at short notice for events, and the issues that we as returning officers deal with around power of attorney. That leads us on to our concerns about the deterioration of handwriting in older people and the fact that signatures become difficult to assess.
There is another option that you could look at, which is early voting. In a small number of places in a council area, voters who had been called away would be able to vote in a polling station in a secure environment for a number of weeks before. That is allowed in 30-odd states in America and, in the recent American general election, a large percentage of voters voted before polling day.
That is interesting.
A power of attorney could be issued for a number of reasons. In the case of someone who is disabled, it could be done for convenience, to allow someone else to do things on their behalf. In addition, there is the issue of capacity, and the capacity to understand the voting process. How do you differentiate between those?
Capacity is one reason why power of attorney is a complex issue and would require to be looked at extremely carefully. How would someone who normally has a power of attorney in financial matters to ensure a person’s financial security understand how that person wished to vote? There are potentially good reasons for not allowing a power of attorney to be used in that way. I think that people who have a power of attorney do not understand that it does not extend to casting a vote for someone by post.
I notice that although the returning officers wanted some relaxation on signatures, the commission—and, I think, the board—was very worried about any relaxation from the point of view of potential fraud. How do you balance those competing interests?
As far as postal vote signature and date-of-birth checking are concerned, we are starting a review of postal voting as a whole. Mismatch of forms is when two people in the same household fill in each other’s form. When those forms are returned, they cannot be accepted. Under the previous regime, they could be. What happened was known in the trade as matching—the forms were matched—in which there is some merit.
Are people told if their vote is rejected and why it has been rejected?
We are not currently permitted to do that. Various reports have said that it would worth while looking at that. As a returning officer, I find it quite distressing to have to reject votes from people who are in their 90s, when I am not able to go back and say to them that I had to do so because they got their date of birth wrong, and that they should be more careful next time. It would be helpful if we had the ability to let people know that their vote did not reach the ballot box.
If folk make a mistake once, it is likely that it will happen again and again. It would be awful to think that someone was missing vote after vote and not being told why.
There are proposals to change the law so that the RO will inform the ERO that there has been a problem with the signature, and the ERO will then contact the person for a fresh signature. That is currently being consulted on.
Is there legislation going through at Westminster on up-to-date signatures? Did I read that?
Currently, the refresh takes place on a five-yearly basis. The fact that Scotland was a year and a month later than England causes a problem, because the Electoral Commission advice is that the refresh must be done in the same month. In effect, it will be done two years later. The proposals for individual registration may cause further delay, so we could end up with signatures being seven years old by the time they are compulsorily refreshed.
I am reluctant to take us back to where we started, but my experience is that the signatures of 16 and 17-year-olds change even more than those of elderly people. The signature of an older person might get shakier over the years, but we can tell that it has been done by the same person—we have had training from forensic scientists to help us to do that. However, 16 and 17-year-olds experiment all the time with different signatures—I am sure that you all probably recognise that—and the signature that they use when they apply for a postal vote could be entirely different from the one that they use when they complete their postal voting statement.
There has been a significant increase in postal vote uptake recently. Has there been any research into whether that is a gender thing, an age thing or a class thing?
A little research has been done, but the information has not been broken down into social groups or anything of that sort; it has been more to do with the effect that postal voting has had to start with. The research has tended to show that postal voting had an initial, quite big, effect, but that that tailed off as people got used to the process.
Another subject altogether concerns donations to candidates in local government elections. No rules seem to govern that, but although the commission expressed concern on that point, you did not make a recommendation. Why not, given that concern?
We recommended that the matter be reviewed. In the report, we make it clear that we want there to be transparency in the donations. We hope that that will be taken on board before the next local elections in 2017.
You say that you do not have a statutory duty to advise on or interpret the guidance to candidates and that, somehow, you cannot give them the assurance that they might seek in law. What difference would it make if you had that statutory duty?
Where we have a statutory duty to give guidance to candidates, a candidate who falls foul of the regulatory regime can use the defence that they are following our advice. Where we do not have a statutory duty to regulate, as is the case with Scottish local government elections, that defence essentially does not exist. We gave advice on behalf of the Scottish Government, at its request. It is not our statutory duty to give that advice.
Recently, there have been a couple of high-profile cases in Westminster where people have been stripped of their seats because of their abuse of the election expenses process. When an election agent makes a return relating to the expenditure that is incurred during a campaign, do the returning officers and the commission take that on trust or is any analysis carried out to see whether more has been spent than has been declared?
The Electoral Commission has no role in regulating Scottish local government campaign expenses returns. The returning officer’s role is simply to take the return from the candidate and make it publicly available. The Crown Office is the organisation that would examine such matters.
Any concern would normally be brought to the Crown Office’s attention by another candidate, a councillor or a member of the public. There is currently a case in the courts in Scotland around a potential breach of the law in relation to expenses in the most recent election.
That issue, and general issues around expenses and transparency, will be part of the review that I was referring to earlier, I trust.
In previous local government elections, have cases gone to court?
I know that challenges have been made and cases have been reported to the police. I am unable to say whether those have ended up in court, but that would be quite a rare event. I understand that, currently, a candidate—a councillor—is in court facing charges in relation to the issue that you raise.
A lot of people—particularly those with names that are further down the alphabet—are in favour of Robson rotation. Could you talk about academic research on the issue and the experience of countries that use it?
I have a few points to make on the issue, which I covered briefly in the article that I touched on.
What is your opinion of the impact of gender on the STV system? There has been debate around that issue as well. What does the academic research show on that front?
Advocates for and against electoral systems will claim quite strong things one way or the other. Electoral systems tend to be either a bit more or a bit less permissive, but, on the whole, they are not the decisive factor with regard to gender balance. The decisive factor is how parties select their candidates. There is evidence that where parties have such things as gender-based quotas, twin candidates and zipping practices, more women will be elected.
There is no doubt that the issue is not with the ballot paper as a whole but with the rankings within parties. People would go to the party that they wanted to support and then just decide alphabetically. That caused a real problem and there were fairness issues there.
That is undoubtedly the case, but a substantial minority make the other choice and vote for the person below the one on top, if that makes sense. We do not know why they do that. That is the question that we need to answer before we get a solution to the problem.
Thank you.
Dr Clark might want to comment on this point. During the 2012 elections, the two main parties—Labour and the SNP—became more acutely aware of where their candidates were ranked in the preferences. They issued leaflets to voters that said, for example, “John Pentland: vote 2; John Wilson: vote 1”. I am not giving away any secrets if I say that in some areas the SNP strategy was to favour the candidate who was positioned lower on the ballot paper, rather than the candidate who was positioned higher on the ballot paper, because we accepted that that issue was there. Both the Labour Party and the SNP were doing that; parties in Ireland do it as well.
I would say two things to that. You are right: the SNP split wards 60:40—or something of that sort.
I cannot comment.
We need to know more about what has gone on within the wards, which is something that I mentioned in my paper. I have presented a largely aggregate analysis—and that is all that I have seen from others in relation to these elections, too. We need to do more detailed analysis so that we can know more about how that worked out in the wards.
I notice that the commission says that electronic counting did not appear to have any impact on voters’ confidence in accuracy, according to public opinion research. When we did not have multi-member wards and the system was first past the post, we could actually see ballot papers piling up and there was a very clear, decisive and transparent picture of who was winning. I am amazed that more people are not questioning electronic counting. It is almost a case of “Trust me—I’m a returning officer.” If you look at what is going on at local elections, you see that most people do not have a clue. I do not think that bigger screens would make any difference whatsoever.
What we have there is a difference of experience between that of those who go to counts, who are largely politicians such as yourself, and that of those who do not—the public, who would never think to go to a count and would never have experienced that more transparent piling up of papers.
After the event, we carried out a candidate and agent survey. Eighty per cent of respondents said that they believed that what was happening in the count was transparent.
The survey was very important to us this time because of the problems in 2007. We had to know whether the voters had trust in the process, so it was encouraging that we had progressed since 2007.
Such a low bar was set in 2007 that you were always on to a winner.
I am not aware of any reaction. The fact that we would not be doing any counting again until 2017 suggests that the matter does not need to be determined immediately. However, there will obviously be a long lead-in period to any award of a new contract for e-counting and whoever will be responsible for it will need to be given that responsibility at as early a date as possible. There would be issues around the board having the capacity to take that on at this stage, but there is no reason why in future the board could not have sufficient capacity to do that, and do it well. We have not necessarily been set up to do that, but we are evolving as we go along.
I do not have a question, but I have a tongue-in-cheek comment, for the benefit of the panel members. They are probably aware that we are a very consensual committee, but it is highly unlikely that they will ever see John Wilson and me on the same ballot paper.
Okay—we are not going there, gentlemen.