Item 3 is our second oral evidence session on the legislative consent memorandum on the Welfare Reform Bill. I welcome to the meeting Pam Duncan, director of Inclusion Scotland; Richard Hamer, director of external affairs, Capability Scotland; Carolyn Roberts, head of policy and campaigns, Scottish Association for Mental Health; and Keith Robertson, access development officer and manager, Scottish Disability Equality Forum.
I welcome our witnesses, some of whom I have had dealings with in the past. I have one general point and a couple of specific questions.
I will answer your first point about the lack of proposed alternatives. I suspect that many around me will join in.
It is important to get across to the committee the impact of the double whammy to which Richard Hamer has alluded. Disabled people are disproportionately affected by the welfare reforms not only because many of the reforms fall on benefits that are paid to disabled people but because disabled people access benefits disproportionately. Also, many disabled people—30 per cent of them—live in poverty, yet it costs them 25 per cent more just to live and to access society on any basis.
To answer the first question, we do not have any specific proposals. At present, we have a system whereby it is virtually the case that if you can fill in a form properly or can get someone to fill it in for you, you can get DLA. What is being forced on us is a system that is not based on need—and it is imperative that whatever comes forward should be based on need. When a Government says that its starting point will be to make cuts of 20 per cent, that cannot possibly include consideration of need. By definition, therefore, the Government is excluding disabled people from the word go.
I will address specifically the question about mental health and the impact that the reforms will have on people with mental health problems. Some of my answer will also address the issue of whether there are any alternative proposals.
I am interested in the switch from jobseekers allowance to a means-tested allowance after one year, with the consequences to partners. Do any of the witnesses have any comments on that?
Do you mean the contributory employment and support allowance element?
Yes.
People who get contributory employment and support allowance will lose it after a year. Our concern is that they will lose it after a year even though 94 per cent of the work-related-activity group take longer than a year to access work, for various reasons that I am sure the committee is well versed in, including discrimination and the lack of jobs. For all those reasons, we are seriously concerned about the one-year limit.
Would that include the carers allowance, for example?
It would include carers allowance and how they are treated for housing benefit or council tax benefit. Also, if someone is considered fit for work, it is likely—although this is speculation to a degree—that that person would fail the DLA or PIP assessment, so there would be a further loss to the household earnings.
That is very helpful.
I support Pam Duncan’s point. It is important to emphasise that the one-year limit to contributory ESA will take effect from next April; it is not one of the 2013-14 changes. Attempts are still being made, by the Disability Benefits Consortium, to change that in the Welfare Reform Bill. We have been lobbying to get the proposal changed and, in particular, to change the time limit to an initial two years with a subsequent assessment. There is still an opportunity to change the proposal, but it looks likely that it will go ahead. Indeed, people have already received letters saying that if they have had their ESA for more than 12 months next April, they will lose it. The change is happening now.
I refer to Inclusion Scotland’s submission and will talk about West Dunbartonshire in particular, as it is an area that I know well. The submission highlights three areas in the United Kingdom that have very high rates of incapacity benefit claimants. Given that West Dunbartonshire is very deprived and has a very low number of job opportunities, a very poor housing stock and a large number of people waiting in a queue to gain a foot on the housing ladder, how will the housing benefit changes related to property size impact on disabled people in West Dunbartonshire?
Inclusion Scotland remains extremely concerned about the changes to housing benefit. We now build homes that are fit for life, as they are called, so few one-bedroom homes are being built, which has an impact on the homes that are available for people to access.
One issue to be aware of is that social rented stock is prevalent in Scotland, where there is much higher use of social rented accommodation. Having worked in the housing association sector in the past, I am aware that there has been a move towards larger properties and away from one-bedroom properties, which, in the past, Scottish Government policy viewed as being inflexible.
The witnesses can answer a question if they wish, but no one is compelled to do so. You may think that you cannot add anything to the previous answer.
Irrespective of whether disabled people have a fluctuating condition, like many people they may need care or more care as they get older. If they have only a one-bedroom property, it will restrict the level of any future care or any increase in care—for example, they may need a live-in carer or an extra room for equipment such as oxygen tanks or for hoists or other adaptations. The suggestion that disabled people who live on their own should be limited to one-bedroom properties is short-sighted to say the least.
Thank you very much for that.
Forgive me for not having the details to hand, but Inclusion Scotland recently made a freedom of information request to every local authority in Scotland to find out how many adapted homes they had, how many disabled people were waiting to move into adapted homes, whether they knew what the demand was in their area and what the cost was of moving adaptations. As I said, I do not have the figures to hand and I cannot remember them, but we can certainly point the committee to that research. I said that it was done recently; it was actually done in 2009 or 2010, but I think that the figures will still be fairly relevant today.
A related point that may have already been noted is that the cost saving from the proposed policy would not affect the tenant in many ways if they could move to a smaller property—although they would obviously have a change in their household circumstances—but that there would be an effect on social housing providers, which might face having to reassess houses as single-bedroom rather than two-bedroom by means of blocking up a door, for example. Who knows how that would be managed? We must remember that it would be a cost saving for the Westminster Government and a significant cost increase for the Scottish Government.
I would be grateful if Inclusion Scotland could send us its research information on that issue.
We can forward it.
Thanks very much.
If you followed last week’s evidence, some of the questions that are being asked will not surprise you. However, it is important that we get things on the public record, so that our report is evidence led.
My really short response is yes.
Yes.
Yes.
The reforms need to be scrutinised. As long as they are scrutinised, we do not mind the manner of that scrutiny.
I wanted a yes-or-no answer so that we would have more time for questions. It was important to get your views on the record.
We have identified various impacts in Scotland, including on the national health service, local authorities and housing. It is really important that ministers have the opportunity to comment on those.
One of the main concerns that many people have about the bill is that it is what has been described as a skeleton bill—there is not a lot of detail in it—and a lot of the really substantial decisions will be made in subordinate legislation, so what Bob Doris suggests sounds like a reasonable way forward, which we would support.
We would certainly support such a committee, but it is really important that the Scottish Government, local government, the NHS, other public bodies and the voluntary sector continue to work together. We are at the sharp end. We hear directly from our members and other disabled people about the effects of even the thought of some of the reforms. Some of the calls that we get are devastating to listen to. Some disabled people are becoming suicidal simply at the thought of the reforms.
Does Mr Hamer wish to respond?
I can give you a yes-or-no answer to that question. The answer is yes. It is particularly important that there continues to be scrutiny of the bill and the subordinate legislation that will follow it.
I thank the witnesses for those very short answers, which I appreciate. We are asking all witnesses that question so that we can get their responses on the record.
The Calman commission recommended co-ordination and joint working between the Scottish and Westminster Governments, and Capability Scotland does not think that that has taken place with the Welfare Reform Bill. Given our concerns about a number of issues that are referenced in the legislative consent memorandum, including the PIP element of the universal credit proposals, Capability Scotland would suggest that the legislative consent motion not be supported.
Inclusion Scotland agrees with that not only for the reasons that Richard Hamer has highlighted but because of the points that Keith Robertson made. Disabled people remain an oppressed group of people in society and, on this occasion, we are genuinely looking to the Scottish Government to be leaders for Scottish disabled people and to send a message to the UK Parliament by recognising the huge, negative and deep-cutting impact of these welfare reforms and not giving its legislative consent.
We are particularly focused on how the bill will impact on those who will be affected by it and on what can be done to mitigate and, where possible, remove those impacts. We are aware of the debate about whether the legislative consent motion should be agreed to and, given that we are in somewhat uncharted territory, we have been trying to find out what it would mean if it were not agreed to. Our impression is that if the motion were not to be agreed to the Welfare Reform Bill would be passed anyway and would still have an impact on people in Scotland. We think that, if not agreeing to the motion did not improve the situation for people in Scotland, such a move would not be a priority. On the other hand, if it appeared that not agreeing to the motion gave the Scottish Parliament and Government the opportunity to address some of the issues that we have all been raising, we would support such a move. However, we have not been particularly focused on the matter.
I agree with Pam Duncan and Richard Hamer. Our members feel that unless drastic changes are made the bill the Scottish Government should not support the legislative consent motion.
I want to get things clear in my head. No matter whether the Scottish Parliament supports the LCM, these welfare reforms will happen. This Parliament simply does not have the power to stop them. However, three of the four witnesses are saying that, irrespective of that, they would still like the Scottish Parliament to take a stand and say in symbolic opposition to the UK Government and in solidarity with disabled people in Scotland, “No—we don’t support these reforms”. Is that right?
Yes.
Yes.
Yes.
We would support such a move, combined with the primary legislation that Mr Doris referred to. The blue badge scheme, for example, is a passported benefit for those on DLA. However, if, as is proposed, mobility allowance is removed, not only might the individuals in question not be able to get a car from Motability—which has already suggested that those who lease a car will not be able to purchase it afterwards because the hire purchase option is being done away with—but they will not be able to park close enough to shops to do their shopping. If they do not have the passported benefit, they will need to get an independent medical assessment. We need to emphasise that although these things might seem small to someone who does not have disability they have a huge impact on the lives of many disabled people. The things that a lot of people regard as being something or nothing can be a massive worry and concern to a disabled person, especially those whose disability relates to mental health.
Bob Doris has moved us on a wee bit, and that is appreciated.
Given the fear that disabled people are experiencing just now, it is hard for any organisation such as ours to say that we are confident that the bill will not become law. People are genuinely terrified, and everything that we see, hear and read in the newspapers suggests that the mood is such that the Welfare Reform Bill may be passed.
I was not expressing a personal opinion; I was expressing an opinion that was given in evidence last week by people who are concerned about the bill and who are working hard to get it amended. They believe that there are not going to be any drastic changes and that the bill will likely become law. If we expect the bill to become law, how can we, in Scotland, mitigate its effects on the people whom you all represent? That is where I am heading. I am not expressing a personal view; I am recounting the evidence that we received last week.
The Westminster Government has ignored its own equality impact assessments. Have a look at them—they are quite clear about the effects that the bill will have on disabled people. The Westminster Government continues to ignore the voice of disabled people and the organisations with which we work, such as the disability benefits consortium, which was mentioned earlier. In our view, the only obstacle to the bill being passed remains the Scottish Parliament—so, who knows? It is uncharted territory, as Pam Duncan said. That is why Capability Scotland and other organisations will be saying that the Parliament should refuse to agree to the legislative consent motion on the basis that a strong force is needed to oppose the Westminster Government. We consider it to be the Scottish Parliament’s duty and responsibility to address that.
The question was whether we believe that the bill will be passed, and like most people who work in this area we believe that it will be. We continue to work through all our networks—the disability benefits consortium, the Scottish campaign on welfare reform and Disability Agenda Scotland, which has been involved in the hardest hit protest—to achieve specific changes by proposing amendments at all stages of the bill. The bill is now before the House of Lords and there are few opportunities left for amendment. However, there are a couple of areas in which we think that we might achieve some small, specific changes. We think that the bill will be passed, which is why we are focused on trying to achieve change either to the bill now or to the subordinate legislation that will be required.
We may come back to mitigation. Does Keith Robertson want to add anything?
I want to bring in the human factor and say what people themselves—
We might come back to that. I asked whether you believe that the Welfare Reform Bill will go through.
Yes, we do.
Do you believe that there will be any drastic changes to it?
No, I do not.
Thank you.
I did not intend to ask anything in this evidence-taking session.
We remain absolutely clear that one of the most important things for disabled people in Scotland today is that they be represented and that their voices be heard. Our networks and thousands of disabled people who are members of Inclusion Scotland have told us that they want the Scottish Parliament to say no to the legislative consent motion, and we have remained focused on that.
Have you conducted an assessment to date?
Not that I am aware of.
I ask the same question of the other witnesses who said that we should vote against the legislative consent motion.
Capability Scotland has not conducted an assessment because the potential impact would be so massive and because it is difficult to assess—as we have discussed, the detail is not in the primary legislation. The knock-on effect of voting against the legislative consent motion would depend on how the Scottish Parliament and, in particular, the Scottish Government picked up the responsibilities. Unfortunately, there are far too many variables.
Mr Robertson, has your organisation conducted an assessment of the impact of voting against the LCM?
No. I support what Richard Hamer said. There are so many variables, and getting a clear assessment is so complex. However, we believe that there are measures that the Scottish Government could put in place to help mitigate the effect on some of the passported benefits, such as blue badges, adaptations and so on.
I am interested in the panel’s views on two things. First, what do you think the knock-on impact of the welfare reforms will be on local authorities? I am thinking specifically of people with disabilities losing passported benefits and support. As levels of debt and poverty rise, they might present as homeless to local authorities, but local authorities have very little short-term and temporary accommodation that is suitable for disabled people. What will be the knock-on effect on local authorities if they have to support disabled people when they are homeless?
I want to pick up on the support point, given that Capability is a large provider of care and support in Scotland. We did research in February on how local authorities took account of benefits in their care-charging assessments. That was part of a wider piece of work in which we are involved with the Convention of Scottish Local Authorities at the moment. The impact is threefold. One impact is that disabled people lose benefits and are therefore less able to pay towards their care package as it stands. Secondly, not every disabled person who receives DLA at present uses it to pay towards care; they might well have their own arrangement by which they pay for a carer directly out of their DLA and other money. If you take away DLA as part of the PIP, they have to get care from somewhere and, therefore, go back to relying on the local authority. The third point is about disabled people who no longer get classed as eligible for DLA and who have a carer who might well get carers allowance at present but who, through the process of all the benefit changes, might lose that allowance and would, therefore, be unable to continue to provide that support. It would fall back on local government to provide support.
The effect on disabled people will be devastating. For many, it will mean isolation, depression, anxiety, a life without dignity and respect and, most important, a life without independence. We are going back to denying disabled people the very basic human rights that Abraham Maslow identified in his hierarchy of needs. The knock-on effect on local authorities will be tremendous, from social services to occupational therapy. We already know that there are not enough mental health officers in local authorities and the NHS. The increased need for MHOs alone is unlikely to be met, given that the NHS and local government can barely meet it now. There will be an effect on housing and all other services. It is less likely that disabled people will be able to access leisure activities or the kind of social life that everyone has the right to have and on which society is based. We will simply cease to be active members of society—it is that bad.
Let me start with the principles of independent living and giving disabled people freedom, choice, dignity and control. In signing up to the independent living vision, the Scottish Government recognised the need for disabled people to be supported in participating in the community. However, 30 per cent of disabled people already live in poverty and, given that they are half as likely to be in work and much less likely to take up public appointments, the level of their civic engagement is disproportionately much lower than that of non-disabled people. Removing any support that disabled people currently receive will only make the situation worse.
Another issue that will impact on local authorities is the move towards self-directed support as an alternative to the more traditional commissioning of services. There is a contradiction between that approach, which focuses very much on an individual’s independence, giving them choice and putting them in control of their care, and the approach taken in PIP and other aspects of the Welfare Reform Bill, which in many cases is about providing the absolute minimum support.
When people are not given access to the support they need, it will put them into crisis. In the long term, that will cost more, of course, because they will require crisis intervention, rather than preventative intervention.
I welcome your earlier comments on the LCM. I know that Inclusion Scotland made five recommendations and said that, if none of those was supported, it would not support the Scottish Parliament passing the LCM. I welcome the point that you made to Bob Doris.
Thank you very much for those comments. We have worked as hard as possible to make the UK Government aware of the impact of all its benefit and welfare reforms. We have made recommendations and submissions to Maria Miller and we have invited her—both directly and through Michael Moore—to come to Scotland to talk to disabled people’s organisations personally, so that she can make representations to the UK Parliament on this issue. Those invitations have not been taken up so far. We have also worked with many of the UK-based organisations of which we are a member, including the Disability Benefits Consortium, the National Centre for Independent Living and others, in order to look at some of the impacts. They have the ear of the UK Government more closely than we do, so we are trying our very best to raise awareness of these issues. Unfortunately, to a large extent, our calls are falling on deaf ears.
The Westminster Government has an interesting approach to the housing part of what you are talking about. I was intrigued to see that its equality impact assessment mentions that no effects specific to disability were identified in the changes relating to overoccupation. That is astonishing. The Government is not now unaware of the effects, as it might have been when it wrote its assessment. Across Scotland, it is recognised that the housing stock is not made to suit disabled people and many organisations have made that point.
For quite a few years, we have been working closely with Scottish building standards to get a higher minimum standard of accessibility in the building or refurbishment of houses in Scotland than exists in England and Wales. That work will continue, and we hope that something substantial will come out at the end of it. Why does the UK Government not get our message? To be frank, judging by the responses from our members, I think that it has no idea what disability is. It has no grasp of the needs of disabled people and, sadly, it has no desire to know about disabled people—it is like a blind rhinoceros running wild that has got to make a 20 per cent cut, irrespective of the consequences for disabled people not only in Scotland but throughout the UK. The fact is that people are going to be put into dire poverty, with no independence, no dignity and no place in society. Our members honestly believe that the Westminster Government has no desire even to try to understand; it is simply going through a financial procedure, and it is not interested.
My question related to the points that Mr Doris put to the witnesses, but Jim Eadie anticipated it in asking whether any of the witnesses had any evidence or research to support their call for us to withhold agreement to the LCM. I noted that the answer was no.
It is easy to be wise after the fact. Jim Eadie asked whether such an assessment had been done. There was talk in the parliamentary debate and—if I remember rightly—in the motion for that debate about the Government feeling unable to support the LCM as it was. Capability is a large organisation, but it does not have the resources available to it that the Scottish Government has, and I am sure that those around the table do not. If the Scottish Government has talked about feeling unable to support such a motion, we would hope that it would undertake that assessment.
I would like to ask a supplementary on that. It seems to me that we need to divide things up a bit. To talk about whether to pass a legislative consent motion is perhaps a little sterile in view of the fact that universal credit will be rolled out whether we like it or not.
You are right that those are not particularly contentious areas. The two contentious areas are, inevitably, universal credit and the personal independence payment, but we could be supportive of what is proposed in the areas that you mentioned.
I agree that the areas that you mentioned are not controversial; we do not hold a strong view on them. However, my question remains: I would like to know what the withholding of consent in particular areas would mean. Would it mean that those changes would simply happen anyway and the Scottish Government would not have the chance to influence them, or would it mean that the Scottish Government could pass its own legislation to mitigate the impact on disabled people? If the latter were the case, we would fully support that.
We might put that question to the cabinet secretary this afternoon.
Pam Duncan said that she had made FOI requests on adaptations to councils. Keith Robertson prompted in me the thought that, through their capital programmes, most councils have updated houses for the disabled by making adaptations such as putting in lower electricity points.
We asked how much councils had spent on adaptations over the four-year period for which they had been in place, but many of the responses that we got were not 100 per cent clear in the information that they provided. One of the main findings was that most councils did not have a full picture of how many houses for disabled people they had, how many adaptations they had done and how much that had cost. We concluded that it is impossible to meet the demand for housing that meets disabled people’s needs without having an understanding of the population and the demographic needs at large. There will be some useful information in that report that can be passed on to the DWP to show some of the costs, but information is lacking in certain areas because of a lack of data.
You are going to provide us with a copy of that research.
Absolutely.
I will move on to another agenda, which Carolyn Roberts referred to. Even if we win all the arguments about amendments to the Welfare Reform Bill, I think that everyone agrees that we face a difficult time that will impact on the Scottish economy and on individuals, particularly the poor and the disabled. We discussed the moving on agenda with a panel last week. An obvious point is the impact that good advice can have in supporting people at this difficult time and ensuring that they can challenge effectively any decisions that they believe are unfair and detrimental to them. In that area, there is a clear understanding of how we in Scotland could ensure that we mitigate the impact on people of some of the worst excesses of the Welfare Reform Bill. However, I am interested to know what other thinking has been done in that regard and what we should do in Scotland to maximise our use of the powers that we have at local government and Scottish Parliament levels to mitigate the impacts. Has any thinking been done on that, given that the train is fast approaching?
There are several things that the Scottish Government, local authorities and, indeed, the NHS can do to mitigate the impact. We have talked already about passported benefits. One of the most concrete things that could be done is to find ways to ensure that people who no longer receive PIP and who would therefore not qualify on the equivalent basis will still receive passported benefits.
I agree with what Carolyn Roberts said. In addition, we would ask the Scottish Government to do other things, such as provide advocacy support for disabled people to help them to understand the implications of the work capability assessments and how to navigate them and what to do at them. It could also ensure that volunteers can accompany people to assessments to help them through the process. We also think that independent advocacy is essential for all of this; it can support disabled people so that, as Carolyn Roberts said, they will not necessarily have to go into the system that welfare reform will create.
I warmly support the views of Carolyn Roberts and Pam Duncan on employability. Capability is a large supplier of employment services as part of the DWP schemes. We should not ignore the fact that they are being cut back at the moment; the subsidies to employers, in particular, are being reduced too, so some work on that would be beneficial.
One area where work could be done much better is adaptations. We continually hear about people having two or three shower rooms put in before they get one that suits them. It should be recognised that being a specialist in inclusive environments is a profession in its own right nowadays. When local authorities bring in jobbing plumbers and joiners to fit adaptations, quite often they get it wrong and the adaptations do not meet the needs of the disabled person. If we can get it right the first time, I would not say that there would be a saving, but we might get adaptations to other disabled people more speedily. We all know of people who, once they go into a council house, cannot get out for more than a year because they do not have a ramp or do not have a shower for six months because there has not been the money to put that adaptation in. If adaptations are put in properly in the first place, the funds that are there might have more longevity.
Maybe it is appropriate that we finish on that note. I hope that we have listened this morning. More important, I hope that we will use whatever influence we have to mitigate the impact on the people whom you represent. Thank you all for your attendance and valuable evidence.
I now give a warm welcome to Neil Couling, director of working age benefits at the Department for Work and Pensions. You cut a lonely figure, Mr Couling; we would have much preferred your minister to accompany you, but it seems that that was not to be. We do not give up hope and will continue to press for a minister to give evidence. Of course, we have nothing against you—we give you a very warm Scottish welcome and look forward to your evidence and our being able to question you on the Welfare Reform Bill.
Good morning, Mr Couling. I want to ask about the facts and figures with regard to what is happening with DLA in particular. How did you arrive at the decision to make a 20 per cent cut in that allowance? Following on from Capability Scotland’s evidence, are you able to tell us whether that is a 20 per cent cut in the DLA budget or are you expecting to cut the number of DLA claimants by 20 per cent? How did you arrive at the decision to remove the lower level of mobility allowance and the lowest level of care for DLA, both of which, I understand, will cease to exist? As Inclusion Scotland pointed out, the people affected will—miraculously—still be disabled. How many people in the UK and Scotland are on the lower level of mobility and lowest level of care under DLA?
You have asked quite a lot of questions. On the question whether the cut refers to case load or expenditure, I do not want to criticise previous witnesses but I think that the earlier evidence that you received contained a slight inaccuracy. In fact, there will be a 20 per cent reduction in expenditure on working age claimants to disability living allowance.
Yes, but I have a couple of questions on the back of those responses. How many of the 350,000 in Scotland in receipt of DLA get the lower mobility rate and lowest rate of care?
I am not sure that I have that information.
Can you send it to us?
Of course.
Although you say that the intention is not to do away with the lower mobility and lowest care rates, disability groups assume that there will be a straight transfer to PIPs and that people on those levels of DLA will simply be told, “Don’t bother claiming your PIP.” Are you saying that the advice for those on the lower mobility and lowest care rates is that they should still apply for a PIP?
My advice is that you cannot transpose from the old system to the new one. Another committee member asked about mental health. Mental health is not particularly well catered for in the DLA at the moment with regard to the mobility component, which is almost exclusively determined by a person’s ability to walk. What we are seeking to do with personal independence payment reform is to update that and to address the fact that many people with mental health problems can walk quite easily but cannot get on a bus. That gives them a mobility problem that the PIP will need to respond to.
That is interesting. You seem to contradict yourself slightly. At one point you said that the number of DLA recipients will not be the same as the number receiving PIP.
Yes. You just have to look at the growth in the DLA case load to understand that something is not quite right there. The case load is growing much faster than the demography in the country would suggest. We are confident that by putting an assessment process on the front of the claiming process for the personal independence payment there will be savings, and without the drastic outcomes that some of your witnesses suggested. There was almost a sense that we were somehow removing all support from everybody. That is not the case with the reform. By 2015, expenditure on PIP will be exactly the same as current expenditure on DLA. What we are doing is dealing with the fact that many people with low levels of disability have been getting DLA.
Did I pick you up correctly? Did you say that DLA takes into account someone’s mobility but not their mental health?
The way in which DLA works was framed in the late 1980s. There have been developments since then, but that view of disability is essentially what sits in the rules of the current benefits system.
If I understand you correctly, someone with a learning disability who has a mobility problem will have their learning disability taken into account in the new assessment.
It depends on the nature of the disability. It is not a condition-based set of entitlements. We are trying to assess how the severity of a person’s condition impacts on their ability to participate in society. In essence, we are trying to design an assessment that sets all those factors against a scale of severity.
I have a concern about the memorandum that you sent us, in which you say that
It is not surprising that organisations that represent various groups will present their evidence in different ways. In the more than 19 impact assessments on the Welfare Reform Bill that it has published, all of which are available at local newsagents, on the web and so forth, the Government has tried to set out a very frank assessment of what we think the effects will be and to provide a lot of detail about gainers and losers under the various reform proposals.
The assessment system was changed under the previous Government and the process is outsourced to Atos Healthcare, which has taken a lot of stick for it. Are you happy with the mechanism that Atos Healthcare has been instructed to use, given that it results in an appeals system that, according to last night’s Channel 4 news, costs £80 million a year and in which on average 40 per cent of appeals are successful, with the figure rising to 70 per cent for people who have a good advocate, such as a citizens advice bureau? Is the initial phase of the system working well enough? Are you comfortable spending £80 million on an appeals system?
Dr Simpson, your previous experience with civil servants will tell you that they often say not to look at selectively quoted figures. In fact, if we take all the work capability assessments that Atos does and compare them to the number that are overturned by appeal, we find an overturn rate of about 9 per cent. In a system that rightly prizes itself on the fact that the claimant can represent themselves in an appeal tribunal and can bring new evidence to the tribunal, there will always be a reasonably high overturn rate. If someone turns up at the appeal, they are more likely to get a positive outcome than if they do not turn up for it. That is an inherent part of the process.
It is welcome to get the figure of 9 per cent for the overturn rate generally. The figures of 40 per cent and 70 per cent make it sound like a system that is almost in crisis, whereas a figure of 9 per cent for appeals is different. The point about new evidence being brought is also important.
Professor Harrington is due to respond to us on fluctuating conditions, which, as you know, can often be mental health problems.
I will ask a more substantive question later, but I have a quick point on appeals. I will keep my powder dry on whether we believe that 9 per cent is an accurate figure for the overturn of assessments. The other figures that are in the public domain come from the direct experience of citizens advice bureaux. Those figures indicate that 40 per cent of decisions were overturned and 70 per cent were overturned when the appellants had advocacy and representation at the appeal. That is clearly an issue, as the process will put increasing demands on advocacy services and third sector services in Scotland, not only in the case of workforce capability assessments, but also in the case of PIPs and appeals that arise through that process. Will the UK Government give the Scottish Government, which has a remit for income maximisation and the protection of vulnerable groups, an increased budget line to support the third sector and advocacy groups in Scotland so that they can represent people at their appeals?
For a start, all the figures are accurate. The figures of 70 per cent, 40 per cent and 9 per cent are accurate.
As you have confirmed all three figures, can I clarify that, when we compare apples with apples, the figures of 40 per cent and 70 per cent show that a person is almost twice as likely to be successful in their appeal when they have advocacy and representation? Is that something that you acknowledge? Will the UK Government take that into consideration by giving the Scottish Government more money to fund advocacy services?
I do not have the figures to hand, but I think that the figures for those who turn up to an appeal and those who have advocacy are very similar. There is a question whether an appellant needs advocacy to get them a successful outcome. The mere physical presence of the appellant at the appeal seems to sway the decision of the appeal judge and, in many cases, the appellant brings more evidence that was not available to the Atos person. Because the process is—rightly—flexible, even if that evidence is provided subsequent to the assessment, the tribunal will not turn round and say that the assessment was right; it will just roll the entitlement across.
Can I ask you for the third time to answer the question that was asked, which was whether more money will be provided for the third sector for advocacy services in Scotland, given the increased pressure that they will be under as a result of the UK welfare and benefit reforms? Has that been considered? Is it under consideration? Will such provision be made? Have you had discussions with the Scottish Government about that?
My answer to the question was that I do not think that that is an appropriate policy response.
That is interesting. You do not think that it is an appropriate policy response. Do you have an opinion on the matter? What is the UK Government’s opinion on it? These are the easy questions, Mr Couling; we have not got to the difficult ones yet.
I am finding the questions quite easy to answer.
You have not answered my question yet.
I said that I do not think that that is an appropriate policy response. The whole point of the administrative appeals system is that people do not need representation—that is why it is there—so it just does not make sense for a Government to set up a system that provides for administrative hearings in the way in which it does and to pay for that, and then to pay for additional representation.
I will come back with a more substantive question, but the record will show that on three occasions you were asked whether additional resources would be provided and that on three occasions you just did not answer.
I said that they should not be provided; I said that I did not see that there was a need for them.
So the answer is no.
It is no.
Okay—thank you.
I will ask some questions about the bill’s policy on property size. You will probably know that in Scotland’s old industrial areas the housing stock is, typically, extremely poor and that there are long queues of people waiting to access that poor-quality housing. That phenomenon is particularly evident in the west of Scotland.
You asked quite a lot of questions; I will try to deal with them all.
I will give you an example. West Dunbartonshire has the lowest job attainment prospects in the whole of the United Kingdom. It also has some of the most deprived areas in Scotland and in the United Kingdom. You could not make the model work in such an area if you did not have the houses to shift people around in the first place. I will make an assumption that there would not be the houses required in the private sector in that area. Would exemptions be made for such an area, where, effectively, your Government’s policy could not be effected?
I think that it is possible to effect the policy in West Dunbartonshire and the rest of the United Kingdom. I know that the lack of jobs at the moment is a concern. A number of the groups that have made representations on the bill have said that.
Have you looked specifically at West Dunbartonshire, given some of its records, which people are not happy about? If you could make the policy work in West Dunbartonshire, I think that you could make it work anywhere, so maybe my challenge would be for you to provide figures for West Dunbartonshire to show how the change that you suggest would work. If, all of a sudden, there were no quality housing available in the public sector—I am saying that there is none—how could that be transformed when very little additional private sector accommodation is available? With so many folk unemployed, and the worst job prospects in the United Kingdom, my challenge would be: can you make it work in West Dunbartonshire?
As I said, I think that we can. A whole series of behavioural responses to this policy change is open to claimants to take. Some will make those responses; others will be less able to do it in that way and will do it in another way.
We are back into the guessing game if that is the case, and if you are uncertain about the outcomes and how this will affect communities. The one-size-fits-all approach is concerning, as I think Gil Paterson mentioned. We have communities that are behind the curve and less resilient in the current situation, and there are hot spots within them. There is genuine concern that a one-size-fits-all approach does not have the desired flexibility to implement these policies successfully.
With regard to the flexibility within the policy and to the range of possible behavioural responses, I cannot foretell exactly what those responses will be. You ask whether the policy is appropriate. As I said in my introductory remarks, we are making these changes to get more movement between the social sector and the private sector in order to encourage housing supply, when we have limited resources to meet need, and to a greater extent when resources are extraordinarily tight. I think that the policy meets those objectives, but we have been quite open that we cannot predict all the behavioural responses from all these reforms.
But where are the resources to ensure that there is appropriate social housing for those who are capable of moving towards the job market, wherever those jobs might be?
The social housing waiting lists are extraordinarily long. A housing strategy for England was announced yesterday, and the Prime Minister was talking about some of these issues, and about the fact that it is possible to go on to a housing list and wait there and that, whatever one’s circumstances, ultimately one might be granted some kind of social housing. He was asked whether that was a good thing, when we need to prioritise these matters. The Scottish Government has policies that we support in terms of wanting to expand the supply of affordable housing and build more social units. This is where all those policies start to come together.
I understand the policy objectives and the mechanisms by which you hope or expect that people will respond—the three responses that you suggested were moving into work, changing accommodation and taking in a lodger.
As the policy is conceived, the answer is no—such a mechanism will not exist. We are being pressed on that as the bill goes through the House of Lords.
I understand that you do not want to undermine your policy objectives, but some individuals will undoubtedly suffer badly as a result of the bill.
Dr Simpson, I need your co-operation, as other members are anxious to speak. Bob Doris will ask a supplementary, then we will move to the ever-patient Richard Lyle.
I thank Mr Lyle for his patience.
If they did not move, yes.
I apologise for interrupting you; it is a terrible habit of mine.
We do not know that there is not a suitable move; as I said in my opening comments to Mr Paterson, there are opportunities in the private rented sector. When other changes have been made to housing benefit—for example, the move from the 50th to the 30th percentile—people’s housing benefit has been adjusted for that policy change. In the same way, that is what would happen in these circumstances.
Finally, I work very closely with the private rented sector in Glasgow—there is no choice but to do that to find suitable properties for a lot of people who are in social housing need. The Scottish Association of Landlords tells me that it is placing fewer and fewer people with social housing need in the private sector because those in in-work poverty who do not qualify for housing benefit are putting such huge demands on the private sector. Have you made any assessment of that before you introduce these cuts?
Currently, the growth in housing benefit in the private rented sector exceeds the growth in the social rented sector, so people are moving and claiming housing benefit in greater numbers in the private rented sector. There is some movement going on. They might not be exactly the same people whom we are talking about here, but the private rented sector is working efficiently. We know that there is a problem with some landlords who will not rent to housing benefit customers—we tried to tackle that problem in our 2011 reforms—but the private rented sector is quite healthy.
I hae my doubts, Mr Couling, but thank you for your comments.
May I ask how long you have been in your job, Mr Couling?
I have been in the Department for Work and Pensions for 25 years.
Okay. I have been a councillor for 36 years. In that time, I have helped about 4,000 people to get a house. What you are saying that people will have to do to move is physically and utterly impossible. People have to start living in the real world. The average waiting time in North Lanarkshire, to move house on a points system, can be anything between 18 months and 10 years. People who are asked to move from a three apartment or two apartment to a one apartment because they are living alone or because their benefits are going to be cut will not be able to move. Let me assure you of that. What you are suggesting will happen is physically impossible. There are more than 280,000 people on incapacity-related benefits, 340,000 on disability living allowance and 475,000 on housing benefit in Scotland alone.
We estimate that 70,000 people are affected by the policy change in Scotland. Not all of them will choose to move; indeed, from what has happened in previous housing benefit reforms, I suspect that the vast majority will choose not to move and will adapt in ways that I have touched on in previous responses. However, I do not know that for certain, which is why we are very carefully evaluating all the housing reforms. Previous experience shows that in response to other housing benefit changes people have valued their location above other needs or desires and have adapted to maintain themselves in that locality. In London, where the 2011 housing benefit reforms are hitting most acutely, there have been a small number of movements to different parts of boroughs but even in a city that is so mobile and easy to get around people are not moving across local authority boundaries.
You mentioned the rented sector. Last night, I saw on TV that people in London were getting £450 a week in housing benefit. I know of no place in Scotland where people are getting paid £2,000 a month in benefit.
I am not asking them to do all those things. They can respond to this policy change in a number of ways, one of which might be to move to a cheaper and smaller property for which they will receive full housing benefit. They could choose to remain where they are and take in a lodger to make up the difference, or they could move into work and get an income that allows them to make good the difference and cover their rent. That is the nature of the reform and depending on their circumstances people will respond to it in different ways. As I have said, the Government is looking at ways of keeping disabled people who have made major adaptations to their homes in those locations without having to unravel the policy. We have not yet reached a conclusion on that, but we are working with organisations of and for disabled people and local authorities to get a sense of how we might draw up a sensible definition to cover that group of people.
I finish with a plea on behalf of those who are disabled, many of whom have made major adaptations to their houses, not just put up a wee handrail to allow them to get in the door.
When do you expect to reach a conclusion on your discussions about not moving people who have made major adaptations to their homes?
I am sure that the House of Lords will not let us progress the bill until we have done that work.
When will that work be concluded?
We are aiming to achieve royal assent by the end of January or perhaps February, depending on other Government business, so we hope to conclude the work between now and then.
Within the next six to eight weeks, then.
I think that that is how the timescale works out.
Did you say that the amount of money that would be available for the new personal independence payment would be the same as is currently available for the disability living allowance?
Yes; we estimate that by 2015 we will be paying out the same in PIP as we pay out in DLA.
So, is the 20 per cent target a cut not in expenditure, but in case load?
DLA is growing at 5 per cent per annum; as a benefit, it is growing fast. In expenditure terms, the reforms will take the top off that growth. The same amount that would be spent at the start of the session of Parliament would be spent at the end of the session. That is a cash-terms calculation.
So, is the 20 per cent target a cut in case load, rather than in expenditure?
No. The 20 per cent target is a cut in expenditure, not in case load. Until we decide where to draw the lines, we cannot model the expenditure effects of the reform. We have been in an iterative process with the design group to try to reach consensus about where the lines should be drawn.
So, the new PIP will represent a 20 per cent cut in expenditure. How was that figure arrived at?
The figure was an assessment that was made at the time of the emergency budget. It translates into reductions in expenditure of £350 million in 2013-14 and £1,050 million in 2014-15. We reached that by taking an estimate of what the work capability assessment did when it was applied to the incapacity benefit case load. We modelled that and assumed an analogous outcome in reform of the DLA. I should be clear that at that point we had not designed the personal independence payment. It was a forecast—not a target.
You mentioned the work capability assessment as part of the employment support allowance. We have heard from you and from other colleagues that a high percentage—40 per cent—of decisions have been overturned at appeal. Given that we can expect a similar figure as we move forward with the proposed changes, how realistic is that 20 per cent target?
When we come to assessing the effect of the reform, we will factor in an assumption about the turnover rate at appeal.
I have asked you how realistic the target is. It would be helpful to have your response to that on the record. I suppose that the question that the previous witnesses would have asked is how fair that target is, given its arbitrary nature and the impact that it will have on disabled and vulnerable people in Scotland.
You would have to look at what is driving growth in the DLA case load at the moment. Is 5 per cent growth ahead of what demography would lead us to expect? The baby-boomer bulge is going through at the moment, and the older you are, the greater is the likelihood of your being disabled. We would expect to see an increase in the number of successful DLA claims and we have to ask whether that is more than we would expect. We are talking about a process to bring the numbers back into line with demography. Is that fair? I think that it is, because people outside the benefits system who fund it through their taxes would ask whether there is an objective assessment for determining entitlement, which is what we seek to put in place. We are not trying to remove benefits from all disabled people or anything like that; we are just trying to put in place a reasonable assessment of entitlement.
I am talking specifically about the 20 per cent target. How fair is it, given its arbitrary nature?
It is not a target, for a start, as I have said on a number of occasions. I think that it is a reasonable assessment based on where the demography would lead you in terms of DLA case-load growth compared with how it has been growing over the past 20 years or so. It represents a reasonable assessment of the effects of the reforms.
We will put aside the issue of when a target is a target and not an assessment. We will no doubt balance the evidence that you have given us against that which we received from the disability organisations this morning. Can I ask a final question, convener?
Yes.
How is the respect agenda proceeding in the discussions and consultation between the DWP and the Scottish Government?
On our relationships with the Scottish Government, I think that we are doing really well in terms of our contacts. We get a lot of good advice on how to adapt social security proposals to the reality of the Scots law jurisdiction. Scottish officials are engaged on all our major reform programmes. We have just talked about DLA/PIP, with which they have been engaged from the start. Ministers meet to discuss issues, some of which we have exposed today and which are of clear interest to the Scottish Parliament, even though they are reserved matters. In addition, there are obviously knock-ons into responsibilities that are within the purview of the Scottish Parliament and Scottish Government.
You suggest in your submission that there were 70 contacts. Can you explain to me what that means?
There have been telephone conversations and physical meetings. For example, I have come to Scotland to meet Scottish Government officials before a meeting at ministerial level. There is a joint ministerial committee, which the Deputy Prime Minister chairs, on which the three devolved Governments and the UK Government are represented. Just this morning, before coming here to give evidence, I had a meeting with a colleague from the Scottish Government to discuss their progress on some aspects of the reform agenda.
Again, 70 is an impressive number, but if 50 of the contacts were phone calls, that is not as impressive as I would have liked. Can you provide notes of the type of issues that have been discussed, as well as dates and agendas of discussions and so on? You mentioned good advice. Are there any examples of the advice that you have taken and acted on?
A particular example concerns the shared accommodation rate proposals, which increase from age 20 to age 35 the requirement for housing benefit to pay for shared accommodation. After talking to various interested groups, we were concerned in particular about people who were coming from prison and had a propensity for violence. We were concerned about how putting them into shared accommodation could present a risk to the other people in that accommodation. For England, we designed a concession to exempt that group from the proposals. Working with officials in the Scottish Government, we designed an analogous exemption—it is not exactly the same—that has regard for the nature of law in the Scottish jurisdiction.
I am trying to get to the heart of the matter. You have described the relationship as being “good” and you have talked about regular meetings with officials. You have said that there has been at least one meeting between the Cabinet Secretary for Health, Wellbeing and Cities Strategy and Iain Duncan Smith, in September.
Clearly there is politics going on, as there always is. However, at the practical administrative level, relationships are very good—as, I hope, all politicians would want them to be. We discuss things in confidence. I could share with you a long list of contacts that I have had, but some cover confidential matters, so if you asked to see the notes of those meetings, that might pose some problems. You might just have to take my word for it that there has been a lot of contact and that that will continue.
From your point of view and that of other officials, we are proceeding normally. It is all very cosy; we all know each other, we have established good relationships and we are managing the process while thinking about implementation and softening the sharp edges. Is that broad description of your relationship correct?
Do you mean at official level?
Yes.
It is absolutely correct.
Good.
I was not at that meeting, so I cannot comment on its atmosphere. I think that the cabinet secretary is coming to give evidence to the committee this afternoon. Perhaps you can ask her for her view on it.
Yes. We wanted Iain Duncan Smith here this morning to ask him what had taken place at that meeting. We would like a balance, although we are quite happy to hear the evidence from the cabinet secretary this afternoon.
It was when the Scottish Parliament debated and agreed the motion.
Until that point, did you expect that there would be no problem with the LCM?
It certainly came as a surprise to us that there was a problem. The LCM is on a reasonably non-controversial area, as other witnesses have pointed out. It will not inhibit the United Kingdom Government’s ability to implement welfare reform, and not to pass it would give the Scottish Government a number of difficulties.
So, in those 70 meetings, and in the meeting between Iain Duncan Smith and the cabinet secretary, the LCM was not an issue. You were proceeding as if we had accepted the LCM.
The Scottish Government officials had never said that it was in the bag, but I think that they recognised that the Scottish Government either needs to pass a legislative consent motion or legislate for itself. Otherwise, it will not be able to run some of its devolved responsibilities after the Welfare Reform Bill is enacted.
Was that issue raised in any reports that you have read about the meeting between Nicola Sturgeon and Iain Duncan Smith? Was the possibility that we would oppose the LCM raised at that meeting?
I have no knowledge of that; I have lost track of the time in which all that happened. When did the Scottish Parliament pass its motion against the LCM? Was that in August?
It was in October. The meeting was in September.
I do not know the answer to that question. I am sorry.
Can I ask a question?
Fiona McLeod can go first.
My question follows on from that, and from almost everything. We have discussed the quantity of meetings, but you are not sure about the timescale in which certain things happened. The issue is more to do with the quality of meetings, and the quality of your briefing and preparation for coming here today.
It was certainly not an issue that was raised with me.
So, it is irrelevant.
We are being asked narrow questions about the legislative consent motion. It is for the Scottish Parliament and the Scottish Government to choose how to respond to the Welfare Reform Bill. The LCM seems to have become caught up in general anxieties around the welfare reform policies. We accept that they are of interest all over the United Kingdom and we talk daily to various people about them. The bill is going through the House of Lords at the moment and is getting the most detailed scrutiny possible there.
I want to get an understanding of the somewhat cosy arrangement that you seem to be describing. Are the cordial arrangements that you have with Scottish officials of a technical nature rather than a policy nature?
There is a shared desire to run the Administrations as effectively as possible.
Were you engaged in the technical aspects of allowing that to happen or in the policy behind it?
I did not talk particularly to Scottish Government officials on reserved matters, just as they would not talk to me about devolved matters.
Sorry, Mr Couling, but did I detect a threat with regard to the LCM?
No.
If we do not agree to it, woe betide us.
No. Let me give a good example. The bill will abolish income support and jobseekers allowance and replace them with universal credit but, under Scottish Parliament legislation on free school meals, income support and jobseekers allowance are qualifying conditions for free school meals, so you will need to change that legislation. In the bill, we are offering you a power to do that. You could choose not to take that power by not agreeing to the legislative consent motion and then you could enact legislation yourself. That is up to you. There is no threat. I know that this is hard to believe, but we were trying to be helpful. The issue seems to have been caught up in a general anxiety about welfare reform. I understand that—that is politics—but, as a strict matter of fact, in this case we are offering the Scottish ministers the power to make consequential amendments to legislation. If you do not want that power, we can take it out of the bill. That is not a threat; it is just a straight fact.
My mother always warned me to beware of people bearing gifts.
I do not think that I am Greek.
If we factor in all the changes, by how much does the UK Government hope to reduce the benefits bill each year?
Do you mean for the UK or for Scotland?
I mean for the UK.
It is £18 billion by 2015.
How much would it be for Scotland?
It is about £2.5 billion.
You have given us helpful information on issues in the legislative consent memorandum, for example in relation to passported benefits. However, you acknowledged that, understandably and correctly, the issue has become caught up with the wider implications of welfare reform. It would be wrong for the Scottish Parliament to negate our moral responsibility to take a stance. We do not have the power to change and block the reforms, but we have the power to use the legislative consent motion as a vehicle to show opposition. We understand that, politically, that is the situation. I am grateful for your evidence, although it is disappointing and disrespectful that the UK Government has not shown political leadership in the committee. As the convener said, I hope that the UK Government will reconsider its position. There should be parity of esteem between our Parliaments, but the UK Government is clearly not demonstrating that at present.
I will begin by referring to my answer to Mr Lyle. Governments throughout Europe are considering fiscal consolidation. That is what that reduction of £18 billion is about. That is not easy. Everything is connected in some way or another. Reducing spend on benefits takes money out of people’s pockets but, if you are not going to take it from benefits, you will have to take it from somewhere else. In a devolved context, that manifests itself through changes in the block grant that comes to you. The fact is that social security accounts for around a third of Government outlay, and the coalition Government chose to take some savings from that.
It related to the £100 gateway fee to use the structures that are to be put in place. I also asked about the impact on mediation services in Scotland for those seeking a voluntary settlement.
It has been a while since I considered this area in detail but from memory I think that Scotland does rather better on mediation services with regard to outcomes and the arrangements that are struck than the rest of the United Kingdom. I am not aware of any proposal for funding more mediation services but as I might be in a bit of deep water without any flotation support in that regard I will, if you are content, write to you on the issue.
I realise that you have indulged me this morning, convener, but I have a final very brief question.
The way you have asked the question exposes the extraordinary difficulty of doing what you have proposed. You conceive of the subordinate legislation as something that will touch on childcare responsibilities; I conceive of the regulations as specifying the conditionality requirements and therefore not touching on the devolved Government’s area of responsibility. That is why it is very difficult to envisage a situation where the Scottish ministers would grant some form of consent in that respect. We would be in constant discussion—that would be the nicest way of describing it—over whether any such regulations would trigger a devolved issue. I cannot think of any way of defining such a power that would preserve the constitutional arrangements of the devolution settlement.
Has it been ruled out?
I think that it has been.
We will not keep you much longer, Mr Couling. We appreciate your time.
No—they are under on-going discussion right now at the request of Scottish Government ministers, which was agreed by my ministers. We are trying to satisfy ourselves that the particular arrangements that are made in Scotland are reflected fairly in the Great Britain legislation and in the benefits system. We have not reached any conclusions on that at the moment.
The Scottish Government has the support of this committee—and had the support of our predecessor committees—in the area of kinship area. Our briefing tells us that that was certainly an issue that was discussed in the meeting with Iain Duncan Smith, which indicates that it is a clear priority in relation to our response to the LCM. We would like to be kept up to date about that area as a demonstration that constructive discussion is taking place and that there is an opportunity to influence aspects of the bill, given its impact on our policies here in Scotland.
I am more than happy to commit to keeping this committee up to date on our progress in that regard, because I know that my secretary of state shares your view on the positive role that kinship carers can play in the upbringing of children.
We will finish on that optimistic note. Thank you very much for your time and your evidence this morning. As previously agreed, we will move into private session for a short time.