Official Report 207KB pdf
The third item on our agenda is the budget process. We will receive a briefing from the Convention of Scottish Local Authorities on the submission that it has made to the Scottish Executive as part of the spending review 2004. I welcome back to the committee Councillor Pat Watters of COSLA—perhaps he should have a season ticket to the committee. I also welcome Della Thomas and Brenda Campbell from COSLA. I thank Pat Watters for supplying members with an advance copy of his briefing, which will have helped them to prepare for today's meeting. I invite him to make some introductory comments on the submission that COSLA has made to the Executive, which will be followed by questions.
Thank you, convener. I appreciate the opportunity to come back to speak to the committee, particularly about the spending review.
I thank Pat Watters for his introduction and for the submission, which sets out COSLA's case comprehensively.
I thank Pat Watters for the submission. When I read through the document, I was struck mostly by the consequences of councils not obtaining funding, to which you have referred. When I read about that, I wondered why authorities would not receive such funding. Is COSLA concerned that some funding might not become available and that the consequences that it highlights might occur?
That relates to funding that is given for a specific period. Some financing from the better neighbourhood services fund is time limited and guaranteed and the Executive and local authorities agree that some of the services that have been developed through that fund, such as neighbourhood wardens, are delivering changes in communities. If that funding is removed at the end of the three-year funding period and we have no money to employ those neighbourhood wardens, how will we maintain them without there being a direct impact on, and a need to cut, another service in order to obtain funding?
I appreciate that fully and I understand every one of the issues that you highlighted; there will be consequences if that funding is not found. However, I am concerned about whether there is a genuine danger that funding will not be found for any of those areas.
There is a danger that there will be a reduction in funding for the supporting people programme. We have no idea at present what the level of reduction will be and, to be fair, I do not think that the Executive knows either.
I want to be absolutely clear that I am referring to the right figures because I have had my pen and paper out trying to add and subtract to get to the provisional budget, the allocated budget, the agreed budget and the subject-to-determination budget totals. When you refer in the document to a provisional budget for 2005-06, are you talking about the total £9.3104 billion?
Yes.
That is your base budget. There is a significant difference between the announced revenue budget from the Scottish Executive of £8.2 billion and the total revenue provisional budget for 2005-06 of £8.9 billion. You state in your document:
I will ask Brenda Campbell to comment in a second. As you say, it is a provisional budget and discussions are on-going. We have discussed with Executive officials the categories in the top part of the provisional budget table in the document and we have reached broad agreement about the level of funding. The bottom part of the table—I think that it is on page 19—contains areas that are still to be discussed. If we can reach agreement on those areas the total budget might change, but it would be a slight change. That is the cost that we are providing at the present time; it does not take account of local priorities that might need to be developed over the next year. If there is a reduction in the budget, we need to go back and look at the services that are to be provided. That would have an impact on the delivery of service and provision in local authorities.
We have made significant progress on the budget. The reason why we say it is provisional is that not everything has been agreed. Only two months ago, we did not have much agreement on the budget, but we have made significant progress in a short period.
How does the £8.9 billion that is talked about as a provisional revenue budget for 2005-06 compare with the actual budget for 2004-05?
I do not have that information to hand. I will need to get back to you on that.
You talk about closing the gap between what COSLA argues is the base budget and what the Scottish Executive has agreed so far. We seem to agree that the Scottish Executive has agreed to provide £8.283 billion. It has also agreed to additional funding of £679.5 million, although it has not specified that yet. That takes us up to the figure of £8.9 billion; however, the base budget is £9.3 billion. Is COSLA saying that, if that gap is not filled, £400 million-plus of cuts will have to be implemented?
No. The figure includes the capital grants as well. The revenue and capital together come to £9.3 billion.
If we extract the capital—
It is just the £8.9 billion that we are talking about.
So the provisional base revenue budget for COSLA is about £8.9 billion and the Executive has announced that it will provide around £8.2 billion, but you believe that the other moneys are available although they have not been specified yet. Is that correct?
Yes. I think that we will make some progress in closing the gap on that £679.5 million.
Is the capital element of the budgets agreed as well?
Elements of that are agreed. Page 20 of our submission shows that £287 million of that is agreed and £60 million is not. To be fair, however, the Executive has said that there might be some slippage, which is why that £60 million has not been confirmed yet. I am fairly confident that we will come to a conclusion on that.
So overall the £9.3 billion that you mentioned as your provisional base budget is really only minus £60 million at the moment, which is the capital that has still to be decided.
The £60 million has still to be decided and the figure of £679.5 million has to be firmed up. It would be unfair to say that the matter is resolved; it is still under discussion.
I am anxious to get to that. If the £679.5 million is available but has just not been allocated, that is a positive thing.
Yes. For example, we are saying that the budget for the supporting people programme, which is the big one, should be £432.3 million. However, the Executive may announce an allocation that is £20 million to £30 million short of that. I do not know—that is hypothetical. We still need to have that sort of discussion with the Executive.
Will the total announcement still amount to £679.5 million?
That is our understanding. We believe that the figure should be £679.5 million. However, the Executive might not give us £679.5 million.
That is what I am trying to clarify. I have in the course of this discussion picked up from you a sense that the Executive has agreed a package of £679.5 million although it has not agreed where that money is to be spent. You have, rightly, outlined where you think the money you are asking for from the Executive should be spent. Are you now telling me that that £679.5 million has not been agreed?
The Executive has not agreed the £679.5 million; it has agreed the items—the budget headings. It has agreed that the budget headings for supporting people and the better neighbourhood services fund should be included, but it has not agreed the figures. The figures are what we say they should be.
Has the Executive given you any figures?
No. We still need to have that discussion.
I go back to my original point, which is that there is a significant funding gap between what you say is necessary as a base budget and what has been announced by the Executive so far.
Yes, although we are still in discussions on that.
Perhaps we could clarify one point. It would be premature to talk about cuts at this stage, as you are still in negotiation with the Executive over the detail of the figures. To my mind, that seems to be a normal part of the on-going budget discussion that COSLA would have with the Executive. The fact that you are having that discussion as part of the spending review is not unusual.
No, it is not. We are pleased that we are still in discussions at this stage.
To be fair, we are probably further on. I think that Tommy Sheridan was making the point that everyone agrees that the headings for items 14 to 25 in the table that is entitled, "Areas Recognised by Scottish Executive but Unable to Make any Firm Commitment At This Time for 05/06" are right and that there must be lines in the budget for all those items. The figure that should be attached to those budget lines has not yet been agreed, but no line has been closed down at this stage and no one has been told that we will not get funding for any items in the agreement. To be fair, I do not think that the Executive will have an exact figure for some of the items until it has been able to consider the percentage that comes from Westminster. We agree that the headings are right and that we need to do more work, which is why we have described the budget as a provisional budget, rather than as a base budget.
I have spent about 10 minutes on the matter—I hope that the convener does not mind—because COSLA's submission says:
We have priced services on the basis of current costs and we believe that our figures are right. If the figure is not met, we will have to reconsider the provision of local services, so there might be a reduction in services.
Do you agree that if the figure of £9.3 billion is not reached there will be problems?
There is no doubt that there could be an effect on services. Of course, that would depend on where any shortfall was.
I appreciate that.
Does COSLA's submission make an underlying assumption about council tax level within the proposed budgets?
No. We made no assumptions about council tax when we prepared the figures on projected spend. The submission is based on the announcements in the 2002 spending review. That was the starting point for the figures for 2005-06, which is the final year to be covered by the 2002 spending review.
COSLA's provisional budget indicates that you seek funding for a minimum 2.5 per cent pay award for staff. You appear to indicate that that would be essential to prevent any awards to staff from coming out of the base budget. You also indicate that you would meet an increased award. However, your submission also says:
I will bring in Brenda Campbell, because the technical aspects are sometimes over my head. Pay in local government is a negotiated element of the budget, as it is anywhere else. We have argued—and to be fair, the Executive has recognised—that until fewer than six years ago every penny of a pay increase had to be met by local government because of previous spending reviews. We acknowledge that the building of an inflationary element into budget provision for local government has alleviated some of the problems that we faced in the past.
What does 0.4 per cent represent in pounds?
In pounds, shillings and pence, I think that 0.4 per cent of the local government general pay budget is £8 million.
You could probably confirm that later, but it is in that region.
Yes.
If I can—
You can raise one final point, but then I will bring in other members. I will come back to you.
Okay. I want to ask a follow-up question, but does Brenda Campbell have anything to add first?
No.
I will ask two final questions—perhaps I can be brought in again later if there is time. First, if it is accepted that we are dealing with a figure of 2.7 per cent for the retail prices index, why are you not arguing for 2.7 per cent, instead of 2.5 per cent, to fund a pay award? Secondly, how many extra police does the allocation that has been set aside equate to? I think that the allocation is £6 million, but I am having difficulty finding the information as the figure is in the document that you sent us originally, which refers to different page numbers.
We will have to confirm that. Page 20 of our provisional budget mentions an additional £31.4 million, which takes into account various aspects of the police budget.
Page 22 of the new document states that the police partnership money is £6 million. We will confirm the actual number of extra police—that is an omission from the document. The figure of 2.7 per cent is for the retail prices index or the consumer prices index—it is the index that we have used for our calculation. We used the figure of 2.5 per cent because that is the provision that was made previously. We have made a prudent assumption that is based on the fact that that figure was put in before and that there is potential for it to be put in again.
This is more of a political question. If COSLA accepts that the retail prices index is 2.7 per cent and you are looking for funding for pay increases that match price increases for staff, which is the least that could be expected, why have you not requested 2.7 per cent from the Scottish Executive?
I think that it is a matter of trying to judge what would be available, taking into consideration past performance. We are trying to project what the figure would be and we have opted for 2.5 per cent; we could have on-going discussions if things moved.
On page 45 of your submission, you mention "Young People Leaving Care"; the subject comes up again on page 75, under the headings "Looked After Children" and "New Initiatives". I read through some of the boxes under those two headings. I know from personal experience that Ballikinrain Residential School was trying to set up an initiative involving the many local authorities from whose areas the children at Ballikinrain come to consider linkages between the residential establishment, the home and the school. The initiative was about trying to get children back into their home situation as quickly as possible. I did not see any mention of such schemes in the COSLA submission. The initiative has been put before the Scottish Executive only recently, but it affects quite a few local authorities. Could you comment on that?
I will deal with the final point, and then I will bring in Brenda Campbell on the point relating to page 45 of our submission. Della Thomas will deal with the question about the bids that are mentioned on pages 75 and 79.
I am au fait with that, but I was asking about the wording, which is not clear. When you refer to "children and adult carers", are you talking about children as carers or children in care?
No, we are not talking about children as carers. We are talking about adult carers continuing to deliver services to the children.
The submission seemed to say that the children deliver the service. I know that there are child carers—
No, that is not what is being referred to. I am sorry—the difficulty is perhaps with the way in which that sentence has been phrased. We can tidy that up.
That is fine.
We are talking about children in care and about the adults who deliver the service to them. Remember that, over the five-year roll-out, the requirements will apply to people working in elderly care as well as to those working in child care.
Della Thomas will be able to comment on the specific bids, but I will add to what is in our submission. COSLA is currently undertaking a body of work, together with representatives from local authorities and professional associations, which started with an examination of the situation of children in residential care. Local authorities came together to address the issue of rising costs in that area and to decide how to deal with it.
Will you clarify that you are considering not only children who leave care but the promotion of transitions back into the family—where possible—and school? Does the work include those areas as well?
Yes. It also includes secure accommodation. We are examining a wide area.
Will you give further information on the challenges that COSLA and local authorities face in relation to police and firefighter pensions? I notice from bids 17 and 18 on pages 82 and 83 of your submission that COSLA faces significant challenges in those areas. The submission does not elaborate on those challenges, but they have been commented on.
COSLA has concerns about the pension issues but the real challenge is for the fire and police authorities. At present, as you are aware, police and firefighter pensions are dealt with through revenue, unlike the situation in relation to the rest of local government staff, for whom we have pension funds. That has been a concern for local authorities for quite some time. The Executive recognised that in the previous spending review, and it built in some money, particularly in relation to the police.
There is not much that I can add to the points that Councillor Watters covered.
Given that funding will be required not only for pensions but for the recruitment of people to replace staff who retire, there will be a serious crisis from now until 2010. Has the Executive suggested what strategy it will put in place to deal with that?
Police and fire authorities have examined the impact and have local strategies that have been active for some time. For example, we do mass recruitment for the police, which the police boards feed into. There are lots of initiatives to deal with the problem. There are continuing discussions in the committee that involves the Executive and the police conveners. I do not have information about that with me but I can get it for you. There have been discussions about the clearly identified blip in the market that occurs when people retire, and we need to do mass recruitment. We have the authority to recruit more people annually to try to combat the problem.
You will have heard Tommy Sheridan's questions on local government pension funds, and the Accounts Commission published a report that identified that between March 2002 and March 2003 total assets reduced by about £2.4 billion. I note that COSLA's submission to the Executive identifies that there are likely to be increased contributions from local authorities, but they seem relatively modest in relation to the drop in assets. There will be zero additional contributions in 2005-06, £12 million the year after and the same amount the year after that. Does that suggest that the asset value, which reduced, is bouncing back? Was there a surplus in the asset value in the first place that was set against the liabilities?
I had discussions some months ago with local government officers who deal with the pension schemes. The local government pension schemes, particularly the bigger ones, were performing exceptionally well. Even during their troubled period, when investments had real problems, they were still performing exceptionally well. We compared the performance of schemes in Scotland with schemes in England, which we far outstripped. The situation was eased in Scotland because of careful management of the schemes over a number of years and because some of the schemes were big and could buffer—they had assets that they could tap into when things took a dip. I will bring Brenda Campbell in.
It is difficult to comment, because I do not have the report in front of me. However, any information that we have provided is based on information that has been provided by the actuaries, so it is fairly accurate in relation to the contributions that can be made. I will need to come back to you on how that relates to the assets.
Self-financing public sector pay awards have been a long-standing problem. You said that it has been mitigated to some extent by pay and price inflation being in-built, yet alarming spending gaps are appearing. For example, on police and fire, you say that because efficiency savings will take time to work through,
We are having on-going discussions with the Executive on the fire issue and on how we deal with the transitional funding that the Executive has accepted it will provide to make up the difference between what was budgeted for pay and what was negotiated for pay. The actual level has not been agreed, but more important is the fact that the Executive has accepted that it will pick up the tab for that transitional funding.
I presume that the funding gap would mean heading towards local financing from the council tax.
That would be a matter for individual local authorities.
In evidence to the committee, Tavish Scott said:
We might have arguments about whether that has been delivered in certain areas. Moreover, the deputy minister did not make that promise to COSLA; he made it to this committee.
Perhaps you could remind him of what he said the next time that you talk together.
I have a quick question on capital programmes and on the bid category "Demonstrable of Underfunding from Spending Review 2002", on page 77 of the COSLA submission. I want to clarify, primarily in relation to areas such as roads maintenance and other capital schemes such as flood prevention, whether that is a bid for revenue spending in such areas or whether it is a bid for revenue support for prudential borrowing.
It is a bid to support revenue spending to fund existing capital programmes. We put it in the bid category of underfunding from the most recent review period because there are many problems in roads maintenance. The issue is not about developing a new roads infrastructure, but about the maintenance of existing carriageways.
The committee has taken evidence from the Society of Chief Officers of Transportation in Scotland, whose survey suggests that the figure for dealing with the backlog of roads maintenance is well over £1 billion and that £60 million a year will not make much of a dent in that. Is COSLA perhaps being a little overcautious in its bid? Should it ask for more?
When we first got the bids together, we saw that they amounted to just over £1 billion. I believe that it would have been unrealistic to put those bids in. We had two rounds of meetings with the spending departments to consider what the priorities were. We tried to ensure that we were pushing at an open door. From speaking to the Minister for Transport, Nicol Stephen, we know that he is keen for additional moneys to be put in to support roads maintenance. We are trying to mirror that in our bid.
I know that COSLA is not in favour of ring fencing resources. However, when the committee was considering local roads funding, one issue that came up was that, although some local authorities, such as yours, Glasgow City Council and the City of Edinburgh Council, are spending more than their allocation on investment in local roads, some local authorities are spending as little as half their allocation on local roads. Even if we all agreed that the improvement of Scotland's non-trunk roads network was a priority, how would we translate an additional allocation to local authorities into investment in the roads? Would there not still be a danger that some of those local authorities that are not giving the same priority to roads as your local authority is might pocket the money and spend it on another service area?
When money is ring fenced, we have no option but to spend it on whatever it is being ring fenced for—this might sound flippant and I do not mean it to—whether it is needed in that particular area or not. We argue that there has to be flexibility at a local level to develop local services in response to the needs of local communities. There is a difference between ring fencing money and sitting down and agreeing on a joint priority. If we agree on a joint priority, that is different from ring fencing, because we agree on a priority area on which money needs to be spent.
I have a small point to make in relation to the timescale and the form of the settlement. You have taken a lot of time in coming here to present your case to us under appropriate budget headings. Will you make sure that the settlement is presented in that way so that it is transparent and clear? What is the timescale for the settlement?
I do not think that it will be presented in that way. The Executive has certain formats in which it needs to present the information. We have said to the Executive that we would like to agree a format and, even if the documentation is not published, we would like to have some written agreement between us and the Executive that we can circulate within local government to enable people to understand the figures. That will provide some transparency, even if that format is not adopted in the published documents that reach a wider audience. On the timescale for the settlement, the Executive has said that it will make the big spending review announcements in mid-September and the individual local authority announcements in December.
Forgive me, but earlier you told us that you had worked with the Executive to agree certain budget headings, which I think you said are on page 20 of your submission. Why is it that we cannot read the settlement based on those budget headings?
My understanding is that the Executive will not prepare the settlement using those specific headings because the annual evaluation report is prepared using ministerial portfolios. We have to reconcile that document with our submission. I do not think that that will change in the short term. A longer period of change will be required for the Executive to present the figures in the way in which we want them to be presented.
I am confused, because when you talked about agreed budget headings, I thought that the Executive had also agreed to them and that, if the Executive had agreed to them, they would show X amount of money for a particular budget heading.
The issue is partly the way in which the Scottish Executive works. It does not work solely to a local government budget, whereas we are trying to promote the idea that it should work towards preparing a local government budget. That is also what the committee recommended. We have made a great deal of progress towards that, but publications are still presented to the public under ministerial portfolios across the Executive. That relates partly to the extent to which there is joined-up government in the Executive.
In fairness, these are questions that would be directed more correctly at the Executive, rather than at COSLA.
My final point relates to the concessionary fares scheme, which seems to have been a mess. In your submission, you talk about what you expect to spend in the 14 or 16 schemes that already exist and what the Executive expected to spend. Has COSLA done any work on producing a unified, multimodal, non-time-restricted scheme similar to that which exists in Wales? Wales has a scheme that is multimodal, is not time restricted and works. Has COSLA been involved at a policy level in trying to develop a better scheme than the one that we currently have?
My knowledge of that issue is limited, although I have had discussions with the COSLA officer who deals with it. I know that last week the Executive announced the establishment of a strategic transport agency. It envisages that the agency will take control of the concessionary fares scheme, because a whole-Scotland scheme is run better by a strategic organisation than from 14 individual bases. You asked whether the scheme was properly funded. The answer to that question is probably no, as the take-up for the scheme was underestimated.
Do you agree that whenever one moves from charging for a service or good to having no charging it can be difficult to predict exactly what the overall cost of uptake will be? To some extent, it was inevitable that there would need to be a review of the cost to local government of providing the service.
Absolutely. If one moves from a funded scheme to a free scheme, one can never estimate what the uptake will be. There has been a tremendous surge in uptake. We need to consider what the uptake is and how the scheme is being used. There is discussion about expanding it further to include other groups in society. We need to have a clear idea of how the scheme will develop. I have no idea whether last week's announcement will provide that.
We have reached the end of questioning, so I thank the COSLA team of Pat Watters, Della Thomas and Brenda Campbell both for the paper that they submitted to us and for their evidence this afternoon.