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Our next item of business is a round-table evidence session on the 2012 Scottish local government elections. The session will be an opportunity for the committee to take a first look at the legislative consent memorandum on the United Kingdom Electoral Registration and Administration Bill. The discussion will be in two sections, and we will deal with the LCM separately at the end.
I am Billy Pollock. I am the chair of the Scotland and Northern Ireland branch of the Association of Electoral Administrators, which is a UK-wide organisation that represents people who are involved with electoral registration and administration below returning officer level and has about 1,600 members. Our branch has 150 members spread across the two countries that are separated by the North Channel.
Good morning. I am the chair of the Society of Local Authority Lawyers and Administrators in Scotland’s elections working group, a member of the e-counting project board and an adviser to the Electoral Management Board for Scotland.
I am the head of the Scottish Government elections team.
I am head of the Electoral Commission office in Scotland.
I am contracts manager for the e-counting project. Logica was the prime contractor and we provided the services together with our partner Opt2vote. We are the UK’s largest independent supplier of information technology and business services with approximately 40,000 employees worldwide, of whom about 5,000 are based in the UK.
I am the deputy returning officer in the City of Edinburgh Council, but I am here as the secretary of the Electoral Management Board for Scotland. The convener of the Electoral Management Board for Scotland is otherwise engaged with the Olympic torch at various points today, so it has fallen to me to take on this role.
Thanks very much. That has given us a flavour of how people think the election went.
What is your view on the impact of decoupling the local government election and the Scottish Parliament election and the changes since 2007, particularly in terms of voter turnout?
There are a couple of issues to do with decoupling. There was an obvious impact on the May turnout figures because there was less publicity, given that the local government election was not riding on the back of the Scottish Parliament election. However, our concern was to ensure that the election process itself was well managed. That led to reduced confusion and allowed us to concentrate fully on the electronic counting system, which was a key element of the election.
How will the proposals in the UK Electoral Registration and Administration Bill affect Scotland?
The bulk of the provisions in the bill are reserved and affect the introduction of individual electoral registration, which will obviously affect voters in Scotland. Unfortunately, we do not have an electoral registration officer with us here today, but electoral registration officers have been working closely with the UK Government, and the Cabinet Office in particular, on implementation of the bill.
Yes. We will do that now and return to James Dornan’s question afterwards.
Electoral registration is a reserved matter, but the LCM is necessary because the conduct and application of local government elections is a matter for this Parliament. There are two or three issues in the LCM that we are introducing next week. In the transition between the system of electoral registration that we have now and individual electoral registration, voters who have not registered individually but remain on the previous register will be carried forward for a year or two. The aim of that is to address the concern among the Electoral Commission and others that while the introduction of the scheme is a good thing in itself, an unintended consequence could be a reduction in the number of people who register. There will be that rollover period.
Are there any more comments on the LCM?
The Electoral Commission has supported individual electoral registration since 2003, so we welcome the introduction of the bill in the UK Parliament. We believe that IER will give people the right to manage their own vote and that it will address some of the vulnerabilities of the electoral registration process. We recognise that it is a big change and that it needs to be planned well, and we have been working with the UK Government to try to achieve that.
A postal voter is not necessarily an absent voter. Are you saying that people will lose their postal votes if they do not reregister?
Yes. They will be given a warning and the opportunity to register. There will be a publicity campaign to encourage people to register.
To go back to James Dornan’s question, are there any other comments on decoupling?
When we took the legislation to decouple the elections through Parliament, it was the result of a recommendation in the Gould report in 2007, which had found that, among other things, holding Scottish Parliament elections and local elections on the same day using different voting systems contributed to confusion among voters. As a result, Gould recommended—and Parliament accepted unanimously—that the elections should be decoupled, which is what we did. The Government and Parliament at the time recognised that that could have implications for turnout.
I agree about the decoupling. However, rather than the use of different voting systems on the same day, the major problem in 2007 was the Scottish Parliament ballot papers, which caused a huge amount of confusion. I am glad that they were changed.
I agree. Any education of those who will eventually become voters will be more effective if it is started earlier. I am not an education expert, but I know that children and young people learn about various voting systems and arrangements in modern studies. It is about encouraging people to vote, and about people seeing at an early age the significance of voting. It is not just about different voting systems.
After that early education takes place, it may be an idea to allow young folk to vote at the earlier age of 16. Does anyone have any comments on that? There seems to be a point where folk lose interest—
I will stop you there, because you are moving into an area in which people might be uncomfortable expressing personal views.
No—I am not at all uncomfortable about that.
I am not talking about politicians. As politicians, we are very capable of expressing our views on contentious issues.
The AEA’s policy is to allow voting at 16.
There you go. Gordon Blair was hoping to come in on a previous issue.
I am a SOLAR representative, so I will leave the issue of votes for 16-year-olds to the politicians. I agree entirely with the point about education in schools. Some councils, including mine in West Lothian, have a communities team that visits schools and helps to run their pupil council elections using, for example, the single transferable vote. That gets pupils into the way of voting with numbers, rather than with crosses. There is a valid argument for improving education in schools, no matter when people start to vote in elections.
My personal observation over the past 18 months has been that there is a general ignorance—if that is the right word—of STV across all sections of the community, and not just among younger people. We ran a variety of demos during the course of the project and it was quite clear that many of the people who came to them did not understand STV.
On that point, we must accept that there is a wide ignorance of electoral systems, per se. People around this table might find electoral systems interesting—I certainly do, in the Electoral Commission—but other members of the electorate do not. Our research for the referendum on the alternative vote system versus the first-past-the-post system showed that very few people understand what first past the post is, although we have been using it for more than 100 years. Once we explained to them what first past the post is, they went “Oh! That’s what it’s called.” People are not aware of electoral systems.
I echo that. It is not just young people who have trouble understanding or even being aware of voting systems, although there are innovative activities around the country that focus on young people; councils will be able to brief the committee on the details. For example, the City of Edinburgh Council undertook a lot of activity on Facebook this year, running competitions and trying to increase awareness of what was happening and how the election would work in practice.
Has there been research into the impact of listing candidates in alphabetical order, particularly in relation to candidates from the same party? For example, if people wanted to give their first and second votes to Labour Party—or Scottish National Party—candidates, did they understand that they could choose between two candidates by putting a 2 first and then a 1? Did folk grasp what STV was about?
That takes us into the arguments about the use of alphabetical order or the Robson rotation. We have not done research on that. We are currently looking at rejection rates. Our provisional results show a rejection rate of 1.7 per cent, which is down from 1.8 per cent in 2007. That is good. Rejection rates varied from 0.55 per cent in Orkney to 2.79 per cent in Glasgow, and they varied even within council areas. In Dundee, where the convener is from, the rejection rate varied from 1.2 to 3.75 per cent. There are reasons for that. For example, election staff in Dundee told me about pockets where there are ethnic communities, where it might be necessary to provide more information in other languages. A job for the Electoral Commission and returning officers in the coming years is to analyse patches and to think about strategies to reduce the rejection rate.
Do we need to look at Robson rotation, to ensure that people express a genuine choice between individual candidates, particularly when there is more than one candidate from a party? I wonder whether sometimes people get elected because of their surname.
We host the Scottish Parliament political parties panel, which is attended by the chief officers of the parties in the Parliament. Most of the people on today’s witness panel attend, along with various other people, including someone from the Royal Mail. Two weeks ago, we had a post-election debrief. The issue was not raised at that but, when we were out observing in council areas across Scotland, we got feedback about anecdotal stories of people thinking that there were a lot of 1s for a certain candidate because their name was higher up the alphabet. Research by academics in the same field as John Curtice suggests that there are perhaps issues. However, because of the secrecy of the ballot, unless somebody does research and creates hall testing situations, it is difficult to evidence that.
As the first stage in putting together the regulations for this year’s election, the Government issued a consultation in, I think, the autumn of 2010, which went through a range of issues that could be covered in the regulations. The order of candidates, parties and groupings on the ballot paper was one of the issues. The response to the consultation document was very poor. From memory, 30 or 40 people responded and, among them, there was little consensus or appetite for change. Some people said that there ought to be a better way, but there was not a groundswell of opinion in favour of a certain approach. That is why we stuck with what we had for this year’s elections.
I have a question for David Anning. I am a supporter of Robson rotation; I think that it is a fair approach that means that people are not disadvantaged because of their surname. However, in practical terms, could you have managed a series of ballot papers in different orders?
Do you mean for a particular ward?
I mean that, for each ward, there would be multiple ballot papers.
That is a good question. I would have to give it some thought. Our e-counting system needs a predefined order in a particular ward. If there were to be different orders in one ward, that would be a substantial change. I would need to think about that.
Are there any other thoughts on that?
As has been said, one of the big issues was to get voters to vote using numbers and not crosses. My concern is that randomising the order of candidates might be more confusing to voters. We need research on that. It would be good to try to find out whether there is a detrimental effect on candidates who happen to be called Young rather than Anderson but, as someone said, one vote lost because of confusion is not good, so voter confusion also needs to be analysed through research.
The whole voting process needs to be considered. Like the convener, I am a great believer in Robson rotation. If the issue is not taken into consideration, I would like to be known in the next election as Adam Aitken or something like that.
Are there any thoughts on that? Does nobody want to stand up for compulsory voting?
The only information that I have read or heard was in the Parliament in June 2010 during a seminar on voter turnout. Some members might have been at it. A Dr Johns from the University of Strathclyde gave a presentation with key messages on what affects turnout, on which he had obviously done some research and analysis. His finding was that people vote if they think that their vote will make a difference to the result and the result will make a difference. The key issue is about persuading people that voting matters, not about making voting easier. I do not know whether that is right or not, but it was Dr Johns’s message.
I want to come back to something that Stephen Sadler and Gordon Blair said that relates to the same issue. Only 40 people answered the consultation and none of them came up with any suggestions about how the system should be changed. There was also only limited engagement between the candidates and the public. Those facts seem to arise from the same source, which is a general apathy about voting and a particular apathy about council elections. Many members of the Scottish Parliament have been councillors and we know that the biggest impact on an ordinary person comes from the council. I do not think that we sell that message enough. There is a lot of work to be done there.
I have an anecdote from the local elections in North Lanarkshire. Again, I do not want to criticise the process that we are working with, but it is something to flag up. One candidate received the first vote overwhelmingly but was just below the margin to get him through. That guy ultimately came last so, although he had been overwhelmingly in front, he never got elected. We are talking about the public perception and whether people think that their votes count. Nine hundred people voted for that chap as their first preference but he never got elected.
I guess that that is a result of the single transferable vote system.
I know. It was just a wee anecdote.
It is a slightly different system.
I am interested in the role of the Electoral Management Board, how it has operated in practice and what difference it has made to the administration of an election.
I will take that on, although there are other people here who attend the Electoral Management Board as advisers or in the role of deputy returning officers. The Electoral Management Board was another element that came into being partly as a consequence of the elections in 2007. It arose from the Gould report and the subsequent legislation.
The Electoral Commission was instrumental in developing the idea of the Electoral Management Board through the publication of the 2008 report “Electoral administration in Scotland”. We have not concluded our discussions but, as a top line, the commission would say that the EMB is doing a good job but needs to develop further, although I think that it knows that. There are resource and capacity issues that need to be addressed by the Scottish and UK Governments.
You asked whether the provision of information at the counts worked at the last election. I am probably not the best person to ask because in Dundee the system worked both last year and in 2007, but I certainly thought that information was available in an accessible form and that folk could see what was happening.
There were one or two wee blips in Glasgow but, to be fair, I thought that it ran pretty smoothly.
I think that you are referring to the incident in Glasgow, which has been reported to Glasgow City Council. I am not familiar enough with the issue to go into it in any detail, but I believe that it was a combination of human and technical errors and I certainly think that there are lessons to learn in that respect. The system produces various reports when each box is dealt with, but I would have to look at the report on what happened in Glasgow to be able to say anything about those particular circumstances.
I accept that and, indeed, am not asking you to go into the specifics. However, is there not some sort of alarm that goes off when two sets of figures do not match up?
The system produces a verification report that says that a certain box should have a certain number of votes. If those votes are not all there, the system should flag that up.
Without getting into too much detail or inappropriate finger pointing, I must point out that it was failure of process—human failure, if you like. The system behaved as it was supposed to. Because of the way in which the human part of the process was carried out, the papers in that particular box were ignored, but the system itself worked correctly.
Would the system have recognised that there was something wrong?
Yes, the system did recognise that there was something wrong.
Somebody ignored it.
Exactly. There were reports available that would have highlighted it. In fact, when the report was scrutinised the following week, it identified that there had been a problem.
Andy O’Neill said that getting the national result was difficult, and it seems to have been a resource issue. However, there is a lot of detail in the stuff that the local authorities are getting, which can identify where the high and low turnouts have been and tell us how votes have been transferred even down to the level of single ballot boxes. What do you do with that information? Where we identify that some area has had a low turnout, do we investigate the reasons for that?
As returning officers and the election team, we would look at that only to see whether we got the number of polling stations right, for example. That is how we look at turnout. I suspect that it is the candidates and parties that would look at that to see whether they could improve turnout in their areas. It is not something that we would look at from the point of view of conducting the poll.
Do you not take into consideration that turnout might be due to the demographics of an area? Do you not take into account whether they are deprived areas or high-society areas? I know what you are saying about where people go to vote.
We would have a look at that in reviewing our awareness-raising publicity to see whether there were areas that we might want to target. We have not done that in the past although our communities team does that for other purposes. We could start to draw a correlation.
It is the local authority that selects the polling places that are to be used, and those are statutorily reviewed periodically. We operate within what we are told to operate within, but where there is a problem with a polling place we would feed that back in in the normal course of the review.
The rejection rate was 1.7 per cent nationally and 2.79 per cent in Glasgow. Has there been a breakdown of whether the rejected votes were votes that were cast on the day or postal votes?
There is a distinction to be made. When we talk about rejection rates, we are talking about the ballot papers that have made it to the count. If postal votes are rejected on the basis of an absent vote identifier, a signature or a date of birth that does not match, those papers never make it to the count and are not counted in the rejection rate.
So the figure will be higher.
If we included the ballot papers that did not hit the count at all, the proportion of papers returned that did not count towards the final figures would be higher.
There will be a figure somewhere for the number of rejected postal votes that never made the count.
A separate percentage of rejected postal votes is available.
Thank you. My other question is about the impact of the count not going on overnight. Have you discussed the impact of starting the count the next morning rather than overnight?
The AEA and our practitioners certainly welcomed the direction from the convener of the EMB to have a next-day count. We thought that, from an operational and practical point of view, it made much more sense to count during the day than during the night. It is a long day for candidates, agents and party workers as well as for those who are running the election. The question of effective scrutiny arises, because we might ask how effectively someone can scrutinise things if they have been awake for 24 hours. There are other activities that people are not permitted to do if they have been awake for that length of time.
On the postal vote rejection rate, we do not have all the data in yet, but we have a provisional rate of 4.4 per cent for Scotland as a whole. That is down from 5.9 per cent last year, so there has been an improvement. I stress that the figure is 4.4 per cent of postal votes, not of the electorate.
Gordon Blair wants to comment. I ask him also to clarify one of the points that Andy O’Neill made. If somebody’s postal vote is rejected, are they told about that after the election?
They are not at present, as a general rule. One or two people might be doing informal approaches, but I think that that is the purpose of the clause in the bill.
So it is the new bill that will do that.
Yes.
Before the current legislation was brought into force, the previous legislation allowed returning officers to match up mismatched documents. We could do that before we had the current system for fraud identification. Where there was no intention of fraud but merely ineptitude, that could be sorted out and both votes would be processed and counted. However, the system is now very strict and that discretion no longer exists, which is why provision for it has been included in the bill. The hope is that we can sort out a problem when it is clearly not fraudulent.
Do we mean that the votes would be counted and put in, then go to adjudication so that election agents and candidates would be able to see what the returning officer had suggested was okay? For example, a mismatch would go up on the screen for people to see.
The postal vote is in a separate envelope. That is, the ballot paper is in an envelope and it is a statement; once the statement falls to be rejected, that envelope is never opened. It is kept sealed for ever or, rather, until it is destroyed. The ballot paper cannot be included in the count, because the supporting documentation has fallen foul of the law.
The point that I am making is about what happens further to that. Would the election agents and candidates be able to give their opinion on the returning officer’s decision?
Yes. They are entitled to be present at the proceedings when we view the postal vote statements. If they objected to one of us accepting or rejecting a doubtful statement, they would have the opportunity to do that.
It is as William Pollock has explained, and the vote would then get into the count. If it needed adjudicated, it would just be another vote in the adjudication process.
I emphasise to the committee that postal votes are important to elections and election results. In elections over the past few years in Edinburgh, postal votes have made up over a quarter of the ballot papers that have hit the count, because of the differential turnout. We can have an overall turnout of perhaps 40 per cent, but a turnout of postal voters can be up at 70 or 80 per cent, and that turnout tends to hold up.
We had a 15.2 per cent rate of postal voting for the most recent election, which represents an increase of 4 per cent over the past five years. Postal votes are very important.
I have a question about something that is probably not completely within the witnesses’ remit, but it is an issue that matters to me, so I am going to take the opportunity to ask about it.
That issue has not necessarily been a concern.
Is anybody aware of any research that has been done in that regard?
Just to follow that up, the introduction of STV was supposed to produce more candidates at elections. However, the evidence shows clearly that the number of candidates has fallen since STV was introduced. Would that not be taken into consideration?
Clearly, the choice of electoral systems is down to politicians.
I am trying to get beyond that. If there is an area of concern, where would you collectively raise that? Would you do it through different board members? I am concerned that we are getting the process right but not dealing with the real issue, which is trying to get people out to vote.
I have a specific point for Mr O’Neill about the Electoral Commission having a look at the limits of candidates’ campaign expenses for those campaigning under STV in large wards that include remote rural areas and islands. I can understand the reason for looking at the spending limits in that regard, but I wonder whether the Electoral Commission could also look at some of the inner-city seats where, for example, it is sometimes not so easy to get into blocks of flats that have no intercoms and where campaigning can cost a lot of money. If we are going to look at such difficulties in rural areas, we should also look at some of the inner-city difficulties in the same way.
I am happy to do that.
Thanks very much, everybody. This has been the committee’s first look at how the elections went. I am sure that we will look at the area again in the future.