I welcome the witnesses for agenda item 2, particularly the Minister for Health and Community Care. Am I right in saying that this is the minister's first appearance before the Health Committee in his new role?
Bar the motion on amnesic shellfish poisoning—that was a minor show.
That is right. I had forgotten that you were here for subordinate legislation. I invite you to make a brief statement to the committee.
This is my first substantive appearance before the committee and I am pleased to be here.
The committee's adviser, Andrew Walker, has produced some interesting figures, which are based on the cost pressures that have been identified by Audit Scotland and other sources. In 2003-04, such cost pressures accounted for 71 per cent of the new money that was allocated to health boards. As the minister will know, three health boards ended that financial year in deficit. The adviser suggests that that percentage figure will rise to 82 per cent for 2004-05 and to 141 per cent for 2005-06; although we do not have figures for 2006-07 or 2007-08, I assume that that figure will continue to increase. In other words, although new money is being provided, the immense cost pressures are greater than the new moneys that are being made available. That suggests that more health boards are likely to end the coming financial year and the following financial year in deficit. Is that a concern?
It would be a concern if I shared the adviser's view. With due respect to Mr Walker—whom I have met only fleetingly in the parliamentary campus—I question some of those figures, which I have had a quick look at only in the past five minutes or so. Are the figures cumulative or year on year? I question some of the resource allocations, especially in the first section of the statistics, which were made available to us just prior to today's meeting. I am more than happy to meet Mr Walker to ensure that we come to a common understanding about whether the moneys in the table that he has produced are cumulative or year on year. That makes a substantial difference to the calculations.
We suspected that you would not be in a position to respond to the figures in detail, given that you have only just seen them. A meeting would be helpful, but it would also be helpful if you could provide your alternative analysis and figures to ensure that we are comparing apples with apples and pears with pears. There is cause for concern with regard to the general trend of the figures. You might dispute some of the detail of the figures, but if the cost pressures are a trend, there is certainly cause for concern. Obviously, we look forward to being reassured by the minister on that point.
I am happy to do that. Obviously, I would rather not do it in such an adversarial manner. Instead of providing alternatives to the views of the special adviser to the committee, I would rather that the officials worked together to come to a common understanding of some of the questions. I am happy for that engagement to take place. I am not sure whether the member is referring to the fact that, on one occasion she says that the NHS is awash with cash, while on another occasion she says that it is starved of cash.
We are not being adversarial.
I think that you are, to a degree. I am happy to establish various points through discussions with the special adviser.
The special adviser is happy to meet your officials and discuss the various points. The committee will decide whether that should be an accompanied discussion.
I will start with a simple question about comments that were made by both you, in your former role as Minister for Finance and Public Services, and the First Minister. You talked about 2 per cent savings in health—where in the health service system will those savings appear?
We should beware of simple questions, as there are no such things.
We have a target of saving £50 million on NHS procurement by the financial year 2006-07 and we would hope to have done better than that by the end of the period relating to the efficient government announcement. We have also kicked off a project for shared services, which will mean that payroll and financial systems will be provided once for NHS Scotland rather than around 20 times as happens at the moment. There are further projects to do with benchmarking and the estates, which should lead to savings.
I presume that the 2 per cent figure applies only to the areas that you have detailed, as opposed to it being 2 per cent of the global sum, which was the impression that the First Minister gave.
The amounts that I am referring to add up to 2 per cent of the total sum. We have some specific savings that add up to 2 per cent of the total health budget.
I have some specific questions on what appears to be your budget—I say "appears to be" because there might be qualifications.
I will try to. If I miss one of them out, I will try to return to it.
On postgraduate medical education, the amount of investment in junior doctor numbers and the doctors that we have in training has been increasing year on year since devolution, so that we have had an increase in doctor numbers of 14 per cent over the period. The increase has been across senior house officer, specialist registrar and pre-registration house officer grades. That is all extra investment that is going into postgraduate medical education.
It has been mentioned that three health boards are having difficulty in matching their budgets, and that situation is likely to get worse. A statement has been made regarding support for Argyll and Clyde. Do you have enough money in reserve to transfer that statement of support across the whole of the potential problem? If so, what is the basis of that reserve and where does it come from?
I expect any public organisation to live within its budget. What I have said to the individual patients who rely on the service, especially in Argyll and Clyde, is that they can rest assured that the service will continue and that health care will continue to be provided for them. I will need to look carefully at the position of that health board. I have indicated that I will not underwrite the board's capital difficulty, but that I will deal with the revenue implications to ensure that the services continue. I am due to meet the health board very soon—either tomorrow or the next day—to have a real look at the recovery plans that it is putting in place and to ensure their viability.
Do you have a reserve?
The Executive always has a reserve. It would be unwise for a finance minister not to have a reserve. However, I do not see the reduction of health board deficits as a valuable use of it—the boards should be able to sort out those matters from within their boundaries.
I welcome what you are saying about patient care, minister. Are you also saying that you do not rule out the abolition of Argyll and Clyde NHS Board?
I do not rule it out. As has been noted in the press and elsewhere, I want to consider the recovery plan and structural issues in Argyll and Clyde NHS Board, such as how it has been set up and how it is managed. I rule nothing out and I rule nothing in. I want people to read right to the end of this sentence in the Official Report of the meeting: abolition is a possibility, as is my acceptance of the recovery plan, after which the board could get on with its business.
Your primary concern will be the patients who receive the services.
My primary concern will be to ensure that health care services are provided for individuals in that locality.
What does the situation suggest about the ministerial intervention two years ago? What lessons will be learned from the obvious failure of that intervention?
That is the purpose of my meetings. The reading that I have done suggests that some of the issues that are being faced go back to before 2000. I need to understand what actions were taken as a result of the intervention; I need to know whether the work that is being carried out addresses the core issues and will therefore place the health board back on an even keel, or whether there is a structural problem that cannot be managed out through the recovery plan. I do not undermine those who are trying to resolve the problem—I hold them in high regard. However, I need to work out whether we have set them a fair task in asking them to resolve the difficulty with the running of Argyll and Clyde NHS Board and whether we can expect a recovery plan to be successful. I will not make judgments until I have had a proper discussion with those people.
I presume that, in the past two years, it must have been reported to the Health Department that matters were not going well. We have not just landed here out of the blue. Some responsibility for the situation must rest with your department.
If the issue is about the allocation of blame, I am happy to accept—
It is about learning lessons.
We replaced a number of senior managers on the board. To learn the lessons, we must assess whether the task of recovery that we set for them was fair or whether the structure and organisation of services in Argyll and Clyde NHS Board makes it difficult to provide those services.
In your response to Duncan McNeil, you suggested that disbanding Argyll and Clyde NHS Board was not ruled out. That would be a serious step, but it could not happen in isolation. If you were to take that step, you would have to consider a general reorganisation of health boards. The impact of such a disbandment on the west of Scotland would be immense. Are you seriously suggesting that the problems of one health board may lead to a complete restructuring of health boards?
I do not think that a general restructuring of all Scotland's health boards would be a valuable exercise right now. I have sent a strong message to individual health board chiefs and chairs saying that they must plan their services more regionally, taking account of their relationships with neighbouring boards and with national centres for particular services. I am not impressed by the lack of regional planning and the lack of understanding that a decision in one health board can impact on other health boards. Because of a lack of discussion, plans have not fitted together for Scotland. There has been a problem, but the solution is not necessarily a full-scale restructuring of health boards. However, I do not rule that out if the boards do not get their act together and work together across boundaries to provide better services for patients. We are dealing in perceptions and there will be a meeting tomorrow.
I want to move the focus of the questions on to targets for maximum waiting times for patients. A lot of resources are going in that direction and the Executive has achieved its first target, which relates to treatment for in-patients within nine months of diagnosis. However, the Executive has also set targets for maximum waiting times for patients for consultation and treatment. The Executive aims to reduce waiting times further and an announcement is expected in spring next year.
That is a view, Mike. I will not say that it would be the wrong approach, but I will say that the evidence that I have is that we will be able to meet the targets. The pressure from patients is that we should deal with waiting times much more effectively. I would not set targets without full discussion with all the professionals and service providers, to ensure that we set targets that are stretching and demanding but not unreasonable.
But I am talking about major targets. We must not forget that the vast majority of people are seen relatively quickly. However, as a constituency MSP—and I am sure that the minister has had the same experience—I find that people seem to contact me more about waiting times than about almost any other issue. I am not criticising targets—indeed, it is important that we have specific, measurable, achievable, realistic and time-related targets—but surely we should focus on the fact that we have met the target that has already been set.
Perhaps we misunderstood each other. Setting condition-specific targets for an individual procedure or episode will have an impact on the overall target, which in this case is waiting times. The two aspects work with each other to help us to achieve our overall target. My job is to ensure that the targets are sensible and link up. In my discussions with the royal colleges, the health board chairs and chiefs and consumers, I will make it clear that those targets can be made sense of and met.
There has been a lot of discussion about targets, which are an important issue. When I was a member of the Finance Committee, we requested a reduction in the number of targets and asked for more outcome-based targets, because we were finding it difficult to see how things were being achieved. It appears that the number of targets has been reduced from 14 to nine but, on page 53 of the budget document, five old targets have been subsumed under target 1, which brings us back up to 14 again.
I am happy to correspond, through the convener, with Kate Maclean on that point. I have an explanation of every target that we have had and of where that target has gone. On occasion, targets have been subsumed under other targets, but some targets no longer exist because they have been achieved. There are also targets that find themselves placed elsewhere because of the way in which we do things. For example, there are individual targets within the tobacco control action plan and the dietary action plan. We have reduced the number of targets by absorbing them within other targets, by deleting them because they have been achieved or by picking them up elsewhere in the system.
I shall stick to the theme of targets. Looking at the Scottish Executive website and reading some of the papers, I noticed that there seemed to be a subtle change. I am particularly concerned about dental health—I know that other colleagues share my concern. It seems that there has been a shift in dental health towards new targets, with the emphasis primarily on dental disease in children and a shift away from the previous targets shown on the Scottish Executive website. That causes me concern, especially in relation to the target for reducing health inequalities by increasing the improvement across a range of indicators. If you have good dental health, you will have a good diet, because you can eat carrots, apples and other good fruit. If you do not have good dental health, that causes problems.
The subtle difference between the two documents clearly did not escape you. On the generic issue of dentistry, the Executive recognises the problem and accepts that what we are doing just now is not sustainable. That is why there is a substantial consultation on the whole question of dentistry, to which I hope to respond before the end of the year. Details of our work to ensure that provision is made available to communities will come out of the response to that consultation.
I have a brief question on the back of that, which links targets in general health improvement to other silos and agencies in the Scottish Executive. Can you detail the budget agreements that you have reached with other ministers on cross-cutting in health improvement?
We have come to and will continue to come to substantive agreements with other ministers, particularly with the Minister for Education and Young People on healthy diets, the quality of school meal provision and the physical activity task force. There has been substantial cross-cutting in the budget with regard to justice, specifically on the treatment and prevention of drugs misuse. I recall that the figures were £6 million for dietary matters and about £5 million for the drugs initiative. Basically, those are health moneys that work outside silos and across portfolios in the Executive. Likewise, resources go in the other direction. A number of ministerial cross-cutting sub-groups exist to ensure not only that each minister is aware of their individual responsibilities within departments, but that resources that are required to deal with issues generally are aggregated into the middle. We are getting better at that.
I have a quick question on the back of Kate Maclean's comment. I, too, spent some time on the Finance Committee and I recall that we asked for clear flags to be put in the budget documents from individual ministers to show which moneys go into cross-cutting initiatives. Would you be good enough to send us a quick paper on that?
Sure. I just asked Peter Collings whether we had clear flags. I know what the issues are, which is why I can point to the £6 million for diet and the £5 million for drug action and prevention. I am happy to deal with that point as quickly as possible.
The £6 million for diet is welcome, but am I correct in saying that you do not have a target for a reduction in obesity levels?
I do not think that we do, but we work through agencies and partners and, as I begin to focus my efforts in relation to health improvement, I will return to that issue, because it should be our primary focus.
I have a couple of questions on blocked beds. Whether we agree or disagree with targets, we would all agree that, where they are set, they must be evaluable. The second part of the target on blocked beds states that the number of people who wait more than six weeks will be reduced to a minimum, which seems to be based more on opinion than on an evaluable target. How do you plan to measure that? Have you costed the blocked-bed target?
First, I have some experience of the issue from my time as minister responsible for local government. We are doing better at local co-ordination, but not well enough. Although COSLA and health boards are working more effectively on the joint agenda, performance is not as good as it should be. It is getting better, but it is not good enough.
You have spoken about partnership working, with COSLA being the main partner. Is the target that you are talking about only for the NHS? Does there have to be a separate target for local authorities, or is there just the one target?
There is one target, for which both the NHS and local authorities are accountable in their respective roles. More and more community planning is taking effect in local government and more is being done on the joint future agenda and other collaborative work, which I hope will continue and begin to address the problems and needs of the service user, as opposed to the interests of health boards and local authorities. I am not satisfied with what is going on now. There have been improvements, but we can do much better. To reiterate, both the NHS and local authorities are responsible for what is a joint target and we need to keep up the pressure to ensure that it is met.
You said that a costing has been made. As I am sure our adviser will confirm later, it is always difficult to track where the money is. I am not sure that a specific costing can really be made. Are you saying that it would be easy for us to find out from the budget documents exactly how much money has been allocated to deal with blocked beds?
I will let Peter Collings answer that point in detail. It is difficult: when a constituency MSP sits down with the local health board and local authority representatives, they find that the board and the authority tend to blame each other for the people who fall through the net. That is not acceptable. As Minister for Finance and Public Services, I put onerous conditions on the release of any resources so as to ensure that we tracked that money through. We will find out in a few seconds just how successful that was.
In financial terms, a large part of joint working falls on the local authority side rather than on the health board side. As part of its submission on the spending review, COSLA put in what it thought was required in order to achieve the planned reductions. That was taken into account in the local authority settlement and it will be taken into account in the grant-aided expenditure allocations when they are announced.
I have a question on targets and blocked beds. The Executive's target 9 for health and community care was to
I do not know off the top of my head the number of people who are affected. Peter Collings might be able to help with that but, if not, we will correspond with Dr Turner. The issue relates to some of the discussions that are, and have been, taking place on the subject of service improvement.
You expect that it will take a long time for the numbers to reduce, which is why you have set the target for 2008.
I just cannot place the number in my mind—I have forgotten it. I am happy to correspond with Dr Turner on the detail of the numbers and the implications of the 20 per cent target. Off the top of my head, I remember that the figure for bedblockers is 20 per cent, but I cannot remember the other figures.
I have a wee issue to raise on the targets, which is that it would be useful to have comparative figures. For example, instead of target 9 saying that the aim is to
It is possible. The chief economic adviser audits all our targets in order to ensure that they are measurable and gives us his comments on them. The scrutiny process should ensure that the information can be provided. That is no problem.
My question relates to blocked beds and emergency admissions. Next year, the committee plans to undertake a long-term study on the impact of the various pieces of community care legislation. Target 7 says that you will
I am happy to provide that information.
Can you give the committee an update on where you are in relation to the care home sector and COSLA? At last, they appear to be singing from the same hymn sheet—in the past, the Minister for Health and Community Care appeared to be holding back progress. The relationship between the care home sector and COSLA is the meat in the sandwich, so to speak, and it impacts on some of the targets.
In my role as Minister for Finance and Public Services, I did not share the view that the Executive was the problem. Significant resources were committed in order to resolve the problems in the sector. As the issue developed into a big crisis—three years ago, I think it was—we made it absolutely clear that, although the problem was not our problem, we would deal with it. However, we also said that COSLA and the care home sector had to deal with the issue using their normal negotiation procedures. We gave them the task of resolving matters and not always asking central Government to deal with the problem for them.
I look forward to seeing the results of the negotiations and to hearing about your input. Given that the situation impacts directly on the Executive's targets, I find it strange that you appear to be so detached. Surely we are talking about key players.
With due respect, local authorities are elected bodies with their own responsibilities. If I were to direct the authorities from the centre on every issue, people would ask why we should bother to have local government in the first place. Local authorities have a job to do and they should do it in a mature fashion, as should the care home providers.
I said at the outset that, if we got ahead of ourselves in terms of time, I would give you the opportunity to make a few closing remarks, given that I asked for your opening statement to be brief. Do you wish to say anything at this point?
No, thank you. Obviously, I have a number of pieces of correspondence to deal with as a result of the questions. I am more than happy to accept some of the points that were made over objectives and targets. I look forward to dealing with the issue that Andrew Walker raised about the table.
Given that we hope to discuss the draft budget report a fortnight from today, we are under some pressure of time. You have made a number of commitments to give us further information and that puts some difficulties on our work programme. Are the commitments that you gave us manageable in the timescale?
I would hope so, especially as regards the points that have been made on the targets.
Thank you. I understand that we will hear from you again next week as part of our work force planning inquiry.
Thank you.
Before we have a five-minute suspension, I ask the committee to agree that, when we discuss the draft budget report a fortnight today, we do so in private. Is that agreed?
Members indicated agreement.
Meeting suspended.
On resuming—