Official Report 248KB pdf
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the third meeting this year of the Scottish Parliament Enterprise and Culture Committee. We are glad to be having this meeting in Campbeltown. We enjoyed an interesting, informative and informal discussion with members of the public and others last night, and we are looking forward now to a formal evidence session at which we can take forward some of the issues that we discussed last night and other issues.
Thank you for coming to Argyll and Bute. You will have seen over the past 48 hours that we have wave and wind power in abundance.
I start with one of the issues that you mentioned at the end of your remarks. Your submission states that the current planning advice notes should be revised
A catalogue of precedents has been set over the past several years for particular types of development. When you heard from COSLA last week, Derek McKim gave the example of the identification of six sites for fabrication yards. From my time in planning, I can remember the creation of enterprise zones when we were moving to structure plans from regional plans. I feel that a national planning framework that identified the strategic opportunities would be more meaningful than what we have at the moment. I would rather that planning was plan-led or framework-led than developer-led. That would be a more robust and cohesive approach to the planning legislation.
What would the strategic framework look like? What would it tell you in Argyll? Do you expect it to tell you that X megawatts of onshore wind energy are required and that certain percentages of it should come from this or that area? Would it be that detailed?
That would be the thrust of it. The renewables obligation was introduced and we now have ROCs. There has to be a strategic partnership tying in different aspects of legislation so that there is a more cohesive approach and a more structured understanding of what will happen. A criticism here has been that Kintyre is being regarded as the dumping ground for wind farms. A considerable number are here and people ask why they cannot go elsewhere. People say that the landscape is being despoiled and that the very virtues that we extol in terms of tourism are being downgraded. We need to take a more balanced approach. Many other themed planning issues have a strategic framework and that would be a more logical way to make progress with this issue.
It occurs to me that a strategic framework might not give you balance. In your answer, you seemed to be asking for wind farms to be spread out more evenly across the country. If there were a strategic framework, the planners might sit down and say, "The best places to put the wind farms are there and there, so we will put them all there and there, rather than spreading them out evenly."
I do not think that a framework is necessarily a bad thing, because we need some form of rationale. This area relies heavily on tourism, but we want to embrace all forms of renewable energy. There is a critical balance and social and economic factors are writ large in that. After listening to our communities, I feel that we have to get that balance correct. A strategic approach would create a better back-cloth against which to adjudicate on planning applications.
At the end of the day, if you felt that you had enough wind farms in Kintyre, then, no matter what the strategic approach said, your council would say, "That's enough."
As I am sure you will appreciate, I could not speak for the council. I merely recommend to the elected members what decisions to take. The argument that you make could be put forward, but I would still argue that we should consider having a strategic back-cloth for the location of wind farming in Scotland. That would be tied into a strategic partnership, as I have outlined in my paper.
I want to move on to the subject of the grid, which you mentioned in your introductory remarks. I agree with what the council says in its submission—that the areas with the most potential are also the most fragile, and that the lack of connections could be a problem. At the very end of the submission, you say:
You mention Gigha, which is an excellent example because of the history of community involvement on the island. Gigha is going ahead with three masts. In Argyll and Bute, with the possible exception of Helensburgh, we are talking about remote and island communities—I do not like to use the word "rural". We are talking about super-sparsity and peripherality, and it is expensive to provide basic services to our communities. If grant support could be given to small schemes for all forms of renewable energy, that would help to sustain our peripheral, remote and island communities. I put my hands up and say that that is a plea for money from the Executive in the form of grants to subsidise those communities.
Do you not think that there is a danger in taking a bit-by-bit approach, in that it might fly in the face of an overall strategic review of the grid?
I do not think so. In my experience, the smaller islands and smaller communities would generate power for their particular areas rather than to go into the national grid. I am sure that you are aware, as it was mentioned last week, that significant changes are taking place to the size and capacity of wind turbines—that is another side of the argument. We are looking for ways to assist fragile and remote island communities.
You said in your preamble that the local authority planning controls need to be strengthened, but the submission from Scottish and Southern Energy states that they need to be eased. If the Executive were minded to set up a national strategic framework, how do you think that it would draw that up? Would it use the evidence from this inquiry together with other submissions?
I will hand that question to my head of planning services, Angus Gilmour. I am sure that he has pretty strong views on the issue.
We should engage with the development industry to undertake regional resource assessments. They would inform the debate on the targets that should be set for each local authority area. We could then plan with certainty through our local planning system because we would know the targets that we have to deal with, and that would give greater certainty to the process. Developers and planning authorities are crying out for greater certainty because the process is chaotic at the moment. It places big demands on our resources that we find it difficult to cope with. On the national framework, we should go back to basics.
I have some experience of putting through a structure plan, so I know how long it takes. How long would your plan take? Would you call a halt to all development while it goes on?
No, because at local planning level we are trying to guide developers into areas where we think that there is capacity for renewable energy. It is a bit of a free-for-all at the moment. Every hillside is open to developers. We need to give more certainty to the process, hopefully with the assistance of a national planning framework.
My second point concerns biomass. Your written evidence states:
The blanket of afforestation in Argyll is well known. You are right to highlight that issue because if we are talking about sustainability, we need the supply. Current information indicates that there will be supply. A side issue that comes up with biomass is the lack of planning controls over areas that have been the subject of deforestation. That is quite an issue, which needs to be addressed in the context of biomass.
I want to clarify what you are saying about a planning framework for locating wind farms. Are you arguing for regional targets? In its evidence, Scottish Power said that there should not be a national plan because it will not have enough information about local issues and decisions; Scottish Power said that there should be regional targets.
As I have said continually when engaging with the development industry, when a wind farm is being planned, the devil is in the detail. The plan must be at a very localised level to come out with the best solutions. We are looking for national targets that we can plan for at a local level through our local plan system. We feel that we are best placed to identify where the capacity is for renewable energy within our local communities. At national level, we should get guidance from the Scottish Executive about targets for renewable energy. At the moment, there is a great concentration on onshore wind, and we need to ensure that other forms of renewable energy are given equal attention. We need to be given targets about other areas of renewable energy so that we can plan for that at a local level.
We would all like to see more investment in marine energy and your submission states that you want more Government incentives for that. Currently, the economically viable way of reaching the targets that you talked about is, obviously, the establishment of wind farms. You are saying that targets for energy production rather than an economic decision should determine how many more wind farms are in the area. Surely if companies come to you with more proposals for wind farms, it would be very tempting for your members to say on an economic basis that that is an offer that they cannot turn down.
The thing about targets is that they will not be set in tablets of stone but will be subject to review and further assessment. You mentioned the cumulative and incremental impact. We can only really decide what that is once wind farms are operational. It is all very well to look at the plans, but once the wind farms are built and the community can judge the impact, that provides better information about the capacity of areas to deal with the cumulative and incremental impact. That will also affect the target-setting issue, because targets can be aspirational to a certain degree—they are not tablets of stone and they can be monitored and reviewed in light of changing circumstances.
I would like to pursue the issue that Richard Baker touched on, which is how we encourage investment in other technologies, such as those relating to wave and tidal power. More or less everybody to whom we have spoken during the inquiry accepts the need for further investment in those new technologies. That would also help to get round some of the problems that we have with people who object to onshore wind farm developments for environmental and visual impact reasons. Could you expand on the comments in your submission about the need for Government to provide "policy support and fiscal incentives" to help with the development of, for example, wave and tidal power?
As you will have seen, I make the point in my submission about ROCs and heat generation. I come back to what is almost a mantra for us, which is that if by fiscal means we can help remote and island communities affected by sparsity and peripherality to develop alternative energy sources, we want to go down that route. Given the physical topography of Argyll and Bute in relation to the prevailing wind and tidal power, we have ample opportunity to pursue that. If we as a council do not capitalise on that opportunity, we are seriously losing out; it is something that we must harness and develop within our communities.
I am sorry for pressing you further on the issue, but can you be more specific about what you mean by fiscal incentives? Do you have thoughts as to what specifically you would like Government to do?
There should be a challenge funding regime, whereby individual communities could develop a small case business plan and get technical support backing to make use of alternative energies within their communities. Communities should be able to apply for challenge funding, which is a tried and tested format used by the Executive. That would be an ideal method, because it would challenge the communities. My experience of working in Argyll and Bute for the past 15 years is that the communities are alive to such a challenge. I listened to the dialogue last night and it was clear that people embrace such opportunities.
I have a couple of questions for Steven Watson of ALIenergy. We have read your leaflet with interest. It mentions your support for the University of Strathclyde Islay hydrogen project. Can you tell us its current position, what its potential is and what timescales are involved?
One of our directors is Dr Andrew Cruden of the University of Strathclyde. When the agency started up, he was keen to bring together a group of people who would look at fuel cells involving the isolation of hydrogen using electricity and power from such cells in vehicles or static fuel cells. In order to put together a package of credible organisations that would help, Dr Cruden enlisted our support. We held a couple of meetings on Islay, where there has been no lack of community support.
Is hydrogen technology likely to come into play by 2020, or is the timeframe for using the technology as a back-up for renewable energies more long term?
Iceland and Singapore are involved in hydrogen technology. Both focus on it much more than we do because of the lack of availability of other fuels. The rate of development in Islay will depend on incentives and the degree of financial engagement with bodies such as the University of Strathclyde. Its partnership includes a business based in Killearn—Products of Technology Ltd—which produces machines for isolating gases from other gases or liquids, and Air Products Ltd, which deals with industrial gases. All the partnership organisations can work together on hydrogen technology, if the funds are available.
I want to tie you down as much as possible to timescales because I am not sure whether we are talking about hydrogen technology being 30 or 40 years away from commercial viability, or whether we are 10 years or so from that.
We could have a demonstration project on Islay in two years, from which we could learn a lot. A Canadian company, Ballard Power Systems, is operating hydrogen fuel cells and BMW is running hydrogen-powered vehicles on the continent. There are examples that can quickly be scaled up to make a meaningful contribution towards renewable energy targets, especially in transport, in which our use of oil and the production of CO2 continue to rise exponentially. If you want to tackle transport, tackle fuel cells.
My second line of questioning relates to your support for energy conservation. Could or should we be setting targets for energy reduction? Do you do that within Argyll? Is your agency solely about conservation issues in new build, or do you also consider conservation issues across the range of electricity consumption?
New build is important, but given the turnover rate of Argyll houses, many of us live in houses that are 200 years old; some of them are in the middle of Rothesay or Campbeltown, and we cannot knock them down. The museumification of housing in Easdale and Tiree means that we have to make existing houses more energy efficient. ALIenergy works every day with the Scottish Executive's warm deal scheme to encourage insulation measures in homes. We also make full use of the energy efficiency commitments from Scottish Power and Scottish and Southern Energy. In Kintyre especially, Scottish Power's energy efficiency commitment is invaluable to us.
It sounds as if we can do something with energy awareness campaigns. What could the committee do to help you? What can we recommend that would help you in your objectives?
Although this does not specifically relate to enterprise, the committee could recommend easing the rules on the warm deal. For example, pensioners who are not in receipt of benefit are currently not eligible for the warm deal. You could examine the Scottish Executive's central heating grant programme and recommend an increase in the measures that are available under that for energy efficiency. You could encourage local authorities and housing associations to improve their existing stock by not making the energy efficiency measures contingent on individual tenants' circumstances and recommend that they be given blanket funds to upgrade each and every home, not only those that are inhabited by people who happen to be on a certain range of benefits.
If you went down that road, would there be enough skilled people to carry out the work? One of the problems with the warm deal in my part of the country is that there are simply not enough plumbers around to deal with the existing applications. What is the situation around here?
We are now working with the Eaga Partnership on identifying additional contractors for the central heating programme. The skill levels for insulation installers are not that great, but it has been something of a success story that the warm deal and the new deal have worked together. A number of insulation installers were previously unemployed, but the situation could be improved. If there was a more generous scheme, I think that organisations such as ours or private sector organisations in Argyll would consider getting into insulation installation in a big way.
My first question is also to Steven Watson. From what I have read, seen and heard about ALIenergy, I make no apology for saying that I am impressed by the work that it has been doing in energy efficiency, in the development of further expertise and in progressing the debate on the development of renewable energy. I am therefore interested to know a little more about the agency itself. I appreciate that local people will be familiar with this, but committee members might not be. Could you take us through the genesis of the agency? Could you tell us about who brought it together and about the areas where you think its greatest contribution has been? What do you think the potential for the future is?
The energy agency evolved from an application to the European Union, which came out of a Scotland week visit by elected members and officers of Argyll and Bute Council. Unusually, the EU directorate-general energy and transport contracts with more than 250 small organisations such as ourselves in various member states, under the EU save programme. We are not a blanket organisation.
Thank you for that answer. I will move on to a different area of questioning, which is probably for the council representatives, on the wider impact of the development of renewable energy in this area, particularly on jobs and tourism. Will you tell us more about your experience to date of the impact on tourism of the developments that have taken place? As we all know, that is an area of concern and there are different views about whether onshore wind farms in particular will encourage or discourage people from coming here. Do you have experience or evidence on that front that you can share with us? Do you have plans for the future for how you will integrate the work that you are doing in this area with your wider work on tourism? I am aware of work in other countries where efforts have been made to make renewable energy a selling point in an area rather than something that might pose problems. I suppose that my question is about the past, the present and the future. Will you comment on that?
I am happy to do so. On tourism, in the adjudication of planning applications, we have had comments on certain applications—I will not be specific—that they will detract from the tourism economy of Argyll and Bute. In many cases, the same objectors make the same comments.
I would like to move on to the question of jobs. We have heard this morning and seen at first hand the impact of Vestas-Celtic. The figure of 300 jobs has been mentioned, and they have obviously had a positive impact on the local economy. Could you elaborate more on the experience to date and on the current situation? You may also want to say a little more about the future and about what further opportunities you envisage for job creation, not just in relation to wind farms but in relation to other forms of renewable energy. What steps do you think the council could take in that regard? Are there any specific measures that Government, at devolved Scottish level or at UK level, might take to maximise the wider employment opportunities that may emerge from the development of renewable energy?
I shall try to answer those questions in the same sequence in which you asked them. In relation to Argyll, the economy of the Kintyre peninsula and Campbeltown is obviously fragile, and the local enterprise company and the council worked hard to secure the deal with Vestas-Celtic. I regularly meet representatives of the company. When the factory was opened by the First Minister, the company employed 60 people, but now there are nearly 300. In relative terms, that is the equivalent of a massive Hyundai factory in the central belt. I apologise to Christine May; perhaps I should not have mentioned Hyundai. [Laughter.]
I was not responsible for that.
The factory is extremely important to the local economy here. Although Vestas-Celtic is a large, one-off initiative, we want to project new initiatives further in the context of our local development plan. We want to capitalise on our green island, Islay, where there are various projects that members have heard about. We want to capitalise on woodchip projects, and our development plan has identified two or three sites between Oban and Dalmally where we could achieve added value. If we keep the timber within the confines of Argyll and Bute rather than shipping it out to Corpach or down to Troon, there will be added value and jobs as a result. That is very important.
Does Jamie Stone have a question?
Susan Deacon picked up what I wanted to ask about.
I want to clear up a couple of points. What is the legal status of ALIenergy? Are you a company limited by guarantee?
Yes, we are a company limited by guarantee and we have charitable status, as a result of the social side of our activities—the warm, dry homes work.
I want to ask about biomass and the potential use of ROCs in relation to that. That could be considered only if the tree felling and planting were done on a like-for-like basis, because otherwise the process would not be carbon neutral. Do you agree?
I would go along with that. Obviously, one would get to the point of diminishing economic returns, because the process is not sustainable. That issue must be examined in the round. We would concur with your view.
There is a good deal of under-managed forest resource here in Argyll—a lot of material is being cut to waste and left to lie and rot. The carbon in those trees just rots away and remains in the biosphere. There is impressive scope for additional employment through better management of the forest resource, if there is a market for the product that comes from that resource. Management and replanting follow on from the existence of such a market.
I thank members of the panel for their evidence, which has been very helpful.
Yes, we do.
Okay, Susan can go first.
As I think most people know, Scottish Power is a leading developer of wind energy in the United Kingdom and we support the ambitious targets that have been set for renewable energy by the Scottish Executive and the UK Government. Wind farm investment is a key element of Scottish Power's strategy in the UK and we aim to build around 1,000MW of new renewable energy capacity by 2010. To do that, we will spend in the region of £800 million, so renewable energy represents a substantial part of our on-going strategy.
Scottish and Southern Energy welcomes the committee's inquiry into renewables in Scotland for three simple reasons. First, we need to do everything that we can to cut the emissions of greenhouse gases; renewable energy helps us to do just that. Secondly, renewables provide us with an extra source of indigenous energy at a time when other sources of power, such as oil, gas, nuclear energy and coal, are in decline. Thirdly, we believe that renewables represent an excellent economic development opportunity for Scotland. For all those reasons, we hope that the committee will urge the Executive and the UK Government to remain committed to stretching targets for renewable energy generation and to the Scottish renewables obligation, which is the key policy instrument that stands behind the growth of renewable energy.
I will start by picking up on a phrase that occurs in Scottish Power's submission:
It means stability of the targets, because the targets are the commercial drivers. By targets, I mean the targets that are binding through the renewables obligation and set at the UK level. Long-term certainty in the targets is necessary for investors to be confident enough to continue investing in the long term.
In your submission, you are clearly looking for Government policy to stay the same not in all areas, but only in certain areas that would suit your commercial advantage.
Recent changes were made allowing more biomass, which we welcome. However, the amount was limited deliberately, to avoid undermining investor confidence in the ROC market as a whole. It is important that a free-flowing ROC market is allowed to continue.
Some people are suggesting to us that ROCs should be issued for biomass. Others have suggested that extra ROCs should be issued for producing electricity from wave or wind energy. How does that undermine the market?
It could stratify the market. Anything that breaks up the market and the obligation into segments could limit the free flow of ROCs and affect the market's viability. The free functioning of the market is important to ensure that the full value feeds through to renewables generators.
Are you suggesting that, if there were more ROCs in the market, there would not be enough other suppliers needing to buy them?
Not at all. However, a fundamental component of the set-up of the operation at present is full tradeability of certificates. That needs to be maintained.
In that case, do you not accept that there is a need to encourage other forms of renewable energy? Clearly, we will run up against the buffers with onshore wind—in public acceptability, grid intermittency and so on. If we are to keep raising targets for renewables, we must encourage the other technologies to develop. If there are no commercial incentives to develop, how do we encourage investors to take that line?
We have suggested that the best way of doing that is through capital grants, which appear to be working fairly effectively with offshore wind down south. Extension of those to some of the new technologies up here in Scotland could be similarly successful, without interfering in the ROC market per se. Capital grants could deliver what is required by way of incentives.
I am sure that we will return to that issue.
My question relates to what you have just said. Given intermittency, the alternative source of energy is tricky and may be some way down the road. You said that the maintenance of thermal power will be crucial as the amount of renewable energy increases. That argument is frequently made by the nuclear industry—we hear it time and again.
It is for the industry to ensure the continued flexible operation of the market. Options for flexible plant are restricted. There is pumped-storage hydro power, which we have at Cruachan and which Scottish and Southern Energy has at its plant. However, there is not much potential for increasing that. There is also coal-fired generation, which is flexible. The argument can be overplayed, as fluctuations in the output of an individual wind farm are not representative of a batch of wind farms across the country—at any point in time, wind speeds across the country will be diverse, so to some extent fluctuations will be smoothed. However, as more intermittent renewables come on stream, variability of generation input to the system will increase, which will increase the need for flexible plant. The most flexible plant, with the most capacity at present, is coal-fired plant, but there is no incentive to maintain the availability of that capacity in the long term. That is a key issue.
Coal will not be there for ever.
No, it may not. However, at the moment there is a dichotomy. Coal-fired generation is being discouraged to reduce its output, which is fine as more renewables come on line. However, at the same time we need to maintain stable supplies, which will require flexibility to come from somewhere. At the moment, the only fuel that can provide that cost-effectively is coal. However, some incentive will be needed to ensure that capacity is retained.
Does Scottish and Southern Energy wish to add anything?
There are two issues. I agree entirely with what has been said so far. The emissions trading scheme is an important arbiter of how quickly coal-fired generation and other thermal generation will be retired. I said in my opening remarks that the scheme for the national location plan that was revealed yesterday needs to be studied closely to satisfy everybody that that transition can take place. People need to be assured that, instead of being a backward-looking arrangement that keeps the old world in place, the scheme looks forward to a world where we have lower carbon emissions. We have to satisfy ourselves that that transition can be made, so that renewables play their maximum role and are allowed to develop. In particular, the technologies that we have said still require some years to mature have to be able to do so to ensure a smooth transition. If the committee would like my company's views on the emissions trading proposals, we could write to you on that.
Finally, do I gather from what you are all saying that the management of the blip day is the responsibility of the energy-producing companies? I accept that we are in a transitional phase.
At the moment, the gas and electricity network operators are encouraged to operate their systems with gas storage and pump storage, as well as with other ancillary service contracts, to be able to cover those peaks.
I have a couple of questions on the planning aspects for onshore wind generation. Both companies refer in their submissions to difficulties with the current planning system. I recall that, at a useful seminar that I and a number of other members attended at Scottish and Southern Energy's headquarters in Perth last summer, it was mentioned that developers expect one in eight applications to be successful. Can you comment on that? Is that your experience? Is that figure still accurate?
That has been the experience of a number of developers so, yes, it is probably not far wrong.
Clearly, that is unsatisfactory from everybody's point of view: it is unsatisfactory from your point of view, it is unsatisfactory from the point of view of developers and it is highly unsatisfactory from the point of view of local communities. Our experience as members is of being heavily lobbied, as you can imagine, by people living in the vicinity of areas for which there is a planning application. The application may have a small chance of progressing to an actual development, but, nevertheless, people are concerned about visual impact and the potential impact on their property and property prices. How would you like the planning process to be improved? Susan Reilly said that she wanted an increase in the number of positive decisions, but how would you ensure more certainty in the planning process, so that people putting in applications are not doing so on such a speculative basis?
In relation to how developers go about developing projects, the current guidelines from the Scottish Executive—national planning policy guideline 6—are quite good. They are criteria based and clear on how local authorities should assess the impact of a wind farm application.
Before I ask Scottish and Southern Energy whether it agrees, I will ask about your comment that the current guidelines are quite good. As only one application in eight succeeds, I suggest that the system has a major problem somewhere.
We need to be careful, because the figure of one in eight relates to the early development stages. Projects drop out of development for all sorts of reasons, which do not only involve planning. I am sure that the success rate from planning application to planning approval is an awful lot better than one in eight. Projects drop out even before they reach the application stage, as developers investigate and find an environmental or technical issue or fail to sign up the landowner, for example.
Does Scottish and Southern Energy want to add comments?
Factors that are external to the planning process have an impact on the planning success rate. Obviously, local concerns are raised when a development is mooted in an area. Argyll and Bute Council cited its experience that once a development is operating, the impacts are not as great as people had feared. That was one result of an early Scottish Executive survey of public perceptions of wind farms. Some perceptions weigh heavily on the people who make planning decisions.
I have one more question, which is on a slightly different topic and relates to the convener's question about new technology. I will ask my question robustly, so the witnesses should feel free to respond as robustly as they wish.
I take issue with your suggestion that we have been forced to go into wind farms. There is an alternative, which is that we can buy our way out by paying the fine. We moved into wind farms because the project has an economic benefit and a return.
The buy-out fund was set at a unified rate to try to cap the cost of renewable energy to the consumer. If differential rates were introduced, such as 5p per unit for marine technologies, the cap and the cost to the consumer would start to increase—ultimately, the consumer pays for the technology—and we would get into the game of trying to pick the winners. All generation technologies should be economic in their own right—they cannot survive in the long term through subsidy.
May I interrupt you for a moment? The reason why we have wind farms is that that is exactly what the Government has already done.
That is simply because thermal power stations are not paying the full cost of their production; they are not being penalised for the emissions that they create. That is where the emissions trading scheme comes in, because it will raise the cost base of the thermal power stations to its true level. The cheaper renewables could then be economic on a comparable basis, but the new technologies still need a driver to bring them in. As David Sigsworth said, Scottish and Southern Energy has joined the Weir Group in developing renewables technology ventures, but the wave and tidal technologies are a long way off and are uneconomic at the moment. They will survive only if the economics come down to a comparable level.
There is a motivation for everyone to consider the lowest-cost options, because all suppliers are faced with the obligation and, ultimately, all consumers will pay for part of it.
My first question is almost a supplementary to the questions about planning issues that Murdo Fraser asked, specifically the point that there is no need to reconsider planning structures. However, Scottish Power's written submission refers to
Public opinion is not changing much, which is a factor. There are more objections in total, but that is because there are more proposals for projects in objectors' back yards. Possibly the biggest factor is the one that I mentioned previously, which is local authorities' comfort level in knowing what they need to do to help to achieve national targets. That is the key issue that must be addressed. My guess is that that is the reason for the drop-off in pass rates over the past 12 months or so.
So the drop-off is not because of the level of objections from communities—that is not the deciding factor.
It is a factor, but it is understood—as you heard earlier from Argyll and Bute Council—that objectors are a vocal minority and that the majority are either not bothered or are in favour of projects. Once the projects are built, the evidence from various studies shows that approval from communities increases and objectors become a very small minority.
My second question is on offshore wind power; your opening remarks suggest that you have a pessimistic outlook on it. I want to ask you about the potential for offshore wind power because the existing infrastructure for the old oil platforms in the North sea provides energy links onshore for the production of energy offshore. In fact, there is a proposal for a large offshore wind farm in the Beatrice field. I am not sure whether any of the witnesses' companies are involved in that, but I think that Scottish and Southern Energy is involved in a similar proposal in the Talisman field. That seems to me to be an exciting proposal that builds not only on the existing offshore infrastructure, but on the skills of people working in the communities onshore. Given the reliable wind speeds offshore, is there good long-term potential for offshore wind farms?
The key issue is the timeframe. There may be an opportunity in the long term for offshore wind power, but that will not help with current targets.
Why, in that case, is Scottish and Southern Energy investing in offshore wind power?
I support what Susan Reilly said. In the short term, the Executive's targets for our companies and other suppliers mean that the only feasible major contributions by 2010-11 will be from what is left of the hydroelectric potential and from the second most mature technology, which is onshore wind power. All the other technologies are important and we will continue to work on them whether it takes five, six or eight years. We recognise that because hydro potential is running out and because of the density of onshore wind permits, we must mature the other technologies. We expect our renewables obligation to keep growing, so we must work on the future technologies today. That is what our work in the Beatrice field is about. We are a 50:50 joint venture partner in that field and in the Talisman field. However, the earliest that the planned 1,000MW wind farm will mature is perhaps 2008-09.
So that wind farm will not become economically viable until that point.
Some of the grants for the project are for putting up demonstrator masts to test the economics of the farm before we move to a full 200-turbine installation.
The project is currently uneconomic and, in partnership with the Government, we are carrying out research so that we can figure out how to reduce the development's costs. The wind farm will be in very deep water and it will be more difficult to pin turbines to the sea bed there than it is at offshore wind farms in shallower water. Until we figure that out, the development will remain uneconomical.
That is in the long term, so it is not correct to say that the development will be economically viable by 2008-09.
We are working to establish whether it will be.
If the initial tests show that the investment will mature in that timescale, it would be the first offshore wind farm and we could exploit that fact internationally.
That does not sound as if it is too far off—it would be five years away.
No, but in terms of fulfilling obligations, we and the other supply companies are gambling on the future. At the moment, the only secure means of ensuring that we can fulfil our obligations is through hydro power and onshore wind power.
We all hope that the gamble will pay off. Good luck.
Capacity planning is a natural part of the electricity sector. A renewable-energy penetration of between 10 per cent and 20 per cent is not really a problem with the current system's structure.
Will they be traditionally fuelled power stations?
Yes.
Are there any incentives for a company to build one of those power stations?
Yes. Each company has to balance its own requirements. Each day our trading floor will register how much demand we expect there to be on the system and how much generation we expect to have to put into the system. If we do not do what we say we are going to do, we are penalised. That system creates incentives for us to ensure that we are balanced—that is the market mechanism.
COSLA gave evidence to the committee that was supported and reiterated by Argyll and Bute Council today when it called for the development of a Scottish energy policy. Your companies now have considerable experience of working under the devolved arrangements with the Scottish Executive and the UK Government in their respective areas of responsibility and powers. Have you any comments to make about the wider policy-making framework in relation to energy policy in general, rather than specifically in relation to renewable energy, and how it could evolve and develop to ensure that we proceed effectively?
At the moment, energy is still a reserved matter and the current drivers of progress are the energy review white paper and the UK Energy Bill. Energy efficiency has been mentioned this morning. For the benefit of members, I would like to tell them about likely contributions to the future energy situation that the white paper outlines.
I concur with what has been said about energy efficiency; energy is largely a reserved matter and UK policy as set out in the energy review white paper appears to be well aligned with Scottish Executive policy in being driven towards an increasing share of renewables. I re-emphasise that everything else in the system remains important. Security of supply and maintaining that security will become increasingly important as we use more renewables. Currently, we cannot see the incentives to maintain the flexibility that is required, which will become a key matter.
Does either of you think that there should be a Scottish energy policy?
There is silence from the witnesses; perhaps silence speaks volumes.
The DTI's white paper was published over a year ago and we still do not have a clear definition of how aims will be fulfilled. The situation in Scotland is equally challenging. This morning, we have heard a spectrum of views about how supply companies will fulfil the challenge that has already been given to us to develop renewable energy. You keep asking us, "Are you going to do things here or there?" The Parliament has already set the hurdle for our customer supplies. There must be a certain level of renewable energy at certain dates, but currently the Government in Scotland and—to an even greater extent—the Government in England are not facilitating renewables developments at the rate that is required for us to do what is required of us.
We agree that we need to pay attention to certain Scottish issues, which we have mentioned. In particular, as we move into the Great Britain-wide trading system, we must be careful that, in comparison with generators elsewhere in the country, Scottish generators are not discriminated against and that renewables are not discriminated against.
That leads nicely to the two issues that I wanted to raise. The first relates to what you and the witnesses who will follow you have said about the potential damage that could be done by increasing the cost of access to the network. Will you comment on the work that is needed to upgrade the grid system to take account of smaller and more peripheral projects coming in? Who should meet the costs that are involved? Should such matters be determined on a national basis or should they be considered application by application? I will ask about emission control afterwards.
Scottish Power, the National Grid Company in England, and Scottish and Southern Energy have put together plans to provide a road-map for rewiring the United Kingdom to make harvesting of renewables possible throughout Britain. Those plans add up to billions of pounds; the work has been done. We talked about Argyll and Bute's constraints and there are constraints further north that will prevent access to the northern isles and the Western Isles.
Does Scottish Power want to add anything to that?
I will add one comment on timing. To get planning consents for wind farms is hard enough, but to get planning consents for expansion of the grid is another issue. I think that planning consent for the interconnector between Scotland and England took in excess of 10 years, so we could be looking at further delays unless we have a cohesive and quick approach to agreeing how we will go about expanding the network and how it will be funded.
Would you support the call, which we heard from one set of witnesses, for that investment to be made nationally by the Scottish Executive, if possible, or by the UK Government?
The important thing is that the costs be spread over the whole UK, which will ultimately benefit from renewable energy and achievement of targets. I do not have a strong view on the mechanism for achieving that, but it is important that the objective be agreed.
It is worth stating that, without such investment, the bulk of renewables development cannot take place. It is as simple as that.
You made the cost argument well in the papers that you submitted.
I will mention one difficulty that we have on co-firing in relation to waste-derived fuel. The Executive and SEPA are being helpful to us but, although waste-derived fuel is environmental friendly, there will come a point at which we will not be allowed to continue to use it under the co-firing rules.
We are still looking into co-firing issues at Peterhead, but we would probably use a liquid or oil-based biofuel. However, we have not discussed the matter with SEPA.
Last night, David Sigsworth and I talked about the levels of methane that exist in former underground coal works and other works. Will you tell the committee a little bit about that? How might harnessing that gas help to reduce emissions? Would doing so have any commercial possibilities?
Generation from coal mine methane is one of the small but very viable and interesting technologies. Any project that uses methane from landfill or a working coal mine for generation receives an ROC. Usually, when a coal mine ends its useful duty, the shaft is capped and a pipe inserted into the top of it. From then on, methane vents to the atmosphere.
In so far as you are aware of its provisions, to what extent will the UK Energy Bill, if passed, address the Scottish issues in relation to the grid and transmission that Susan Reilly raised?
We hope that there will be some movement towards our view. However, I do not think that we will have a situation in which we will not be discriminated against.
The fact that the UK Energy Bill paves the way for the British electricity trading and transmission arrangements is the key to current consultations on grid access and embedded generator costs for using the system. In fact, that loose connection has put the consultation in place. I hope that we will have the committee's support in arguing very strongly that we must change the minds of consulting organisations. As our submission shows, we have very firm views on charges and on how we can achieve comparability with England.
I suppose that a statement on page 3 of Scottish Power's submission is linked to charges and costs. The submission states:
It is inevitable that the cost will increase, given the environmental measures that are being put in place in relation to renewables, energy efficiency and expansion of the grid to meet renewables targets. Our estimate, taking into account all those measures, is that consumer prices could increase by about 15 per cent by the end of the decade.
I do not disagree with Susan Reilly's assumptions, but it is worth saying that the energy white paper suggests that the measures will produce a 5 per cent increase, and that we heard yesterday that the emissions trading issues that were announced could lead to a further 3 per cent increase. I suspect that many other costs to suppliers will come through and that the cumulative increase will be more than 8 per cent. I think that the sort of figure that Susan Reilly suggests is accurate.
I have two technical questions. I realise that, because they are technical, you may have to get back to the committee in writing, if that is all right.
That will be fine.
I am interested in the difference in anticipated output between different locations. In other words, if a turbine is on an ideal hilltop, what is its anticipated output in comparison to the same turbine on an ideal lowland brownfield site?
Productivity is sensitive to topography. The site that committee members were on yesterday is one of the best—as you know, as you could hardly stand up.
I am not sure that I can work out the answer from what you are saying. Are you saying that lowland sites are as economically viable as hilltop sites because they are cheaper to build in the first place?
No. There is still a difference, but as long as the lowland site remains viable within the obligation it is something that we can look at. The difference in productivity can be as much as from the high 20 per cents to the high 30 per cents—that is about 50 per cent in terms of output of turbine. There can be some savings in the turbine classification: turbines that are designed for the very high wind speed sites are a little bit more expensive because higher-grade steels and so on are used to maintain their 25-year life. Those factors can help to offset the difference and close the gap, but the gap is still significant. The issue is a key one for us when we are designing wind farms on a project scale, because moving turbines around within a site can significantly affect their productivity and their visual impact—trading those two factors off is a big aspect of designing a wind farm.
We are looking at some sites up in Shetland, where the load factors will get into the 40 per cents. However, that has to be counterbalanced by the cost of getting cable up there. Shetland is an island system—there is no cable there.
We have received a briefing that current capacity in Scotland is 10,000MW and the load factor about 57 per cent. If we move to the 40 per cent renewables target, would you expect the load factor to change considerably? If in 20 years' time we have the same level of use of electricity, would the installed capacity need to be considerably higher to keep the lights on?
National energy consumption is about 360TWh. If you assume something like a 1 per cent growth in energy each year, that equates to about 1,000MW of additional capacity if you look at it being supplied by renewable energy. There must be a lot of movement just to keep still and keep pace with growth.
Your question is complicated by the fact that the development of renewables will increase the amount of embedded generation; that in itself will alter the way in which the system is managed and the requirements are fulfilled. The question is complex and if the committee would like us to reflect on it, we would be happy to drop you a note.
That would be helpful, thank you.
It is where the primary substations are for the current 132kV network. That is the major constraint on bringing electricity from some of the most prolific wind areas down to the central belt. The grid will be reconstructed as quickly as possible to a 400kV standard.
I thank the representatives from Scottish Power and Scottish and Southern.
I will say a few introductory words. We are an industry forum, representing the views of developers and organisations that are involved in renewables across Scotland, across technologies and across company sizes. I am a full-time member of staff with the forum; Robert Forrest is our chief executive, but that is more his hobby. His full-time job, I guess you could say, is as a hydro and wind power developer. He has direct experience in some of the things that we will talk about.
You mentioned planning and section 36 consents. Basically, for anything over 50MW, the Executive rather than the local council makes the decision. That happens for historic reasons that have nothing to do with wind farms, but which relate to big power stations. Is suggesting that that regime should continue not, in a sense, taking away the democratic input to consents? It is ironic that, while local people, in theory, have control over small wind farms, the bigger—and therefore potentially more unsightly or more intrusive—the wind farm is, the less control they have. Is that a sensible approach?
As you say, the wind industry inherited that regime from other parts of the power sector. However, developers work very closely with planning authorities on all scales of development. Developers do not see the planning process as bypassing local authorities. It is very important to get local authorities involved, and to get them signed up to giving their consent. If they do not, the process has to go to public inquiry. Nobody wants that because it means delay and uncertainty for projects. You referred to the 50MW banding, but different technologies have different bandings. All new hydro plant above 1MW must be authorised by the Executive. That discrepancy seems odd to us.
We can accept that point. However, a previous witness asserted that some developers deliberately structure their wind farms over the 50MW limit, simply to ensure that it would not be the local council that would be asked to give consent.
Wherever the threshold is set under a section 36 system, there will inevitably be cases in which people will play the system by going higher or lower. In some examples, people have deliberately kept below 50MW. Some 49MW planning applications have been made, in a deliberate attempt to keep things in the local system and subject to a local decision.
Do you know offhand how many renewable projects over 50MW there are?
Currently, 31 applications have been submitted under the section 36 process and are live in the system. They cover a mixture of hydro and wind projects—I think that there are 25 wind projects and six or seven hydro projects. Five projects have passed through the system and come out the other end.
How many applications have been rejected?
So far, none has been rejected. It is hard to draw any conclusions from that, however, as so few projects have come out the other end of the system so far. Although none has been rejected, four or five applications have been in the system for a very long time and have not reached a conclusion because of issues that remain to be resolved. It is not the case that blanket approval is given under the section 36 process. The projects that have come out the other end have come from applications whose case was proved in a relatively short timescale.
A cynic might say that, if the Executive has set itself a fairly ambitious renewables target, it is very unlikely that it will turn down any renewables project.
We fully expect the Executive to turn down some projects. We would be surprised if it approved all the projects that came before the section 36 process. If one body is setting the targets and making the decisions, there is a danger that that system could be abused, but it could be argued that the same would follow for other strategies. Similarly, if a local target has been set within a particular local authority area, it might be suggested that that could lead to less than objective decision-making in the local system.
Your written submission, which deals with planning applications for onshore wind projects, says on page 6:
Our problem with a national plan is that it would, by necessity, be so all-encompassing as to be unwieldy. It would be difficult to drill down and get the necessary information to make the decisions. Argyll and Bute Council said in its submission that it seeks control in its own area. It pointed out, rightly, that it has the appropriate knowledge and understanding of that area with which to make decisions.
Perhaps it is worth adding some experience on this point. Quite a lot of local authorities in Scotland have had renewable energy plans that have gone into the details of zoning, preferred areas, less-preferred areas, sensitivity maps and so on. Nearly all those strategies—some of which were started 10 years ago, and some more recently—were withdrawn fairly rapidly after they were introduced, mainly because a range of complex technologies is involved. How does one draw up a plan that covers a single turbine installation as opposed to a 200-turbine wind farm? Strategies have to deal with such matters and with the technology, which, over the past 10 years, has changed dramatically. To some extent, we are in a different field from those who deal with strategies for housing or indicative forestry—people have a pretty good idea of what trees will look like in the future.
I will give you an example in which a regional strategic approach might assist. In my area in the Ochils, there are something like eight proposed applications. Most people in the area would say that one or two developments in the Ochils might be acceptable, but eight would be way above the limit that most people would deem acceptable. All that the local authority can do is to respond on a case-by-case basis and approve or reject developments; it cannot take a step back, look at the situation strategically and say, "If we accept that we will have one or two developments, where are the best locations?" Would not that be preferable to simply responding to a developer-led process?
If you imagine starting with that area as a blank canvas and considering potential opportunities or capacity, it is hard to know in advance what the proposed schemes might be. For example, are you talking about large schemes or a number of small turbines?
Thank you for a robust submission, which contained some very definitive statements. At the bottom of page 3, you say that you do not think that the objectives of BETTA will be achieved, but you do not ask the committee to do anything. Do you think that enough is being done, or are you waiting for us to ask what you think we should do?
We always welcome being asked. BETTA is an interesting issue. Primarily, the policy area is reserved. However, despite its title—the British electricity trading and transmission arrangements—BETTA impacts on Scotland rather than on England and Wales. It involves the extension of the English and Welsh arrangements to Scotland, with some modifications. England and Wales get to stay as they are, but Scotland has to change. There is a lack of movement from the regulator on how to set up a Great Britain charging arrangement. The English and Welsh charging arrangements do not fit when we try to stretch them out across the new area that BETTA covers. It is important that the Scottish perspective is taken into account in the deliberations.
Surely if the Scottish Parliament is to fulfil its functions it must be able to take a view on reserved issues and to express that, where the interests of Scotland are affected. That is my view, and I hope that we will do so.
We support the Parliament's taking a strong view on the need for the grid and on the importance of ensuring that British regulations, under BETTA, do not create discrimination and that transmission charging mechanisms are not proposed that do not allow generation in Scotland. In their evidence, the witnesses from Scottish Power and Scottish and Southern Energy spoke about the levels of the proposed charges. We see those as discriminatory against Scottish generation and would welcome support in ensuring that they are not implemented.
My second question relates to the other element of this inquiry—the economic potential of support for renewable energy. I refer to fabrication, manufacturing and R and D. It is no secret that I am looking to have a renewable energy park established at Methil in my constituency. However, there are planning and financial issues associated with that. Have you found those problems to be replicated in other areas? If so, what do you recommend should be done about them?
At the start, the key is project development. Having projects on the ground allows contracts to be awarded to companies such as Vestas. The same rules apply to other technologies. The key issue is to have a healthy market that can bring projects to the point at which companies are able to spend money on buying turbines, commissioning hydro facilities or buying wave machines. That does not mean having a free-for-all system, but it means appreciating that decisions need to be made that produce projects. If there is a momentum behind that, we can start to build.
If Scotland wants to grab the opportunity that lies before it to be a world leader in new marine technologies, for example, it must create the right environment for companies to want to be in Scotland. That comprises a range of issues. We must ensure that there is an electricity trading system that allows us to get power to the areas where there is demand and that there is a planning system that allows projects to be proposed, to be processed and to be successful. We need investors and technology companies to see that Scotland is the right environment for that to take place.
I will pick up Christine May's point about transmission, BETTA and the UK energy market as a whole. You said that you feel that BETTA's aims will not be achieved and you set out more than half a page of reasons why, which is a fair bit of your submission. To what extent do you think that the UK Energy Bill will answer your fears? I am aware that the committee will consider the bill in a few weeks' time.
In my opening remarks, I talked about the need for different Government objectives to be balanced. We feel that the Energy Bill should do two key things. First, it should be firm on discrimination in charging between Scotland and England and Wales. Given that we have different systems and that differences will remain once BETTA goes live, there needs to be a much clearer signal in the bill that such discrimination in charging cannot stand. Secondly, there must be obligations with regard to Ofgem's role as the regulator and the role of National Grid as the expected Great Britain grid operator. Currently, National Grid's prime objective is to develop and manage the grid at the lowest cost to the consumer, which is right and proper. However, it needs the secondary objective of supporting the achievement of UK Government energy targets. Currently, we are seeing things coming out of BETTA and proposals for transmission charging that relate to only one objective and not the other, so that needs to be balanced. National Grid has to ask how it will help to achieve Government policies on renewables and Ofgem needs to be able to do the same. The Energy Bill needs to make that clear so that both agencies can go and do that work. If they try to do so at the moment, they will be going against the remit that the Government has set for them.
So your position is that the Energy Bill as it stands will disadvantage Scotland to a certain extent.
Yes, because the bill assumes that BETTA will achieve its aims, which are to support development of the grid and to enable the connection of small generators, particularly in Scotland. The detail of how the agencies will implement that, which the bill cannot necessarily cover, will frustrate it. The agencies' objectives and what they have to do to implement the Energy Bill must be clarified.
Your submission says:
The electricity market has 18 per cent and 40 per cent aspirational targets for Scottish renewable electricity generation. The UK Government target of 10 per cent drives the ROC market and is mirrored in the ROC system and the renewables obligation (Scotland). As the 40 per cent target is aspirational and seen as important, because it is creating interest in biomass, wave and tidal energy, why not have an aspirational target for a heating technology? We could then consider the regulatory or financial support measures that might be needed to meet that aspiration. Setting a target allows people to scope out what is possible.
The comparison with the ROC system is simply to the carrot-and-stick approach that that system created. On the one hand, energy companies have a chance to make money, to invest in renewable technology and to make a return on that; on the other hand, the stick is that they are penalised if they do not do that. We need such an approach to heating technologies, because the technology and capability are out there, but companies that supply heating fuels or energy for heating have no incentive to do anything about it. We need a tangible measure to move the situation forward.
You said that the water framework directive was probably having an adverse effect on hydro schemes. Will you expand on that?
I will describe the water framework directive's impact on water users in all industries. The water framework directive sets a benchmark for the Scottish water environment and says that the environment's quality cannot deteriorate. Hydro—particularly small-scale hydro—involves temporary disruptions to water flow, because water is taken out and returned, which changes what might be considered to be the natural flow. On a strict reading of the water framework directive, that would be classed as a change, so it would not be allowed.
Is that happening in practice, or is that a concern about what might happen?
That is happening in practice. SEPA has produced draft guidelines that implement the directive severely. The Water Environment and Water Services (Scotland) Act 2003 is only enabling legislation that sets the outline. At the implementation level, we are under pressure. Scotland has had a sustained small-scale hydro industry for many years that has developed projects that underwent rigorous environmental impact assessment procedures. We have assessed the ecological effect of projects and have developed those projects successfully. However, a greater obligation to protect the environment has been created. Such a requirement usually reduces the water that is available for us to take out of any river. That water reduction has a phenomenal economic effect on projects.
That is helpful. We might examine the matter further. I thank the Scottish Renewables Forum witnesses for their evidence.
Meeting closed at 12:36.