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The first of our two sets of witnesses for agenda item 2 is from the Association of University Teachers. We have David Bleiman, who is the assistant general secretary, Dr Bill Stewart, who chairs the education committee, and Dr Tony Axon, who is the research officer. Dr Stewart will say a few words to amplify their written submission.
First, I thank the Enterprise and Culture Committee for allowing us to come along today to give oral evidence. I will say what I say to my students, which is that I hope that everyone has read our written submission. I will amplify it and emphasise particular points.
In the second section of your submission, you talk about top-up fees, which is the issue that has attracted most people's attention. However, you also say:
In England, it has been suggested that there be 6* research departments, as we say in our submission. We were quite alarmed by the fact that such a proposal could be made in the English white paper on higher education, because it could clearly have an impact on Scotland. For example, if Scotland did not use the 6* label, it might risk losing out on kudos because there would be 6* departments in England but not in Scotland. However, if Scotland used the 6* label for funding purposes, that would introduce a further ratchet of research activity for which there is no demand in Scotland. We were alarmed that the proposal was made without any consultation between Charles Clarke and his Scottish opposite, who was Iain Gray at that time.
What would be the effect of the implementation of that proposal?
It is possible that the result would be the 6* designation being used in Scotland not for funding purposes but as a label, to avoid any loss of prestige for our leading research departments compared with England. That strikes us as silly. What would be worse, however, would be if the Scottish Higher Education Funding Council decided that it had to move towards greater research selectivity in Scotland simply because the larger partner—England—was doing so.
In your introductory remarks, Dr Stewart, you noted that you were seeking an increased share of the budget. You said that higher education should be a very high priority, but you were not willing to tell us what other part of the budget should be reduced accordingly. Unless everything is to be a priority, something else will have to be a lower priority than higher education. We cannot really provide extra revenue from taxation as an alternative to introducing top-up fees in Scotland. Have you no suggestions about what the Executive may see as a lower priority than higher education? I have not yet seen any witness appear before a committee to say that their area is funded as well as they would like it to be.
I suppose that that is true.
If the Scottish Parliament were to use its tax-raising powers, everyone else would also bid for the extra money, so we would be back where we started.
It is sometimes difficult to separate the different strands of funding that are covered by the Scottish Higher Education Funding Council and the Higher Education Funding Council for England. However, Universities Scotland, which will give evidence later, has made a statement about the funding that needs to be made available in the fairly near future. The AUT, Universities Scotland and the National Union of Students Scotland are about to press-release a joint statement. I do not know whether members have seen that statement, but it gives a figure of about £100 million.
As the committee will be aware, the AUT, Universities Scotland and the NUS are conducting a review to establish a baseline for funding in Scotland and to calculate what the differences between Scotland and England will be if top-up fees are introduced in England. Those figures are still being worked out. The catch-up figure to bring the funding of higher education level with the increase in the Scottish budget as a whole is £57 million to £59 million.
I want to clarify that point. Is the £100 million to bring us into line with what is spent in England, or is it a figure that you regard as desirable?
We regard the figure as desirable if we are to compete with other nations in Europe.
Before I interrupted you, I think that you were going to say something about the figures that would be required to balance top-up fees in England.
The trouble is that those calculations have not been done yet. We are still trying to work out a better analysis of the funding in Scotland through the on-going review. We are also waiting to discover what will happen with the fees in England. It seems that many universities will charge the full fees, in which case there will be quite a big difference between England and Scotland. However, if universities in England do not go down that line, the differences might be smaller. It is difficult to say at the moment what the figures will be.
I offer a supplementary answer. It is no secret that there is a substantial back-bench rebellion about the issue in Westminster. The views of the back benchers who do not like variable top-up fees also differ. There is some speculation that there might be support not for variable top-up fees, but for a general increase in the level of top-up fees, with every university receiving the same tuition fees with deferred repayment, on the Scottish model.
We are discussing finding money for universities, and you have outlined the route that you have started to go down. Last week, we had a very interesting evidence-taking session with Dr Andrew Cubie, who made the same remarks that you made in your submission about the threshold and the repayments. However, although colleagues might disagree—this is possibly a personal impression—I was not quite certain at the end of the session about Dr Cubie's views on the endowment fund. At one point, he said that the fund might have possibilities. I hear and respect your view that we should not increase student debt, but Dr Cubie hinted that one might consider using the fund as a financial mechanism through back-loading. I am sure that you would not want that to happen, as it might increase students' financial burden.
As you have pointed out, ring fencing has its pros and cons. The whole essence of the Cubie report was its attempt to find a solution to the problem of student debt and funding students through their university careers. Many of our members would be somewhat unhappy about using endowment fund money to fund higher education in general. I do not think that we could very well sell that idea to our members or that we would support it.
I want to answer the first part of the question, which related to the threshold. As a former member of the Cubie committee who was party to the discussions that led to consensus on that issue, I have recently been reflecting on the matter. The Cubie committee heard a lot of evidence, some of which led us to the view that it was appropriate for graduates to make a contribution. Of course, I am not talking about individual graduates, but it appeared that on average graduates in the developed world would earn over the course of their working life significantly more than non-graduates. As a result, it was felt that a threshold should be set at a level—the Cubie committee suggested £25,000—that roughly demonstrated that the graduate had benefited financially from having been through higher education and over which one could reasonably start looking for a contribution from them. It was quite remarkable that a consensus that included student organisations such as NUS Scotland developed around that view.
I have a general question and then some specific questions about the witnesses' paper. The general question reflects one that I have put to the other two folk who have given evidence to the committee. Are you talking strictly about the university sector, or do your remarks include those elements of further education where higher education degree courses are taught?
Our evidence relates to higher education.
Only higher education?
Yes. We do not represent academic staff in further education so we cannot speak on their behalf.
If we consider the sector as a whole—because further education contributes significantly to degree courses—would the figures look different? Have you done any research into that? In the fourth paragraph of your paper, you say:
I think that there were four questions there. I will attempt to give an off-the-cuff answer, but we may have to come back with further written evidence. If further education were included, I would assume that the average level of funding in Scotland would reduce, relatively, in any comparison with England.
In a future submission, perhaps you might care to give us a little more information on the scale of endowment income as it affects each of the Scottish universities and the fluctuations in that income. You are asking us to suggest that there should be considerably more investment in higher education from the public purse. What are we going to get in return?
Probably more of the same. As I said, that would be the contribution to the body politic and to Scottish society as a whole.
Naturally, a trade union will be interested in its members and in its members' interests. Does what you advocate mean that the money will be swallowed up by an increase in salaries and that there will be no significant further outputs in terms of the number and quality of students and research? Is the money just to fund the pay rise?
The AUT in Scotland and the UK would argue that the increase in student numbers and the expansion of higher education that has taken place during the past 15 years was largely underfunded. The main underfunding was of our salaries. As far as productivity or efficiency measures are concerned, university staff can hold their heads up high.
Do you anticipate that any additional funds that the universities in England will get as a consequence of changes made there will be spent on improving salary levels?
No, I do not think that all the money will be spent on salary levels in England. The employers organisation will, if its record is anything to go by, spend as little as it can on our members' salaries. I would not suggest that all additional funding that the HEFCE receives should go into pay, but some of it should.
Some of the money has to go into pay for legal reasons, particularly in relation to equal pay for work of equal value. For many years, universities throughout the UK have been aware that they do not comply properly with the legislation. They are therefore vulnerable to equal pay cases. A significant amount of money is needed to introduce job grading throughout the UK to ensure equal pay for work of equal value. A lot of our women members need to be paid more.
Surely that is a detail of how the money is going to be spent on improving salaries.
Yes, I think—
We might impute motives to Westminster on a variety of things, but I do not believe that the purpose of the white paper was solely or even principally to address salary problems.
That might come under the label of modernisation; quite a bit of the HEFCE money is intended for that purpose.
I hope that I represent the public interest. What will the public get as a consequence of the requests for more money, other than less discontented and better-paid university staff?
There is nothing wrong with that, surely.
I could give a very long answer to explain all the benefits that Scotland gets from the university system, but there are many recognised benefits in terms of transfer of knowledge to the economy and development of the knowledge economy. Evidence-based improvement of public services can also be attributed to transfer of knowledge from the university system, as can the provision of the graduate work force that is now required in many professions and industries. Much work has been done on the multiplier effect for the rest of the economy of spending on universities. I could go on, but there is plenty of evidence to show—
As far as Mr Cubie was concerned when he appeared before us last week, the evidence is that, despite the fact that 51 per cent of our 18-to-30 cohort enjoys the benefits of higher education, we are not seeing those benefits reflected in Scotland's gross domestic product. The purpose of my question was to ask what benefits there were for Scottish society and the Scottish economy as a whole.
You would have to postulate a Scotland without the university system and work out what the GDP would be then. Your question is a bit unfair in that sense.
As a guardian of the public purse, I think that many people would not regard it as unfair. A lot of the work that is going to happen in the next few weeks and months will be to find appropriate comparisons. Christine May raised a significant question with regard to higher and further education. We also heard the Deputy Minister for Enterprise and Lifelong Learning saying on the radio this morning that Scotland does very well in terms of population share. What does the Association of University Teachers feel is the appropriate comparator to use in making judgments and assessments about the impact of potential changes south of the border and in arriving at a Scottish solution, with additional public funding or by other means? What comparators should we be using?
As Tony Axon explained, assessing the present situation is difficult and, on funding, we have to be careful that we are not comparing apples with pears. The funding councils do not all fund the same things. For example, the Scottish Higher Education Funding Council does not have anything to do with further education. There is a separate funding council for further education in Scotland, but that is not the case down south.
Perhaps I can make my question simpler. Would it be more appropriate to use a population-share comparator than a funding-per-student comparator?
Probably not. For instance, we have proportionately more medical schools than the south does, so, per head, our students will look better funded. However, that is simply because we have a larger proportion of more expensive courses in Scotland.
Is this an area on which you might consider sending us your views in more detail?
We could certainly do that.
All of us around the table would probably agree that recruitment and retention in higher education is important. How do you think that recruitment and retention in Scottish higher education can be addressed, although not simply in terms of pay, which is the only issue that the paper deals with?
Anecdotal evidence suggests that, especially in the high-value and high-capital-investment research areas such as biomedicine, if high-powered researchers are given state-of-the-art facilities at a university and one or two endowments are available to members of staff, people will be attracted to that university. As for funding, apart from the issue of pay, the standard of facilities that are available is important. In disciplines that require state-of-the-art machinery and apparatus, high-powered researchers will go to the places that have such facilities.
Do you have an evidence base to support that statement, either commissioned by the AUT or from elsewhere? The raison d'être of our inquiry is to investigate what can or should be done in Scotland, depending on developments south of the border, and the issue of recruitment and retention is paramount. I presume that the AUT has been concerned to find out how Scotland can secure some competitive advantage—or, at the very least, can ensure that it is not disadvantaged—in competing for staff resource in the UK. I am interested to know what data are available to you that you can perhaps share with us.
You will be aware that the Scottish Executive has established four working groups. The staffing working group has carried out work on issues relating to the brain drain and the movement of staff in and out of Scotland. However, it is too early in the work of that group for us to say that we have anything that we could call hard information from it.
Having said that pay is not the only issue that affects recruitment and retention, I agree that it is clearly a significant issue. How do you believe that pay policy for higher education in Scotland should be determined in a devolved situation, based on either the current situation or the potential situation following the introduction of top-up fees south of the border? I have re-read several times the section of your submission that deals with that issue, but I remain slightly confused. I see many options that have been rejected, but there is less clarity about how you feel that the Scottish interests would be best addressed in a devolved situation. Do you wish to remain part of a UK pay settlement? If so, what safeguards ought to be put in place to ensure that Scottish interests are best represented?
If we take top-up fees out of the equation temporarily, the situation is that pay negotiations are UK-wide. Our policy commitment is that that should continue. UK-wide organisations are on both sides of the bargaining table for pay negotiations. If a pay deal is agreed through the negotiating machinery, I see no problem in rolling out the percentage value of the pay claim throughout the UK.
Your submission says:
That might be shorthand for the point that I made about the current offer. The current UK pay offer—which applies to all groups of staff, not just academic and related staff—says:
I have two quick questions on cross-border flow, one of which touches on Bill Stewart's most recent answer. First, you said that staff might be enticed to England, where top-up fees could give institutions increased resources for research and better facilities. Would maintaining UK pay bargaining minimise or at least reduce the number of staff who are lost to English universities because of pay?
I do not know that we can clarify the issue definitively, but you have certainly described what we meant. At present, students who are not domiciled in Scotland must pay the fee that is relevant to their part of the UK. Thus, English students who come up to Scotland must pay the fee that they would otherwise have paid if they had gone to a university in England. That is our understanding of it. If England goes ahead with the introduction of top-up fees and that rule is maintained, there will be no advantage to English students in coming up to Scotland.
That could be the case only if one fee were to be applied to all English students rather than, as we expect, if a top-up fee were to be applied by individual institutions.
That is right. Individual institutions will have the option to increase the fee up to a maximum of £3,000.
I will answer Richard Baker's first question. UK pay bargaining provides some safeguard against what we might call excessive poaching of staff between institutions—it at least provides a framework. However, there is considerable discretion within that framework as to what people are paid. In particular, I draw attention to the fact that, although there is a professorial minimum salary, there is no professorial maximum salary. Universities are therefore free to offer megabucks to poach a professor from another university.
I want to pick up one or two points. Your submission states:
SHEFC has adopted a different approach towards improving people management in universities. Let me contrast that with the HEFCE approach, which is more prescriptive. The prescriptions probably come from Charles Clarke to HEFCE and then from HEFCE to the English universities. Quite a bit of top-sliced money is reserved in order to provide the carrot to the English universities to comply with the prescribed policies.
I have two further points. Your submission contained a section on part-time students that included various suggestions about fee payment levels, loan scheme levels and bursary funds. All those suggestions would seem to increase expenditure. Can you put a figure on the cost of that?
The short answer is no, but we could provide that in a supplementary written submission.
Surely you would not urge us to do something without knowing roughly what it might cost.
That is a difficult question to answer on behalf of people whom I have probably never met. Some are attracted by one and others by the other. Apart from a few—and I mean very few—high fliers in salary terms, particularly if we take out the medical professors, people do not work in universities to make a lot of money. We all have to pay the rent or the mortgage, and we do not like our salaries to fall far behind comparable groups, but most academic staff are not in it for the money. Therefore, in answer to your question, the balance of attraction would be on the side of the facilities.
As there are no more questions, I thank you for your evidence, which has been helpful.
Like the previous witnesses, we are glad that the committee is considering this important topic. The issues that face Scottish higher education are serious and, unless they are addressed, could have damaging consequences not only for higher education, but for the economy.
Thank you. We would appreciate having sight of the research paper.
Can I interrupt you? My colleague has told me that I managed to make a slip of the tongue. We are 3.5 per cent better off than the English—not the other way round. If I said it the other way round, I apologise. Their additional funding means that the figure will be about 3 per cent, we think, by the end of the spending review period. However, we grant that the figure was 3.6 per cent as of 2001-02—in addition to our funding. However, they do not have 20 per cent less funding than us—or any figure like that.
Okay. If we leave aside the various comparators, the message is that, even if the English white paper proposes no change, people will say that the sector is underfunded. Is there a time to which we can go back that was an age when people thought that they did not need to complain much about funding, if not exactly a golden age?
Certainly it is not difficult to show that funding per student over the past 15 years or so has declined by 40 per cent. I have been around teaching and universities since before that time and it was much easier to teach with staff to student ratios that were of the order of 10 to 15 students per member of staff, depending on the subject area, than it is now with ratios of 20 to 30 students per staff member.
I will briefly add to that. It is not a question of looking back to a golden age. In my view, it is never a good idea to look back—let us look forward. Circumstances have changed and universities have delivered huge increases in efficiencies. We are not going to say that those gains must be given up, because many of them are extremely welcome.
Can you expand on the nature of the competition and where it is?
There is competition in staff recruitment, which you discussed earlier with our AUT colleagues. That will continue to be a concern, particularly if additional funding goes into research resources. It would not be difficult to do a couple of case studies of areas where we have tremendous strength in Scotland to discover why that is the case. The example of Dundee is a very good one—it is clear that good staff attract more good staff to work with them and that the Wellcome Trust facilities are really first class, which also attracts people to work there. The key is having a mixture of money for salaries—I do not discount salary as an important factor—and for facilities, which are clearly important.
I have two questions and, if you will allow me, I will ask them together, which will allow you to answer them together.
I can give you a figure. Our best guess is that, given a rough figure for tuition fees of £3,000 per head, an extra £180 million would be required in Scotland to match the figure of around £1.8 billion. That is based on tuition fees being set at the full £3,000, but we do not know whether the fees will be set at that level or whether there will be variation. In an interview in The Herald this morning, Graeme Davies said that, at present, his institution, like other institutions, receives around £1,100 per head, which is paid by the Student Awards Agency for Scotland. However, he also said that if the English system were in place and tuition fees here were set at £3,000, that would provide approximately an extra £15 million for his institution, which is a lot of money.
That extra £180 million, on top of what you say is required at the moment, would take the figure to nearly £300 million a year. Is that the sum that you would look for if top-up fees were introduced in England?
The introduction of top-up fees would increase the figure further. We have said that we are looking for £100 million in the short term. We would want to consider the matter further, but perhaps the figure would not be far short of £300 million.
Paragraph 17 of the Universities Scotland submission refers to something that you mentioned a moment ago, which is the issue of cross-border flow in students. The second sentence of that paragraph states:
A difference already exists between the way in which students domiciled in England and those domiciled in Scotland are treated if they study in Scotland. My main point is that the possibility of a flood of English students is hugely exaggerated and that we should not worry about that, because it is not about to happen. If there were a suggestion of a significant increase in the number of English students coming north of the border, which would threaten the number of available places for Scottish students, we would have to react and we could do so in various ways.
I welcome Des McNulty to the committee.
I refer to your submission. Paragraph 11, which is headed "Research funds, all sources", states:
The comparison with football teams is interesting but the transfer market is rather different. Traditionally, the movement of academics has been a flow throughout the United Kingdom. Academics are attracted to institutions that have not only good research facilities but other good researchers with a good reputation in their particular discipline. Academics are often loyal to a discipline as well as to an institution or a team or whatever. In my institution, we are starting to see evidence of staff becoming a little nervous about potential differentials, not only in pay but in the facilities that they will be able to access in different institutions. They want to work in modern laboratories with high-tech equipment, and in an environment and under an ethos that allows them access to similar researchers. That is one of our key issues.
To pick up on the second part of the question, I do not think that it would be appropriate to say that we will put extra money only into research. Extra money is needed for research, but as part of an overall package. Whatever you may read, there is synergy between teaching and research. For an institution to be able to teach at advanced level—honours, masters, and research degrees—it needs research-active staff.
I am intrigued by your point—if I read you right—about levying a fee on English students that come to Scotland to reduce potential cross-border flows. Is that possible under European legislation? I am thinking back to the Scottish anomaly whereby the Scottish Executive started to pick up the tab for the fourth-year fees of English students in Scotland.
We do it now—that is the simple answer to your question. English students who come to study in Scotland pay a fee and Scottish students do not.
Students from Germany or France do not pay a fee. We are not allowed to discriminate against other countries in the European Union, but we can discriminate against other countries within the United Kingdom.
That answers my point well.
You asked several questions. I will try to deal with aspects of them, but will need to rely on my colleagues to help me with the bits that I have forgotten about.
I want to expand on two aspects of that answer. First, I will distinguish between two parts of the English white paper, because there are two chunks of extra money in there, as Professor Stevely explained. The first chunk is to do with the current spending review periods. Mr Baker is right to say that, when one does the detailed analysis, one finds that the greater part of the difference between Scotland and England is to do with capital spend. However, that is by no means trivial—a huge amount of money is involved. Scotland will be gravely disadvantaged unless we are prepared to invest at the same sort of level as England will during the next three years. That is a critical part of the reason for our present bid—we want to compete effectively and to invest on the same scale as England.
My question was on capital, but you have probably dealt adequately with that.
As you might guess, we think that at the moment the investment in ITIs has to be treated as additional for a variety of reasons, not least because the concept is new, although we are willing to work hard to help it succeed. It must be recognised that there has been a substantial change in attitude in universities, certainly over the period in which I have worked in them, in that on the whole researchers are much more open to driving forward the commercialisation agenda than ever before. However, additional funding is needed to take the commercialisation forward. It would be most unfortunate if it were simply seen as somehow or other paying for the work that needs to be done to get to the point at which commercialisation becomes possible.
I have a point of elaboration. I re-emphasise that the funding is not for universities—it is funding for which universities will be able to bid in competition with a whole range of other organisations. I am sure that you are aware of that, but it is worth re-emphasising. In fact, there is no guarantee that that money will remain in Scotland, because a successful bidder may come from elsewhere, such as Europe or the rest of the UK. It is not universities' money, but of course we hope to access significant amounts of it.
I expected that answer, and I think that you are right. Given that that is the case, and that those resources are not being seen as a source of potential funding, we are looking at setting up a capital fund somehow, to compete with the capacity of the English institutions if top-up fees are introduced. What thoughts do you have on how that might be done?
If the question is about where we would take the money from in order to make £100 million available to us in the short term, then if I may say so, £100 million of planned expenditure in higher education is better than a large unplanned surplus at the end of the year. There is scope for looking hard at the way in which money is spent to ensure that it is spent in a planned way. There is scope to provide what we need without my having to rob nursery schools; I would not wish to do that.
I will ask about collaboration, which Joan Stringer mentioned a moment ago. There is a section in the Universities Scotland submission about the value that could be added through greater collaboration, which is in turn linked to the importance of focusing on excellence. Collaboration and excellence are comfortable, cosy terrain. Will you elaborate on how much you are able and willing to enter the less comfortable terrain of considering not only developing the excellent, but reducing the less excellent—be that the less excellent course, department, institution or piece of estate?
We must push for excellence—in teaching for example. Scottish higher education over the past 10 years has demonstrated a strong commitment to teaching, not only to show how good it is, but to work hard to improve it. The quality arrangements into which we have entered in agreement with the funding council show that our agenda is to enhance teaching quality. We would all agree that, if we find an area that is failing, it must be improved. That must happen. We cannot have areas that are not teaching to their competence.
Will you say a little more about what kind of collaboration you think will produce the greatest added value?
At the moment, there are some very good researchers, in twos and threes, in departments in institutions that are not particularly strong on research. To find formal ways of linking those individuals with others in departments that have a much greater critical mass would be valuable. That kind of proposal is now beginning to be put on the table.
That is important for the retention of good research staff, to which Mr Adam referred earlier. I would not want to suggest that there is a danger of an immediate flood of staff across the border. Frankly, there are not enough of them to represent a flood. However, if we cease to be competitive, it would not require all that many people to leave for serious damage to be done, as the pool of staff is not huge to start with. When things get really tough, we will lose the very best people, who are employable not just in Scotland and England, but pretty well anywhere in the world. We need to make use of everything that we can to help capitalise on Scotland's advantages. One of those is Scotland's compact size. We are quite good at collaboration already, and there is a spirit in the sector to make that collaboration even stronger.
We have been concentrating on research, but there is also potential for greater collaboration in other areas of activity. There is a great deal of collaboration across the university sector on changing the nature of and examining the quality of the learning environment and teaching provision, so much so that, with the development of the Scottish credit and qualifications framework, Scotland, unlike the rest of the United Kingdom, seems to be at the forefront of developments in Europe. In Scotland, we have adopted a rather different approach to enhancing the quality of teaching. We believe that our approach is superior to the system in the rest of the UK.
I wish to go back to an earlier point. I might have missed something but, as I am a history graduate, you can forgive me for that. I wish to explore and make sure I have got right the matter of capital spend. Reference was made to the two parts of the white paper. I am intrigued—and this is where I ought to know my stuff, but do not. Does one take it that, in general, university capital spend is financed from a revenue settlement from Government? If that is correct, what other creative methods of capital spend do you use or consider? Tertiary education uses public-private partnerships, and you have spoken about collaboration. It is possible that Napier University, for example, could collaborate in building bright, sparkling new labs or lecture theatres. As we come to consider what to do about the white paper, we need to be rigorous in our understanding of the financing of capital spend.
Effectively, the white paper announced outcomes for the 2002 spending review and said that the UK Government wishes, in the next stage, to introduce top-up fees. There are funding streams for English higher education that will run from now through to 2005 and then top-up fees are to be introduced in 2006.
I have a short supplementary question. In an ideal world—which is beyond our scope—would it be helpful if there were a classical capital allocation along old-fashioned, public-sector borrowing lines?
I would prefer to receive a block grant and trust management to get on and do the job with it. It is difficult to find capital sums within the budgets that we have.
The key point is the adequacy of the amount rather than how it gets there. We must emphasise that when the capital allocation was part of the recurrent grant, the notional amount that was assimilated into the recurrent grant was much less than universities have to spend in order simply to maintain their existing estate, never mind expand and improve it. We have had a real problem in recent years with the adequacy of capital funding.
That is what was behind my earlier question. If top-up fees are introduced for those institutions, that will give them enormous borrowing capacity. I am interested in our seeking, with you, a solution for Scotland so that it can compete.
I seek clarification. I do not want to suggest that universities have been funded particularly generously, because I know that that is not necessarily the case. However, if we drew up a table, similar to the one in front of us, with a base of 1998 and projected figures for England against those for Scotland, Scottish universities would do rather better than would English ones. You are talking about a relative increase in funding in Scotland between 1998 and 2002 with England catching up over the following projected period. That is my understanding of the real financial situation and the pattern of expenditure, although it is not necessarily what you conveyed.
Earlier we indicated to the committee that, from a baseline around 2000-01, English universities are less well off per student to the tune of about 3.6 per cent. From that baseline, one can extrapolate forward as we have done.
If we go back to 1998, the figure is about 5 per cent.
We have pretty good figures for 2000-01 and will make them available to the committee.
You have made much of the onset of collaboration. The threat that you face is less that of top-up fees, than the implications of the Roberts report and of research concentration. Do you believe that collaboration is an adequate response to the threat that the Roberts report poses? If there are pressures on more successful universities such as St Andrews and Edinburgh to look south at what has happened to their immediate competitors, can you secure enough buy-in from the university sector throughout Scotland to deliver all the things that you say it will deliver?
I will start by indicating the scale of the problem that we are discussing. If the concentration of resources goes ahead in England in the way in which it was initially signalled in the white paper and other announcements, the number of universities that will be serious research players will be of the order of five. On a pro rata basis, that gives us half a university in Scotland, which makes no sense. Any Scottish university knows that collaboration will be essential if Scotland is to compete. As David Caldwell said earlier, we have the advantage of being a relatively small country in which we know one another very well and are capable of collaborating. Collaboration is necessary—although it may not be adequate—for us to fulfil the Roberts agenda, which is effectively the concentration of research resources. To score well in subsequent research assessment exercises, it is essential that we collaborate.
My question was a wee bit more probing than that. There are different levels of collaboration: people say that they will collaborate; they talk to one another; they reorganise what staff do to achieve more effective collaboration; and mergers result from collaborative activities. My experience in higher education suggests that people are comfortable with the first couple of stages, but much more reluctant to make more serious adjustments. In the context of the threats that you face, do you envisage fundamental changes taking place, perhaps on an agreed basis, for collaborative advantage or what is seen as collaborative advantage? Do you have buy-in for that, or is there commitment only to soft forms of collaboration?
In the near future we expect to enter into discussions with SHEFC about a much more formal approach to research collaboration than has been taken previously. In my view, that is essential. Collaboration will be much more formal and structured than it was in Scotland before.
I am not sure that I accept entirely the distinction that is being made between hard and soft collaboration. The key test is to make collaboration effective. Mergers are not always the answer. There are some famous statistics from business concerning the proportion of mergers that succeed. The true measure is how effectively we work together.
Most of what I intended to say has been covered by the replies to the question about collaboration. Recently I came across the centre for environmental history, which seems to have been formed following a meeting of members of the school of history at the University of St Andrews and the department of history at the University of Stirling. They have created an institution that is providing groundbreaking and interesting research. Do you see that as a new way forward for collaboration?
I am convinced that such collaboration will develop over the next year or two. As I said earlier, it will be a necessary but perhaps not completely adequate response to the challenges that we face.
We could all cite examples of multidisciplinary or single-disciplinary collaboration that is happening now in many spheres. If we did so, we would probably be here for longer than we would want.
You mention overseas students in your submission. You say that although we have increased the number of overseas students here, England has done even better. Can you tell us why?
One factor is the attraction of London. Fine art is one of the subjects that the Robert Gordon University provides. However, overseas students see London as the place in which to study art. We get some of them, but disproportionately they go to London. Subjects such as fine art can have an effect on the overall figure.
Thank you for your evidence.
Meeting continued in private until 16:08.
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