Official Report 306KB pdf
I welcome everybody to this meeting of the Scottish Parliament Rural Affairs and Environment Committee, which I now call to order. Members have travelled from various parts of Scotland to be with us, and a variety of witnesses will give evidence. I do not know whether members of the public have come to see the proceedings. If they have, they are welcome, and I hope that they enjoy what they hear.
Good morning. COSLA is presently evaluating the contents of the Scottish Government's consultation document and we will reply to it in detail soon. We view flood prevention as a major issue for many local authorities in which strategic, cross-boundary, solutions happen now and will need to happen in future. Speed is paramount in applying measures in civil emergencies, and a strategy of preventive measures with as few impediments placed in our way as possible is both advisable and desirable.
I suspect that members will pick up on that point in their questions.
I spent 17 years in Lothian Regional Council's drainage department. In 1992, I was involved in Edinburgh's first flood prevention scheme, which protected the Roseburn area. In 1996, I was transferred to East of Scotland Water; like almost every other local authority engineer with any hydraulic engineering experience whatsoever, I was transferred to the water authority. The responsibility for flood prevention was transferred to the City of Edinburgh Council as the local authority.
Thank you. Jamie Hepburn will begin with some questions about the legislation and its reform.
I am interested to hear your views on the role of objections in the process. Will you comment on your experience of taking forward flood prevention schemes? How long did it take you to prepare schemes? Were there any objections? If so, were they a major cause of delay?
That was a general question and we would like most members of the panel to answer it, but we will not be able to have every member of the panel answering every question. If we need an answer from every member of the panel, I ask everyone to be as succinct as possible. Otherwise, I ask members to say whether they want specific witnesses to answer their questions.
For our major flood prevention scheme, the time between the closure of the objection period and the decision to hold a public inquiry was 13 months. For 13 months we were negotiating on objections. That time has to be shortened. The negotiations took place in conjunction with the then Scottish Executive. We feel that there has to be a statutory way of reducing the time required. There also has to be a way of resolving objections, because many problems could be resolved if we had the facility to do so. I am thinking in particular of compensation issues when we have to use people's land.
How long did the inquiry process itself take?
It was six months before the public inquiry began and another 10 months before we had the reporter's decision.
So about two and half years in total.
Glasgow's experience has been similar to Edinburgh's. Dealing with objectors took us about a year. However, we did not hold a public local inquiry because we were fortunate enough to be able to resolve all the objections. Although 700 people notified us of an intention to object, we received only seven objections. The key to reducing the number was communication with the community. We ensured that the community understood exactly what we were doing.
We have promoted four flood prevention orders, to which we received, respectively, no objections, four objections, two objections and 26 objections. That last is for the order in Elgin, for which the objection period has just closed. Mr Gillon spoke about community support. We have £120 million-worth of capital work, so receiving a total of only 32 objections shows pretty amazing community support.
The question was about timescales.
If there is one objection to a flood prevention order, there has to be a public inquiry. We have already heard about the time that that can take.
I support my colleagues: what they have said reflects the experience of people in other parts of the country. Inquiries, whether for flooding or general planning issues, take time. As Bob Stewart said, one objection can cause a delay. That can add to the cost, because if you delay the progress of schemes, the cost will go up.
Would the witnesses like to put a figure on a reasonable level of compensation? Compensation has been a recurring theme in all our discussions with other people. What would you need to do to achieve your ends?
Glasgow City Council has employed the district valuer. Most of our compensation issues have related to agricultural areas, which, as you can imagine, are outwith our normal expertise. It has been difficult. The flood prevention legislation did not lend itself particularly well to dealing with the issues. The areas concerned will be farmed for most of the time, so we have had to consider how much disruption or injurious effect would be caused and what damage would be done if there were a flood. Discussions with farmers continue.
Are you proceeding case by case?
Yes.
Would anybody else like to put a figure on it?
The important thing is not the amount of compensation, but the ability to determine a figure in advance. We had many objections from people because they did not know whether they would get compensation. Under existing legislation, compensation cannot be agreed until after the damage has been done and the work has been carried out. Some people felt that the only protection they had was the ability to object to the scheme, because they did not know whether they would get any compensation.
Does Bob Stewart want to add to that?
No—the point has been well made.
I was going to follow up the question but, from the answers, I do not think that I will get a useful reply. Can you give specific examples? When compensation has been paid, how much has it added to the capital costs of programmes?
We cannot say what has been added to the capital cost because compensation is a risk for which local authorities must allow. Like other authorities, we use the district valuer to try to establish what the risk might be and we put a figure for the risk in our estimates. However, at the end of the day, compensation is a matter for agreement between the district valuer and others and it depends on the specific event that takes place.
So, for the most recent scheme that you promoted and carried through, you cannot tell me how much was paid in compensation, rather than how much the scheme cost?
No. I can tell you only that the one scheme that we have carried out in Lhanbryde has now been in place for more than a year and a half and I believe that compensation has just been agreed.
I think it was Councillor Phillips who mentioned the need for cross-boundary solutions to the problem of flooding. That is self-evident, because rivers flow through various local authority areas. One issue that has been discussed is the creation of catchment management bodies. At present, how do local authorities work together when a problem is created by a river or other feature that crosses boundaries? How could that be done better in future?
Under the water framework directive, Scotland is treated as one river basin, which is clearly wrong because there are several river basins. If the legislation is to be reviewed, the new legislation must work on the basis of at least seven or eight river basins. From the strategic perspective, that makes a lot of sense.
The challenge will come if you discover that two or three sets of works much further up the line—perhaps in the Highland Council area—would have an enormous benefit for Moray Council. How successful would you be in persuading Highland Council that it must spend money in its area to solve a problem that could be experienced in the Moray Council area?
Existing legislation gives local authorities the power to spend money on flood prevention schemes in another local authority area provided that that local authority agrees. We are doing that at the moment—we are working on a reservoir in West Lothian. That has not been a problem with West Lothian Council.
Glasgow City Council has taken a similar approach. Under the White Cart Water flood prevention scheme, we are constructing three storage areas in East Renfrewshire and South Lanarkshire. We have received nothing but positive co-operation from the authorities in those areas. Glasgow City Council will fund that work
How will the process work under the proposed new funding arrangements? You are talking about measures that have worked under the existing funding scheme, which allowed authorities to bid in a consortium. The bulk of that resource was provided by the Scottish Executive or Scottish Government. The new arrangements are different. How will cross-border co-operation work in that context? How does Moray Council bid from its allocation for work to be done in the Highland Council area? What do council tax payers think of that?
The question of finance is not new. As was explained to the committee last night, we have had to go through three spending regimes. This happens to be the third. Under the previous regime, we were looking for about £120 million-worth of works to take place in Moray. That was more than the allowance for Scotland as a whole, which was always going to be a problem. Under the new arrangements, we have a little more flexibility and have been promised £40 million. There is still the question of how we will implement the balance of the schemes, but that was always going to be an issue. To me, it does not matter whether the works take place in the Highland Council area, Aberdeenshire or anywhere else, as long as they are to the benefit of Moray people. From the positive response to the schemes that we have promoted, it is clear that that will not be a problem.
We will come back to the issue of finance.
Bob Stewart has answered a question that we were going to ask later, when discussing finance. My question was about cross-border working, which can work only if funding arrangements are in place to allow it. What happens if the bulk of the money for flood remediation is distributed to local authorities on a formula basis? I am not talking about what the formula is or how it works; I do not see how cross-border arrangements are likely to work successfully unless authorities can make bids to a big pot of Scottish Government money—which is not the arrangement that will be in place. How will the White Cart Water flood prevention scheme operate under the new funding arrangements? I do not see how it can. Perhaps you can explain it to me.
I do not think that I can explain it to you. It would be particularly difficult to do that.
Do you mean that it is difficult to explain, or that it would be difficult to deliver?
It would be difficult to deliver the White Cart flood prevention scheme if Glasgow City Council was not the sole funder, unless we could take a co-operative approach that considered how a scheme the size of the White Cart scheme could benefit a number of local authorities. We need to be more flexible and strategic in how we approach flooding. We must look at flood prevention not at a local level but across boundaries if we are going to deliver. It will be difficult otherwise. We need a strategic plan.
So you need two things: a strategic plan and a funding regime that supports it. The problem that I see is that, if there is a distributed basis for funding, it is difficult to reassemble the funding in a strategic framework.
I agree.
As I see it, this is the nub of the issue, but please correct me if I am wrong. There has been a change in the funding process. In the previous regime, 80 per cent of capital funds came from the Scottish Executive and 20 per cent from the local authority. Now, the Scottish Government has removed ring fencing from the money that it allocates to the 32 local authorities to deal with flooding. I will direct this point particularly to COSLA as it has an umbrella remit for all 32 councils. It must be the case that some of the money to deal with flooding that the Government is giving through the distribution formula to the 32 councils will go to councils that do not need to spend it on that. They will therefore spend it on education, transport or whatever else. That will mean that less money will be delivered in Scotland for flood prevention. Am I correct? Some councils, such as Moray Council and Glasgow City Council, need to spend money on flood prevention, but will others—we have not heard which they are—spend the money on something else?
We have outlined our views about the arrangements in the concordat in our written statement, and it would be difficult to go beyond that. I accept Mike Rumbles's point.
So is it correct?
I would like to come back to the committee with a clearer position from COSLA. I have not been directly involved with the finance side of things, although I am aware of the arrangements for the flood grant scheme and how that came about. I know that in virtually every authority there were schemes in preparation. Not all were of the scale of the Moray, Glasgow or Edinburgh scenarios, but things were happening for the spending review and beyond. The fact that the schemes were not at the point of being delivered does not mean that there is nothing that the councils want to undertake. Having said that, I would be happy to return to the committee with a clearer position on the issue.
Would any council say that it has no requirement for flood prevention or is there a requirement for flood prevention everywhere in Scotland, albeit that it will be less significant in some places?
It is about the level of requirement. There will be requirements for flood prevention everywhere, but not all of the same scale.
There are different scales.
I can give the committee an analogy. Both the convener and I were on the Health Committee in session 2, and we encountered the same issue with regard to free personal care for the elderly. COSLA and the Government said that there was enough money for the care, but half of the councils in Scotland said that they did not have enough money—the Health Committee heard a lot from them—while the other half kept their heads down. The fact must have been that those councils had more money than they needed because of the distribution formula.
COSLA is aware of the individual difficulties and requirements that face councils throughout Scotland. You are right to make the analogy with free personal care. I believe that councils face a huge diversity of problems to different degrees in different areas. It would be wrong to say that councils such as mine—East Renfrewshire Council—have no problems with flooding but those problems pale virtually into insignificance in comparison with those of Moray Council. It will be down to individual councils to highlight to the Scottish Government and to the committee the particular demands that they face. That is the only way that I can see of doing things properly.
My point is that we will hear from Moray Council, Glasgow City Council and the City of Edinburgh Council—all of which are represented here today—but we will not hear from councils that are in receipt of funds to tackle flooding but which they will spend on something else.
It is difficult to say that councils will spend the money on something else. I gather—we have not had time to do an in-depth analysis of this—that the recently published consultation raises an issue about the definition of sustainable flood management, but I suggest that we need to look at the more fundamental issue of the definition of flooding. We have talked about that at some length, but people in the community perhaps do not fully appreciate what the nature of a flood is. As Councillor Phillips mentioned, local authorities face costs for measures such as culverting, if they want to make a small local change to a watercourse to alleviate pressure. The fact that such schemes are not on the same scale as those in Moray and Glasgow does not mean that councils should not have access to resources to take them forward.
Are you confident that every penny that the Scottish Government gives to tackle flooding is spent on that purpose by all 32 councils? Yes or no?
I do not think that is a reasonable question to ask me.
I do.
I have already offered to come back to the committee with our position on that.
Okay—fair enough.
I have two separate sets of questions. I will first pursue the line that has been taken by colleagues and take it slightly further. I then want to put a question to the individual local authorities.
I want to take the discussion back a bit. There are examples of councils' co-ordinating their funding on other areas, such as Europe. Councils have worked in partnership for a number of years and have put resources into delivering particular projects. There has been co-ordination of funding for other scenarios and policy areas, so there is in principle no reason why what you suggest could not be done. Delivery would obviously be subject to political arrangements and the support that was in place, but the suggestion seems reasonable, in principle.
Thanks.
The starting point is that we were given a global amount of money, and the informal indication that we have is that £40 million of that is for flooding measures. Moray Council has already decided that every penny of the £40 million will be used for such measures. Obviously, the council has some reserves that it will also use for flood alleviation. I do not know what will happen at the end of that because there is a long-term programme for the provision of flood alleviation measures, which will go beyond the three-year period and take us into another strategic review. How fast we will be able to move at that time will depend on the political response to that review.
So, if I follow you correctly, one option would be to delay schemes and manage them into the next spending review period because more cash may come in then—some cash will certainly come. However, I presume that there is a limit on how far you can shunt schemes forward or delay their implementation.
COSLA has argued that we have to go beyond year-by-year planning. We now have three-year planning, but I certainly accept that some subjects have to be considered over an even longer period.
Flooding would be one of them.
Yes.
Alvin Barber spoke about the time that is taken to deal with objections, to decide whether to hold an inquiry, and then to hold the inquiry. It took about two and a half years. At the moment, the Elgin scheme has received 26 objections. Unless planning processes change markedly in the very near future, you could well arrive at the next spending review before you have even started work.
That could certainly be the scenario.
My suggestion is not beyond the bounds of reasonableness.
Definitely not. We hope to negotiate some of the 26 objections away, but we are unlikely to get rid of all of them. Because of the programme that we have to follow, we will get into a public inquiry, which will certainly take us into 2009 if not 2010.
Even if you could resolve all the objections, however, the funding regime and the way in which spending review periods work mean that you could not start work until the next spending review period anyway. You will not be certain of having the cash to complete the schemes.
You are taking us into hypothetical situations: there is only so far we can go down that route.
Your council could not commit today on the next spending review.
We are just repeating things now. We have to cover some other areas.
What are your views on sustainable flood management, about which we hear a lot? Are there enough hydrologists in the country? Are there enough consulting engineers? Should you be employing in-house people, as has been done effectively in Moray, or should lead local authorities farm out their expertise all over Scotland?
I can give brief answers to some of those questions. Our process is resource intensive, and resources and skills are scarce just now. We cannot sustain the situation in which local authority hydrologists submit their schemes to central Government hydrologists to be criticised by SEPA hydrologists, when none of us knows anything about what they are talking about. A far more efficient procedure has to be found. We have to bring things together so that people can sign them off.
We are starting from an inherently unsustainable situation, because we have already built on areas that are at risk of flooding. We are stuck with that, and we now have to protect those areas as best we can—as long as what we do is sustainable. It is important that we apply clear sustainability criteria to everything that we do. We should not build flood prevention schemes that are not sustainable. In other words, if building a flood prevention scheme would consume more of the world's resources than not building it, we should not build it. If we do not build it and there are buildings in flood risk areas, we must accept that replacing properties that are damaged by flooding will consume a lot of resources. Anything that we build to protect such areas must meet those criteria. It is not worth building a massive flood prevention scheme to protect things the replacement of which will not consume a lot of resources. However, we must consider all proposals on their own merits.
Notwithstanding all that, the new factor in the equation is climate change. At the weekend, I was in Tewkesbury, where flooding must have been happening since the middle ages. It could not be otherwise, given the town's situation. Similarly, I imagine that there has always been flooding here in Elgin. However, the new dimension is climate change and the marked increase in rainfall since the 1960s—that is the element that we must suddenly cope with. What was sustainable 50 years ago is no longer sustainable.
There are other important reasons why building in such areas has become unsustainable. A lot of property that was built in the middle ages could have come back into operation a short while after being flooded. That is not the case now—the damage is greater because of the materials that we use. Other important factors come into play that mean that there is a greater need to protect property than there was in the past.
I am happy to let you and other witnesses develop that theme.
I take the point about climate change. My view of sustainable flood management is that we can build defences to protect against a one-in-200-year flood, but 50 years from now the return period might be much shorter, so we must find ways of plugging in extra resources to make defences viable again. That goes back to catchment management and looking at wider areas to identify where water can be controlled. We must plan for such eventualities and ensure that land use planning includes what can happen so that storage areas are set aside. Development plans must incorporate such factors.
Is it fair to say that you seek a menu of options, including soft and hard engineering solutions, which must be supported?
Yes.
We will come on to pluvial flooding in a minute, so we will return to that. Councillor Phillips wants to make a quick comment.
I have a brief comment on sustainable flood management. Anecdotal evidence from my council suggests that there has been a continual loss of internal expertise to deal with such matters. That issue should be brought to the committee's attention. Finance is not the only issue. The bodies that know how to deal with such situations are leaving the industry.
Do you mean hydrologists?
Yes.
You are confirming a shortage of hydrologists.
That is the anecdotal evidence from my council.
We have already heard about that in evidence, but it is interesting to have it confirmed. Bill Wilson wants to pursue the issue of pluvial flooding.
Yes—I have a few questions on that subject. As Sandy Gillon has just mentioned sewerage systems, that seems a good place to start. I have noticed that yours and others' evidence suggests that there are differences in required standards between Scottish Water and local authorities in their handling of flooding. I would like to hear about any problems that you have had in co-ordinating your flooding plans with Scottish Water. Have you found yourselves in the situation of having built flooding controls to a certain standard, while being backed up by a sewerage system that is of a far lower standard?
Sewers are designed to deal with a one-in-30-year storm return period. Flood prevention and watercourse management systems look for a much higher return period of one in 100 years, so there is an imbalance straight away. We have to make the systems work together. If the sewerage system can cope with only a one-in-30-year storm, what happens to the water that cannot get into the sewer? Where does it go and how do we manage overland flows? That was one of the key issues in Glasgow in 2002—we had rivers where you would never believe there could be rivers. Once that overland flow got to the watercourses, they were not in a condition to take it because they have suffered decades, if not centuries, of neglect through industrialisation.
Is that not a bit inconvenient?
That is the situation. We can deal with dry weather flows—Scottish Water is happy to deal with them—but when it starts to rain, the problems arise. The trick is to manage surface water out of the sewerage systems, take it to the watercourses, where it should be, and try to get them into a condition that allows them to deal with that. In a built-up area such as Glasgow or Edinburgh, that requires a clear strategic approach involving all the authorities—Scottish Water, SEPA and the local authorities—to ensure that we understand how we manage our water.
There is no provision at the moment to allow Scottish Water to invest in its infrastructure as part of a flood prevention scheme—it cannot get the funding to do that. I do not think that anyone in a local authority expects us to increase the standard of the drainage and sewerage systems above the one-in-30-year level—it is just not practical to do so. However, when those systems overflow, the water has to go somewhere else and that involves strategic management. At the moment, councils can apply for funding—or they used to be able to, but that has changed—for flood prevention schemes, but there is no process that involves Scottish Water in that. It is important to bring Scottish Water into the process.
We have been working closely with Scottish Water to develop our strategic approach to flooding. The best idea is to ensure that our funding mechanisms mesh together. Scottish Water's problem is that its funding mechanism works to a different timescale and it is considerably constrained under Q and S III as to where it can spend its money. It is fixed that it has to deliver certain outputs.
We are getting close to the point at which we will have to think about the mid-term review of the Q and S III exercise. In making further recommendations, the committee might wish to look at the capacity of Scottish Water to respond to that process in the current investment period.
Should there be a single strategic flooding authority, regardless of whether it is called a flooding tsar or whether SEPA does it? I do not want big long answers—"Yes," "No," or "I do not know," will be fine. What are your immediate reactions to the idea of a single strategic heid person or organisation?
No.
Probably. Yes, I think it has a role.
If anyone must have the duty, it should fall to SEPA.
I do not know.
That is fine. It is just an interesting question.
Part of the problem with pluvial flooding is the fast run-off. Clearly, the more impermeable the surface, the more quickly the water runs off. Also, the more we expand development, the more impermeable surfaces we have. In a previous evidence-taking session, I asked about the degree to which porous materials could be used in car parks, for example. One of the witnesses commented that, although we might get a commitment to use porous surface materials, there seemed to be no way of checking—[Interruption.]
Excuse me a second, Bill.
That is okay.
The only way to monitor it is through building regulations and the planning process. The City of Edinburgh Council has an agreement with SEPA to ensure that sustainable urban drainage systems—SUDS—are used in all new developments. That is a condition of planning consent and, therefore, it is up to the council's planning officers to monitor the situation and check compliance. However, we certainly do not have the resources to ensure that that is done.
Porous paving is a form of source control. Delivering SUDS in urban areas under "Sewers for Scotland: 2nd edition"—complying with its requirements such that SUDS will be adopted—is land hungry. It requires large areas of land that are not considered part of the green-space allocation in any development. SUDS are expensive in urban areas, so we need to drive the size of them down. The only way to do that is through source control and one of the key elements of source control is porous paving. We need to introduce such material more readily.
I do not think that SUDS provide the universal answer. In some areas, soil conditions and groundwater levels are such that SUDS are not appropriate. Much more investigation is needed to test the effectiveness of SUDS throughout Scotland.
Is there enough land in the three local authority areas that the witnesses represent and in the Perth area for us to be able to build housing that is not on flood plains? Can we move away from building on flood plains, as a sustainable way of preventing the flooding of new housing?
And how many houses would we be able to build if we did that?
It is a big issue, but we need to address it.
We are probably in a fairly privileged position in comparison with the south of England in that respect. In Scotland there should be no shortage of land that can be developed. However, the position is different in every local authority area. In Edinburgh we are fortunate in that there is no shortage of land, but in other authority areas—
You said that there is no shortage of land, but it is not necessarily land that is zoned for housing. There might be plenty of land, but whether planners will allow us to build on the land is another issue.
I was going to say that there are conflicts to do with the preferred use of land. Our view is that in flood risk areas only brownfield land should be considered as suitable for zoning for development—I speak in general terms, because there are bound to be occasions when, for planning reasons, it is thought that a flood plain is preferable to a green-belt area.
One of the most interesting statistics came from the insurance industry, which said that during every flooding occurrence 40 per cent of the properties affected are outwith the flood-map areas. The identification of an area as being at risk of flooding is not the be-all and end-all. Local authorities must consider whether a flood risk assessment is appropriate. We have used the expertise available to us to do that, so that we at least have a chance to assess potential problems and consider remedial measures.
In Moray you are probably stuck with having to build on flood plains.
Perhaps not in the way that we have done in the past. There are areas that can be developed that are outwith the flood plains, but that does not mean that the risk is negligible.
If we are to take a strategic approach to flood management, the development plan and the planning process are key. It is about how we manage our land. Bob Stewart has referred to areas outwith the flood plains. SEPA's flood maps do not show half the areas in Glasgow that are subject to flooding. We must manage flooding through the development process. We can build houses, as long as we understand where we can build them and what actions we must take to defend them against flooding. We may have to tell a developer that they cannot build somewhere because it is at the bottom of a hill and we want to use the site as a flood plain. There may be an opportunity to excamb lands. We need to get the whole picture and to manage the situation.
My question relates to coastal areas. Given that sea level rises of anything between 0.5m and a catastrophic 5m are predicted, should a minimum height above sea level be set for development?
Glasgow City Council is not doing that at the moment.
It may not be happening in Glasgow, but is it happening in other council areas?
There are areas where we have identified coastal erosion as a problem. Every year part of the revenue budget is spent on maintaining the coastal defences that we have in place.
What about coastal inundation?
One area in Moray is a possible candidate for coastal inundation. It happens to be at the mouth of the Spey. We have come up with various alternatives but, unfortunately, the cost of testing them is greater than the benefit that the schemes would produce. That is a problem for the authority.
As is the case in parts of England, the areas in Edinburgh that are at risk of coastal flooding are entirely developed. There is no question of allowing greenfield development in those areas; instead, they require to be protected, which is a fairly easy choice. The problem is that the greatest variation in predictions concerns sea level rise. The difference between 0.5m, which is within the bounds of the models that we are using at the moment, and 5m is huge—vast areas of land would be affected. The big problem is that at the moment we do not know. In my written evidence, I identify sea level rise as the area of biggest uncertainty. Most of the other uncertainties relating to climate change come within the range of error with which we are used to working; potentially, sea level rise falls well outwith that. I have recommended that firming up the research into sea level rise should be a priority, not just for us but for the whole world.
We will have to make decisions before that research is likely to bear fruit.
COSLA made some comments on Met Office predictions and warnings.
The issue of warnings is crucial. Work started on extending SEPA's flood warning facilities, but I am not sure whether the additional resources to advance that work will be available. SEPA was looking to buy in a service that has been put in place elsewhere in the country. Bob Stewart spoke about coastal management. In 2003, COSLA's flooding task group recommended to the Government that councils with a coastline should consider preparing shoreline management plans to help them to manage the coast. That was one of our 10 recommendations that was not taken forward.
In your written evidence, you state:
On the flood warning side of things?
Yes.
It certainly sits among the range of tools that would help councils to work better.
To plan better and to predict better?
Yes.
What kind of resources are available to you for flood warning and preventive evacuation? Can you manage that within your council budgets if you have to?
If there is an emergency, we deal with it.
Because of our responsibilities as a responder, under the Civil Contingencies Act 2004.
It is a question of resources for evacuating people, responding to flood warnings, bringing people back and so on.
I cannot comment on the emergency planning element. All I know is that, when a flood happens at 2 o'clock in the morning, we do not know where the water is coming from—whether it is coming from a sewer or a watercourse. We do not know which authority is responsible for dealing with the matter. It is difficult to deal with such cases.
So you are saying that the service is less.
I am not saying that it is less; it is less local.
We have had evidence that the technology now exists to get very localised predictions, if that is the right way of phrasing it. It costs money to do that, as more radar has to be put in. Would that benefit your ability to respond as you have just described or is the current situation sufficient?
The current situation is that we know when rainfall is arriving. The Met Office and its meteorologists do not have the same local knowledge as the people we used to deal with.
You are saying that the guy in Exeter will not be able to say, for instance, "That's the same kind of rain that you had two years ago when the White Cart flooded, so you'd better prepare for it."
That is right. And I could not get home.
Okay. I ask Alvin Barber to be quick, as we need to move on to the next panel of witnesses.
We rely heavily on SEPA's flood warning system, and we rely on SEPA to liaise with the Met Office. SEPA is investing a lot in its flood forecasting methods. It has taken our flood models, and it is updating them for a realtime flood warning model. It is doing a lot of work on that.
It appears from what you have said that you have good flood warning predictive methods, so why does Glasgow not?
We do have good flood warning, but we have seen a change. Like the other gentlemen here, we work with SEPA and we have flood warning systems in place.
It is a matter of local knowledge.
It is local knowledge that we have lost.
And it could be improved on.
Yes, of course.
We are considering the strategic aspects, and they should be improved.
Yes. We need much more focus.
Thank you all for coming to give evidence. We will suspend the meeting very briefly to allow for a changeover of witnesses. I do not want folk to wander off outside for a cigarette, however, because it will not be that long a suspension.
Meeting suspended.
On resuming—
The second panel of witnesses are all Elgin residents. We have with us Alex Macmillan, who is the chairman of Elgin community council; Bryan Watson, who is a member of the community council; and Jennifer Main, who submitted written evidence to the inquiry. Mr Macmillan and Mrs Main wish to make brief opening statements. I ask them to keep them brief, because we are quite tight for time.
Thank you very much for giving us the opportunity to address the committee. I am the chairman of Elgin community council, but I have not been affected directly by flooding. All I am here to do is advocate on behalf of a lot of the citizens of Elgin who have been affected.
Thank you for asking me to come to the committee meeting. I am here not so much on my own behalf as on behalf of my neighbours and friends who were affected but who have not been able to get involved in this inquiry—it is rather a daunting prospect for folk—because they are frail, elderly or do not have the facilities to deal with all the paperwork involved. I have spoken to them at length.
Mrs Main, your written evidence seems to suggest that residents' warnings of the Elgin floods of 2002 were very much dependent on their having internet access—and, I presume, checking the information on the internet—or receiving a telephone warning. How did people receive warnings?
I did not receive any warning. I just saw the flood waters coming nearer and nearer and I warned my neighbours. That was it.
So, basically, people got warnings over the back fence.
Yes.
Was that the experience of the other witnesses? They might have heard anecdotal evidence about the receipt of warnings.
There were no warnings, other than from watching the news. It all happened that quickly.
Right—so in your view there was not much time for any formal warnings to be given.
To my knowledge, I did not receive any formal warnings at the time.
Did you receive any warnings?
None whatever.
Do you think that the council should be responsible for that? I am surprised that it does not try to go round and warn people in some way, such as with a loudhailer van.
The council attempts to warn people, but it is impossible to get up-to-date information from the SEPA website. Any warning system needs to be effective; the information needs to be updated regularly and targeted properly, so that it gets to the right people at the right time. That has not happened; the system needs to be totally effective, but it is not.
We must accept that we will never have a system that is 100 per cent perfect. We will never get perfect warnings that are always received in sufficient time for everybody to be able to deal with the situation. There will always be some breakdowns. How would you like to receive a warning? What do you envisage as the appropriate kind of warning to which you would be able to respond reasonably?
I suppose that getting a phone call or having someone come round to warn people would be appropriate.
Are you thinking of a van at the end of the street with a loudhailer?
Yes, or somebody just coming round to say what was happening.
There could be some form of cascade system, whereby key people are told and they would then tell others and so on—the message would be passed on in that way. I am not saying that those key people would be available to take such information every time, but there has to be a fallback position.
Do you see the police having a role in that?
Definitely.
I agree with Alex Macmillan. I appreciate that it is difficult to inform a population of perhaps 20,000. You must remember that among those who are affected are elderly and infirm people who might not have internet access and might not even watch the television during the day. There might even need to be a door-to-door mechanism to inform people, because some people might not hear the loudhailer. All sorts of complications exist, but the places that are at risk are well known, so the area that has to be covered is not great.
So you think that a system could be established to cover the areas that are most at risk.
Indeed.
Everybody would understand the process.
I did not see any response. I had no experience of anything like that. None of my neighbours was approached by anybody to help.
Not even within the—
I can talk only about my own little area. My next-door neighbours are in their 80s and people who are nearby are almost as elderly, but nobody came to help them. Opposite the back of my home, a woman who is in her late 70s looks after a Down's syndrome brother, but nobody came near her at the time of the flood or even after it.
Did you know where to go?
No. I went to my mother's property, which is the next door but one. She lives upstairs. Nobody came to check on anybody. Fortunately, my neighbours had folk visiting them, who helped them to evacuate and go up the road to another friend's home. Nobody came near them, even in the weeks post flood.
I will pick up a point by Mrs Main. I think—please correct me if I am wrong—that you say somewhere in your helpful submission that the council might have prioritised its activities on council housing stock.
That is the perception among people in my neighbourhood.
You are not in council housing stock.
No.
So there may be—I put it no more strongly than that—a different approach to council properties, because of the council's responsibilities to them, from the approach to the community as a whole.
Yes—to private properties.
As Alex Macmillan is the chair of Elgin community council, he might have more of an umbrella remit.
Perhaps I have more of an overview. Many families were evacuated during the major flood event and a lot of them were put up in accommodation that the council owned. People were in that accommodation for a considerable while. The reaction from charitable organisations that were involved in that sort of thing was reasonable, but I am not sure whether the council's social services reacted in the broader way that they might have, especially considering Mrs Main's situation. Some reaction happened, but I am not sure whether it was absolutely—
So the reaction was not consistent in all the areas that were flooded.
No.
Plans were being carried out, but they did not encompass everybody.
That is certainly my view. My situation was slightly different. The house that I was living in was at risk of flooding and the waters reached within 50ft of it, but the water actually entered the property that I was to move into in the following week. I did not own that house at the time, which caused complications with the exchange of contracts and so on. When we finally moved into that house on 22 November, we found floors ripped up and dehumidifiers running and we knew nothing about that.
You did not know who to ask about that.
The previous occupants had set up that arrangement through their insurance. We were left with the machines and we did not know what to do with them. We did not know when people were coming back for them. We had no contact point. I had to ring the number that was stuck on one of the machines to find out the situation.
I will look back at the causes of the flooding. Mrs Main says in her submission that she has lived in Market Drive for 30 years. She observes that fields had been waterlogged or that there had been evidence of water there, yet the council allowed them to be built up and covered with a hard surface. She almost attributes the flooding events to the fact that development took place.
In the small area where I live, there used to be open fields along Edgar Road. The fields absorbed a lot of water—I am not sure whether it came up from underground—and they were always sodden. The area has since been well developed and it now includes a B&Q store that is built on a massive pile of hard core. The water that used to rise in the fields has moved elsewhere—to my bit—and the mart area has been flooded. In previous floods, pictures show that the area around New Elgin Road was flooded but the water did not enter people's houses. It was not enough to make people evacuate their homes. I got that from people who have lived in the area all their lives. They have experienced several previous floods but those were minor enough for people to walk along the pavements. Since all that building around Edgar Road was completed—B&Q, Asda and all those wonderful places—people have been flooded out twice. I was nearly flooded out in 1997, when the water came up close to my joists.
Were there objections to those developments?
No. None of us knew enough about the issue then.
Was the issue canvassed at all before the developments were built?
No, we had not a clue. We did not realise, but now we do. However, further development has been proposed on the flood plain area. The water table is less than 2m below the surface, but people are still thinking of building further developments there. That frightens us.
I am interested in finding out whether, as a precursor to such development, the council or developer undertook appropriate hydrological studies to consider what the implications of the development might be for displaced flooding. From what you have said, it sounds like that did not happen in this instance. However, I know of several cases in my constituency and elsewhere in which there is evidence that such issues were raised yet the development proceeded regardless.
That is not really a question that these people can answer. They are not concerned about whose responsibility it is, as long as somebody takes responsibility.
To be fair, convener, I take it from Mrs Main's evidence that the flooding that she and her neighbours experienced was a consequence of decisions that were taken by others who either should have known about this—
Can we have a question, Des?
Is that a fair summary of Mrs Main's view?
I think so, yes.
When were you informed that you could return to your homes? After being evacuated, how long were folk out of their homes for?
I was not evacuated—
But you had to leave.
I just went out and went back to clear things up and to put stuff in the attic. I had to contact insurance people and I had to get the building demolished, but nobody told me what I could and could not do.
In the area that was evacuated, how long were people out of their homes for? When were they able to get back to their homes?
They were out for a considerable while, but I cannot give you dates. I suggest that Moray Council would be best placed to answer that question.
Was it weeks or months?
It was months.
I was out for eight months.
It was definitely months.
In your situation, Mrs Main, was it very much your decision as to when you could return to your home?
Yes. I was chivvying the builders on to get things finished and dried out.
Jennifer, you said that no one contacted you after the event. Given the evidence that flooding affects people's health—if people need to leave their house, they have the problem of deciding what the risk is of its being polluted and contaminated—what contact would you have liked to receive from the council or other authorities after the flooding was over?
It would have been nice if a human being had come round to ask whether I needed advice or assistance and to say, "Here's a phone number that you can call" or "We can put you in touch with such and such who can advise you on the best course of action." I know from word of mouth that, after the 1997 flood, builders came in from the cities to do repair jobs hastily. They were real chancers who were just after money. People could have been warned about that sort of thing. We could have been given advice on how to contact people who know more about dealing with flooding. A human being who asked whether they could help in any way would have made an awful lot of difference to many people.
That must have added to the personal stress that people felt after losing their house.
Yes. You felt alone and deserted in your fighting. Everybody was in the same boat—granted—but some people were worse off than others.
It is some time since the last flood. Obviously, if your neighbours are twitchy, they are still very concerned about the possibility of flooding. Should the council continue to offer to help such people?
One of the things that makes them twitchy is not knowing what is happening. They think that the flood alleviation measures are taking a long time. No one has come to see them to ask their opinion or to offer them help. They think that the new developments in the area will worsen the situation. They are frightened.
My question is for Mr Macmillan and Mr Watson of Elgin community council. You spoke of the immediate communication difficulties that you encountered. Helpfully, you moved on to address the nature of the communication and the questions why the flooding happened, how to prevent it from happening again in the future, and what plans the council has for taking things forward. What are your thoughts on communications with the community on future plans and how to prevent such flooding from happening again? Also, will you address the issue of the length of time that has elapsed since the last big floods?
People have told me that they perceive a lack of progress in the alleviation of problems for people in Elgin. I am talking not only of residents but of businesspeople. I appreciate that the process of even starting to implement a flood alleviation scheme is extremely long and drawn out. Of course, all the statutory hurdles have to be met and overcome if a scheme is to be brought to fruition. As Jennifer Main said, flooding causes people a tremendous amount of fear and frustration.
There are 26 objections.
Indeed. No one—the council, flood alleviation team or powers that be—can overcome those objections within the approved timescale. The scheme will have to go to public inquiry, which will lengthen the whole shebang.
From a community point of view, are the statutory processes that happen to be in place as a result of successive pieces of legislation in need of radical reform? Do we need to do that to streamline and speed up councils' ability to respond to people's genuine fears?
It is essential for the process to be streamlined. As I said at the outset, I have no experience of flooding. However, for those who have experienced it, the threat of heavy rain—the rain itself or snow melt or whatever—can be frightening. As soon as the Lossie starts to rise, the fear is there. People rightly perceive that bureaucracy is delaying flood alleviation work. It is therefore essential for bureaucracy to be streamlined. The solution has to be got to the people who are affected as soon as possible.
Perhaps one way of streamlining would be to find ways of overcoming objections much more quickly. However, if we were to do that we would create separate issues about consultation and fairness. If we streamlined the process so that objections were managed away quickly, I presume that representations would be made to you as a community council by objectors who were unhappy and felt that they were being overridden. A balance must be reached. I think that there is a consensus that the balance is not right at the moment, but we must consider the other side of the coin. How would you respond to that?
I take the point entirely. I give the example of the Rothes scheme, where there were objections but they were overcome. It is to the benefit of the local good that the objectors withdrew their objections. There needs to be—how shall I describe it?—a local community responsibility. People must consider the overall picture and think, "Am I going to put in an objection just for the sake of it? Can I justify my objection, which might be to the detriment of many other people? Yes, I might need to make an objection, but how far have I got to take it?"
So you think that a greater good test should be applied in such circumstances.
Yes.
Mr Macmillan spoke extensively about the process that is involved in the proposed Elgin flood defence scheme. I think that I know the answer from what he said, but I will ask my question anyway. I presume that the community council is in favour of the scheme. Is that the case? Has it discussed the scheme and does it have an official position?
Yes. We were involved at the earliest stages in considering the various types of scheme that might be employed in Elgin. We gave our considered opinion. We plumped for a considerably different scheme, but we were persuaded that the scheme that was chosen was the right one. The correct conclusion was reached, and the scheme that is progressing is the right one for Elgin.
Does that view reflect wider public opinion?
I am pretty sure that it does. The sooner the scheme is in place, the better. I have to say, whether or not it is right and proper to raise the matter today, that there are doubts about the funding for such a scheme. I would say to anybody and everybody that the scheme must be funded and that the bulk of the funds must come from the Scottish Government.
I am certain that the council is trying to do its best, but it has limited funds. If more needs to be done—for example, if there are to be people on the streets before or after an event to give counselling and advice—that will come at a cost. Do you think that council tax payers in Moray, or at any rate in Elgin, would regard that as a justifiable additional burden on the rates?
I do not necessarily regard it as a burden on council tax payers. Again, I seek the Scottish Government's help, because the problem is national. Moray is a relatively small area but it has the largest flood alleviation scheme in Scotland. It is doing its damndest to get the schemes in place and, as such, it deserves all the help that it can get from the Scottish Government, both financially and in terms of expertise.
I think that what John Scott was asking about, though, was the immediate aftermath and the situation that we discussed earlier regarding the provision of warnings and immediate support. There would be people on the streets in yellow jackets to tell people what was happening and get them organised. Obviously, such people would be provided locally. They would be people who work for the council, people who have been drafted in by the council, people from the police, or whatever. The cost would have to be met locally because what would be provided is an emergency response rather than a flood alleviation system. It is a slightly different issue.
The issue comes down to the local area disaster plan—I am sure that there is one for Moray.
When you say that you are sure that there is such a plan, does that mean that you have not actually seen one?
Personally, I have not seen a local area disaster plan for Moray and I do not necessarily need to see it, but I am sure that there is one and that it involves the military—we have two Royal Air Force bases in Moray. Manpower should be available to co-opt, not only from the police, but from the local authority.
If you could mention just one thing that was not done during the previous floods but which should have been done, what would it be? As there will be another flood, what should be done differently the next time?
The alerting system needs to be refined and targeted. We need a way of ensuring that warnings are given to the people who are vulnerable, as Mrs Main said. Those warnings and those people must be taken care of. It is very much a people thing.
I agree that it should be a people thing. There should be checks to ensure that folk can get out of their houses safely and that they are all right for the weeks and months afterwards.
The logistics of that are difficult, because warnings can come at fairly short notice.
It is a neighbourhood thing.
Giving effective advice to the number of households that we are talking about—100 or 150—is difficult logistically.
We could break the number down into little lots. We could have a responsible person in each street.
You are talking about co-opting members of the public, which is slightly different.
I am talking about community, which is important. It would not cost anything to get people to notify one another and to be good neighbours.
So we need somebody to be the street captain, if you like, and to take responsibility.
Yes.
The effectiveness of warnings to the public comes down to how much information those who need to inform the public have in the first place. To my knowledge, we have insufficient radar coverage in this area via the Met Office.
That is ironic, in the circumstances.
Yes. Floods need to be predicted early enough. The floods that we are talking about do not happen quickly. Deluges happen, but the floods that we have had were the result of three days of rain. The technology exists, but we do not have it here. With that technology, it would be much easier to inform people.
If such a measure could reduce the impact, it would be helpful.
In 1997, I was nearly flooded—the water came close to below my floor joists—but I was not flooded because the River Lossie burst its banks downstream. That confirms Bryan Watson's point.
The UK is one of the few places in the world where insurers still insure for flooding risk—there are many countries where such insurance is not available at any price. After negotiations with the Westminster Government, the industry is stating that it will continue to provide such insurance. At the household level, what is your experience of dealing with insurers in the aftermath of a flood?
I was lucky, because my insurers were good. I had two separate insurers, but I did not have any problems—they were helpful.
In my case, the previous occupants' insurers dealt with the matter—my insurance policy was not involved. However, when it was time to renew my policy the following year and I tried to get a better deal, I discovered that I could not go to another company. Zurich was insuring me at the time and if I had left it to go to another insurer, I would have been hit with a very large premium. In fact, the majority of insurers said that they would not insure me.
That is interesting. Although the industry as a whole has said that it continues to insure for flooding, it is not so easy in practice to find insurance.
To give Zurich its due, it knew that the house had been flooded and was happy to continue to insure me, but I could not go anywhere else. Zurich also did not put up my premiums, although it could have done—and I could not have gone anywhere else.
Do you know whether that was the experience of others, for example your neighbours?
My neighbours were in the same situation in not being able to change insurance policies, but generally the insurance companies have been fantastic. I have no quibbles with them.
Alex, do you want to comment?
It is often impossible for people to change insurer when their property has been flooded. I do not know about the situation for businesses. Business insurance is often considerable.
We have a panel of business witnesses, who will no doubt be asked about that.
SEPA says that we should be responsible for our own properties. There is no way that I can be responsible for keeping the water out of my property. A few firms have said that we could put things over our vents—
Guards?
Yes. They would be totally useless in my case as the water comes up through the ground.
So commercial companies are approaching you with ideas, but you are not getting independent advice from anywhere.
That is right. I cannot put anything such as a bund wall around my property because it is too big. My next-door neighbours were told about closing their vents. They are in their 80s, and they cannot even see properly. How are they supposed to do that in the pouring rain? It would not work in their instance anyway.
Nobody approached me. I approached various companies, but because they are private companies the costs would have been astronomical. I asked my insurance company whether it could send round an assessor with knowledge of flooding to see what I could do—either to bring down my premium or at least to show my insurance company that I am making an effort. However, we are in the same situation as Jennifer Main as the water comes from underneath.
Did anybody come?
No. Although my insurance company applauded me for making every effort to do something, it did not help me.
So the message is that householders have to be responsible for taking action, but there is nobody to tell them the ideal solutions to put in place. Is that your experience as well, Alex?
Yes, that is the general perception.
So we are talking about responsibility without knowledge.
Will you tell us a bit about the clean-up operation? Was the community happy with it? How was it handled? Was the council obviously busting a gut? I am sure that it was, but how was the operation perceived locally?
To be fair to the local authority, it was seen to be busting a gut. However, there was a perception that it was busting a gut to look after its own property first. I suppose that for anyone the priority is to look after their own property first, but local private residents felt more on the periphery.
Were private residences less affected?
No, I do not think that private residences were any less affected by floods.
The clean-up in our area was all done by insurance and building people—demolishing the insides of houses and loading up skips. The council was not involved at all.
Alex, because of your position on the community council, you are among the better informed people in the community. Are you clear about who, among all the agencies, is responsible for dealing with flooding issues? We have heard that we should tidy up the institutional landscape and make one agency clearly responsible. Who do you feel ought to be responsible?
That question raises an extremely good point. Communication is the lifeblood of any organisation in responding to any situation. At the moment, I could not put my finger on whom I should go to for a particular response or for particular advice; neither, I am sure, could flooded-out residents. There has to be a well-targeted organisation with overall responsibility for this particular aspect of local disasters, but I do not see such an organisation. If it is in place, it is not particularly well publicised. Again, we come back to a lack of communication.
From your knowledge, do you have a preference? Should the local council be responsible, as it is democratically accountable? Could it be SEPA? Could it be the police?
I am loth to say that it should be SEPA, because of the experiences that many people have had with SEPA. Having SEPA would not be particularly conducive to arriving at the solutions required.
Are you suggesting a helpdesk in the head offices of the local authority, or a flooding helpline? I do not know whether such things exist—forgive my ignorance.
Such things do exist. However, we have to consider the number of inquiries that there would be, and the overall feeling—I will not say "panic"—about agencies' inability to do anything for people affected by flooding. Whom will those people get hold of? There needs to be a well-publicised and well-documented chain of people to be contacted.
You would like an A4 sheet of paper saying which phone number to try first and giving a very clear outline.
I would indeed—but unfortunately, if people go through to a helpdesk or a call centre, they will be put on hold, which is a problem. People need a rapid response, but the communications at present mean that they are not likely to get a rapid response if 30 or 40 people call in on one telephone line.
That will always be a difficulty.
It will.
It would be difficult to set up a system to deal with a situation that will arise only once every few years.
I have not fully considered this idea, so I am going outside the box, but many years ago if a disaster or a major event arose, there used to be a mobile response—a van or something would go to where the problem was. People then had a rallying point. Whether such a response would be possible now, I have absolutely no idea.
Okay. I thank the three witnesses for coming along—your evidence has been useful. A number of issues have arisen that we will want to follow up. As I should have said to the first panel of witnesses, if anything occurs to you later that you wish you had said or that you wish we had asked, please feel free to contact the committee clerks.
May I make a point now?
Yes.
For a long while, the process for the flood alleviation scheme for Elgin was bogged down because of the apparent reluctance of Scottish Water to communicate with Moray Council. I would request that all statutory government bodies be required to communicate.
Thank you. That is a useful point.
Meeting suspended.
On resuming—
The final panel of witnesses represents the business community in the area. Graeme Archibald is the financial director of Johnstons of Elgin Ltd; Andrew Grzesinski is the group managing director of Macrae & Dick Ltd; and Michael Urquhart is joint managing director of Gordon & MacPhail. Mr Archibald and Mr Grzesinski want to make brief opening statements. I ask them to be very brief.
I appreciate the opportunity to speak to the committee.
I have two points. First, the committee should consider the wider impact of flooding, rather than just how it affects businesses in a place such as Elgin—certainly, my business has other branches throughout Scotland. Secondly, the time taken for the flood alleviation scheme to be given authority to proceed concerns us because if we have another flood, our business could talk about withdrawing from Elgin. I know that my colleagues from Johnstons of Elgin are big employers in the area too. That could mean that up to 500 to 700 jobs would be lost locally.
I know that you—or your colleagues in the business community—have had discussions with the local authority about the construction of flood defences. The Scottish Council for Development and Industry's submission was quite robust in some of its criticisms. Would you like to expand on the comments on compensation and moneys for the creation of flood defences, for example?
Do you mean the council's flood defences or companies' and organisations' flood defences and what we have had to do?
The council's flood defences and paying compensation to people such as you for land and so on.
Nothing has been mentioned.
You have not been approached in any way about that.
Not at all—quite the opposite.
Have you had worthwhile discussions with the council about health and safety?
No, we have had no real communication with the council on health and safety.
What are your major concerns?
As an organisation on a site that has been flooded, we and the people who work in our business were better prepared in 2002 than in 1997 with regard to health and safety. However, our concern is that the flood evacuation plan that we have created relies heavily on the staff and we know that we face staff saying that they do not want to come in to evacuate a site that might be flooding at 2 or 3 o'clock in the morning, so we might have to seek professional help. Is that what you meant about health and safety?
Does that affect your development plans?
It most certainly does. We were looking at investing reasonably heavily in the site in Elgin and we had to stop that simply because of the insurance implications. We have a responsibility to our shareholders, in respect of their investment and their funds—should we build on a site that will flood? Our property values are pretty much zeroed now; we are on a 4-acre site and if we put it to market today, it would not be worth a lot of money.
Is that the general experience of others in the business community?
I do not know—ask my colleagues.
After the 1997 floods, we took a proactive view on how we could protect the business. We operate on Boroughbriggs Road—we have been there for more than 50 years and we have expanded the site in that time. We are looking to sustain the business—we employ somewhere in the region of 120 to 130 people, so we have their livelihood to think about. No matter what business one is in, it is a competitive marketplace, and if one is taken out of business for a protracted period one has to make up for that, and one has to think about the livelihood of one's employees in that time. The issue is not just the immediate aftermath; it is the time that it takes to get back into one's stride. It can take years to complete the insurance claim process. Such things take up time that could be used in other ways.
I was fascinated when Mr Archibald said that the delay in implementing the Elgin scheme is "not a comfort factor". We have heard that there is more uncertainty about long-term funding for the scheme. Is the delay also a cost factor for your business? What practical impact do delays in investment have on insurance cover for your business or your judgment about whether to stick with the current site?
We have been on our current site for 210 years, so a move would be a major consideration.
At your cost.
Yes, we had to fund the work. We spent a six-figure sum developing flood defences such as walls and barriers, installing the pumping capacity that we needed and considering seepage issues. We had to try to channel water to where we could best manage it, into our mill lade and into areas from which it could be pumped back into the river.
In effect, do you now have to self-insure? Must the company make provision for any future liability?
We are indeed self-insuring. One of our brokers—give them their due—worked hard to find us options. They approached a syndicate at Lloyd's, which talked about a rolling five-year policy with an initial premium of about £1.5 million, which would offer limited cover and have very high deductibles. However, even with such cover there would be a significant element of self-insurance.
As you said, the business has been on the site for 210 years. You have an international reputation and I do not doubt your commitment to staying on the site. However, I presume that when you take a long or medium-term view of the business, as you must do, you have to consider the scheme that is planned for Elgin. If the scheme were completed, would you get back into the insurance market with comfort? Would that ease your position?
Our insurers told us that once a scheme had been developed, completed and properly trialled and tested, they would consider offering us insurance terms again. In other words, they would not consider offering us flood cover until there had been another major flooding event and it had been shown that the defences that had been put in place were reasonable.
Your hope for the future must be that the scheme that is proposed for Elgin will protect your business effectively. Its deliverability is critical to your future economic success.
We are one of the companies that have had to object to the scheme, because at this stage we have not been presented with solutions to all the issues that we want to raise. Over the past two or three years, we have worked fairly closely with the flood alleviation team. After the flood prevention order was filed, we had two further meetings with the team in an effort to progress matters. We believe that key issues remain. We have objected on the planning side and on the FPO side, because we need solutions that will protect Johnstons. The problem goes wider than that. If one of the riverbanks around Johnstons were breached, all the housing in the area would also suffer. We can put forward and resource objections and get professional guidance on our submissions, but others beside us are not in that fortunate position. There is a social issue, which has already been touched on.
I want to broaden the discussion. You have all made the point that your businesses' ability to expand is compromised because of insurance implications. What impact has the perceived flooding risk had on the reputation of Elgin as a place for doing business?
The main impact is on those who are considering the area for future investment. No one would go to the area along the East Road, because there is a perception of flooding risk. Any investor would have to seek a site that was zoned outwith the town. The area that is at risk from flooding is of key importance to us, as a retail business, because it is alongside a main road and is visible.
So securing the flood protection scheme that is envisaged for the city of Elgin is tied up with the future economic success of Elgin.
I agree entirely. The insurance issue is massive. As Michael Urquhart pointed out, all three of us are in very competitive businesses. To be competitive, we must keep our costs at a level similar to, if not lower than, those of other commercial organisations.
Mr Archibald, you said that Johnstons of Elgin has existed for 210 years on the same site.
Yes.
Has a history of the company been written?
Yes.
You know what I am going to ask now. Johnstons has been on the site since 1797. Before 1997, it experienced major flooding incidents in 1829, 1915 and 1970. From your knowledge, how did the company survive those flooding events? You have been on the site for 210 years.
Not personally.
Thank you.
Presumably, at any point in the 210 years, Johnstons could have decided to move up the road a bit. Flooding events may be more frequent now, but there has been flooding in the past.
In 1915, there were two floods within a six-week period—one in September and one in October. If you visit the mill, you will see the levels that the flood waters reached, as both are marked on the buildings. The level of the 1997 flood was higher than the levels of the two 1915 floods. From our flood defences, we know that the level of the 2002 flood was higher than that of the 1997 flood.
And the 1829 flood was higher than both of them.
We do not know that. There is no flood mark on the buildings to tell us the 1829 level. There are references to flood and fire in the history of Johnstons that two of our former chairmen created, but in those days some businesses were close to water courses because they used them for specific purposes. We have a lade that runs through the site.
My point is that Johnstons must have built the reality and risk of flooding into its business, because it would not have stayed on the site for 210 years otherwise.
It recognised the potential risk—
And experienced it.
Yes, and built up the levels of the river banks round about the site. As we developed the site, a lot of the excess material was used to strengthen the river banks instead of being taken off site. The flooding that we have experienced recently has not come from the river, which is on three sides of us; it has come down the main road and in our front gate.
So the design of the subsequent growth around the area has created a bigger problem.
Yes. The flood water did not breach the defences by us, but once it got in it could not get out.
Your evidence is interesting, because your company experience goes back over all those years.
I presume that, in earlier years, the company relied on the water for power, so there was less option of moving away than there might be now.
Yes, but the difference between the big flooding events that Johnstons experienced in the past and the ones now is that the built-up area channels the water in a different way.
Johnstons has 200 years of experience. Its flood defences and the way that it monitors the level of the burn are key to us at Macrae & Dick. Our business gets more information from Johnstons than from elsewhere because of the controls that Johnstons has in place. It is impressive; you should visit.
Have businesses other than Johnstons done works around their premises to try to alleviate the problem?
After the 1997 flood, our insurers said that it was an act of God—a one-in-100-year occurrence—so they continued our insurance at normal rates. After 2002, they said, "Well, that is more than one in 100 years," but we were proactive and told them that we wanted to protect the business because, for it to continue to succeed, we had to manage the risk. We spoke to them about what we could do internally, such as putting stock of a lower value at a lower level so that, if there was a loss, the cost to them would be less. We did quite a lot to minimise any insurance claims, but we also wanted to build a flood wall round our site so that we could remain intact, and put non-return valves on the drains so that we could keep the site dry. That cost a six-figure sum.
You may have heard the community council representatives and residents say that, although they have been told that householders have a responsibility to take steps to help to alleviate flooding risk, they are getting little information from anybody about what those steps should be. Are you getting enough information to help you? If so, where is it principally coming from?
I was interested to hear Jennifer Main say that protecting an individual's small property would come at a massive cost to the individual. After the flood in 2002, we immediately investigated how we could stop the water coming in. The cost was a six-figure sum—a horrendous level of investment—and one aspect did not weigh up against the other.
But, ultimately, somebody has to pay sooner or later. Who should that be?
Should business pay? Should the rate payer pay? Should the Scottish Government pay?
The Government does not get its money from thin air—it gets it from you.
Exactly.
You are the first group of businesspeople that we have had in front of us and you understand matters from a business perspective. How should flood alleviation schemes be funded? The cost to the taxpayer at the moment is huge. Should industry pick up a percentage of the cost?
You should be able to tell me that. There have been schemes—perhaps not flood alleviation schemes—such as the one concerned with tollbooths on the Forth road bridge—
Do not worry; we have our own ideas about what should happen. We are seeking evidence from you and we are asking the questions today.
Okay.
We are asking you because you are our expert witnesses—you are important businessmen—and we are seeking your ideas.
Such schemes should be paid for as they are paid for in other areas of the country. If the problem affects the community, its standing, its profitability or its longevity, local government should pay.
From your experience of the most recent floods in 1997, 2002 and 2004, do you get warnings or do you have your own system in place?
We have our own system in place. We have a small pump house at Johnstons because, as I said, a lade runs through the site. The pump house runs 24/7 to move water out of the lade and back into the river. We also have a well system in the area. We measure the distance from the height of the water to the top of the well—it is our gauge as to how quickly we must react.
Do you tell anybody else about that?
If anybody asks, we are happy to tell them.
No; do you volunteer the information to anybody else?
People know that we have it.
Do you volunteer that information to anybody else? Do you phone the local council and say, "Don't know what you've heard, but we've just checked the levels and we're moving out"?
Three months ago, in November 2007, I was on to the Moray flood alleviation people on that very front. We were seriously concerned about the water level and we put in place 50 per cent of our flood barriers.
What experience do the other two businesses have of flood warnings?
We have an emergency plan whereby we look at the SEPA website. Our master plan is—
To talk to Johnstons.
It is to talk to Johnstons, because it has that monitoring system on the burn. That little bit of networking helps us.
Obviously, we look at the weather forecast to see what weather is coming in. In addition, a relation of one of our employees is a farmer up at Dallas, and he gives us information about what the river is doing up there. We know that we get what he is getting now in, say, two hours. We start making judgment calls on that basis. We also look at the river in various places so that we know when to put up our barriers.
Do you pass on that information? Do you do the same as Johnstons, which passes on its information?
Do you phone others?
There is a network. If we know of people who are interested, we tell them. At the end of the day, to some extent it is all very Heath Robinson.
It is very ad hoc.
Yes. It is about looking at various bits of information.
Michael Urquhart looks at the weather forecast and the SEPA website and talks to his farmer up the road, and Johnstons has its wells. What is the most reliable way to get your information? Is it from the SEPA website or the farmer up the road?
It is a combination of all of them. We also get from SEPA readings of river levels at various points, which show whether levels over a period of time are going up or down and the rate of increase.
So you have to keep monitoring SEPA's website.
Yes, provided that the event happens during working hours. However, if it happens overnight or at the weekend, you cannot be involved in the same way. As a result, you start to get paranoid when you see heavy rain.
So, with regard to finding a solution for businesses, if, as I understand it, the council can access far better information than the business community can, should it make its information more readily accessible? I appreciate the difficulty in giving that information to every single householder in the area, but surely, as far as the half dozen, 10 or 50 key businesses in the community are concerned, it would mean sending only one e-mail, telling them to look to their laurels as an event is expected in 15 hours.
Or local radio could be used to publicise the fact that such an event might happen.
Would you welcome such moves?
Yes.
But they are not happening at the moment.
No. I simply believe that the earlier such information is communicated, the better.
I ask the question simply because there is evidence that better systems exist in other areas. We will have to try to establish what those systems are.
Presumably, the business community would not object to getting together with the council to co-ordinate all the information. After all, you have several sources of information, and the council and SEPA have other sources. However, I am not clear whether one individual co-ordinates the sundry warnings. You—and I am talking more generally here—could co-operate with, say, the council to set up a system that gathers disparate bits of information to ensure that warnings are more quickly or easily recognised.
I have no issues with such an approach.
I am sure that that could be addressed quite easily.
Has the business community ever considered negotiating that kind of co-ordinated approach?
Not with regard to communication.
Do you have a local chamber of commerce?
That is the sort of approach that I had in mind.
Has the local chamber of commerce spoken directly to the council about setting up a better system of flood warnings for businesses?
I am not aware of having been asked to participate in that way.
I suppose that the question is about how proactive local businesses or business organisations have been in establishing a far better network for transmitting warnings and information quickly.
We have probably not been proactive, but who would you expect to be proactive in that way? Getting the message out is a major issue for the council, but has it come to us to ask for our co-operation?
But have you gone to the council? Given that your businesses might suffer massive losses, surely it is a matter of self-interest to get together, bang on the council's door and say, "Oi! We need a far better flood warning system. Can we sit down and talk about how we can organise that?"
I would expect it to refer us to the SEPA website, which is probably where it gets the majority of its information. We look at the SEPA site when it starts to rain. When it rains for two days, everybody starts to look at the site.
It has been suggested in this evidence session that you could approach the council to say that it is possible to set up a more effective warning system. Would you consider going to a chamber of commerce or Rotary club and suggesting having a discussion with the council to set up a better system?
I cannot speak for every other business.
I appreciate that.
In the previous evidence session we heard from individuals affected by flooding. We are now hearing from businesses affected by flooding. We did not ask the individuals whether they were banging on the council's door demanding action. The key player in the community is the council. It should be taking responsibility to ensure that it informs local residents and businesses. It is everybody's duty to co-operate, but action needs to be led by one organisation locally. Do you agree?
Absolutely.
I am not suggesting that you have somehow failed. If the council is not aware that you have various pieces of evidence, perhaps the opportunity for a discussion about the matter has not arisen before. The evidence suggests that there is an opportunity to have such a discussion now. I am not making a criticism.
One of the earlier witnesses referred to the possibility of someone in a yellow jacket going around residents to tell them that there is going to be a flood. We have had two dry runs of nearly flooding over the past couple of years. There was a cost to the business, but we would rather incur it. We have had to move 160 vehicles and consider where to park them at 2 o'clock in the morning, which was a major exercise. Earlier communication is always better, although I expect that the council would say that it would not want to frighten people unnecessarily by acting too early.
I am thinking of businesses gathering information rather than warning people. Businesses such as Johnstons all have different bits of information and different ways of gathering it. My worry is that different groups of people are gathering information, but no one has ever thought of getting all that information together so that there is better knowledge of what is going to happen and when a warning has to be issued.
In our area of South Lesmurdie, when local residents see us getting barriers ready they react. The fact that we have started to put up our barriers tells others that we are aware of certain information.
I find this evidence session fascinating. I am absolutely astonished that in an area that has been affected so dramatically by flooding over such a long period, everything is done on an ad-hoc basis—everybody is running off to do their own thing. It comes down to luck or chance—people see Johnstons putting up its flood defences, so they do the same. Surely such an approach is inconceivable. I am shocked—as, I am sure, are my colleagues—by the situation. Are we overegging the pudding or is the situation as I have described it?
I am afraid that that is the reality. It is not just about the business community; in 2002, the houses flooded with very little warning and the residents received very little help. Better communication and organisation could help.
I am interested in your approach to flood management and how it relates to the way in which the councils and others behave. Mr Archibald, I think that you said that, in effect, you are looking for ways to channel the water away from areas where it will cause you particular damage. I think that when the Chinese introduced—
Where are you going with this, Des? We are all on the edge of our seats.
When they introduced the river management system, the objective was not necessarily to speed the flow but to divert the water elsewhere.
We gather the water to a point so that we can deal with it more easily. A 3in pump might be adequate to shift water from one area, but in another area we might need a 6in pump to shift the volume of water that has accumulated. We have created various sumps, and we get water to come to those central points. We have a big site, and we could not have pumps all over it, so we want the water to be gathered in such a way that we can best manage it.
From what we have heard, it seems that the prime focus is on building up the defences and speeding the flow; it is not about creating sumps upstream. Some of the problems that you face are because the flood defences in agricultural areas upstream from you channel the water down towards you. Interestingly, if a risk assessment were done, the water would not be allowed to come near the houses or the factories—the agricultural land would be flooded first—but the council cannot do that under the current legal arrangements.
The more flood defences that you create, the more you move the water elsewhere.
There may be an increased flow of water, but the reality is that your problem is likely to be a result of the fact that people have put in place better flood defences upstream, which channel the water down to you faster and in greater volumes. There is no sump effect further upstream.
The common factor in the two recent floods—in 1997 and 2002—was that we were faced with north-north-easterly winds, and the lowland rivers could not cope with the volume of moisture that those winds brought into the area. We do not usually get such a volume, and it is not an issue when there are southerly or westerly winds—there can be as much rain as you like and the rivers tend to cope. However, when moisture is dropped on the wrong side of the Grampians, our lowland rivers catch it and we have a major problem.
The other issue is the tides. With high tides, the water comes back up to Elgin and effectively is held there for about two hours, so there is no free flow. As Graeme Archibald said, we have a problem if there is a north-east wind, high tides and rain for two days.
You have all become expert with your barometers and forecasts.
Unfortunately.
You raised the question of who should pay. We have had to invest significantly in defence works, but when we said to the assessor in 2003, "Look, our rates are far too high now, because the site value has materially changed," we were told, "Oh no, we do not see that as an issue."
So you think that the issue needs to be addressed.
Seriously addressed. Our Hawick factory also suffered from flooding shortly after then and we raised the same question with the Borders assessor. Who did he speak to? The Grampian assessor.
On that general point, has there been any business rates relief for affected properties?
No.
It is just a fact of life.
The 2005 valuations tend to show that a small element of relief has been brought in. It is more evident for our factory in the Borders, the rating of which is lower than other general ratings for factories in the area, so the Borders assessor has recognised the issue more than the Grampian assessor. In both cases some relief factor has probably been built in, but it is not overly obvious.
That is a useful point on which to conclude. Thank you all for your attendance. Your evidence has been interesting, because it is the first that we have had from a business perspective. It has also raised a number of questions that we will probably follow up. Thank you. You can head off. We have to move swiftly on.
We will not hold you up.
I am always clock-watching when we get to this stage.