Official Report 286KB pdf
Item 3 is our inquiry into the potential benefits of high-speed rail services. We will take evidence from Stewart Stevenson, Minister for Transport, Infrastructure and Climate Change—long time no see, minister, and thank you for joining us—Malcolm Reed, chief executive of Transport Scotland; and Claire Keggie, head of rail policy at Transport Scotland. I welcome the officials to the meeting.
Yes, we support that, because we believe that it would have substantial economic benefits and key climate change advantages.
It has "key climate change advantages". Perhaps members will ask you to expand on that. What discussions has the Scottish Government had—either you or your officials—with counterparts in the UK Government about the issues that might need to be addressed in the development of a high-speed rail project? How will any future dialogue be progressed?
I am pleased to say that, within a few days of coming into office at the Department for Transport, Lord Adonis arranged to speak to me. It is clear that there is, perhaps for the first time, a sense of common purpose on the development of high-speed rail. He will come to Scotland for discussions with me in January, I think—the dates have yet to be fixed. He has already told me that he is taking a keen interest in the deliberations of the committee and I think that he plans to make an appropriate contact during his visit. Discussions of substance are at a very early stage at ministerial level, but now that we have a shared sense of the need to create further high-speed rail within the UK and for that to benefit Scotland, we have a way forward. I will ask Malcolm Reed to tell you about the discussions between officials.
We have regular contact with the DFT—my colleague Claire Keggie manages that on a day-to-day basis. In common with a DFT counterpart, I have observer status on the Greengauge21 public interest group. We are well aware of what the Greengauge21 campaign is proposing in relation to high-speed rail. Across the piece, we are well advised about what is happening south of the border. I echo the minister's comment that it is early days and quite a lot of dialogue is still to be had.
Minister, you said that there was a shared sense that further high-speed rail is required. Many of the witnesses who support the development of high-speed rail spoke about the need for a shared vision to be spelt out clearly by both Governments. They expressed concern that that simply was not the case, or had not been the case until now. Do you agree with that assessment? Is the position likely to change in the near future?
I think that the vision has been clear. It really is not for me to speak on behalf of the DFT or the Administration at Westminster, but I think that they would acknowledge that their key rail issue has been easing the commute into London and other major cities in England and Wales. That has been the focus of their interest and their rail engagement. Faced with a number of challenges, they have also sought to manage costs tightly, and only recently has there been a change in emphasis with regard to the value of making investments in railways. The comments from witnesses that you mention are probably not unrealistic—a shared sense of vision has not been developed.
You mention the three-hour mark as an aspiration. A number of witnesses have said that the three-hour mark is a theoretical tipping point, as journeys that are shorter than three hours are more likely to attract a modal shift from aviation. We have heard that, with improvement of the existing west coast line, the current journey time of a little over four hours could be reduced to three hours and 45 minutes. If that was achieved, as it might be, would there not be concern among users of suburban rail routes and stations around Scotland about the commitment of a substantial amount of money—people have suggested £20 billion or £30 billion—and of a substantial amount of time in order to shave 45 minutes off the route to London, while other services might be crying out for such an investment?
You are right to identify that tension. I would add to that the need to ensure that we have good facilities for freight services. By getting more freight on to our railways, we can make substantial changes to the carbon agenda. Although we need to try to persuade people to make fewer journeys in certain respects, we do not necessarily have to reduce the amount of freight; we have to ensure that it moves in a way that is more efficient and effective. The railway is the way to do that.
The minister has already made much mention of discussions with Network Rail. Have the Scottish Government and Transport Scotland had any more formal involvement with Network Rail's new lines programme?
I have been attending meetings of the new lines study group on behalf of Transport Scotland. Only a couple of meetings have taken place and Network Rail is still at a very early stage of the process, but we are engaging in it.
Earlier, the committee examined the minister and his officials about the strategic transport projects review. Was any consideration given to high-speed rail development in that process?
For me, the issue is ultra vires as it concerns cross-border services. However, we are starting to engage in parallel.
I should remind the minister that he has responsibility over some cross-border services—the ScotRail sleepers, for example.
Okay.
Moving on, I will not read out the original question that we were given, because it has been drawn to my attention that high-speed rail is referred to in the new version of the national planning framework. Indeed, it is worth highlighting paragraph 121 of that document, which mentions the possibility of making a rail journey from Inverness to Marseille in the course of a day—now there is a suggestion for a committee visit; of course, we should take our sandwiches. However, the last sentence of paragraph 121 says:
Very much so. In fact, I believe that our diary shows that, over the coming months, either I or my officials will speak on this subject at two or three conferences.
The minister anticipated my supplementary question. After today's evidence session, the committee will turn its attention to the contents of its report. Could the committee's work add value and dovetail effectively with the direction in which, according to the national planning framework, the Government appears to be going?
I am not privy to what the committee is going to put into its report, but I would be surprised if it does not add value. I repeat what I said in my conversation with Andrew Adonis, who is also taking a close interest in the committee's work. The committee's report will not simply inform the Administration in Edinburgh; there is every chance that it will inform the Westminster Administration. It is not for me to guide the committee in any way, but I hope that, when you are drawing up your report, you will be conscious of the widespread interest that goes beyond this Parliament and Government.
I will pursue the idea that we need to be a little bit more specific with our proposals. Should the development of high-speed rail feature in the next Scottish high-level output specification?
We have already started work on the next HLOS for the strategic control period from 2014 to 2019. The strategic transport projects review will feed into that.
Is there any possibility of putting the high-speed railway line in the Scottish Government's list of priorities for transport investment?
The bottom line is that we need to have a plan, even if it is a high-level plan. Will the line be on the east or west coast? Will it stop at Leeds, as certain people have suggested?
On the way south?
Indeed, on the way south.
We heard evidence that the cost and disruption of the west coast main line upgrade could not be countenanced on the east coast, and many witnesses strongly recommended building a new line. In the strategic transport review, you refer to improvements to the line between Carstairs and Glasgow that might help that process. You say that a plan is needed, but do you not think that we need to have an idea of what the route should be? The speeding up of the line between Glasgow and Edinburgh will take care of a local issue, but the need to get from Glasgow to the south in a reasonable time, without adding on time by going through Edinburgh, seems to point to a route from a central point between the two termini, possibly at Carstairs. Would it not be useful for us to firm up that plan, if it appears that that is the best way of getting a new railway built?
I would certainly want any high-speed rail link to connect our two major central belt cities to the south, by whatever means. Carstairs is a logical place to do that, in terms of the existing rail network—we certainly need to have a plan.
In Scotland we have a lot of experience of running trains both ways on single tracks, especially on 60 per cent of the line from Glasgow to Inverness and beyond, so we may be able to help Network Rail quite a bit in that regard. However, I want to get a firmer idea of the early development of the Scottish section. Giving us a steer on how to get that in place might help our inquiry considerably because it would at least give us a start.
We are all aware of the example of the two sections missing each other on the American transcontinental railway. We have to be clear that what we propose connects with what eventually emerges on the DFT side of the border. The minister referred earlier to the difference of emphasis and perspective. We must understand that the DFT will look at the issue in a slightly different context. It will look at a network that suits the whole of England, whereas we will naturally concentrate on the connection south. It would be good to have certainty, but we cannot reach it in isolation from the DFT.
It would be fine if, similar to the driving in of the golden spike in the Rockies in Canada, the golden spike was driven in at Craigellachie on Speyside, which would mean a slightly extended but nevertheless welcome high-speed rail service.
The committee has heard a lot of evidence that the development of a high-speed rail network would bring significant benefit to businesses in Scotland. You touched on that in your first answer. Would you elaborate on what you think the economic benefits to Scotland would be?
Work that we have done between Edinburgh and Glasgow shows that reducing journey time has a significant economic value. We think that shaving a minute off the Edinburgh to Glasgow route gives an economic benefit of £60 million. That is a high-density route and there are agglomeration benefits from making Glasgow and Edinburgh essentially one community for economic and travel purposes. The model is different, of course, for connecting Edinburgh and Glasgow to London. Nonetheless, it seems clear to us, in advance of doing rigorous analysis, that the same kind of benefits will apply for that route.
There are comprehensive benefits, then, Mr Stevenson. You touched on the benefits of high-speed rail and of encouraging modal shift to it by getting the timing right. What are your views on the development of high-speed rail as an alternative to airport expansion?
We must protect the ability of airports to expand. However, it is clear that, if we have high-speed rail and a journey time of three hours to London, the rational choice will be to travel by rail. If I remember correctly, it was an Alastair Dalton article in today's or yesterday's Scotsman that made city centre to city centre comparisons for rail and aviation travel to London. It was suggested that the journey time for aviation is three and a quarter to three and a half hours. My personal experience would suggest that it is probably longer than that, but that is what he came up with. It is clear that the advantage will shift fundamentally to high-speed rail, and people will then want to use the railways.
One of our panels of witnesses focused on the business arguments in favour of high-speed rail, including increased connectivity. In effect, the argument was to have more of everything rather than just an alternative to aviation. I will leave aside pricing, as the business traveller does not always have the option of booking far in advance and may pay hundreds of pounds for a rail ticket if they choose to go first class at short notice, but what is the guarantee that if we invest decades and a substantial amount of money in high-speed rail we will see fewer flights rather than just more of everything?
The convener asks for a guarantee that cannot be given. In business in particular, people respond to a rational analysis of the opportunities and choices. That is part of what we do. As a minister, I seek to make the appropriate travel choices to the extent that I can, recording what I do and bearing in mind the balance between my need to discharge ministerial responsibilities and my climate change duties. People will increasingly do the same.
My brain works that way already. Even given the existing services and prices, I far prefer to take the train than go through the rigmarole that you described, but many people disagree. Unless we are willing to squeeze aviation, what is the guarantee that we will have less aviation? Surely the danger is that, as our panel of witnesses from the business community suggested, we will have more of everything—which those witnesses were more than happy with.
Fundamentally, we will squeeze aviation if we provide high-speed rail. Any rational person will make the appropriate decision. For my part—I have done a quick calculation—since becoming a minister I have made 30 times more rail journeys than flights. As people engage and consider the economy and the efficient use of their time, the rational business traveller will use the train.
An individual who is making a choice between two transport modes might well think in that way, but if aviation capacity and rail capacity grow and rail times are reduced, surely there is a danger that there will be increased use of both modes, which would lead not to a carbon saving but to a continued increase in emissions.
I would be surprised if anyone wanted to increase their flying if there were a substantially better transport option that took less time and was more effective—which would be rail. I do not think that senior management in major companies would allow their staff to do anything other than travel by rail if it were the better option—the one that would get the business done more effectively. By the same token, I think that leisure travellers will make use of the railways. There are all sorts of incentives that are working quite satisfactorily. For example, kids travel free at off-peak times if they are with their parents—that is terrific—and I know from personal experience that the over-55s discounts have been extended throughout Scotland. There are huge incentives that people are picking up in huge numbers. The incentive of a three-hour rail journey to the south would very substantially change the transport choices that people make.
I will ask one more question in this area before we move on. I am trying to elicit a response to the evidence that we have heard. The witnesses whose objective in supporting high-speed rail is increased business connectivity—not the replacement of one mode with another—were enthusiastic about high-speed rail. The witnesses whose objective is explicitly to take oil out of transport were cooler about, although not hostile to, high-speed rail. Their arguments seemed to be much more evenly balanced. You will recognise that those two objectives might result in different attitudes towards high-speed rail. Which is the more important objective?
Those are both important objectives.
That is an easy answer. Which is the more important?
I will develop my answer, convener, if I may.
Okay. Let us move on.
You mentioned connections with Westminster. Will you confirm that you have had preliminary discussions with Theresa Villiers, the shadow transport minister, and with the shadow secretary of state for Scotland?
Theresa Villiers called on us a couple of months ago. I am pleased by the engagement of a range of political parties at Westminster on the subject that we are considering.
Thank you. What financial commitment is the Scottish Government ready to make towards the development of a UK high-speed rail network?
As I said, the budgets and the responsibilities—with the exception of the sleeper service—are currently matters for the DFT. Like some members of the committee, I would welcome moves to enable us to integrate infrastructure and the operation of the railway system more tightly. Of course, if we got the budgets that went with such an approach, we would be able to take initiatives. Malcolm Reed made the point well: we cannot develop a railway that crosses the boundary between two Administrations without there being co-operation between both Administrations.
If we progress towards a high-speed rail service, what support or direction will the Scottish Government provide to Network Rail to ensure that improvements to Scotland's conventional rail network maximise the benefits of high-speed rail developments for people who live not just in the central belt, but throughout Scotland?
We are particularly interested—even in the current environment—in ensuring that people can get to Edinburgh or Glasgow to catch the first train to London. Timetable changes to services from Perth and elsewhere have enabled people to catch earlier trains.
Does the Scottish Government intend to update "Scotland's Railways", which was a supplement to the national transport strategy, to reflect growing support for high-speed rail development?
Your question takes us back to a previous discussion. As part of the next franchise we will almost certainly want to consult on the content of "Scotland's Railways" and we will expect high-speed services to be mentioned during the consultation.
What type of technology should use the high-speed lines? The committee has received submissions in support of magnetic levitation.
As minister, I am technology blind; the important point is what the technology delivers rather than what the technology is. There have been successful implementations of maglev, but there has also been a drawing back from completion of the maglev network in Shanghai, in China. Advocates of maglev think that through innovative funding they can provide options that might relieve central Government of funding difficulties that might otherwise be encountered.
Will you ensure that trade unions have early and continuous involvement in developing any high-speed rail projects?
I make a point of meeting the trade unions fairly regularly. I most recently met the Scottish Trades Union Congress and the relevant unions to discuss a range of rail industry issues two weeks ago. I expect high-speed rail to form part of discussions in the future. I think that I am correct in saying that, three meetings ago, we briefly discussed high-speed rail, but it was not as high up the agenda south of the border then as it is now, so greater opportunities now exist.
We have received evidence, and we have the paragraph that I quoted from the new national planning framework, about the possibility of not just high-speed rail services from central Scotland to London, but onward rail travel on the high-speed line to the continent. Do any impediments to that exist?
There are some impediments to international rail journeys in Europe. At its behest, I have had discussions with Deutsche Bahn, which is experiencing difficulties moving freight trains from its Daventry depot to Spain, where it has interests. The European rules say clearly that operators of international services should have access through countries, but the practical implementation of that might not be at the level that we want.
Does through-running to the continent still face security impediments? Some years ago, the UK authorities took the view that domestic and international passengers could not be mixed, although that happens on the continent quite a bit. What is the current operational scene?
I cannot give you an informed answer, but it is clearly possible: one terminal at Manchester airport satisfactorily mixes domestic and international travellers in one departure lounge. The system photographs domestic travellers and compares them with their photographs as they depart. I experienced that a couple of years ago. However, I am not briefed to give an informed answer on whether that would apply to railways and I do not think that my officials have an answer—I am sorry.
I thought that Malcolm Reed was about to try to give one.
Perhaps he is.
I am sorry; I do not have any more up-to-date information, but we can ask our colleagues at the DFT and get an answer for you.
It is a crackerjack question.
It is perhaps unfortunate that we did not manage to get a UK minister to give evidence to the committee, but we have the option of discussing issues in writing after we complete the inquiry.
The upgrade of the west coast main line has been completed at a cost of £9 billion. Are there any lessons to be learned from that process that can be expressed quickly, or would a letter be required?
There will be a range of lessons to be learned. To be blunt about it, most of them will be for Network Rail and its contractors. We are not the ones who did the project. However, I think that the member is asking me whether we can learn things about the limits to what can be achieved and what it is practical to do within certain timescales. We will certainly seek to learn those lessons.
I suppose that there are two sets of issues: one is about the technical implementation of the project, the other is about framing the intentions of the project and identifying suitable financial frameworks for it. The second is probably the more relevant area to pursue within the Scottish Government. It would certainly be interesting to hear in due course what lessons have been learned in that context.
That is a fair comment. I know that you were absent from the meeting briefly; it might have been while you were out of the room that I made some observations about some things that we are seized of and have been discussing with Network Rail, such as the seven-day railway or 24-hour railway. You might read in the Official Report some things that touch on your question.
Thank you for your time in both of the evidence sessions that we have had with you today. I also thank your officials. You mentioned that a high-speed railway might be a good place to hold meetings. As we are reaching the end of a session of almost three hours, we would be arriving at King's Cross about now. I just ask that you put in a bid for big tables on the trains.
Meeting continued in private until 17:15.
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