Good morning and welcome to the 17th meeting in 2006 of the Finance Committee. I remind people, as I normally do, to switch off their mobile phones and pagers. We have received apologies from Wendy Alexander and Frank McAveety.
I would like to.
Thank you very much.
Some increases are difficult to anticipate at this point, but I think that there will be increases across the board.
It might be useful to get as much quantification as possible of the expenditure that will be necessary. I agree that we find it difficult to deal with financial memoranda at a relatively early stage in the passage of bills because the costs can be affected by the regulations and guidance that are put in place. However, in principle there is no reason why we should not have proper modelling to give us a very firm idea of how things will work in practice before legislation is put into effect. We are keen to get as much definition as we can.
In our submission, we make a general statement about one of our templates or guidelines, which is to examine what has happened in the Scottish Borders area following the inquiry that was held there. Scottish Borders Council has had to invest to develop the delivery of its social work services to respond to the requirements of the social work inspectorate, which were about raising the standard of those services to an acceptable level and implementing robust systems that would support what we are asking of staff and of councils.
I want to follow the line of questioning that the convener started by going through the different areas of cost that you identify in your submission so that we can obtain an understanding of why they differ from the costs in the Executive's financial memorandum.
I am saying that there needs to be more clarification of what we expect from adult protection committees—I am sorry; did you ask about the units?
Yes. I am referring to paragraphs 11 and 12 of the submission that we received this morning.
In relation to the adult protection units, the main example that we have at the moment is the unit that Scottish Borders Council has set up. I guess that that is the only model that the Executive had to draw on when it was drafting the bill. Under that model, there is one member of staff—an adult protection officer—to work on adult protection issues, supported by administrative staff and training staff. In other words, we are talking about three members of staff.
Does such a person exist already in local authorities?
Yes.
You estimate that the national cost of the introduction of the adult protection unit will be £9.5 million. What proportion of that is current local authority expenditure, rather than new money, or a new cost that is being incurred?
I do not know whether I can speak for Scottish Borders Council, which is where close to £1 million was pumped in—I am not sure where that came from. That would be additional expenditure from its point of view. If we were to set up something similar in West Lothian, new expenditure would be involved. Some team leaders' jobs would be vired across, so there would be an element of overlap, but the posts do not exist at the moment.
I was driving at whether the post would be a new function requiring new personnel and new costs or whether similar work is being done just now, although not as comprehensively.
That is right. In preparing for today, I got in touch with quite a few of my colleagues who work in this area. They emphasised the pressure—although it is welcome pressure in a way, because people want to raise standards—that the Borders inquiry report and the recommendations from it have put on practice across the piece, particularly in social work. One of our practitioners in West Lothian estimated that the waiting list for services has increased in the past 18 months because of the pressure of the bureaucracy and the requirements that have come to their team through the standards and requirements that arose from the Scottish Borders inquiry.
The point is that if the Scottish Borders model is to be the model for all local authorities, there is a journey to be made, which will involve resources.
Yes.
The other major cost difference between the estimates from COSLA and the Executive appears to be set out in paragraphs 15 to 17 of the COSLA submission. There seems to be a pretty sizeable difference, which is driven by the number of cases that an individual case manager would be able to drive. The Government suggests that an estimated case load of 23 is realistic. You suggest a case load of 15. Will you talk us through the reasons for that difference?
It is very difficult to create from nothing a bill that makes a huge amount of sense and is robust in its costs. I seem to be defending the Scottish Executive again, although that is not quite my role.
From a cost point of view, cases do not drop out of the system—the total is cumulative. It is not one in, one out as it might be in other services, so not only is the cost cumulative but the pressure of the case load becomes cumulative.
I will broaden out the question slightly from the cost to local authorities. We have had a number of submissions from health authorities; we received one particularly comprehensive submission from NHS Lothian, with which I suspect you are familiar given that you are from West Lothian. NHS Lothian highlights a number of costs that will arise from the fact that the bill is an interagency bill. Therefore, costs to local authorities will not be compartmentalised. What information can you share with us about the discussion that has taken place among partners—either the health authorities or the police authorities—on the relevance of the costs identified by the Executive and whether additional costs have been missed out?
Health and police colleagues—health colleagues in particular—are a bit surprised that the Executive is saying that the cost to them will be limited. Do you want me to speak from their point of view?
Yes. I want you to comment on any issues that are relevant from their point of view.
There are two ways of answering the question, the first of which is to consider separately health, police, the voluntary sector, housing, education and other areas. The second way is to identify a responsibility to fund an interagency response, so that the responsibility moves away from local authorities as a whole.
I am struck by the uncertainty of figures for the case load. At the beginning of your submission, you say that research suggests that one in eight older people experiences elder abuse. Based on that ratio, my back-of-the-envelope calculation is that between 150,000 and 200,000 people in Scotland come into that category. However, the Executive figure is of 4,000 new referrals each year. Even with the new legislation, only a tiny proportion of the instances of abuse will be picked up and become part of the case load. Is the figure of 4,000 simply a gross underestimate, as the research would suggest?
I think that the Executive was trying to build its figures on evidence, and it was given the Scottish Borders figures on the basis of what had happened down there. My answer to your question would be that the figure is indeed an underestimate, because there are unidentified cases and undisclosed cases. Those will not go away.
I presume that, for some cases that come before you, there will not have been abuse but there will have been perfectly reasonable grounds for suspecting that there had been.
Yes, but we have to investigate those cases as well.
Indeed—so perhaps the case load is not 150,000 or 200,000 but is significantly higher, once the false positives have been added in.
It could be. It is likely that, as a spotlight is shone on the issue, the volume of cases will increase. Some suspicions might be disproved, and that is valuable but, as Val de Souza said, we must investigate any case that comes before us. We have to take every case to its conclusion. We must apply due diligence or we would be found wanting in the eyes of inspectors and of the public.
The Borders example is useful. As I understand it, what is happening in the Scottish Borders Council area will, by and large, be what will happen Scotland-wide under the legislative framework. Val de Souza mentioned a cost of £1 million a year in the Scottish Borders area. The figure in the financial memorandum for Scotland is roughly £13 million of recurring costs, and you have said that that could be doubled. However, if we consider the Borders figure, and take into account the population of the Borders, the figure for Scotland would be around £50 million. Are you therefore saying that the potential cost could be anything from the £13 million in the financial memorandum, to the £26 million that you have suggested, to the £50 million that would be obtained by extrapolating from the Borders figure?
The committee's scrutiny process will give you a feel for that; I do not think that we can comment right now. Depending on how the services are structured and provided, you could be talking about a figure between £13 million and the upper figure. However, that would depend on the final process, what the schedules look like and how we handle things. John Swinney asked what we are doing already. Some of the projected costs might not necessarily be new costs in terms of a public sector reform agenda and some services might be shared across boundaries. We expect people to consider that, so we expect that efficiencies will be sought in organisations and in the way that services are organised and delivered.
I accept that entirely. However, only one local authority provides such a service and if its costs were to be prorated up, that would suggest that the costs that are outlined in the financial memorandum are a quarter of what the total will turn out to be. It would be very useful if your line-by-line analysis of the various headings of the bill could show what the per capita cost will be in Scottish Borders relative to what your submission suggests. I am not suggesting that you do that today.
We are happy to do more work on that. The committee will be better informed through this process than we will be and it will come to a view about what it thinks is reasonable for the financial memorandum to suggest and whether the projected costs are appropriate for the delivery of the provisions of the bill.
Your submission contains a projected training cost in excess of that which is projected in the financial memorandum, albeit that the scale is somewhat lower. The examples from West Lothian are useful because they give us some understanding of how you reached your estimates.
Training budgets are never overly funded. When we introduce something new, we have to ensure that our staff are equipped to deliver it. If we were to substitute the required training for other training, something else would not get done. That is a dilemma and we have to go through a financial wrestling process. We might be able to consider whether the training could be sourced regionally or nationally and whether we could achieve savings that way. The figures in the submission just show the potential magnitude of the training that would be required if everyone were to deliver the services in the way that we want them to be delivered, so that when a service is inspected, we know that we have done all that we can to ensure that it is at the right level.
The costings were done on an interagency basis, so they do not represent just the cost to the local authority. There would be a drawing together of responsibilities from other sources. There is an interagency agenda and training is delivered and received on an interagency basis, so the costs can be meted out accordingly.
I assume that it would be difficult at this stage to indicate the extent to which the costs for training and everything else would be split between the various agencies that will be involved. There must be some blurring around the edges between, say, health boards and councils
We would need to know the final make-up of the bill and how the training will be handled in the localities before the costs could be decided on and apportioned. There are various ways in which that money could come into the system to meet those training needs. If training is to be done on an interagency or regional basis, it would be inefficient to fire money out in three ways only to pull it back together so that it could be sent out the door another way.
When we legislate to deal with an issue that has not been addressed in previous legislation, there is a danger that we try to create an ideal framework and—as you suggest has been the case—pick out an example of best practice and seek to generalise it for use throughout Scotland, which might have an associated substantial increase in cost. That increase may not be affordable, but perhaps it also should not be seen as being affordable in the context of the demands on social work budgets, because what is spent on the bill must be set against what is spent on other social work functions and activities. Are we getting that right? Is the bill drawn too widely in respect of the real problems? Is it overspecific in putting in place procedures that might be ideal but which are not necessarily required for every client to whom the bill might apply?
Val de Souza will talk specifically about social work. There may be the potential to consider how social work services manage their risk portfolio. We are shedding particular light on one aspect of that and it is right that we do that. The bill is about protecting people—I do not think that anybody would disagree that we must do that. You are right to say that we must consider the budget in its totality and that, if we continue to add high-profile, staff-intensive and stressful case loads to social workers' work, it will take a cumulative toll as well as a toll on the specific budget. We might have to think about ways of managing the totality of risk, perhaps by having authority-by-authority risk-management strategies. We raised that in the social work review, so we might be able to consider it across the board. Val de Souza will probably give you more of a social work feel.
I appreciate the point that you made, convener. To put the matter in my language, I sometimes wonder whether we are getting caught up in an adult protection industry. At the front line, if an at-risk-of-abuse referral comes in, it is difficult not to deal with it immediately and not to put pressure on staff to pull everything in from every corner to deal with the situation because we would be hammered if we did not—excuse my language. Besides, it is not acceptable to know that a person may be at risk of abuse or of being exploited and neglected but not to deal with it.
Two questions arise from that. First, to what extent do you think the bill reflects the defensive agenda of practitioners who wish to ensure that they cannot be attacked or penalised for not doing the right thing in handling cases? That is the issue that came out of the Borders case, and there is a fear that that might be an issue again somewhere else in Scotland. To what extent does the bill take a practice-driven approach and to what extent does it approach the matter not from a social worker's perspective, but from the perspective of what is best for the client?
There are three elements to adult protection: there is practice, in terms of guidance and supporting staff; there is training; and there is monitoring. If I was to prioritise for a council, I would say that we have to offer administrative support to our practitioners in basic things such as minuting meetings and tracking referrals. At the moment, practitioners spend a huge amount of professional time doing administrative tasks. That would be the number 1 hit for me.
I would come at the matter from the angle—that of being a councillor—that the convener suggested previously. If I was a head of service looking at the bill, I would be wondering what we would be able to deliver for the money that we will get when it is made available in its community planning totality. If things do not go quite right or if things change, we need to be able to say that we said at the beginning that that was what would happen. We need to be able to say what we can do for the money, and that if the money is not put in we will have either to stop doing something else or change what we are doing in respect of the bill. We have to become much smarter in how we work in social work because of the pressures that we face. We are not quite there yet, but it is something that we have to do. We are continually introducing people-centred bills, which is taking its toll.
To be more specific, if the money that has been mentioned turns out to be all that is available, what will authorities be able to deliver under the bill?
We will know that only at the end of the process—I am sorry if that sounds like a cop out. Only when we get the schedules will we know exactly what we will be able to do and how we will do it. We cannot be certain before then. I would like to give a more specific answer, but I cannot until we have gone fully through the process and have put flesh on the bones.
Our difficulty is that stage 1 of the bill is when we need to consider the financial memorandum. If the bill's policy intent cannot be delivered because it does not marry up to the available resources, something will need to give. The inclination of people on your side of the table is always to say that more money must be fed in, in order to achieve the policy intent. However, I am putting the reverse question: if those are the financial constraints in which we need to operate, what policy choices do those constraints force people to make? In your professional judgment, where will authorities go with that? I know that that is not a question that you want to answer.
Frankly, I think that we would be struggling to answer. I do not know whether Alan McKeown is reluctant to answer.
With a limited pot of money, we can do only a limited number of things. If one thing costs £1 and we have a budget of £100, we can do 100 things.
Which things would local authorities choose not to do in that context?
We need first and foremost to protect the individual.
Going back to what I said earlier, I think that monitoring and supporting staff by providing administrative help are what I would do immediately. It is really difficult to say what I would not do; none of the bill's provisions is superfluous.
If the bill is passed, local authorities might well end up having to make such a choice two years down the track.
We might then need to talk about choosing not to do things in other areas of the social work budget, which might mean examining free personal care and what we charge and do not charge for. That may be a bad example—I will deal with that issue later—but we would be forced into such hard choices and that is the world in which we would need to operate. As I said, the bill will be delivered within the context of a drive for efficiency whereby we share costs, provide leaner services and work smarter so that we get better at what we do, but we might still need to raise thresholds for services, reduce the level of services by one hour per person and cut services and jobs. We would need to know exactly what the bill will look like in its final stage, but that is the type of process that we would need to undergo. If the money is not made available, we will need either to do things better or to do fewer things. Is that the answer?
Mr McKeown may not have given the answer, but he has certainly summed up the dilemma. I want to push you just a little bit further on the efficiency savings that you have mentioned several times. The committee is always interested in the extent to which better working practices can help to create the type of model that the bill is trying to establish, or whether it is simply that more money is required. Mr McKeown's previous answer highlighted how local authorities face the dilemma of, for example, allowing timescales for free personal care for the elderly to slip so that other services can be paid for. I would not criticise local authorities for providing a realistic expression of the dilemma that they face.
The reality is that there may be more costs in the short term as we try to bring everyone together, to rationalise systems and to deal with culture, personality and boundary issues. In the long term, the bill provides an opportunity to work much smarter and to work better to drive down the costs of processes. That will need the establishment of a sound infrastructure, which we know will not happen overnight. In the long term, I hope that we can have smart systems, but we may find that, as a result of developing the policy, the case load increases and any efficiency savings are therefore balanced out.
I will carry on from that, but on a different level. In the past one or two years, the agencies have been working together much better. The added value from that is that we are delivering better services to the people whom we try to protect. Because of better information sharing, we can identify problems more quickly. However, it is difficult to say whether that results in a cost saving. If we identify problems more quickly, the down side is that we sometimes have to deal with them for longer because they do not go away or get better. However, the evidence is that interagency working is creating a much better culture of joined-up working and that it is getting it right for the people whom we try to protect. That does not exactly answer the question.
I am keen to explore some of the nuances that have arisen. Has much thinking been given to how we can reduce the incidence of abuse and hence the incidence of case referral? That would have huge financial implications.
I do not know whether anybody has the answer on how to reduce the incidence of abuse and referrals. Little research has been done on that—that is another matter for which money is required. We are finding that many people do not disclose abuse when it happens, but do so later in their lives, so we are discovering a whole lot more abuse than we ever suspected or wanted to think was out there. I cannot answer your question logically.
Let me come at the matter from a different angle. Are there any countries that have a markedly lower incidence of abuse? If so, have you studied them and do you understand what is different there compared to here?
No. I do not—
Are you saying that no other country has a lower incidence of abuse?
I could not say that, because I have not done any research on it. I am not sure that much research has been done on the issue; people from the Executive may have done some. In England, where similar policies have been in place for several years, the statistics are high and similar to those that we mention in our submission. Certainly, issues such as physical and financial abuse are hugely underestimated. Another issue that has been pointed out in an English report is that, sadly, people are often abused by care workers and other people whom they know and who are involved in adult protection. People know that that happens in child protection, but the situation is mirrored in adult protection.
In his Allander series lecture, James Heckman offered us advice and guidance on how to break out of that cycle and made a cost justification for effort made with children at an early age in an attempt to break that cycle. There must be other people breaking that cycle at later stages and there must be good international experience that could help us save on costs.
Certainly, we can try to find out whether there is any other research. I am not aware of any—I would not say that I spend a lot of time looking at international research in this area, but I keep an eye on what is happening in England, Wales and Northern Ireland.
You talk about multi-agency co-operation and agencies working together. What are those agencies?
I can speak only about the situation in the Lothians and the Scottish Borders, in which practice has been dictated by Lothian and Borders police's catchment area. In that area, the three statutory agencies are working together: health; social work; and the police. The voluntary sector is also involved to a degree.
Are there no examples of people dealing directly with communities or the education services?
People from such services have been invited to take part in the training that we run. Our community education colleagues have all been through the training, as have people in the voluntary sector, the private sector and the independent sector and we have invited service users and carers to take part. We have kept the scope very broad but, largely, the people who are involved are from health, social work and the police. They are the main statutory element.
One of the matters that is raised from reading the financial memorandum and your evidence is how you facilitate information sharing; there is not a lot of detail in that regard. Are we talking about there being some sort of electronic record of people at risk?
As the convener said, when we are given an opportunity such as the one that is presented by this committee, there is a risk that we might get carried away and list all the things that we want to fix. With that in mind, we wanted to keep our contribution on information sharing brief. We think that it probably relates to somebody else's mandate.
So there is no tangible proposal on the table.
I think that integrated children's services might say that there are pilots on-going in relation to information-sharing protocols and infrastructures. The joint future unit and the joint improvement team in the Scottish Executive are working on information systems and on ways of sharing information better in terms of protocols and infrastructure.
I understand that work on information sharing will come out later this year. It is crucial that we get that right without much delay.
Has thought been given to integrating that with the move to electronic health records?
There are enough problems with the internal national health service systems without having to try to map an external system on to them. However, work is being done on information sharing in relation to e-care and there are some resources and political drive behind that. All of us in local authorities and health boards are trying to play our part in that.
That is the work that I referred to in terms of the integrated children's services agenda. I think that pilots are on-going in that regard, possibly in one of the Lanarkshire council areas.
We are aware of problems relating to electronic systems, particularly given the massive cost escalation that we have seen south of the border. I presume that if you do not add on to an existing project but develop a stand-alone system that is fit for purpose and which has all the security provisions and protocols that are needed in relation to professional standards, it could be a significant and expensive undertaking.
On cost, if you give an information technology company the opportunity to develop a national system, you could just pick a number and multiply it by 10.
In practice, the councils have enough to cope with in relation to the systems that are in place. They would like to have something that would dovetail with what they have rather than something new.
If we are talking about information sharing between—
Derek, we need to draw this discussion to a close.
The financial memorandum talks about making minor improvements to existing systems. Based on the existing systems that you are aware of, is that feasible in terms of achieving the goal of sharing information across agencies and between areas?
We have such a wide range of information management systems in use that it is possibly realistic. However, I doubt that it is realistic to consider action in one wave across the board.
I thank our witnesses for coming along and answering our questions. I hope that the experience has not been too difficult. We will take more evidence on the bill from Scottish Executive officials at next Tuesday's meeting. After that, we will prepare our report, which will go to the lead committee.
Meeting suspended.
On resuming—