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Item 3 is a session on road safety and young drivers in which we will hear evidence from the Minister for Transport and Infrastructure, Keith Brown. This is his first appearance in that role at the Transport, Infrastructure and Climate Change Committee, and I welcome him. He is joined by three Scottish Government officials. Jill Mulholland is road safety team leader, Ian Robertson is a policy officer in the road safety team, and Michael McDonnell is director of Road Safety Scotland. I welcome you all to the committee.
Not on this issue. If you are happy for me to do so, I am happy to go straight to questions.
In that case, I would like to begin by talking about the period since the adoption of the road safety framework, which has been in place for around a year and a half. Can you tell us anything about the trend in the number of collisions involving young drivers? Has there been a noticeable change since the publication of the framework?
Yes, there has. The most recent figures for road casualties in Scotland are from 2009, so we do not have a good picture of what has happened from the time of the adoption of the framework, but road casualties in 2009 were at their lowest level in around 60 years. Despite that, we believe that more should be done, particularly in relation to young drivers. There was a much less pronounced reduction in young driver casualties than there was for other categories of drivers. The figures for both fatal accidents and serious injuries are not falling as fast for young drivers as they are for other categories of drivers. You will know that young drivers are identified as one of the eight national priorities in the framework. Also, to be honest, it is not immediately evident why the decrease has happened—I think that my officials would support that statement. It is not always easy to judge why there has been either a blip upwards, as there was most recently in 2007, or a reduction, as there has been subsequently. Nevertheless, it is true to say that the figures were reducing up to 2009, which was about the time that the framework was launched.
One of the themes to come out in our earlier evidence session was the idea of the framework being a public health measure. In most public health areas, it is often difficult to identify the precise effects of the interventions that are made as opposed to effects in the wider culture and changes that would have taken place anyway. Nevertheless, let us look at a couple of Government initiatives and ask whether you are able to assess their impact or effectiveness. I am thinking of the young drivers debate, which an external organisation was commissioned to run, and the country roads campaign. Can you say anything about those two initiatives? Is it possible to say what has happened as a result of them?
Unfortunately, it is slightly premature in so far as the report on the young drivers debate has not yet been produced. It will be presented at the meeting of the road safety group tomorrow. There has been a good response to that debate—I think that there were 600-plus responses—and more than a third of respondents were young people.
The country roads initiative was largely ours and was undertaken on the understanding that just over 70 per cent of the fatalities that occur on our roads occur on rural roads. As always, young drivers seem to be overrepresented in those statistics. A lot of research was undertaken before the campaign started, which suggested that the accidents are not to do with commuting but are largely to do with leisure driving—often at weekends, often late at night and often when the driver has friends in the car. It became evident that, when an older person has an accident on a country road, it often results in one fatal or serious injury whereas, when a younger person has an accident on a country road, it often results in more than one fatal or serious injury.
Are there other initiatives or interventions that are either under way now or are being planned or put together that the Government would want to make us aware of?
The convener and the committee will be aware that much of the action that can be taken in this area is reserved. As I mentioned, it is for the Westminster Government, if it chooses to do so, to take forward issues such as graduated licences or whether pass plus is to be included in pre-qualification training for drivers. We have made representations on those issues.
I would like to explore a bit further how you assess the effectiveness of your road safety education initiatives. At the previous evidence session, Professor McKenna in particular raised concerns about the lack of effective assessment of previous road safety initiatives. People have said, “We think this works, but we haven’t proved it.”
First, it is worth saying that we believe that the work is effective. If we did not, we would not do it. I think that Professor McKenna also said that it will not work on its own but has to be done in conjunction with other things, and we take the same view.
Minister, I am concerned that we have that five-year gap. Surely we should be looking for objective-evidence-led investment in road safety initiatives. Your evidence is now quite old, yet you continue to invest in the work. Professor McKenna’s point was that we tend to invest in well-meaning projects rather than ones that have been objectively developed.
It is five or six years since that research was done. The question is how frequently research should be conducted on continuing issues, and a related issue is whether it is best to allocate resources to carry out the functions or to consistently check how effective they are, even when there is a research base. However, that does not change our view that the initiatives work, which is borne out as there have been improvements.
That evidence gives us a basic premise for the education work, but all our resources at Road Safety Scotland are based on current evidence. Everything that we do is evidence based, and in turn, everything is then evaluated. In fact, we are the envy of the rest of Great Britain because we have a uniform approach and an evidence-based education system that takes us from the early years—with the baby buggy book and Ziggy’s road safety mission—right through to the end of secondary school. England and Wales do not have that, but we have it in Scotland through Road Safety Scotland. Michael McDonnell can give you more detail than I can on that, because he is director of Road Safety Scotland, which is a Scottish Government organisation.
Activity is pitched in different ways. People other than the Government who are involved in road safety in Scotland have their own bases for taking forward their activity. For example, the main company that is involved in the M80 work, which is a substantial project, has undertaken quite a lot of safety education, not just on road safety but on the construction works that are going on. It found that there was much higher take-up among primary schools than there was among secondary schools. It was quite hard to engage with secondary schools.
Has the Government attempted to quantify how many collisions, injuries or deaths have been prevented as a result of particular education initiatives? I appreciate that that is difficult to do.
That is the difficulty. It is hard to know how we would set about doing that research.
The main thing that Frank McKenna said was that there is no direct correlation between education and a reduction in casualties. However, we know that, as a result of education, engineering and enforcement, the figures are going down. It is difficult to evaluate the correlation. What are we comparing against?
Professor McKenna is a well-respected figure in the field of road safety. However, in developing two resources for secondary schools—your call for lower secondary school pupils and crash magnets for upper secondary school pupils—we used equally renowned driver behaviour specialists. We used Professor Steve Stradling, who is a world name in the field, Dr Bill Carcary, Dr Neale Kinnear and Professor Jimmie Thomson, who is head of the psychology department at the University of Strathclyde.
Mr McDonnell talked about the ad evaluation and people’s engagement with the most recent adverts. Minister, do you have a view on whether road safety education has only a short-term effect on driver behaviour?
I do not think that that is the case. The 2005 evidence suggests that it has an impact in ways that we do not expect. It is not a mere leap of faith that we pursue education initiatives to try to improve road safety for young drivers. It would be a leap of faith not to pursue such initiatives because we cannot tell how effective they are. Such initiatives are effective in different ways and the effects last a lot longer than a few years.
That is helpful.
As a parent, I can certainly attest to the informal regulation of young people. Jill Mulholland might want to say something about any work that we have done on that.
Road Safety Scotland has developed a resource on that, and we held a seminar for parents. Professor McKenna recommended in his think piece that parents should be heavily involved in road safety education. Road Safety Scotland recognises that parents have an important role to play. We have a booklet specifically for parents that advises them what they can do to help with road safety education for their children when they are thinking about learning to drive and when they start to learn to drive.
I have a copy of the booklet, which I can leave with the committee if you wish. As Jill said, it recognises parents’ role, particularly just after young people have passed the Driving Standards Agency test, when they think that they are invincible and know it all. As a parent of a 17-year-old boy, I am going through that at the moment so I know exactly what it is about.
It is not just drivers. My daughter is 21 and is sitting her test soon—in fact, she is being taught by my brother—but, in my experience, it is when children are younger and get into cars as passengers that concerns first arise. The concern that their child is in someone else’s hands plagues parents’ minds quite a lot. Concerned parents probably do something about that informally, but we do not do anything formally to educate young people about being in cars that they are not driving. I hope that a lot is done to convince young people that they can suffer the consequences of someone else’s bad driving, and that they can guard against such behaviour. Most young people have probably had a frightening experience in a car that they do not want to repeat, and they then put pressure on the young people who are drivers. That is not something that we do, but I think that it is done informally.
I applaud all the initiatives that you have undertaken, but one thing that we do not seem to be talking about yet is the vehicle itself. In a former life, I was in receipt of many vehicles that came back after serious road accidents. In the case of accidents involving young people, one of the characteristics of the vehicle was that it was the second or third car in a family or that it was a much older vehicle, which had been bought cheaply. Ironically, the driver was young but, in order to make transport available to their child, the parents had given them an older, cheaper car.
Intuitively, I would say that that is right. Roads nowadays are designed to a much greater extent than before to try to eliminate accidents. Technological improvements allow us to do that. The same is true of cars. Counterintuitively, though, I would point out that, as I was just saying outside, my first car, which had a starting handle, would have taken four and a half weeks to get up to 60mph. As was the way for many young people, I bought a very old car because it was cheap; indeed, it was so sturdy I imagine that, had it been involved in an accident, it would have damaged whatever it came into contact with rather than suffering any damage itself. Such effects can now be mitigated with crumple zones, for example, but again I point out that issues such as vehicle standards and design are reserved and we cannot get involved with them.
We now come to the issue that the minister had anticipated—graduated driver licensing, which could restrict new drivers to driving at particular times, in particular locations and with different numbers or types of passengers until they have gained sufficient unsupervised driving experience to cope with a variety of situations. We are well aware that the matter is reserved to Westminster, but does the Scottish Government have a view on the merits of graduated driver licensing?
As has already been pointed out, young people have very particular views about such moves and, indeed, see as unfair any restrictions that would be imposed on a particular section of the population. However, the proposal has come about because of the sense that the accident figures are worse for young people—one in four young people is liable to have an accident in the first year after qualifying. The concerns are legitimate enough to point us in the direction of such an approach, which has worked in other countries. This morning, I was talking to someone from New Zealand, where a similar scheme is in operation.
I accept your reasons for not wanting to come to a view just yet on what is a complex issue. However, I take it that if in due course you come to the view that you support graduated driver licensing, the Scottish Government will consider taking it up as an advocacy issue and lobbying the UK Government to move on it.
We have already indicated our broad support for the principle but have suggested that we explore further its effects. However, as I have said, the UK Government has decided against introducing restrictions on young drivers, although it intends to monitor any evidence that emerges from other countries. In May 2009, my predecessor Stewart Stevenson wrote to the UK Government, expressing our disappointment that it was not going to be more proactive on the matter.
In the continued absence of legislation from the UK Government, and taking on board your point about attempting to get young people to buy in, would the Scottish Government consider supporting the development and roll-out of, if you will, an informal graduated driver licensing scheme for new drivers in Scotland, whether it involves partnership with the insurance industry or whatever? Could we take voluntary steps in that direction?
It is possible, but what I have said would still apply. Young people would have to buy into it. Perhaps one way of doing what you suggest would deal with the insurance question as well. These days, many young people simply do not drive because of the cost of insurance, which can often be many times the cost of a car. If a scheme was such that young people felt it gave better access to driving, and they were willing to accept informally the restrictions that you have talked about, and that was all taken on board by the insurance companies so that driving was made more accessible, that might be a way forward. However, we want to have the same evidence base for doing that as we want to have for explicitly supporting a graduated driver scheme.
I am keen to explore that idea further. Professor McKenna talks about the experience paradox and the fact that graduated licences are more commonly used than just in New Zealand. Would you be able to draw on some of the experiences of other countries? I am aware of the variety of those in the United States of America.
That is about education and awareness. When they come to own a car, many young people do not understand why they have to have insurance and what the basis for requiring it is. I include myself in that. Once people have that freedom, or licence, to drive a car, they think that they can just get a car and that will be them. Then they realise all the different responsibilities that they have to insure the car, to ensure that it is roadworthy, to have it taxed and so on. Awareness must be raised of the responsibilities of owning a car. In some places, there is a severe lack of freedom if young people, as well as others, cannot access a car.
One of the reasons why we must be cautious about evidence from other countries is that they have different issues. Obviously, they have different types of roads, but also licensing can happen at a much younger age, particularly in America. That is a different scenario and we want to gather evidence that is appropriate to our country.
I apologise if I said this the last time I was before the committee, but we must keep at the forefront of our minds the recent evidence from neuroscience. We have to recognise that young people are not the problem: they have the problem. A lot of that is about brain development. The bit of the brain that tells us to be frightened of certain situations is not fully developed in young people. There was a cartoon in The New York Times that showed a jigsaw piece missing out of a young driver’s brain and it asked, “Why do young drivers drive like they have no brain?” and the answer is, “They don’t.”
The Association of Chief Police Officers in Scotland has said that the police, education departments and other authorities are not necessarily consistent in their approach to road safety education. Does the Government have a view on whether a consistent approach to road safety education should be adopted across Scotland? If you believe that it should, what are you doing to ensure that that happens?
The advice that we give and the materials that we produce are consistent. Of course, given that local authorities have responsibility for education, how road safety education is included in the curriculum is a matter for them and it is not our intention to centralise that. In fact, I would say that the trend is going much more in the direction of enabling or assisting.
The issue is not just about what is delivered in schools. There might well be consistency in how local authorities approach education in schools, but we are talking about how we can achieve consistency across the police and other organisations.
There should be no bar to doing that.
We acknowledge the fact that young driver interventions, in particular, differ greatly across the country. Road Safety Scotland is providing a modular toolkit for young driver interventions that will have planks that fit in with and reflect the curriculum for excellence. It will provide consistency, as any organisation will be able to use it, which will mean that, across Scotland, there will be the same type of education for young drivers. We already have consistency in schools, because we provide free resources from birth up to secondary school, and we want to extend that a little further, into the stage 2 young-driver interventions. We want consistency but, as the minister said with regard to our other resources, we do not want to box people in or insist that there be some specific event.
I am pleased with that response, but it does not answer my question about consistency across the police and other authorities. In each part, people are doing the best that they can. Is there an opportunity to consider best practice in other bodies or for the police to share their plans with colleagues in education and so on? The criticism that we heard was about the lack of consistency across Scotland, not just between education authorities.
The police are represented on the road safety campaign by one chief constable, which is Kevin Smith of Central Scotland Police, who the member will know. People do talk to each other. Kevin Smith is the representative on a number of different policing and road safety matters and I think that he would say that the police talk to each other regularly. The situation may also develop; you never know, we may get the ultimate consistency if we end up with a single police force.
That is helpful, but I remind the minister that ACPOS raised the issue. Clearly, the police have discussed the matter. It would be good to get some feedback.
The Scotland Bill, which is going through its committee stage at the moment, proposes to devolve control over national speed limits and drink drive limits on Scottish roads to the Scottish Government. Would those additional powers allow the Scottish Government to take any new action to help reduce collisions involving young drivers?
One suggestion is for a no-alcohol policy for young drivers. I mentioned earlier that some research has drawn out the fact that impairment while driving is most prominent among young people. It is possible that a differential approach could be taken, despite the problems in doing so. The problems are probably self-evident, including that people of different ages would have to comply with different drink driving law. However, the proposal has been made, so theoretically the situation is possible.
There are no further questions for the minister and his colleagues on road safety issues. Thank you for answering our questions.
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