Item 4 on the agenda is a briefing from the Auditor General for Scotland on section 22 reports on the 2003-04 audit of three colleges.
I have made three reports under section 22 of the Public Finance and Accountability (Scotland) Act 2000. They relate to West Lothian College, Inverness College and Lews Castle College. All three colleges have experienced financial difficulties for some time. The reports relate to the 2003-04 financial year, which ended on 31 July 2004. All three colleges were the subject of reports in relation to the prior financial year, 2002-03. In no case has there been a qualification of the accounts of the colleges, but the auditors have noted some concerns about the long-term sustainability of services in all the colleges, because of the financial problems that the colleges seem to be encountering.
Inverness College forecast a surplus of £94,000, but that turned into a deficit of £526,000. Could you comment further on that? Was there a weakness in its forecasting system or did something happen that it was impossible to forecast?
The first point to make is one that I have made before, which is that section 22 reports are on what the auditors find as a result of the audit of the accounts. They are not the result of detailed, in-depth analysis of the situation. However, as a general point, there is clearly a big difference between predicting a surplus of £94,000 and returning a deficit of £526,000. The amount is large and, therefore, of concern. I should perhaps remind the committee, however, that we are talking about a college with an income of £13.4 million and that, relative to the size of the business, the sum is comparatively small, amounting to about 4 per cent of income in the year. The deficit also includes depreciation, which is a non-cash charge on the accounts. The situation is serious, but it should be related to the size of the business, which is also significant.
In a sense, then, it is the kind of difference that one might expect to arise occasionally.
I would not go that far. It is most unfortunate that a small surplus has been turned into a significant deficit. That should be avoidable by sound management.
In respect of West Lothian College, what were the agreed assumptions about funding growth in student activity on which the PFI case was made?
We do not have the exact numbers, but the projections when the PFI deal was struck were based on the level of activity that the college was delivering and assumptions on growth that were in line with the ministerial policy for the sector at the time. The contract was largely negotiated before the funding council took responsibility for the sector. The funding council's view, which it expressed to us, was that, although it did not inherit any commitment to provide growth in student-related activity, it had inherited a commitment to support the PFI deal through a schedule of payments that came to £42 million over the 25-year life of the deal. That schedule provides for a sliding scale of support throughout the period, which is likely to mean that the college will hit a serious problem around 2007.
So the payments that the funding council has agreed for the college bear no relation to the student numbers. Were they originally linked to the student numbers? I am trying to get some clarity about what the figures are based on and how the formula for supporting the college's PFI contract is worked out.
I can give you a general indication of that. The committee has previously taken evidence on the concept of the weighted student unit of measurement, which is the unit on which financing is based. In 2001-02, the college generated grant-aided student activity of about 52,500 weighted SUMs. It is presently constrained to 43,800 weighted SUMs. Therefore, the college has shown that it can generate a level of grant-aided student activity that is about 20 per cent higher than that which is currently being funded by the funding council. We are advised that it has turned away many students because of the current cap on its funding and that it believes that it could continue to generate the high level of activity that it experienced in earlier years.
I think that that says it all.
I am not sure that we can assist the committee terribly much in that regard. The question probably needs to be posed to the board. Bob Leishman might have further information.
The auditors' report to the Auditor General signals one area of significant cost increase during the year—staff costs—but it does not go into any greater detail on that point or relate it to increases in student activity.
It is quite worrying that the college is as far off its target as it is, given that this is the first year of its recovery plan.
It is a concern.
I was interested to hear the Auditor General say that the funding council was considering the funding of colleges in less populated areas.
I am not sure that it would be appropriate for me to comment on the press coverage, as I am sure Mary Mulligan will understand. As I think I mentioned a moment ago, the past level of achieved activity shows that the college has been operating very successfully, as measured by the student numbers that it has attracted, and it has been constrained below that level. We have not done a full analysis of the college's business plan and its achievement, but the figures indicate that the college is thriving and has a future. However, it will have to meet the contractual commitments that it has entered into under the PFI agreement and it will have to address that with the funding council as a matter of urgency.
Was there anything in particular that you saw when looking at the reports that you would want to highlight for the college to address, or do you feel that that is part of the negotiating process that the college is going through at the moment?
The issue is primarily about the underpinning of the finance of the PFI deal going forward. Given the constrained student numbers, that is undoubtedly the biggest issue that the college faces.
As there are no further questions, I thank the Auditor General and his team for briefing us on those section 22 reports. The committee will return to deliberate on its response to those reports later in the meeting.