Official Report 252KB pdf
Welcome to the sixth meeting this session of the European and External Relations Committee. We have apologies from Keith Raffan, Gordon Jackson and Dennis Canavan. As far as I can see, no substitutes for those MSPs are in attendance at the moment.
Thank you for inviting me to speak to you today.
I thank Bill Miller for his contribution. I am sure that there will be questions in a second, but first I remind the committee that we have also received written submissions from four of the eight MEPs who represent Scotland—John Purvis and Struan Stevenson from the Conservatives, and Ian Hudghton and Neil MacCormick from the Scottish National Party—all of whom are quite critical of the proposals. No doubt, those submissions will spur some questions for Mr Miller.
I thank Bill Miller for his interesting presentation, which certainly made a persuasive case. I have a House of Commons research paper that compares the 2003 postal ballot turnout with the 1999 turnout in 33 electoral areas. Turnout increased in every electoral area and, in some areas, it was twice as high as it was previously. I am very persuaded by many of those arguments.
Thank you for that question.
We are about to hold another pilot. John Purvis and Struan Stevenson have expressed concerns and asked whether it would not be better, if there is such confidence in the postal system, to include nine regions. You have opted for three regions, perhaps for good reasons, but why not grasp the nettle and go for nine?
From what I have read, I understand that the Government asked for a pilot project in three regions. So far, all the pilot projects that have been carried out have been based on local authority areas, not European Parliament electoral areas. The pilot projects that we are considering now are a lot larger than pilots have been in the past, but we should walk before we run. Let us try them out in large areas.
You stressed that one of the main reasons for postal ballots is to try to increase participation in elections. In the 1992 and 1997 general elections, we had turnouts in Ayr of more than 80 per cent of the electorate. That is well in excess of any turnout that has been achieved to date with postal votes. Surely there is a failure here that hangs around the necks of those who stand for election to the European Parliament, on the basis that they have allowed the electorate's interest to drop to 25 per cent. Is that not the real problem that we should address?
I mentioned at the start that there is a problem and that all politicians have a responsibility to face up to it. I stress that no politician has been able so far to reverse the trend of continuing decline in the number of people who engage with the electoral process. We must turn that around. As we have been unable to tackle the problem head on, we must at least take interim measures and tackle the electoral system.
I could not agree more, although constituency turnout was well up on the figure that you gave. Will you remind me of the highest turnout in the European Parliament constituencies in the elections before last, which were run on a first-past-the-post basis? Is it not the case that having one all-embracing electoral division for Scotland as a whole has induced a lack of interest among the electorate?
The first direct elections for MEPs were held in 1979 and the overall turnout in Scotland—I can speak only for Scotland—was, in percentage terms, in the high 20s. Turnout then rose to about 32 or 34 per cent in 1984 and to about 38 per cent in 1989. In 1994, it dropped to about 34 per cent and in 1999 it dropped to 24 per cent. That might be related to the move to a proportional representation system in 1999 and the fact that people found that system confusing.
Perhaps PR had something to do with that.
That is the system that we now have.
I want to follow up on Phil Gallie's first question. Much of the opposition to, and criticism of, the proposals relates not to the fact that postal voting may increase turnout, but to the concept of pilot postal voting regions. Some people argue that if the Scottish campaign is not in sync with the UK campaign it will be harder to get the media to cover European elections, which is already difficult enough. Analysis suggests that most people return their ballot papers within a day or two of receiving them, so there would be two or three weeks between the European elections elsewhere in the UK and those in Scotland. If there is a postal voting pilot, most people in Scotland will already have voted when the elections take place elsewhere. In that situation, how can there be a European election campaign in Scotland? If the UK media are not covering the European elections while Scottish people are voting, will there be a campaign here at all?
Local authorities that run postal voting pilots face the same situation, but they do not seem to have been affected. In fact, turnout has increased, even though people in such areas vote within two or three days of the local government election campaign's taking off. It is strange that the convener, as a Scottish nationalist, should rely on a national campaign to boost the SNP's vote.
Gotcha!
I could ask many questions as an SNP member, but I choose to ask questions as convener of the committee. We have the UK media, whether we like it or not, which provide much of the publicity for campaigns, whether we like it or not. That is where I was coming from.
There are media in Scotland as well. Having talked to members of the Scottish media, I am sure that in advance of ballot papers' being sent out they would be more than willing to prepare campaign programmes that highlight the European elections. The convener need not worry about the issue—he should not lose any sleep over it.
I reinforce the point that Bill Miller made. It is refreshing to see the convener taking a United Kingdom perspective on these important matters.
That will depend on the Electoral Commission. If Scotland is chosen, 3.8 million people will be involved. The commission may choose Scotland because no other elections are taking place here, which gives it a clear run and enables it to see how the system works. The commission might also consider South East England, which has an electorate of about 6.2 million people, or North East England, where there are about 1.7 million electors.
If the pilot goes ahead along the lines that you have described in Scotland—I sincerely hope that it does—do you have any idea when we would have a declaration?
I understand that by the end of December we will know which regions have been chosen to pilot all-postal ballots.
Sorry—I did not make myself clear. I was asking about the post-election declaration.
Sorry. The declaration will happen in the same way as it always does in Scotland. As you know, the closing date for votes will be 10 June. The votes will then be counted on the Sunday, apart from the votes that will be counted on the Monday. In Scotland a proportion of our votes are always counted on the Monday for religious reasons, as Alasdair Morrison will know more than well. Our vote would close on 10 June. The votes would be counted on the 13 June or 14 June and we would have a final declaration on Monday 14 June.
I congratulate the convener of the committee on becoming a father for the first time. I am sure that that will be endorsed by everyone in the room—as people will have told you, your life will never be the same.
I did not realise that Richard Lochhead had become a father—I offer him my congratulations.
I forgive you.
I now understand why you have bags under your eyes.
It will happen despite the fact that Denmark will have 16 seats.
I have always argued that it is not the quantity that counts, but the quality.
That is a fair political answer.
Is it an argument for or against?
I wanted to pin Bill Miller down on the issue. It is important because people in Scotland see that Scotland is under-represented in respect of the many decisions that are made by the European Union that impact upon us. I have visited the European Parliament on many occasions so I am aware of the work that is done there. It is sad that we are reducing our numerical representation because that will impact on the psyche of the Scottish people. All the parties have worked hard to ensure the quality of their representatives in the European Union.
I accept that the UK as a whole has to accept a reduction in the number of seats. I believe in the whole process of enlargement and that the 10 accession countries should come into the EU. In 1995, the European Parliament's submission to the negotiations on the Amsterdam treaty suggested that the Parliament itself should be capped at 700 members. After all, a parliament with more seats than that would become unwieldy. The Parliament capped itself at 700 even though it realised that a number of countries wanted to come in. As the 10 new countries that will join the EU on 1 May next year will all be entitled to have MEPs, the Parliament will have to reduce the number of MEPs for each member state to accommodate them. I supported that approach. The UK will lose nine MEPs, which means that the number of seats will fall from 87 to 78. Those nine MEPs have to come from somewhere. As a democrat and as someone who believes in EU enlargement, I have to accept that those seats will have to come from certain areas in the UK.
Were Spain and Poland given concessions in that respect?
Spain and Poland are arguing for concessions, but have not yet received any.
Do you think that they will get concessions? After all, you are in the thick of things.
The intergovernmental conference is meeting at the moment. I hope that they will not receive any concessions.
Do you agree that the issue of voter numbers is more important than issues of peripherality and the rural nature of regions, which are very important in Scotland, or do you think that the matter is simply population-based?
I think that I have already answered that question. In my submission to the Electoral Commission, I argued my case on a geographical basis. I could not argue on the basis of population because that would mean that the number of Scottish seats would be reduced. However, as far as the geography of Scotland and the representation of its people are concerned, I think that we should still have eight seats.
I want to ask about postal ballots, but I do not want to keep other colleagues out of the questioning.
I will bring you back in later, Margaret.
Margaret Ewing's point about numbers probably highlights the fact that certain other small EU member states such as Denmark, Luxembourg and so on are ridiculously overrepresented in the European Parliament. I do not suppose that you can comment on that, but does that give rise to the arithmetical problem that we are wrestling with?
Yes, but we have to remember that each member state wants to be represented in the Parliament. It would be nonsense to tell Luxembourg that it can have only one MEP; it needs a fair number of MEPs to ensure that it considers itself to be represented.
I am aware that we are floating between two very different subjects this afternoon, but I want to return to the issue of postal ballots. I agree with the view that has been expressed around the table that anything that increases turnout must be more democratic and must be good news. I am satisfied that the efficiency of the administration has been well enough tested to ensure that the Post Office and the returning officers can do a good enough job. The postie will simply deliver a ballot paper with an elector's name and address on it and the vote will be returned.
That is a fair point. If we go ahead with an all-postal ballot in Scotland, we will have a fair hold over the Royal Mail, which will deliver the material. We have to sit down with the Royal Mail now and say, "Right. Fine; you've said that you will be able to carry this out. That means that you will make a certain amount of money, which will help your organisation. But you have another duty—you must deliver election material." We have to sit down in the run-up to a postal ballot and get that guarantee.
I have been concerned about how such deliveries operate in my constituency and I will bore you for a second with my experience. I live in Scotland and I am an elector in Scotland, but the Royal Mail does not think that I live in Scotland. It thinks that I live in Northumberland. At the previous European elections, I did not receive any material from Scottish candidates, but I received all the blurb about the North East England candidates. Similar things may happen elsewhere—I do not know.
I did not receive any election material last time either, and I live in Glasgow.
Do not worry about my experience; I voted for your party anyway.
I wanted to pick up on a couple of points that Bill Miller made during earlier questions. In reply to the convener, you spoke about media coverage of the European elections. That is an important issue. You may talk about "national" media but I talk about "state" media—a political definition. You seem to compare local government elections to European elections. I have a great deal of respect for all who work in local government but the impact of what is happening in Europe will be extremely significant—with the constitution, the accession states and all the rest of it. Are you satisfied that, if a postal ballot goes ahead, enough information will be available to allow people to take clear and deliberate decisions as to whom they cast their vote for?
Although I compared local government elections to European elections, local government gets far higher turnouts than we do. That may be because people understand local government more. I have been an MEP for the past 10 years and have found it very difficult to get across in the media the whole concept of what happens in Europe. The trouble is often that the media distort the question of Europe for their own political ends.
I am keen to move on to the next set of witnesses soon. I hope that members have not exhausted all their questions. I bring this part of the meeting to a close. Once more, I thank Bill Miller MEP for coming to the committee and for contributing. I am impressed that you have attracted more than half an hour's worth of questions, Mr Miller—I hope that we have some left.
Thank you, convener.
I invite the next set of witnesses to take their seats. I welcome from the Electoral Commission Sir Neil McIntosh, the commissioner; Dougie Wands, the principal officer; and Kate Sullivan, the assistant director of policy. I welcome you to your first visit to the committee. I know that you have prepared some opening comments. I ask you in particular to indicate the time scale of your decisions and some of the background of your various representatives. That would be most helpful.
Thank you for the opportunity to appear before the committee. I am conscious that our time will be best spent by members' posing questions to us, rather than our giving a major presentation. Bill Miller effectively gave a concise résumé of much of the work that the Electoral Commission is doing. I stress that the Electoral Commission is a UK body, appointed by Parliament but independent of Government and the Executive. I am the electoral commissioner for Scotland—there are six of us in all. The work of the commission encompasses regulation and a series of issues that relate to encouraging and maximising turnout and to the development and modernisation of the electoral system where that is beneficial.
Thanks. I am sure that there will be plenty of questions. Will you clarify the time scale for any decisions on a postal vote pilot?
We are expected to submit our recommendations by 8 December and I expect a decision to be announced almost immediately after that. I stress that time is of the essence in organising any pilot and that any undue delay would not be helpful.
Thanks.
I want to get a better understanding of the process in which you are involved. Am I right in saying that your submission will be made to the Lord Chancellor?
Yes.
You have already said that you have to make the submission by 8 December. On 9 December, the Lord Chancellor might pick up Bill Miller's submission after reading your submission. I take it that the Lord Chancellor is not obliged to accept your recommendations about reducing the number of seats in Scotland to seven. He might think that Bill Miller's argument is far superior, more cogent and better presented and indeed might say, "We'll go with Comrade Miller's submission."
The Lord Chancellor might well do that. However, he would expect our submission to be researched and considered and to present the range of arguments and issues that have been presented to us. I hope that, as a result, the submission will be helpful and authoritative.
Basically, we can take it as read that your recommendations will be accepted.
No—at the end of the day, it is not for us but for Parliament to determine these matters. However, it would be fair to say that if we present a reasoned argument, there is a strong prospect that it will be accepted.
Roughly what percentage of the UK electorate will be involved in the pilots?
The figure will vary. The percentage that I have before me is about 25 per cent, but that would probably be at the top end. I would say that between 20 and 25 per cent of the electorate will be involved. However, that depends entirely on the regions that will be selected; the number of people in the electorate varies substantially among the regions.
I thank the commissioner for attending the meeting this afternoon. You will recall that the committee made a direct submission to you on this matter. Did you receive many submissions on the number of MEPs in Scotland and on reducing the number of seats? Have they been published? Moreover, what was the balance of views in those submissions? Were people generally arguing in favour of retaining eight MEPs as opposed to reducing the number to seven or six?
I invite Kate Sullivan to respond to that question, because she dealt with the submissions. However, as a reminder to myself, I should say that the committee's submission suggested that eight—or at the very least seven—MEPs should be retained to represent Scottish interests.
In our report to the Government, we say that we received 66 substantive submissions and we provide a full list of the people who made them.
Many of the responses that we received concerned the methodology that we proposed to use to determine the number of MEPs that should be allocated to each electoral region. Many of the responses from local authorities in Scotland were restricted to comments on the methodology and were not necessarily about the numbers.
Of the 66 submissions, how many argued for the number of MEPs to be reduced?
I do not think that any responses from Scotland argued directly for the number of MEPs to be reduced.
It is fair to say that the consultation was primarily on the method of calculation. The overlay that came through, predominantly from a Scottish background, was in favour of retaining the number of MEPs for a variety of reasons that did not relate directly to the calculation method.
Sir Neil McIntosh said that the Electoral Commission was looking for the method of calculation to provide an even and fair distribution. Was any account taken of issues such as peripherality, rurality and geography? Did you have no scope for manoeuvre or flexibility? Were those matters not factored in?
They could not be factored in because the remit was specific. To give as balanced a response as possible, I should say that when we compare measures such as the Sainte-Laguë system and the d'Hondt system, which a number of people favoured, the d'Hondt system tends to favour larger groupings in the balancing process, whereas the Sainte-Laguë system provides a more even spread. That was the advice to us, which was the backdrop. Even in the methods of calculation, a test of fairness must be applied to achieve the best result. Issues such as peripherality and representation of the Scottish nation in Europe are matters for the Scottish Parliament and the Westminster Parliament.
Some people might take issue with what is fair.
I accept that, but I am talking about fairness in our remit.
Either there is a numeric calculation or there is not. I understand what you say about having an even spread, but if fairness is factored in, we are entitled to ask what fairness is. The commission received 66 submissions in which nobody recommended reducing the number of MEPs and a significant number—particularly of the weighty submissions that have been described—suggested that peripherality and rurality should be taken into consideration, because people believe that some flexibility should be available and that the calculation should not be a simple numeric one. Given that, the committee might question what "fairness" means.
It would be difficult for us to recommend that the current number of MEPs be retained. The new number for the UK has been given, which means that the number of MEPs for the UK must be reduced. If we went beyond our remit, we would take on improper responsibilities.
I ask for clarification, because the situation that we are considering is strange. You suggest that the criteria for the consultation exercise were set so tightly that you could not come up with any recommendation other than that there should be seven MEPs. Will you clarify who set the criteria and how they were set?
The criteria were set by the Government. The terms of the remit that we were given were quite precise, so we went out to consultation on the issue of how we might arrive at a calculation that best met the remit that we had been given. To go beyond that would take us into entirely different territory, which—I suggest—is parliamentary territory.
Who took the decision to reduce the UK's share of seats from 87 to 78?
Not the Electoral Commission.
Did the UK Government or the European Commission take that decision? Who took it?
It is a consequence of the Nice treaty.
Was it decided as part of that treaty that the reduction would be accepted?
Obviously, I cannot speak for the Government. The Government gave the Electoral Commission a very clear remit for presenting a report; that was where we were and that is what we have had to do.
Before I bring in Phil Gallie, I want to ask what the purpose of the consultation exercise was, if there was no room for manoeuvre.
The consultation was to ask for people's views. There is a range of methods of calculating the distribution across the UK. In parts of the UK, the use of the d'Hondt method is the most familiar. The commission set out the range of fields and then proposed two that it thought were the most balanced and best met our remit. As a result of feedback and representations that we received, a third was proposed, which is the method that we have recommended, because it is clearly established that, statistically, that is the best way to arrive at a reasonable result.
Are there any other methods of calculation that would have arrived at a figure other than seven MEPs? If so, what would the figure have been?
I will let Kate Sullivan answer on the fine detail. My understanding is that the figures revolved around that in relation to the calculation of the number of MEPs.
As the report will say, we considered various other methods and formulas that could be used. If those other formulas had been applied, none would have resulted in anything other than the move from eight MEPs to seven. The only way in which that could not have been a consequence was if there had been a separate calculation to retain eight MEPs. That would have had two consequences. It would have involved taking a seat from somewhere else and it would have meant that the numerical quotient would not be applied correctly and the calculation would be distorted.
If no other calculations would have achieved a figure of eight MEPs, would any other calculations have achieved a figure of fewer than seven MEPs?
I am not sure about that. I can take that on notice.
I am not being light-hearted but, given that Irene Oldfather mentioned fairness, I have to say that we are talking about European elections.
There is probably a distinction between interest in elections and interest in electoral matters. We are anxious to educate and advise people, especially young people, about electoral issues and the opportunities for electing candidates.
I am quite happy with that response, but I recognise the complications that could lie behind the issue.
It is necessary to define an exit poll. I presume that "Have you voted yet?" and "How have you voted?" are the questions that would be asked in an exit poll. The questions would try to establish what the trend was in terms of the number of people who have voted. Over a longer time scale that creates an opportunity for political parties to pursue those who have not voted to try to encourage them to come out.
I am not sure that I agree with that. I would have thought that, given the way that our media work these days, it would not be difficult, using telephone calls and so on, to establish the likely percentage of the electorate that has voted and the way in which they have voted. In that case the Scottish results from the postal vote could be published well before election day.
Yes—I agree that such a perception could be published.
The current draft of the legislation for next year's European Parliament elections would preclude publication of exit polls before the close of the poll in the last member state to vote, which means Sunday, when the votes are counted and declared. Whether there is a postal vote or a conventional ballot, no exit poll from the UK can be reported on until the Sunday night.
That is the answer that I want. There is a ban.
That issue has come very much into focus in the past week. In pilots to date, and in any future pilots, the expectation is that returning officers would have contingency plans in place. The way in which those would be exercised would vary according to the nature of the problem. Kate Sullivan may want to expand on the detail of the responses to different circumstances.
Much would depend on the scale of the industrial action and at what stage in the electoral process it took place. In previous pilot postal ballots we have made provision for either suspension of the poll—in effect extending the time for the election—or abandonment of the postal channel and going back to polling stations.
I agree that all those things have to be done, but I would like to see them down in black and white before the decision is made. I remind you that it is one thing to postpone an election in a local authority, particularly if it is a by-election, but it is another thing to talk about international elections' taking place on a common election day in 25 countries throughout Europe. Serious consideration must be given to that.
I have a small practical point. I understand that if for some reason someone does not return their postal vote by post, the facility is currently available for them to hand in their ballot at the polling station on polling day. Obviously, if there are no polling stations on polling day, that will not be possible. What facilities can be made available to cover that eventuality?
There is a recommendation that delivery points be made available for that purpose.
How few and how far between?
The number of delivery points is an issue for regional returning officers in co-ordination with local returning officers. Our recommendation is that there should be one delivery point in every local authority area. That is a bare minimum that will work only in small metropolitan areas such as there are in England.
So someone in Barra would have to go to Stornoway.
We are not suggesting that one delivery point would be sufficient for the more geographically dispersed areas.
I am glad about that.
The delivery points would be staffed so that there would be security for the ballot box and assistance for the voters. There would be access to the tactile ballot template for people with visual impairment. There would be access to information in other languages for voters who require that. People would also be able to get a replacement ballot paper if they could prove that something had happened to the one that was posted to them. Those services would be open until the close of the poll.
There are a lot of interesting issues coming up but I was particularly interested in your response to Phil Gallie about the ban on exit polls. How are you going to enforce that? Does it mean that we are going to have to monitor the media throughout the UK or Europe? How would that be implemented? Who is going to monitor it?
The enforcement of that provision is a matter for the UK Government, not the Electoral Commission.
Your submission mentions a deadline of 8 December. The use of exit polls and how they influence results is a matter of concern to all of us in the UK and elsewhere. If there is to be a ban on exit polls, surely by 8 December at the latest there should be in place firm legislative proposals to ensure that the ban is not broken.
The provision is not new; it already exists in UK electoral law and it has to be slightly changed for the European Parliament to extend it past the close of the poll, which is the normal deadline, to the close of the poll in the final member state. There are already mechanisms in place to ensure that the regulation is not broken. The provision also occurs in other EU countries. France has a very strict ban on that sort of advertising.
It is not something that I have observed in the media of member states during many European elections. An example is when the media were saying that the Liberal Democrats had won the Highlands and Islands, which was not true because my party had won.
That is a fair question—we will want to pursue that issue.
Can it be pursued by 8 December?
Our task is to submit a report by 8 December. If, in our report, we find that that issue is a key element, we will pick it up. Margaret Ewing has raised an important point, but I would like to be satisfied that we have covered it fully and addressed it in our report. That is the proper way in which to deal with the question. I cannot give more detail than that, but we should be capable of answering the question.
Thank you for that—I feel strongly about that issue.
I expect that one of the main concerns of returning officers is about ensuring that the regulations come through in good time. That is always a problem, but with pilots it is an even greater problem. Regulations have been late repeatedly, but thanks to the returning officers' essential skills, they have been implemented. That is a fundamental concern. The second concern is about resourcing. A commitment that the necessary costs will be met is required.
On resourcing, would postal ballots work out cheaper than closing schools for a day?
I can give you only a personal view on that—I do not think that postal ballots would be cheaper. However, one benefit of a major pilot such as the one we are discussing is that it would allow us to establish the cost. The question whether postal ballots would be cheaper per vote cast is different and raises other issues.
Are you confident that the regulations will be produced in time?
They have to be produced in time although, in practice, regulations tend not to come through as quickly as we might wish. I am sure that the Electoral Commission's view is that having the regulations in place is fundamental to running a viable pilot. The regulations will allow the forms to be developed and carried through and they will allow a range of other measures. The time scale would be tight and one factor in that would be how quickly the Government responds in developing the regulations.
How will the views of the Scottish Parliament be fed into the process? Will we have the opportunity to debate the regulations, or will they be debated solely at Westminster?
There is a two-stream track. The regulations that provide for the detailed running of the European Parliament elections are produced by the UK Parliament and were released for public consultation last Friday—you may be interested in them because they contain the exit-poll provisions. Those regulations are out for public consultation until December. Separately, the UK Parliament is considering legislation that would allow pilot schemes to be run next year, because that is not possible under the existing legislation on pilots.
I hate using the word "region" about Scotland, but none of the other regions in the UK that are being considered as pilots has a Parliament. Surely there must be a role for the Scottish Parliament in examining the regulations and the operation of the pilot.
I would rather not declare an opinion on that. There are reserved matters and those matters are handled in various ways, but our task is to submit proposals to the Westminster Parliament. Clearly, however, if there is a need for direct consultation between the Scottish Parliament and Westminster, I am sure that that will take place.
Does that mean that the proposal might be dealt with in a Sewel motion, which might get an hour in the chamber, or an hour and a half if we are lucky? The matter is not only for this committee to consider; it is a matter for the whole Parliament to consider. What is the recommended involvement of the Scottish Parliament in such a major decision?
Those are fair questions, but I am not sure that the representatives of the Electoral Commission are best placed to answer them.
Perhaps they will take the points on board. You are a true politician, convener.
Sir Neil said that adequate funding would be available to returning officers to operate the postal ballot. Will that come from the full pot of resources or will additional money be available to increase voter turnout, particularly in European Parliament elections?
Resources are made available to the Electoral Commission to deal with the election across the UK. We would expect additional resources to be made available to those regions in which there will be an all-postal ballot in order to ensure that the public are aware that a new arrangement has been made.
The funding that the returning officer receives to run the pilot scheme will include funding for publicity costs. The Government has been clear that it considers the provision by returning officers of impartial information about the voting methods to be part of the pilot scheme.
Bearing in mind the time scale involved, how do you think that the information that is made available will evolve and what are your plans for making it more widely available?
Ahead of the Scottish Parliament elections in May, we commenced a UK-wide campaign, as there were local government elections in England and elections for the National Assembly for Wales on the same day. Starting in February, the campaign initially sought to raise awareness of the need to register to vote. After that, it promoted postal voting for those who might have found that helpful. Following that, there was a call to vote on 1 May.
That campaign is welcome. It is important to get information into the public domain. Do you have a figure on how much that will cost? Will that money come from the Government?
The money will be made available to the Electoral Commission. We have a budget for that. The budget for the promotion of the European Parliament elections is not absolutely fixed yet, but suffice it to say that it will be several million pounds over this financial year and the next. We will finalise that budget in the next few weeks. The promotion will use a mix of the campaign methods that I described and, once we have established the different media that we will use, we will be able to confirm the budget.
I want to round the discussion up by half past, which gives us a few minutes.
Irene Oldfather got to the nub of the issue: the cost. You said that the promotion of the European Parliament election will cost several million pounds; what was the cost of, and how much did you have for, the elections in May this year?
I do not know the budget figure for the United Kingdom as a whole.
Will you provide the committee with those figures?
Yes.
As we are running out of time, I will ask a completely different question. In other parts of the European Union, it is regarded a civic duty to vote, even if it is not obligatory, and there are other parts of the world where it is obligatory to vote. Has any thought been given to making voting obligatory in any part of the European Union or the United Kingdom? Does such an approach work?
It works in countries that have such provisions—the best example is probably Australia, which has a legal requirement to vote—but it depends on the culture and background of the country. The Electoral Commission would not rule that out—we have to be open to all sorts of arguments—but if we can achieve improvements through other means, as we have done, that is what we should probably do as the first stage. Postal voting has demonstrated a capacity to make improvements in by-elections. In three by-elections in Scotland where that method was used, the turnout was 65 per cent, which is double what it would have been, and we have seen the same pattern throughout the United Kingdom. Piloting is therefore probably the most realistic and immediate way of showing what the effect of postal voting will be on a wider scale. The other issues are obviously there in the background.
You are like a politician: you answered everything but the question I asked, but never mind.
Would it have been more sensible to introduce postal voting across the board rather than go for pilots?
I favour the use of pilots because of the public confidence issue. Concerns have been expressed today, and to move lock, stock and barrel to postal voting across the piece would be a big step to take unless we were satisfied that we had worked through and resolved all the issues. Pilots have been carried out in local government elections, and the view of the commission in England and Wales is that postal voting is ready for use in those elections because of what the pilots have demonstrated. However, the other major elections are a different matter and, although the decision is not ours, we favour piloting. In future, legislation would be necessary to secure antifraud measures to solve wider-scale registration issues and to introduce the proposals on personation outside the polling booth that have been accepted for the pilot, as those matters are not covered in existing legislation.
I have a brief point about administration, which might come up in the regulations. An important right for all candidates and agents, irrespective of political belief, is the right to scrutinise the opening of ballot boxes. If we were to move to full postal ballots in Scotland, would there be provision for scrutiny of ballots, as that is part of the concern about fraud and personation?
Yes. The commission supports your theory. The issue has been addressed in the pilot schemes, and we hope to carry the solution over. Obviously, because of the large quantities, if postal votes were opened only after the close of the poll, people would still be opening them for three days before counting even started. In the pilots, postal votes are pre-verified and opened. Candidates and agents are notified of all such sessions, which are open to them for precisely the sort of scrutiny that you mention. There is no counting; it is purely a verification process, and counting at that stage is unlawful.
With a postal ballot system, is it possible to determine voting trends? With the system that we know, we are able almost to follow the ballot box, so—I am considering this from a party-political point of view—will political parties be able to determine where their weak or strong areas are?
The short answer is no. You will not be able to do that at the opening of the ballot papers. They are not opened so that we can scrutinise how people have voted; they are opened only to do a check.
I bring the discussion to a close and thank the witnesses for coming along. The discussion has been informative. As the witnesses have heard, there are a variety of views on the committee, so I have no doubt that we will discuss the matter as soon as the witnesses depart.
Only three?
Okay—five minutes maximum. I ask members to be back in their seats for 25 minutes to 4.
Meeting suspended.
On resuming—
We will now discuss the evidence that we have just heard. It strikes me that we touched on three separate issues. The first is the funding issue, which has been addressed adequately. We have heard that the Electoral Commission will send us information about funding, so perhaps we can leave it at that. The other two issues are the cut in the number of MEPs for Scotland and the proposal to pilot postal voting in Scotland.
That is a fair summary of the discussion that we have had today. I want to put on the record that the Treaty of Nice argued for a reduction across the whole European Union, which was fair. If we accept the principle of enlargement, we must accept the principle of reform. I can see that a case has been made for reducing the number of MEPs from the United Kingdom from 87 to 78. However, in Scotland we must be quite clear about why the decision has been taken in the way in which it has been taken. Today we heard that this appears to be a numerical exercise, but some of us may have understood that it would allow for flexibility. Most people who responded to the consultation asked for the issues of rurality, peripherality and geography in Scotland to be taken into account. Given that the final decision has not yet been made, there is no harm in our reiterating those arguments and saying that today we brought them to the attention of the Electoral Commission.
It strikes me that the consultation was a bit of sham and that although tight criteria were set, a different conclusion seemed to be on the agenda for the Electoral Commission.
In answer to a question from Irene Oldfather, it was indicated that 66 responses had been received. That information should appear in any letter that we send. The respondents to the consultation appeared to be unanimous in their views. It seems strange that in a democracy a unanimous decision should be ignored.
I put my views on record only because, unusually, I agree with Irene Oldfather.
I wonder whether this will be the first and last time that you do.
Does anyone know whether Denmark's representation has been cut at all? I should have asked about that.
The proposals are contained in a table at the end of the draft constitution, although I cannot recall the details. John Edward from the European Parliament office in Scotland is nodding.
I have a feeling that the number of MEPs from Denmark has been cut to 14, but do not quote me on that. The number has definitely been cut.
It may be worth registering the fact that before the establishment of the Scottish Parliament special recognition was given in the UK Parliament to the issues that Irene Oldfather mentioned. I do not see why the same considerations should not be carried over to the argument about Scotland's representation in the European Parliament. There might be some advantage if the letter were to reflect that.
Those are fair points. We will proceed on that basis.
I thought that there was almost a consensus on this issue. I am not sure that any member disagreed with the principle of postal voting. Members simply had a few caveats and wanted to ensure that the timetable was right and that validation took place.
Irene Oldfather has put me in a slightly difficult position. Once again, we are tinkering with the electoral system to make up for our—politicians'—inadequacies. In the past we achieved high turnouts, which have gradually diminished as faith in politicians has dropped off. I have some reservations about the proposal.
As politicians, all members of the committee know the importance of postal ballots. Irene Oldfather said that no one was arguing against the principle. That is fair enough. All of us agree that we want a larger turnout.
I would be happy for an options paper to be prepared. There is a lot of agreement among the members on some of the issues. We could incorporate all the proposed options.
We do not have a lot of time.
The Electoral Commission has invited responses by the end of November, but it will not take its decision until early December. I am sure that that gives us time to reach a view at our next meeting and to communicate it to the Electoral Commission. Do members agree on that course of action?