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The Institute for Fiscal Studies has calculated that the proportion of pensioners on means-tested benefits is expected to grow to 73 per cent by 2025 and 82 per cent by 2050. As Mr Swinburne acknowledged in his opening comments, that extension of means testing brings its own problems.
In the past 70 years, the number of over-65s has more than doubled. Between 1995 and 2025, the number of over-80s will increase by 50 per cent and the number of the very old—the over-90s—will double.
Mìneachaidh mi mo bharail air a' bhile an ainm Mhìcheil Ruiseal an ceartuair, ach bu toigh leam an toiseach sùil aithghearr a thoirt air ais air na ceithir bliadhna a dh'fhalbh agus gu sònraichte a choimhead air an sgìre Pàrlamaid agam fhèin, na h-Eileanan Siar.
Chris Masters has already mentioned that the number of young people in education will fall by 20 per cent by 2025. FE has already shown that it can handle the demographic shift—more than 58 per cent of FE students are over the age of 25.
I guess that we have been a little conservative on what might happen. If the graph had gone to 2025, it would have been similar at the back end.The graph shows coal plants coming off the system according to their normal decommissioning times, as we understand those at the moment.
Members should contrast that with what the Government's energy technology support unit says about renewable energy, which is that, by 2025, two thirds of the UK's electricity production could come from renewable sources.
If Class 98 wants to end up with a building that is still fit for education purposes—whatever that might mean in 2025—it is in its interests, as well as in ours, to continue to modernise that building.
They indicate a practicable potential for renewables to supply nearly 230 TWh per year by 2025—more than two thirds of our total current energy demand.
Under any nuclear new-build programme, the first reactor would not come online until 2018 at the earliest, with the main delivery of the programme not happening until around 2025 to 2030. That is not in this generation.
Unless we want to be dependent on imported gas for up to 70 per cent of our energy needs by 2025, we need to nurture other market-driven, secure, low-cost energy providers.