Chamber and committees

The audited annual consolidated resource accounts of the Scottish Executive provie details on quantifiable contingent liabilities. The accounts for the financial year ended 31 March 2001 were laid before the Scottish Parliament by the Scottish ministers in February 2002 (these accounts are available on the Scottish Executive website at: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/library3/finance/ConsolidatedAccounts.pdf. Note 20 provides details of contingent liabilities, though not at the level of detail requested. The table accordingly provides the necessary detail:

Description	Amount(£ million)
Indemnity cover to owners of objects lent under the National Heritage Act 1980 and the National Heritage (Scotland) Act 1985	822.5
Housing Act guarantees	4.2
NHS overdraft guarantees	2.5
Local Government Act - overdraft guarantees for Water Authorities	25.0
Indemnity on St. Andrew's bus station title	1.5
Northern Isles Ferry service tendering exercise	27.0
Sub total	882.7
Legal claims in relation to alleged medical or third party negligence against NHS bodies within the Scottish Executive departmental accounting boundary	33.0
Total	915.7

The annual accounts for the financial year 31 March 2002 will contain the equivalent information for that financial year. These amounts are not included within the Scottish Executive Balance Sheet: since the liabilities are, by definition, contingent they do not meet the definition of liabilities to be reflected on balance sheet. This accounting treatment is in accordance with Financial Reporting Standard 12 as applied to the Scottish Executive by the Resource Accounting Manual.

The 1991 Census is the most complete source of information on migrants into Scotland and their address one year earlier. This information is provided in the table. Similar information from the more detailed results of the 2001 Census is due to be published by March 2003. Information on the origin or destination of people migrating to or from Scotland is available from the International Passenger Survey (IPS). The IPS is a continuous voluntary sample survey conducted by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), which covers the principal air, sea, and channel tunnel routes between the UK and countries outside the British Isles. The latest summary information on the origin and destination of international migrants to and from Scotland in 2000 is published in Table 3.2 of the ONS publication International Migration, which can be accessed on the ONS webite at:http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=507andMore=N.Information on the number of people migrating to and from Scotland with other areas of the UK in 2000 is available in Table 5.2b of the ONS publication Key population and vital statistics, which can be accessed on the ONS website at:http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=539andMore=N.Area of Origin and Sex of Residents of Scotland with Different Address One Year Before 1991 Census

Residents with Different Address One Year Before Census
Total Migrants
Male	Female	Persons	Area of origin
253,056	265,357	518,413	All areas of origin
229,487	244,268	473,755	Great Britain
21,285	20,035	41,320	England and Wales
20,573	19,373	39,946	England
2,086	2,055	4,141	North
1,989	1,910	3,899	Yorkshire and Humberside
1,456	1,331	2,787	East Midlands
1,082	990	2,072	East Anglia
8,352	7,587	15,939	South East
2,096	1,914	4,010	South West
1,259	1,252	2,511	West Midlands
2,253	2,334	4,587	North West
712	662	1,374	Wales
208,202	224,233	432,435	Scotland
1,145	1,161	2,306	Elsewhere in British Isles
661	621	1,282	Northern Ireland
209	239	448	Channel Islands and Isle of Man
275	301	576	Irish Republic (including Ireland, part not stated)
3,683	3,728	7,411	Commonwealth countries
1,881	2,193	4,074	Old Commonwealth
1,802	1,535	3,337	New Commonwealth
411	330	741	Africa
125	109	234	Caribbean
413	351	764	Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka
567	481	1,048	South East Asia
166	175	341	Cyprus, Gibraltar, Malta and Gozo
120	89	209	Remainder
7,436	7,052	14,488	Foreign
2,733	2,666	5,399	European Community (excluding British Isles)
540	434	974	Other Countries of Europe
4,163	3,952	8,115	Rest of the world
11,305	9,148	20,453	Origin not stated

Population estimates for the United Kingdom are the responsibility of the Office for National Statistics (ONS). Comparable population estimates back to 1971 for the United Kingdom and Scotland can be found on the ONS website at the following address: http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/xsdataset.asp?vlnk=5644&More=YIn 1971 the population of Scotland was 9.4 per cent of the UK population compared to 8.6 per cent in 2000.Population estimates for Scotland dating back to 1855 are given in Table 1.1 of Registrar General for Scotland's Annual Report 2000 published by the General Register Office for Scotland in 2001. A copy was sent to each member of the Scottish Parliament in July 2001 and is also available in the Parliament's Reference Centre, Bib. number 15009.

I refer the member to the answer given to question S1W-28666. All answers to written parliamentary questions are available on the Parliament's website, the search facility for which can be found at http://www.scottish.parliament.uk/webapp/search_wa.

The following table gives Scottish Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita in cash terms for each year from 1989 to 1999, the years for which consistent data are available. Scottish GDP per capita is not available in constant prices.Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Per Capita 1989-99

Year	GDP Per Capita (£)
1989	7,544
1990	8,321
1991	8,814
1992	9,217
1993	9,614
1994	10,168
1995	10,818
1996	11,162
1997	11,429
1998	12,117
1999	12,512

Source: Office for National Statistics.

The following table lists the first published estimate of annual GDP for each year since 1997 and the most recent estimate.Scottish Gross Domestic Product (1995=100%)

	First Published Estimate	Most Recently Published Estimate (August 2002)
1997	104.9	105.4
1998	107.3	107.4
1999	110.7	109.7
2000	111.4	111.7
2001	111.3	112.6

Source: Scottish Executive.The estimates for each year published in August 2002 have been revised since each of the annual figures were first published. This happened for a number of reasons; the provision of updated and previously omitted data by data suppliers, the availability of annual results which feed into the analysis, improvements to the GDP methodologies and improved data sources, and revisions to data submitted by individual companies and organisations. The Executive takes the view that it is extremely important to use the most up-to-date data available at the time of publication.The revision policy for Scottish GDP is that all estimates affected by data revisions should be updated at the earliest opportunity. This allows those using the data for long-term analysis to have a consistent long-term series.

The following table gives Scottish GDP per capita growth figures, in cash terms, and also the changes to total GDP and population levels over the period from 1990 to 1999, the years for which consistent data are available. Scottish GDP per capita is not available in constant prices.Annual Percentage Changes in GDP Per Capita, Total GDP and Population Levels 1990-99

	GDP Per Capita (%)	Total GDP (%)	Population1 (%)
1990	10.3	10.4	0.1
1991	5.9	6.2	0.1
1992	4.6	4.6	0.1
1993	4.3	4.5	0.2
1994	5.8	6.0	0.2
1995	6.4	6.5	0.1
1996	3.2	3.0	-0.2
1997	2.4	2.3	-0.1
1998	6.0	6.0	-0.1
1999	3.3	3.0	-0.1

Source: Office for National Statistics.Note:1. General Register Office for Scotland.

The following table lists the first published estimate of annual GDP for each year since 1997 and the most recent estimate.Scottish GDP by Main Industrial Sector (1995=100%)

	Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing		Production		Construction		Services
	First published estimate	Most recently published estimate (August 2002)	First published estimate	Most recently published estimate (August 2002)	First published estimate	Most recently published estimate (August 2002)	First published estimate	Most recently published estimate (August 2002)
1997	92.3	95.7	108.6	108.8	101.1	101.1	104.8	104.8
1998	94.3	97.5	111.5	111.5	98.3	98.3	107.6	107.0
1999	95.1	99.0	114.7	115.3	100.8	101.6	111.3	108.6
2000	95.8	99.5	115.1	115.7	107.4	109.3	111.5	110.8
2001	97.0	101.2	106.7	106.4	106.6	106.3	114.7	116.5

Source: Scottish Executive.The estimates for each year published in August 2002 have been revised since each of the annual figures were first published. This happened for a number of reasons; the provision of updated and previously omitted data by data suppliers; the availability of annual results which feed into the analysis; improvements to the GDP methodologies and improved data sources, and revisions to data submitted by individual companies and organisations. The Executive takes the view that it is extremely important to use the most up-to-date data available at the time of publication.The revision policy for Scottish GDP is that all estimates affected by data revisions should be updated at the earliest opportunity. This allows those using the data for long-term analysis to have a consistent long-term series.

No such action has been taken against the Scottish Executive by current or former members of the security branch. Following agreement with the Trades Union Side, serving members of staff were advised on 3 September 2001 of the process for claiming backdated Travel Time Payments. Former members of staff were written to individually during October 2001.Establishing entitlement to payment from historical records for ex-members of staff has been a complex task. There are 12 remaining cases. These are expected to be resolved shortly.

The last audit of security branch was in 1998. The next will be carried out in 2003. The 1998 audit identified no significant issues.