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We resume with agenda item 3, which is a continuation of the evidence sessions that we have been having on the budget strategy. We will hear from representatives of regional transport partnerships and senior local authority transport professionals. I welcome Alex Macaulay, partnership director of the south east of Scotland transport partnership; David Duthie, partnership director of the Highlands and Islands transport partnership; and Jim Valentine, chair of the Society of Chief Officers of Transportation in Scotland. As I have done at the beginning of our two previous panels, I remind members that we are tight for time and that it would be helpful if questions and answers were kept as succinct as possible.
A problem that we have had is that, although the Scottish budget has grown over the years, the maintenance budget has dropped slightly from the 2005 level that Dave Duthie talked about.
Dr Goudie said in his paper that during the next 13 to 15 years we are likely to lose £25 billion to £35 billion of public sector spending in Scotland. Of course, that is the amount of spending that would get us back to 2009-10 levels, but if we had not had the recession, we would have expected the budget to grow from its 2009-10 level as the economy grew. The national picture is sobering.
In discussion with the Scottish Futures Trust and others, SCOTS has looked at the various models that are coming forward from authorities, individually and collectively, and considered how we can deal with things such as the infrastructure backlog. However, we need to link that back clearly to the Government’s national outcomes and remember that transport is included. It is crucial to achieving those outcomes because it is the lifeblood that holds everything together.
I agree that we must keep the network that we have in place, but we must also consider where we can find new funding, other than from the Government, to make things happen. Most of the RTPs, including HITRANS and SEStran, have been successful in using funding that has historically come through Government and local authorities to gain European funding to develop services. The difficulty is that, as budgets are squeezed, it is sometimes difficult to get the core funding that is required to enable European funding to happen, particularly when maintenance becomes such a priority. In two projects on which we are working, European investment represents 60 per cent of the total cost, but we still have to find the other 40 per cent. I foresee that it will become more and more difficult to do that. It might be useful for the Government to consider whether it can prime funding for such efforts.
I reiterate the point about European funding. I have made the point to the committee before that it would be nice to have a European fund to which we could bid for match funding.
There are certainly savings to be made, but I do not think that there is a one-size-fits-all model. At the moment there are a number of different models that include, for example, significant national projects such as the road conditions survey and SCOTS’s asset management project; the Tayside Contracts model, in which a contracting arm supplies three councils; and the Ayrshire models. Different local authorities will have different priorities and the issue is to align those priorities with the model that can be put in place. It would be difficult to have one model that you could take to a single local authority or group of authorities and say, “This will work here.” As I know from my own authority, finding the right model requires a lot of negotiation and compromise, but you can get there. The fact is that these models can deliver big savings, but we have still some way to go to ensure that local authorities make maximum use of RTPs and the benefits that they can bring to bigger projects.
The issue needs to be considered. During the winter, for example, SCOTS, SOLACE, the Scottish Government and Transport Scotland managed to work together very well to deal with the salt crisis, and it was a good way of building bridges. Indeed, once you start working together, you begin to see other opportunities at both management and operational level. After all, there must be duplication of effort and in back-office support in certain areas. The only way we might be able to keep specialist teams in, say, accident investigation and prevention, hydrology or ground investigation in-house and retain such specialist knowledge at a local level might be through working with other agencies or bodies.
Historically, councils and those in central Government worked closely on trunk road maintenance and in areas with which Jim Valentine is involved there is a close and useful relationship with the contractor that supplies services. There are certainly benefits to be had in other areas. For example, the trunk road that runs through the centre of Skye up to Uig is maintained by the contractor while all the other roads are maintained by the council. However, the council still has to drive along the trunk road to get to services, and the kind of approach that we are talking about might provide opportunities in that respect.
I raised the issue in reply to an earlier question. We are talking about powers rather than duties but, being realistic, I think that we need to accept that councils have to provide education, care for the elderly and other maintenance services. There will be issues for public transport, but a parallel issue to consider is support from the third sector, particularly with regard to community transport. As budgets are cut and public transport services are reduced—something that is bound to happen—there will be more of a reliance on the third sector to fill the gap and provide access to health care and shopping and help to meet people’s basic needs. As a result, the third sector will be significantly challenged and, if councils do not support it, there will be a major impact, particularly in more rural areas. Cities have core commercial bus services that allow most people—although perhaps not those who have access challenges—to get about. The issue will become quite significant in rural areas and I worry that in such areas public transport services will use only the key corridors and the roads used on school runs.
I want to talk about the maintenance budget for local roads. Before I do so, I have a question for Alex Macaulay. He argued that we should spend money through transport partnerships. If we did that, how would we deal with ferries, trunk roads and so on? Are we not talking about the same amount of money, merely delivered by someone else?
That was not my point. I was referring to the fact that, in local authority budgets, the transport budget is not ring fenced. There is evidence that that budget is being diverted to fund other services. The budget for lifeline ferry services and trunk roads is already completely within the Government’s control and is allocated directly to Transport Scotland, so I was not talking about that issue. There is an argument that those budgets will be under pressure as well, but the mechanism already exists for Government to manage that.
Okay. I take your point. Whether the ability to manage the cuts that we have discussed is greater in central Government, local government or transport partnerships is another issue.
The absolutely safe answer is that we will tell you next year once we have done our road condition survey. Many people have speculated about the amount of work required but, once the survey goes round over the summer and we get the results back in early next year, we will be able to give an accurate figure.
I had the pleasure of giving evidence to the committee for its inquiry into active travel. I repeated that evidence in writing to you for today’s meeting, so I will not go into detail on it. However, the committee should be quite clear about where I am coming from. I think that I am quoted in your report as saying that it is a no-brainer that we should invest more in active travel. I am still of that opinion. The health, environmental, social and value-for-money benefits of investing in active travel in general are significantly higher than the benefits that would be achieved from major infrastructure investment. Given that budgets are very tight and the significance of what can be achieved with active travel for relatively modest budget increases, we should invest more in active travel. However, my fear is that we will not do that, because it is an easy target. I have already said that transport is an easy target in times of budget stringency and, sadly, active travel is an easy target in transport budgets in such times. It will take a policy lead from the Scottish Government to turn that on its head. Having said that, the budgetary implications of increasing investment in active travel are not major, and an awful lot can be achieved for relatively modest investment.
I will include the other part of our remit. We have allocated about £100,000 to urban cycle networks. Again, that will be spent on the basis of 50 per cent match funding.
We ask major employers to provide green travel plans, but we have heard evidence that they are not actively monitored. Do you think that investment of time and effort in ensuring the proper implementation of private sector travel plans that were granted planning permission would be effective?
What are the panel members’ views on the long-term financial sustainability of the national concessionary travel scheme? Do any of the panel members have any proposals for changes that might be necessary, given the financial settlement that we are now facing?
I have nothing to add.
There is no one-size-fits-all solution. Some elements of capital infrastructure investment can wait, but some cannot, simply because of the deterioration of the asset that the Government seeks to upgrade. Certainly, from my experience of previous budget cutbacks, we must look very carefully at the capital investment programme to identify elements that are not essential for the on-going business of the country or of a region, albeit that those elements may have a very good economic rate of return and so on.
Thank you all very much for giving your time to answer our questions. That brings us to the end of today’s agenda. We will take further oral evidence on the budget strategy, including from the minister, at the next meeting. I ask members to come to that meeting 15 minutes early so that we can discuss the approach to questioning. If they could be here for half-past one next week, that would be appreciated.
That phenomenon might be much longer term than the short-term budget squeeze will be.
Yes.
You all touched on what might be done and how we might respond. What lessons can we learn from previous cuts in transport budgets—for example, on changing priorities, reprofiling the order of work on various projects, or looking at innovative new sources of finance to supplement public sector spend in the area?
At last week’s SCOTS conference, we asked members about what was out there and what could be done better. After all, we are all in the same boat. The organisation will be looking again at whether we need to take forward national projects or whether we need to look at what can be done at regional or subregional level and will hope to facilitate the process.
Dave Duthie keeps stealing my thunder. I was about to say that the SEStran submission refers to demand-responsive transport.
Given that the vast majority of local authority funding is not ring fenced, will transport suffer greater budget reductions than other local authority functions such as education and social work? I know that you have touched on the impact of any unreasonable or disproportionate reductions in the transport budget, but you might wish to expand on your earlier comments.
David Duthie mentioned community transport. I am interested in the difference that demand-responsive transport might make, perhaps when there is less money around, to the villages that I represent and many other rural areas, where there are bits and pieces of transport. How might those be combined to provide a good, cost-effective service to my communities and others?
You have raised several issues. First, aside from the trunk roads, the great majority of roads in Scotland’s road network have evolved from cart tracks. Many roads on the network have multiple surface dressings that have built up over the years and which, in periods of bad weather, fall apart fairly quickly. The majority of the trunk roads, bar one or two, have been designed and properly built. That is why the trunk roads have a degree of robustness. It is probably true that a disproportionate amount of funding goes to the national road network, but given that the vast majority of traffic travels on that network, there is good reason for that.
I hope not. I think that I said that we did not see any advantage in road maintenance being taken into a central management structure. There would be no real advantage in roads in Orkney and the Western Isles being maintained in the same way as roads in the south of Argyll.
I will follow up Rob Gibson’s question. What impact has the much higher than average expenditure on gritting and other winter maintenance this year had on transport budgets? What are the implications of that?
Oh, yes.
The committee has carried out an active travel inquiry. I am interested in the panel’s views on the future funding of walking and cycling infrastructure developments and related programmes. What are the implications of the stretching of transport budgets? Will such programmes be abandoned, or is there an opportunity to develop them?
The subject of my next question has been covered a wee bit already. What impact could budget reductions have on local authorities’ ability to support socially necessary bus services that are not commercially viable?
In the SWESTRANS recent retenders, contracts have come in 100 per cent higher than in the previous round of tendering. That shows the level of pressure. About 85 per cent of the SWESTRANS bus network is subsidised, as it is very much within a rural area. The situation in other areas of Scotland are perhaps not as extreme in that regard, but the same problems arise.
I am still keen to know whether there are examples of how you—or others—are reacting to what is ahead. You may wish the transport budget to be protected, but no budget will be protected from what is going to hit over the next couple of years. Asking for the transport budget to be protected sounds a bit like special pleading. I am sure that members of any parliamentary committee will hear such requests. However, the reality is that changes will have to be made. Are those changes beginning to filter through, or is that not happening?
They are filtering through in my own authority. About £130,000 in our business plan for the current financial year has been allocated to sustainable transport initiatives. We tend to do that work on a match funding basis—we seek match funding from health boards, universities, major employers, local authorities—
HITRANS sees a potential opportunity for gaining benefit from the private sector in terms of active travel. We have carried out active travel audits of all our key settlements in which we have identified people’s walking and cycling movements in communities. That forms a layer in the local plan, which means that developers do not simply build housing but have to think about how it links into that layer and whether they can perhaps contribute to developing such infrastructure. That is where it is possible to make gains. I appreciate that development is not going to be as strong as it was until recently, but people will still develop, which means that we will still be able to get benefits from focusing the investment that is coming out of development in the areas where it makes a difference. Regional transport partnerships can become involved in that respect.
As members will know, the Scottish Government recently carried out a review of the concessionary travel scheme, as a result of which levels of payment per passenger to the bus companies have gone down. We need that to bed in for a wee while and to see the reaction to it and how it performs before we start to make any radical changes. However, the concessionary travel scheme will undoubtedly continue to be under pressure financially—even more so given the budget projections that we face.
We are all probably just waiting to see what comes out the far end, given the financial constraints that we will face. If the Forth crossing goes ahead, will it be the only project that does? What will happen to the dualling of the A9 and other projects? The question is whether work on major pieces of Scottish infrastructure should be held in abeyance until definite priorities are agreed. I do not know the answer. My colleagues may have different views.
To put the matter in context, Dr Goudie referred to a total cut in the Scottish budget of £35 billion. We can see the Government’s difficulty in managing the funding of the Forth crossing from its current budgets. The budget reduction over the next 13 years is equivalent to the cost of building a Forth bridge every year for the next 13 years, so the reduction will have a huge impact on budgets and a major impact on capital expenditure across all sectors. The question is what on earth we can do outwith the core projects, which I accept we must progress. However, beyond that, we will have real problems.
A paper was published last week by Dr Andrew Goudie that identified where the overall budget reductions are liable to be made in the next 10 to 12 years. Those reductions are significant—we are potentially looking at a reduction in the current state budget, over that period, of between £25 billion and £35 billion. That will have a major impact across all services, and transport will have to take its share of that. You question is how much of that reduction will be taken by local authorities and the transport sector. Major parts of the transport network—trunk roads, rail and ferries—are developed by Transport Scotland and the Government. Those are the key elements in terms of national services; the issue is how the local elements will be delivered.
Many local authorities are considering shared services. Can any savings be made by additional joint working between individual local authority transport departments and RTPs on service provision or procurement? If so, how might we realise them?
The road conditions survey and the asset management project have been under way for some time now. Are you actively exploring any new initiatives?
Speaking from a Highlands and Islands perspective, I do not think that there is much point in having the person who organises road maintenance in the Western Isles and Orkney do the same in Argyll. I am not sure that that kind of close working actually works, although I suppose that one could work together in developing the same systems.
Before we move on, I would like to look at the other side of the coin. Can we make any savings through greater integration of national agencies and organisations?
I have already provided some examples of the kind of disproportionate cuts that transport in the SEStran area has already suffered. We all know why that is; money has simply been diverted to other pressing social services.
The third sector is looking at that option. Because of the threats to budgets, the community transport organisations are looking at providing a level of public transport, rather than specialist transport. DRT is the way in which to do that. If someone wanted to travel between two points, instead of trying to find out what was available, they would contact a supplier, who would arrange transport for them. That optimises use of the transport that is available.
It seems that we have opened up a disagreement between local authority and transport partnership representatives. David Duthie might widen that gap.
So, in this tight budget situation, should we look at the code of practice, which Jim Valentine talked about being honoured in the breach, and review the way in which money is apportioned between the national road network and local councils?
Yes, but to go back to what I said, you would also have to look at where the traffic has been generated and what the purpose of the road is. Most local authorities tend to prioritise their maintenance anyway, in that lightly trafficked urban streets will require, and will get, less maintenance than higher-trafficked principal roads.
Just to wrap up on the effects of the severe winter weather, I do not want you to go into the detail—we have already had that—but, given the order of magnitude of the budgets, how much work that requires to be done has this harsh winter thrown up?
We move on to questions from Cathy Peattie. So that we can fit in all the questions that we intend to ask, it would be helpful if questions and answers were kept as brief as possible.
There is no doubt that the cost of gritting was higher, but different councils will deal with that in different ways. Some councils have dipped into their reserves and others may have taken the money out of other pots. I cannot say accurately what the effect on transport budgets is at this time.
You were looking at increased effects.
I am sure that Alex Macaulay will come in as he has particular enthusiasm for this area.
There will definitely be an impact. Like Dave Duthie, I fear that it will hit social inclusion and education. However, much will depend on where the cuts fall and on whether we can provide services in other ways, working with our community planning partners and the health service. There are opportunities for such work. Some authorities have had good success in working with major employers on routes on certain city streets, which releases cash elsewhere. In general, however, the subsidised rural network will be most at risk.
I can confirm that. The south-west of Scotland transport partnership’s written evidence to the committee indicates that it has put many of its bus contracts out to tender recently. The costs of the tenders that have come back have been substantially higher than previously. Obviously, the costs of running the services are increasing, so that puts pressure on local bus services. I was formerly in charge of transport in a council, and my experience was that cuts in public transport can have a major impact on communities and can cause a community reaction. I agree that education, health and other sectors are very important. However, if we get to the stage of people being unable to get out their door and go anywhere, there may be a reaction from the ground that might refocus priorities. That issue is not acknowledged at the moment because we have not quite got to that stage, but it will come.
When Alex Macaulay talked about active travel, he said that we should invest more in it. I am keen to look at the other side of that. In other words, where should we invest less? I appreciate Mr Macaulay’s point, but we all know that there will be large budget cuts. I acknowledge that the committee said in its report on active travel that national Government must take a lead. However, the RTPs also have strategies and priorities. Are there examples of good practice whereby RTPs have changed their priorities and looked at investing more—or less—to deal with the current circumstances?
The SEStran approach since November 2007 is possibly unique. It involves the local authorities being completely responsible for the provision of transport capital investment in their own area. We do not call that money into SEStran, then redistribute it. The local authorities have total autonomy over that money. In general, SEStran addresses the areas that our local authority colleagues find themselves unable to address. One of those areas is active travel. A significant budgetary allowance of about 20 per cent of our available regional transport strategy implementation budget has been allocated to active and sustainable travel initiatives. We are doing our best within a fairly limited budget environment. However, let me be clear that the local authorities have total autonomy in relation to how they choose to spend on transport investment.
I stress that I am talking now not just about active travel but about your whole remit. Are you looking at how things are changing?
My experience is that green travel plans can be successful if they are actively monitored and if the occupier of the building comes on board with the local authority, the regional transport partnerships or whoever.
We all recognise the huge benefits that the national concessionary travel scheme has brought to the people who are entitled to use it, and we should all applaud that. The difficulty is that it is becoming an expensive scheme to maintain. We are starting to look at the issue in the Highlands and Islands and intend to do some research on it. We have had some internal discussions, and hope that we can come up with something that all the councils in our area can sign up to as being best practice in the rural situation.
What will be the impact of the Scottish Government’s transport capital expenditure priorities—for example, the Forth crossing and the Aberdeen western peripheral route, which are large-scale capital infrastructure projects—on our capacity to deliver other capital projects, whether in the transport sector or elsewhere?