Neighbours of yours from Inchgarvie, on the other side of the field, made the same point to us last week. We put some points to Transport Scotland.
Basically, yes. As you go into the street, the first two houses are 2 and 4 Clufflat. Beyond them, you have 2, 4, 6, 8 and 10 Clufflat Brae. I am at number 8.
On the work that is taking place just now, I believe that a communication was sent out saying in general terms that some further exploratory work would be undertaken. When has that work been taking place during the course of the day?
I have not really paid attention. I have not put a time on it.
Has it started as early as 7 o’clock, for example?
No, it has started later in the day, but when—and, indeed, if—the bridge goes ahead, there is no guarantee that work will not be undertaken at 7 o’clock in the morning or later at night. That has been made perfectly clear by Transport Scotland, which has already opted out of any agreement to stay within a reasonable environmental timeframe in order not to disturb the community.
That was not my impression at all. Our communication or consultation with Transport Scotland was disappointing to say the least. I can understand that, in such a large engineering project, the intention might be to finish by 5 o’clock at night but something might go horribly wrong during the working day. I appreciate that the workmen might be forced to work until 7 or 8 o’clock simply because of logistics—otherwise, they might lose all the good work that they had done during the day and would have to start again. However, the impression that has been given to me and to many others is that Transport Scotland intends that working late at night will be a regular occurrence. That will disturb us continually.
Is that your primary focus of concern relating to the Human Rights Act 1998?
The peaceful enjoyment of my property and privacy is a major concern for me. I have a young family. They will lose the privilege of playing outside in the back garden. They will lose the peace and tranquillity that they currently enjoy. How will they be able to do simple things such as homework? They are both at primary school. Over the next seven years—by that time they will be in high school—and perhaps beyond, they will be disturbed every time that they sit down with a pencil in their hand. I do not find that acceptable.
We are pursuing those matters with Transport Scotland. It is obviously for Transport Scotland to communicate this, but the cost that we are talking about refers to the total contract price rather than just the cost of the bridge. The cost of the bridge is, I think, about £500 million or £600 million. The rest of the contract is for the major infrastructural changes to the roads on either side.
There was something else that I wanted to add.
I am slightly more familiar with the proposal that came from the Hopetoun estate on improving access to its own facility, but that is slightly different from what I thought you were talking about in your objection. That is helpful. Have you remembered the other point about the tunnel?
Good morning, Dr Summers. You state in your objection that the Forth Crossing Bill does not adhere to certain Scottish Government policies and current law. Have you expressed those views to Transport Scotland and, if so, what response did you receive?
I have spoken to Transport Scotland at meetings that were by invitation only and which were hosted by the Queensferry and district community council about the severance issues and the lack of cycle and walking provision to allow people to maintain access to the countryside. I raised those issues at the exhibitions that Transport Scotland held in Queensferry in November. At both points, the indication was that the appropriate way of addressing that issue was through the objections process—that is what I was told—and that Transport Scotland could not enter into discussions about it. Hence, I put it in my objection.
It took a considerable while. I got a verbal response two days later when I went back to the exhibition, but I was not allowed to take away the written response from the Transport Scotland representative, Frazer Henderson. I was told that it would be e-mailed to me by 13 December, but it arrived on 20 January.
What was the content of the response? Was it satisfactory? We are trying to find out whether people are more satisfied than they were, albeit that they are perhaps not satisfied with the process and the time that it took to get the answer.
No. The response reinforced my concerns, particularly on the cycle and pedestrian crossings at one particular point. One aspect of my objection is that the proposals are unsafe and do not adhere to Transport Scotland’s best practice guidelines in “Cycling by Design” or to guidelines from the Royal Society for the Prevention of Accidents on how to construct cycle and pedestrian facilities. The proposal is for probably the narrowest shared facility that could possibly be constructed, but it is a new bit of road and it could be constructed with a facility that is a reasonable width and fully segregated.
Have you written to Transport Scotland with your suggestions on how the proposals can be improved?
In essence, your suggestion is that a separate bridge is the way forward to deal with that particular part of your objection.
No, I have not conducted a survey. I would expect Transport Scotland to conduct an adequate survey. I know that it has done a small-scale count. I do not have sufficient time or resources, or the ability, to do a survey. I am involved in a local group and we held public meetings. The response from everybody at the public meetings was in support of the proposal in my objection. We have had public meetings with 250 or so people and collected their responses, but we have not done a formal robust survey, because we simply do not have any resources to do that.
No. The public meeting was held in December, so we did not have time to amass all the information to put into the objection. As you know, the objection period was very short and fell over the Christmas and new year period.
The figures in the Transport Scotland documents relate to various routes through local South Queensferry. On the routes that I refer to in my objection, Transport Scotland states that, according to its traffic modelling, traffic could rise by as much as 25 per cent. Given that, I can only assume that traffic will rise by that amount on those roads.
Transport Scotland’s modelling suggests that traffic overall will increase by 40 per cent. If you are saying, then, that traffic in South Queensferry will increase by 25 per cent, which is less than that—
There will have to be at least four signalised crossings over the motorway sliproads at the proposed new gyratory. I might be out cycling with my young family and have to try and control them on refuge islands in between those sliproads, which, for a start, does not seem particularly safe. Moreover, there will be the perceived unpleasantness and danger of trying to cross a road with two or three children with drivers approaching from different directions, slowing down and trying to look at their own traffic lights as well as take into account the signalised crossing that you are on. Of course, you will cross on demand, so you will stop traffic that does not expect to be stopped and when it is trying to merge with other traffic to get on to the motorways. Once across the gyratory, which will be dirty, noisy and polluted, you will have to go on to the A904, which has no cycle paths, before you can get back on to the old route. According to Transport Scotland’s modelling, the traffic on that part of the A904, particularly the heavy goods vehicle component, is predicted to increase vastly. The whole trip will be quite unpleasant and, once you get on to the A904, quite dangerous, particularly with children who are not necessarily secure.
We are aware of that, but we are also aware from initial contact with the City of Edinburgh Council that an alteration can be made. Transport Scotland told us that it is up to us to communicate with the council to determine what happens in local plans.
That would have been the correct time to deal with the matter.
It is probably worth while adding Queensferry Business Association’s view on the field. The field has two amenity values—it is a space in which to walk dogs or whatever and it provides a connection to the countryside. Queensferry benefits hugely from having good connections to the countryside from its periphery. If a huge road—in effect, a huge trench—is built across the field, that will be a barrier, which will mean that the amenity connection is lost. The issue is not just the field but everything that connects through to it.
The question is about how cut off Queensferry is from the countryside that is around it. Even if housing is built on the land, that will be more permeable than a four-lane motorway. Someone who lives on the edge of Queensferry can walk out into a field at the moment. If they have to walk through a few more streets before going out into a field, that will be much more permeable and provide more connections than a four-lane motorway would.
My questions are for Mr Tunnell. As I understand your objection, your members’ main concern is about the quality and quantity of consultation that was carried out before the bill was introduced. As you know, we have had weekly meetings with Transport Scotland. It has told us that, in general terms, comments about the scheme were taken into account and design changes were made as a result of the consultation. Why do your members believe that they were not adequately consulted?
In the early stages, designs were presented to our members and to Queensferry as a whole at an exhibition in January last year. The quality of the exhibition material was questionable in itself—it was certainly inaccurate—but we responded to the proposals in a fairly detailed response to Transport Scotland. Some of the issues that we raised were certainly absorbed by Transport Scotland, but some of them were completely ignored. We did not receive a direct written response. We saw certain evidence that Transport Scotland was heeding our objections or comments, or perhaps it was just a coincidence that some things changed. I am not convinced that there was a direct relationship between our comments and the changes.
The objection is to the overall nature of the scheme, which is inadequate and poorly designed. It is hard to focus on a specific issue. There are main issues. For example, we have called for the reinstatement of an M9 link as part of the proposals. Similarly to Dr Summers, we have called for better landscaping, better connections between roads and better pathways. However, as far as we are aware, those calls have not been heeded. They have certainly not been manifested anywhere thus far.
We are meeting Transport Scotland later, so we may discuss the points that you have raised.
During the supposed consultation process, we were advised to seek legal advice, if it was necessary to do so, from a specialist solicitor who deals with this type of law. Many of us approached specialist solicitors with some of the most respected companies in Edinburgh, and we received a similar response each time we spoke to someone, which was that they had already been engaged by Transport Scotland. They were not doing any work, but they had been put on reserve, so they could not act for us. It is not fair at all that Transport Scotland had engaged practically every specialist and we were left in isolation, without any proper legal representation.
My understanding of the Aarhus convention is that consultation has to allow people to make informed environmental decisions. As Will Tunnell said, in the exhibitions and in the documents associated with the bill, there was inaccurate information. The maps that were used were 10 or more years out of date. They indicated that there was more green space in Queensferry than there is. There are housing developments now where the maps say there is green space. That is inaccurate and contradictory. I found it difficult to make informed decisions because I could not find the right information. I have no background in considering bills, and I would suggest that it must be the same for the committee, when it is trying to make decisions, if it is faced with inaccurate, incomplete and inconsistent information. Decision making, not only for me, as a member of the public, but for my MSPs and the committee that is scrutinising the bill will be problematic.
We have a good cross-section of member businesses. We have not only hotels and restaurants but businesses that are not involved in tourism, such as retailers and service industry businesses. No type of business feels that it will be unaffected by the nature of the proposed works.
It is a marketing consultancy, so I help business services providers, such as management consultants and public relations consultants, to win new clients. I work in a networked way with other people who also work from home.
All my liaison with staff and clients is done through virtual meetings, phone calls and broadband—it is all electronic.
Objection 1 on page 1 of your submission refers to distraction levels. Can you expand on your concerns in relation to the nature of your business? How would a change in the number of vehicles passing impact on your ability to conduct your business?
Has Transport Scotland, to the best of your knowledge, done any modelling of changes in traffic movement patterns as a result of its proposal?
It might well have done; I would have thought that it would have had to. I went to a presentation at the Orocco Pier on the proposal and asked publicly what the traffic volumes would be down the Bo’ness road. At the end of the meeting, I went to one of the engineers who was sitting there as a back-up, gave him my name and details and asked him to e-mail me. I therefore had a commitment from one of the presenters at the meeting and from one of the more junior engineers to send me that information, but I did not hear anything.
No.
Have you approached it on that?
No, I have not. I assumed that, if there was to be provision, it would be the job of the committee and Parliament to incorporate it, but perhaps that was wrong.
I will go round all the witnesses to see whether they have anything further to say.
Am I not right in thinking that the approach to one side of the current bridge is a motorway? People have to drive on that motorway to get to the bridge.
Not the immediate approach to the bridge.
On the Fife side—
After going across the bridge into Fife, someone who does not have a full driving licence has about half a mile before they have to turn off.
I have a couple of points on the lack of adequate consultation. The consultation that has been undertaken has largely been non-inclusive. Transport Scotland has approached a narrow range of people. It is still happening. The Transport, Infrastructure and Climate Change Committee urged Transport Scotland to hold meetings with local community groups on the traffic modelling, and that was restricted to community councils. Other groups were explicitly excluded. Many of the so-called consultation engagement meetings were by invitation only. The consultation has not been as inclusive as the report says it has.
Thank you. Mr Sinclair, we have just heard from you, but would you like to add anything?
I have one thing to add. The project is huge and it deserves a thorough consultation process. We have had only one round of public consultation and, given the major changes in the proposal, that is not enough. The proposal should be consulted on in its revised form.
I am pleased to welcome our next witness, Martin Cullen, who is a senior lecturer from the school of the built and natural environment at Glasgow Caledonian University, a member of the Institution of Civil Engineers and a honorary fellow of the Chartered Institution of Civil Engineering Surveyors. You are here this morning to lend your expertise to the committee’s deliberations as a result of a number of things that we have discussed as we have gone along. What you will be able to tell us will be very helpful. I would be grateful if you would set out briefly your background and the professional qualifications and memberships that you hold.
I understand that you have been involved in some way with work on both the existing crossings.
On that basis, I imagine that you are fairly familiar with the topography of the estuary and everything.
Yes.
In the main, the consideration is the land and the topography, including the shape of the land, the height of the hills on either side and how safe the land is, such as whether there is any possibility of earthquakes—we have earthquakes in Scotland, mild though they are. You also have to consider what is below the surface—what the geology is like, how easy it is to access, how easy it is to mine and how predictable it is. Geologically, the area is extremely unpredictable.
I mean from the point of view of knowing what is there. You have to choose the line of the tunnel and whether it is a bore tunnel or a submerged tube tunnel. With a submerged tube tunnel, the construction takes place elsewhere. Then it is floated into position and sunk down. An example of that is what is happening in the Tyne at the moment. There are geological considerations in that approach, because the tunnel does not sit on the river bed; there has to be an excavation. We have to decide how easy it is to excavate, what level we excavate to and what line the tunnel will take. Numerous points have to be considered, mainly on the geology.
In short, it is not possible to lift one bridge or tunnel design and put it into another location, because the geology of every site is different. Even the bridge at Kincardine that was built recently is entirely different from the Forth bridge because it suits that site. The geology there is entirely different.
In what way?
I did not have a lot of time to consider that information, as I got it on Monday.
So you must future proof—to use the horrible jargon—any design by bearing in mind how easy it will be to maintain the bridge in the longer term.
Indeed. Once upon a time, people would just design a bridge and think that it was not their problem after it had been built, but health and safety legislation, such as the regulations on construction design and management, means that that is no longer the case. The designer has a legal responsibility to consider how a bridge will be maintained and how it can be demolished safely, which has caused many people to think more into the future. I am not saying that they did not think into the future previously, but they are certainly much more aware of and driven by the threat of legal action.
So building in wind proofing right from the start is the key to the bridge’s effectiveness.
If it is to be incorporated in the design, that should be done right at the beginning.
Both my other colleagues have some questions.
That is an interesting question. There is a gentleman at Westminster who would like to know the answer to it.
Yes.
Would you anticipate a similar situation arising with the new Forth crossing?
No?
I will explain why I was so direct in saying no. The failure of the Arc bridge was not the result of a design problem. There was a material problem. The end of each cable has a cast steel pin in it. One of those fractured and came down. It was fortunate that it did not hit anyone, but it made a significant mess of the crash barrier and the railing. When the engineers inspected the bridge they found that another hanger had a crack, so they were concerned that the problem could happen on any one of the hangers. They closed the bridge because they did not know what the probability was of that happening. The bridge could and would function while a cable was being replaced—that is not a problem.
Thank you for your helpful evidence.
It might be helpful if you could provide it at some point.
Yes. I am from the legal directorate, but Transport Scotland is one of the clients to which the legal directorate provides legal advice.
Ms Lyon, am I right in saying that, other than what you said about the Tesco case that you cited at the end of your previous comments, your statements about the various legal aspects are opinion and represent the Scottish Government’s interpretation of the various issues?
Yes, my comments related to an interpretation of the convention, its transposition into domestic law and the bill’s ECHR implications.
Were they not in the public domain at that stage?
I cannot answer that, but I think that Frazer knows the answer.
That is very generous.
I will leave that decision to the convener.
That would be very helpful, thank you.
I am an expert neither on tourism nor on South Queensferry, but my observation is that tourism there centres around the old town and the front, and it would be important if that area and access to it were disturbed. However, the construction activity will largely take place to the west of the existing bridge and junction, and the tourism area will be disturbed only as a result of additional construction traffic.
Thank you. Finally, throughout the evidence sessions, we have heard concerns about the consultation process. Did the peer review that you undertook address the consultation element of the scheme? Who sets the timeframes for consultation? That might be a bit of naivety on my part, but a number of witnesses have said that there were limited opportunities to get their concerns heard. Could we have a view on that please?
I will ask Frazer Henderson to address the peer review issue first.
Thank you for that comprehensive answer. I will come back to Mr Henderson in a minute, but first I want to touch on a couple of things that have been mentioned. Obviously, the promoter decided which audiences it would engage with in the consultation process, although that is fairly standard practice. At what stage were the groups identified that would be invited to particular consultation events? On what basis were groups excluded from those invitations?
I ask Anne-Marie Martin to deal with the general issue. I will then address the issue of having only seven days to reply.
We were always very careful about how we manned the consultations. Senior members—I mean those at the top of the tree—of our consultants were always at the meetings and they were also attended either by me or by the project manager. We wanted to ensure that no information that was provided by the communities was sifted out before we heard it. That is important, because the approach to the consultation was not to have a vote on what people liked in general, but to gather the information that the community had so that we could be apprised of it, consider it in our deliberations on the project and decide which suggested changes would be beneficial and which would not be beneficial.
I do not wish to speak too much for my colleagues, but the concern seemed to be that the compulsory purchase notification—in whatever form—was received before consideration of the bill started. Am I right about the timing?
That clarifies the situation much more.
There are two points. The first is about the design’s adequacy. The design must satisfy certain guidelines. We design in accordance with those requirements, which are quite generous. We must also design in accordance with the disability discrimination legislation. The geometry that we provide for the crossing will be subject not just to those design rules but to an audit to ensure that it is generous enough. The provision for cycles and pedestrians will be more than adequate and will satisfy the current design rules. I underscore that that is audited, so that is not an issue.
Thank you all very much.
My house is separated from the field by a fence. That field will be the construction site. We will have workmen looking into all the properties that back on to that field. We will be confronted with the noise, dust, pollution, rubbish and everything else that is associated with the construction.
I think that I can speak for the wider community here. Quite a lot of disturbance and inconvenience is caused not just to residents of South Queensferry but to people throughout the central belt of Scotland whenever the Forth road bridge is closed due to the least incident. High winds cause chaos. An accident causes chaos. I am not saying that a tunnel would negate accidents, but tunnels are not affected by high winds. I would not expect there to be the same degree of closures. Strategically, a tunnel is a much more sensible idea. It is much more environmentally friendly. You would not have to treat the road surface in the way that you would have to treat a bridge deck. I expect that it would probably be safer for people to construct a tunnel than to construct something hundreds of feet above sea level. I am gobsmacked that the tunnel option has not been pursued.
But, in essence, if I understand you correctly, the issue is the reliability of the crossing, which, if otherwise affected, creates a lot of difficulty for local residents, because of the dispersal of traffic. Is that what you are suggesting?
You were talking about the safety aspect of the construction of the tunnel and so on.
Think on it while we ask the next question; it might come to you.
We understand that discussions have taken place with the City of Edinburgh Council and the Hopetoun estate and that there is a desire to have an access road that can feed the Hopetoun estate for visits and events. We have been told that Hopetoun would be amenable to having the road go through the estate. It was an anecdotal comment more than anything else.
No.
There will be an opportunity to come back at the end when we do a round robin. If it comes to you, please feel free to raise it at that point. I will hand over to Joe FitzPatrick, who will ask questions of Dr Summers.
That point is taken, but you have now had time to look at the response. Has it addressed your initial concerns?
Dr Summers, you have made your position clear in relation to the cycleway, but do you have any substantive evidence to support the assertion that you made about most walkers and cyclists? For instance, have you conducted a survey or gathered evidence?
Are the views of the 200 or so people that you have enunciated contained or referred to in your full objection?
My objection sets out those figures. I could go and find them for you, if you like.
My question is more about why you expect traffic to increase.
Only on certain roads. Transport Scotland’s modelling covers trunk roads as well as the impact of the new roads on local traffic and people altering their routes. In South Queensferry, people who live east of the current bridge tend, if they are driving into Edinburgh, to go through the centre of South Queensferry and along the old Edinburgh Road to meet the A90 halfway into the city instead of driving west initially and joining the A90 at Echline. If, as is proposed, the Echline roundabout is moved further west, more people will find themselves on the east side and will drive through the centre of South Queensferry to get into Edinburgh. More local drivers will choose to alter their routes, leading to extra traffic along High Street, which is already single track in places and can get highly congested, and Station Road, which has two primary schools and a secondary school. The impact will be quite significant.
As part of our site visit, we saw the Echline fields, whose use as a recreational ground you mention—we saw people walking dogs and so on there. However, you will know that planning permission has been granted for housing on that land, so the recreational use will be lost. Is that understood in the community? Does the community know that, whether or not the bridge and roads are built, that use of the land will be lost, because it is zoned for housing and planning permission to build houses has been granted?
I understand that housing is not only in local plans but has been given planning permission. If the bridge and the new road are not constructed in that area, houses will be built there.
We understand that that situation could be altered. Cala had the initial rights, which have lapsed. That provides the potential for negotiations. We would like the issue to be included as part of the bill, rather than leaving it to communities to negotiate with the City of Edinburgh Council and to determine what green space is appropriate for South Queensferry.
Did the community object when the application for planning permission was made?
I do not know—I was not involved in that.
The point that Mr FitzPatrick tries to make is that that argument has been lost. The grant of full planning consent for housing on the land suggests that the debate is not about whether the land is available as an amenity but about what happens to the land under development.
Dr Summers, do you accept that a policy that is designed to cover the whole country probably has to be flexible to accommodate other needs—policy is not law and is usually flexible—and that pressing economic and development needs might be involved in this case? Do you argue against that?
You are painting a black-and-white picture. I agree that there has to be flexibility, but in whose terms is that flexibility determined and how far does it go? I would not describe completely ignoring a policy as flexible, but if you say, “We understand that the policy is less easy to implement in this area, so we will put measures in place to allow it to happen in other ways,” that is flexibility. If you say that a policy cannot happen in a particular area or for a particular population and that you will not do anything realistic or credible about it, that is not flexibility. That is ignoring the policy.
Thank you, Dr Summers. As I said to Mr Coyne, if you think of other things as we progress through the evidence this morning, you will have an opportunity to mention them at the end.
In section 4 of your objection, you mention the Aarhus convention, which has the status of an international treaty for the purposes of domestic law. Will you expand on your objection and set out why you feel that your rights have been infringed?
We have a right to meaningful consultation. The bill’s environmental statement sets out how consultation will be undertaken, but it has not been undertaken in that way. There has not been an iterative consultation process. We have a right to be consulted, but we have not been consulted adequately. I am not a lawyer but, according to my understanding of the clean and simple statements in the Aarhus convention, our rights have not been upheld.
I was not aware of that. Did you find any specialist lawyers whom you were able to consult, or was every one of them conflicted?
I could add something on Aarhus, or would you rather that I waited until the end?
Thank you for that comment.
We do not. The business association has not had the resources or time to undertake detailed surveys of its members. Similarly to Dr Summers, we would expect Transport Scotland or the Parliament to appoint somebody independent to undertake such surveys.
Are some of your members directly involved in providing tourism services? Presumably there will be a knock-on effect from the extra people in the village buying services.
Would it be fair to say that the comments in your submission were based on informal or formal discussions with your members, using their combined experience to take a leap into the future and work out how you think the market will go over the next six or seven years?
Will you give me some indication of the nature of the work that you do there?
You work on the internet or via conference calls and do not have numbers of people coming to your place of business. Is that correct?
It is just an analogy. I wanted to paint a clear picture of how I thought the consultation fell short of being adequate.
Okay. We have gone over this ground already, but I will set it out again. A proposal was presented and a consultation round took place. The problem is that the proposal was modified in significant ways but no further consultation round took place. For example, I went to a presentation at the Orocco Pier, at which stage we were told specifically that it was a presentation and not an invitation to give feedback. We were told that the engineers had not had time to run a second consultation round and they were calling a halt to the process. After the proposal was amended, I understand that the only local people who were invited to give feedback were those in the community council, who were given seven days to respond. I have two worries about that. First, seven days is not enough time in which to digest such a complex proposal, particularly as we are not professionals—we have neither the expertise nor the time to digest a proposal in that timescale—and, secondly, people on the community council are not the right people to understand the impact of the main change.
No. It becomes a motorway very quickly after the bridge, but—
There is no access.
There is no access.
Yes, there is.
There is. All right.
And someone can come on to the bridge that way.
The clerks tell me that they can.
I noted that point, which was quite a significant chunk of your submission.
Thank you. I am a senior lecturer at Glasgow Caledonian University. I have been a lecturer for more than 18 years. Prior to that, I was in the civil engineering industry for 13 years, so I have first-hand experience of both sides—the theoretical and the practical.
Yes. The company I worked for was Sir William Arrol & Co. Sir William gained his knighthood for the three bridges that were completed about the same time: the Forth, the Tay—the one that is still standing—and Tower bridge. I have to add that I was not in the company at that time, but we did some remedial work on the rail bridge and the existing road bridge.
We have discussed in earlier sessions with Transport Scotland—and in other evidence sessions today and previously—the potential alternative crossings and the choice between a bridge and a tunnel. What different challenges would have to be considered in determining whether the appropriate way forward was a bridge or a tunnel?
Thank you—that is helpful.
I will try not to use too many technical terms to explain this. The area at Kincardine is more an alluvial plain, which has been deposited by the action of the Forth over millions of years. It is relatively soft and not particularly good for load bearing, so the load has to be dispersed over a much larger area. In the area of the Forth bridge there is a mix of igneous or volcanic rock and sedimentary rock. It is mainly rock. There is strong rock on either side and strong rock under the river, which can take substantial supports. That does not apply further up the river, and you cannot assume that what happens on one side of the river is the same as what happens on the other side.
Thank you. It is useful to get comparisons with other projects.
You touched on my final question earlier. I am sure that you have had an opportunity to study the information that has been given to the committee on the engineering challenges of the proposed new crossing. Bearing in mind that the committee is not comprised of civil engineers, do you have any observations to make on the information in those documents? If test boring indicates that things will be much more complicated than was thought, for example, that will affect the cost of the project and the time that it takes to complete it.
My final point—I know that we are running out of time—is again on future proofing and relates to the important issue of wind proofing. Do you have any observations on that?
Particularly on the Forth, wind speed is a disturbance factor. The closer a bridge is to the sea and the less interruption there is between a bridge and the sea, the more likely it is that the bridge will experience high winds. Another factor is the topography of the Forth, which is a rather wide estuary with hills on either side that act as a funnel. Anyone who has tried to cross the existing bridge in high winds will know about that funnelling effect, so I would say that wind proofing is essential.
David Stewart touched on the uncertainty surrounding inflation and suggested that PPP might provide more certainty but, of course, with a PPP contract the unit charge would be index linked, so the uncertainty would be tied in for a much longer period—up to 30 years. Is there any way of providing certainty on inflation costs, particularly with a contract that will last for five or six years?
Yes. For example, the cost of reinforced concrete will be dependent on the cost of cement. We can produce cement here, but we can also import it from across the globe reasonably easily. Aggregate is reasonably cheap because we have a huge quantity of it in Scotland. The potential for the cost of aggregate to fluctuate depends on the labour charges and fuel costs, but unless there is a huge rise in the price of oil, the cost of aggregate will not change very much. The cost of certain items will fluctuate a little but not a great deal, but the cost of others, such as stainless steel and aluminium, is way out of anyone’s control.
Thanks very much. That was helpful.
Perhaps you could do so illustratively, rather than comprehensively.
Yes.
We heard evidence this morning that a number of the objectors had tried to seek an opinion from Edinburgh-based professional legal practices that have expertise in these matters. The objectors indicated to us that none of the practices with the necessary level of expertise would take on their case because Transport Scotland has them all on retainers. First, is that correct? Secondly, if that is the case, why is one of those retained lawyers not here today?
I will do so, but I can tell you that it will not be anywhere near 16 hectares.
So that interpretation would be as open to challenge by, say, some lawyer sitting in the room as any other legal opinion.
It is possible that other lawyers would have a different opinion.
That is a difficult question to answer because I do not quite understand it. However, let me help to explain. We have consulted two law firms. One of them is DLA Piper, which provides us with land services and acts for us on a contractual basis. We have another solicitor, Dundas & Wilson, to which we have access on certain planning matters. Other than that, we have not commissioned any solicitors.
They were reported back to the project board members at the time and were then taken forward into the project.
Thank you. That is helpful.
That does not answer the question.
You seem to be suggesting that a deadline was created at ministerial level, which meant that you were pushed for time to meet the deadline for a 2017 opening ceremony for the crossing, whichever crossing it happens to be and if it comes into existence.
No, but that is exactly what happened. There was an oversight in notifying the Scotstoun residents that a very small parcel of land that the estate held in common would be affected. Once we realised that they had not had prior notification of that, Mike Glover and I went out to meet them in South Queensferry. We hosted a meeting at which we gave a full explanation of the scheme and conveyed our apologies for the late notification. That was followed up by two days during which residents came to speak to me individually at South Queensferry.
It is worth dwelling on the amount of consultation that has taken place and which continues. I have jotted down dates between August and December last year on which I attended 17 public relations events. Such consultation has not stopped. We have the objections now and we are considering the issues that they raise. As a result, we are taking the opportunity to look and look again at our proposals. Some changes can be made to the proposals, which will be brought forward.
The proposals make quite a lot of provision for cycling, such as the increased width of the new bridge to carry the B800 over the road, the arrangements at Echline corner and the continuance of Society Road under the bridge.
For clarification, when you refer to Echline are you referring to the existing Echline junction, not the junction at Echline corner?
Good morning and welcome to the sixth meeting in 2010 of the Forth Crossing Bill Committee. If anyone has a mobile phone or BlackBerry, please ensure that it is switched off, so that it does not interfere with equipment.
Thank you for inviting me to speak to the committee. I feel very strongly about the breach of privacy, in particular. The construction of the proposed bridge will involve many years of work and the proposed construction area is practically outside my back garden and the back gardens of many other residents who live round about me. The peaceful enjoyment of property to which people are entitled will be gone for the duration of the construction period. Privacy will also be gone. People do not particularly like to have people looking into their garden regularly; nor do they like the peace and quiet that they enjoy to be disturbed.
Does your back garden look on to the construction area?
I do not know whether Transport Scotland has said this to you, but it has said to the committee that the extended hours would be used to facilitate getting workmen to the site, particularly when they are working in the estuary. That will allow them to start work within what might be regarded as normal timescales. Has Transport Scotland communicated to you a similar sense of how it plans to operate?
Yes, it causes a lot of heartache for local residents when South Queensferry has to consume the traffic that is trying to escape the tailback from the Forth road bridge. With regard to the tunnel—I am sorry, but I have lost my train of thought.
So you got a response, although it might have taken a while.
The answer provided some details on where the cycleways and footpaths will go and it confirmed which document was the correct one. However, given that there was a 60-day consultation period and it took Transport Scotland 54 days to respond, that did not give me much time to make any sort of informed analysis. Moreover, I was the only person who was given the information—it was not disseminated.
I have not written directly to Transport Scotland, but I put my suggestions in my objection. My understanding from Transport Scotland is that that is the appropriate means by which to address the issue and that it will consider the objection and get back to me. I have not heard anything back yet.
Absolutely—yes.
Your submission refers to an increase in the traffic coming through the streets of South Queensferry. How have you reached that conclusion?
You say that the proposed approach to the crossing will sever South Queensferry from the countryside and other settlements and that such severance will not be “mitigated by ... signalised crossings”. How will the approach be a barrier?
I believe that planning permission was granted a considerable time ago.
Is there one major objection to the bill that unites everyone in your association and fills you all with great concern?
They all appeared to have been engaged by Transport Scotland. They could not advise us because there would be a conflict of interest.
Go ahead.
We get a lot of anecdotal evidence. We have a lot of meetings and have been trying to spread information about what Transport Scotland proposes round our members because we know that they are concerned about it. They have asked us to engage with the process.
Hugh O’Donnell will put questions to Mr Sinclair.
Good morning, Mr Sinclair. I note from your submitted objection list that you work in a wooden cabin.
I do indeed.
Most of the day, I do not find cars coming past distracting. There comes a point—I do not know whether it is just me or whether it is the same for people generally—when the frequency of cars coming past becomes distracting. That point comes at rush hour, when cars pass once every five or 10 seconds or whatever it is. At that point, it starts to divert my attention. I do not know why it is, but when cars come past only once every minute or every couple of minutes, they stay in the background of my consciousness, but when they are very frequent it starts to divert my attention. Currently, that kind of frequency is generally leading up to 8 o’clock or 8.30 in the morning—between 7 and 8, say—and again in the early evening. I go into the house at those times and have my breakfast and my tea, which means that I can avoid those times. The worry is that, if traffic levels are much higher—in other words, if the total volume of traffic per day is much greater—there will be other periods during the day when the frequency of cars coming past increases to that distracting level.
We will come on to some of the other points that you have made in your objection shortly.
Your objection to the whole bill relates to the consultation process. You outline a number of remedies. I notice that your analogy refers to the Parliament carrying out this road construction. For clarity, I should point out that it is not the Parliament that is carrying out that construction; it is a proposal by ministers that is being taken forward by Transport Scotland. I know that that seems a bit pedantic, but it is worth pointing out.
Would you like to outline your view now for the record, perhaps not using the same analogy?
Thank you. We now have that on the record.
Thankfully, the matter that slipped my mind earlier has come back to me. I mentioned it in my objection. In this day and age, the suggestion that the new bridge should have motorway designation is incredible. I cannot see how it fits in with any environmental policy, particularly given that, when the new bridge opens, the present Forth bridge will not be used by the public but will be limited to public transport. Anyone who wants to drive from the Lothians to Fife will have to take a 40 or so mile detour through Kincardine. Also, learner drivers will not experience driving across the bridge if it is restricted to motorway traffic. Other traffic is also restricted from using the motorway—
Yes. They would use the North Queensferry turn-off. They can do that.
They definitely can.
Right.
From an environmental perspective, it is lunacy to disperse car traffic across the Forth estuary away up to Kincardine. Car traffic should be able to cross the new bridge.
It will cut families off. Some older people do not like to drive on motorways; I know that from personal experience, although I am not suggesting for a minute that I am among that older group. Families are separated by the Forth and some older people will not be able to drive to visit their families. I know of examples although I will not go into it because they are personal cases, but I know that it is a fact.
I have got the picture.
I agree with everything that Dr Summers said about the consultation process.
On that note, Dr Summers, gentlemen, I thank you all very much.
Do you mean from the point of view of building a tunnel?
The project that we are considering is essentially three projects—the north and south connections and the bridge element itself. What do you think has to come first in the planning of those projects—the ability to connect at either side, or the location of the crossing itself?
That is an interesting question. Any engineering project of this size involves compromise. There is never an exact answer. There are always losses, which have to be balanced against the gains.
That, too, was fascinating.
As you will know, Mr Cullen, we have taken evidence for a number of weeks. One issue has been the overall cost of the project, which is the biggest public sector contract since devolution. There have been worries about cost overruns and who will bear the effect of inflation. Those may be questions for others to answer, but I am interested in getting your engineering expertise on some of them—the convener has touched on a couple already.
A contract can be created in a variety of ways. It can be cost plus, which means that, whatever the contractor spends, it then gets a profit. That is a highly unlikely choice. The other extreme is a fixed price, in which the contractor receives a lump sum irrespective of what happens. That also brings problems.
There is a wider question on which we would welcome your comments. Historically, there have been lots of worries about transport projects. Generally, they have overrun, and as I said there are also worries about who bears the costs of inflation—in this case it will be the taxpayer, while other models, such as the public-private partnership model, take a different view. One issue that we raised with Transport Scotland is that the inflation rate for materials is much higher than the retail prices index inflation rate. That is a worry, as historically that has been a big factor.
The client must have faith. I will not be too pernickety about the structure that we are sitting in, but too many people changed their opinions on it. That was what the report on it found. Too many people put in opinions and there were too many changes. When a contract is signed between the contractor and the engineer, the contract is established, and it is highly unlikely that there will be much variation outwith its terms and conditions. When a change comes in, that changes the game; it adds confusion to the contract.
Yes. It is normal for numerous factors to influence the cost of concrete, for instance. It is not simply a case of buying cement and aggregate, adding water and mixing it all up. How do those things get there? How does the concrete form its shape? How will that be done? How will the workers get access? That will involve scaffolding and crane reach. Many things have to be considered. There are numerous databases in the construction industry for getting a standard rate for the cost of concrete that take all those factors into account, and they will give an average cost of so many pounds per cubic metre for that type of construction in a particular environment. Once there is a design and the number of cubic metres of the item that is needed is calculated, a reasonable indication of the most probable cost can be found, although it will not be precise.
That was useful. I will pass you back to the convener.
The cost of those items could go down as well as up.
I have two quick points. You mentioned the Arc bridge in Glasgow and said that it was easy to maintain. Am I right in thinking that it was closed to effect a repair?
No.
Thank you, you have made that clear. My second question is much more general. You have been involved in a number of big projects, so you will also have been involved in the consultations around those projects. Have you experienced a case in which major changes were made after the initial consultation, so a second consultation had to take place?
I am sorry, I cannot answer your question—I would only be guessing. My side of the business was the construction side, rather than the planning and design side.
We move on to our third and final panel this morning. I welcome our regular visitors from Transport Scotland: John Howison; Mike Glover; and Frazer Henderson. I also welcome Anne-Marie Martin, project policy and communications manager at Transport Scotland; and Caroline Lyon, a divisional solicitor in the Scottish Government legal directorate.
I assume that those are questions for me. I noted three strands to what you asked—if I have got that wrong, no doubt we can come back to the issue. You asked, first, about the legal context for the introduction of the bill; secondly, how the bill complies with the law in domestic, EU and European convention on human rights terms; and thirdly, about the difference between qualified and absolute rights under ECHR.
How many hectares of trees will come down as a result of the project?
I do not know that figure but I do not believe—
Fine.
Thank you for that very comprehensive response. The committee will want to spend a little time with the Official Report once it is published to digest and reflect on those comments.
The policy memorandum contains a synopsis of the assessment that we undertook; however, that is drawn primarily from the environmental statement. Chapter 20 of the statement, which is, I understand, called “Policies and plans”, presents a review and assessment of national, regional and local policies as they relate to the potential impacts of the proposed scheme. Although the assessment in the environmental statement shows that the scheme is largely compliant with all those policies, it raises particular issues about policies on the greenbelt, which is a planning prescription; on cultural heritage matters; and, in light of the Climate Change (Scotland) Act 2009, on carbon.
Mr Henderson, you mentioned that you will be planting 16 hectares of trees.
That is helpful. I have another point, which is perhaps more for Transport Scotland. Am I right in saying that Ms Lyon is from the Government?
Thank you for that clarification. We may follow up those observations with the objectors in writing to get a clearer idea of what they told us this morning.
I am speaking second hand on this matter. When the Forth project started, I was involved in the project board. I retired from that in 2007 and I rejoined the project as project director in 2008. The peer reviews were carried out at a time when I was not specifically involved—I understand that they were done in June and October 2007. They were carried out by four individuals with specific skills and experience: David Orr, who initially was one of the directors in the Northern Ireland road services office and latterly was director of the Northern Ireland procurement office; Professor Quentin Leiper, who was at the time president of the Institution of Civil Engineers; Mr Ingmar Björnsson, who was former director of the Øresund crossing project; and James Stewart, who was then chief executive of Partnerships UK. They were to consider the fitness for purpose of the project objectives, the robustness of the process followed up to the time, the project definition and scope, the definition and proposed management of the programme risks, and the project governance structures. They came out with a significant number of observations and recommendations.
Have the observations and recommendations been incorporated?
Like John Howison, I was not in Transport Scotland at the time. The recommendations went forward and informed the ministerial decision in December 2007, and they are now in the public domain. We received a request for them in 2008 and we put them in the public domain as a consequence of that. Although the material was restricted advice to ministers, there was such a public interest in it that it is now in the public domain.
If the committee wants to see the recommendations, I can supply the notes via the clerk.
One witness mentioned the current tourism and visitor benefits to South Queensferry and expressed concern that the building of the proposed crossing will have an adverse effect on those during and, potentially, after completion. Have you any comments to make on that?
The peer review recommendation that was made in 2007 was that there had been a good start on communications for the project, but that should be maintained throughout the life of the project. So, there was a clear emphasis on maintaining that good start. Anne-Marie Martin will give you an overview of where we have gone from 2007 to date.
My colleagues have already mentioned the distress purchase nature of the project. From December 2007 to November 2009, there was a hive of activity. An early assessment was made of how we would put consultation at the core. Essentially, for the project to be delivered successfully, we had to ensure that we put consultation at its very heart. The best-practice guidelines also recognised that the consultation had to be meaningful, so we had to assess the aspects of the project on which we could consult, and those on which consultation would not be meaningful.
It was regrettable. That is the term.
Although, as has been touched on, we identified the people whom we wished to consult, that happened as part of a continual process. People were continually coming forward: groups that did not previously exist formed and made themselves known to us, or we perhaps discovered from the community council that they existed. We were constantly adding to the list of people with whom we were engaging and consulting, which were those whom we knew about and wanted to ensure were involved in the process. We never actively excluded anyone. In effect, we tried to give the community councils a statutory role.
It is not about an opening ceremony; it is about avoiding a closing ceremony of the existing bridge without something else being in place.
Okay. We are getting tight for time. We have heard evidence this morning that a number of residents received letters notifying them of compulsory purchase orders on—if my memory serves me correctly—15 November, which was at least one day before the publication of the bill. Was that presumptuous, accidental or deliberate and, if it was the last of those, why?
I do not, except to say that we have reviewed the Scotstoun situation and I think that, by a slight realignment of the road, we can avoid the land.
It was not a compulsory purchase notification. Before the bill was introduced, we were obliged under parliamentary rules to notify people whose interests would be directly affected of that fact. When that notice was sent to those individuals, it was brought to our attention that we had not consulted the Scotstoun residents.
I am sorry that those questions took so long, but I was concerned to address issues that were raised in the previous evidence session. Thank you for your forbearance.
I have a quick question about evidence that we heard earlier. Dr Summers expressed concern about the narrow provision for cycling around Queensferry. Did you hear what she said? Is there room for compromise on that?
Yes.
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