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Good morning. I open the 17th meeting in 2010 of the Education, Lifelong Learning and Culture Committee. We have received apologies from Ken Macintosh, who is running a little late, although he hopes to join the committee during our first agenda item. I am pleased to welcome Des McNulty to the meeting.
Thank you for the chance to make these opening remarks, and for the opportunity to come to the committee and discuss the school building programme, which is a significant investment priority for the Government.
Thank you for your opening comments. I am sure that the committee has several questions for you.
No. The whole programme so far involves 55 schools, 35 of which we have announced—I broke that down into secondary schools, primary schools and one special school. The rest remain to be announced.
So you reannounced today what had been said before—we knew that we would have those 35 schools.
I said in my introduction that the SFT announced today the exact funding for each council and for each school. That was not a reannouncement but a new announcement.
So a new announcement was not made—you just clarified how much money would be provided. That is helpful.
It is not possible to answer that exactly at this stage because, although we have a fair idea of which schools are likely to be new builds or refurbished, we are going through a process whereby the Scottish Futures Trust talks to each council about its preferences. I am well aware that the preference in the past—usually led by developers—was for new builds, because they are easier for developers. We will ask each council what it wants for its area, so we must await the final discussions between the SFT and the councils before we have the breakdown between refurbs and new builds.
What is the timescale for those discussions? You have made it clear to the committee this morning that one secondary school and one primary school will be built. How long will we have to wait for the other 33 schools?
I talked about the first schools—plenty of other projects will happen at the same time. As I said in my introduction, the individual timescales vary by council, simply because each council must make its contribution. Councils will contribute one third of a secondary school’s cost and one half of a primary school’s cost.
Is it not the case that the minimum lead-in time before work can start on the average secondary school—whether it is being rebuilt or refurbished—is two years? It will be a minimum of two years before a blow is struck on the sites for all the schools that you mentioned, whether they are being refurbished or rebuilt.
As I said, substantial work has been done—we are not going from a standing start. Discussions have taken place with the Scottish Futures Trust. Yes—projects have a lead-in time. My experience as a councillor was that it took five and a half years from the first Administration’s involvement to build the first school. We expect to beat such a timescale.
You explained the calculation of the funding that has been awarded to local authorities for each project—the Government will provide roughly 50 per cent of the funding for primaries and two thirds of the funding for secondary schools. What discussions have gone on with local authorities about whether the funding should be based on like-for-like replacement or whether schools and local authorities should be able to factor in issues such as population growth, shared campuses and community hubs?
When we started the programme we made it clear that it was on the basis of like for like in terms of a school’s roll and capacity. We discussed the matter with COSLA and individual councils. However, we asked the Scottish Futures Trust to be flexible in the application of that principle. If a council wants to provide a hub or community school, or to add facilities that were not present in the previous school, we have said that we are perfectly willing for that to happen.
Local authorities will therefore be responsible for paying for additional facilities. Is not that a missed opportunity? I would have thought that we would not want to replace on a like-for-like basis. We do not want to replace an old, crumbling building that was designed 50, 60 or 100 years ago and is no longer fit for purpose with a school that will not be fit to deliver the new curriculum for excellence. You are putting a major burden on innovative and forward-thinking local authorities by not being willing to pick up the cost.
Let me make clear again that we will not approve any building that is not fit to deliver curriculum for excellence.
You said that nothing will preclude a council’s taking an innovative approach, but you will certainly not pay for that. The previous Administration paid for new community hubs and schools throughout the country, but your programme is much more restrictive and will just replace like for like without allowing councils to build the new community hubs and centres of excellence that we want.
I make an important point. The previous Administration did not pay for anything; the taxpayer paid for the schools. It was also the case that more resources were available at the time. A lot of mistakes were made in the previous programme, some of which are evident in the early PFI schools. We learned from that experience and we must live within the resources that we have.
You said that it is entirely up to local authorities to fund additional facilities if they think that local needs are such that replacement on a like-for-like basis is not the best option. Have you an indication of whether local authorities will be able to do that?
Yes. A number of school refurbishment projects outwith the Government’s programme are being taken forward by councils. Some of those projects include the provision of additional facilities—that was the case before and it is the case now. The money that has been made available for this has not been hidden; it has been publicly accounted for in the Government’s budgets and accounts. However, it is limited. After all, the moneys available to us have been substantially cut and putting more finance into something beyond school provision and, indeed, beyond the role and capacity of schools would inevitably leave less available for other councils. As a result, we believe that the most equitable way of going about this is to provide the basic funding for replacement or refurbished schools and to ensure that the same educational opportunities exist in improved facilities for the required number of pupils.
So allocations are made on the basis that every local authority gets something, which means that we are not actually tackling the schools in greatest need.
The schools that we have identified for replacement are, according to obvious criteria and assessments by the councils themselves, the worst in the country and most in need of replacement, and the Government’s priority is to try to lift pupils out of some of our schools that are in the worst condition.
Although Clyde Valley high needs to be refurbished, you might well discover that it is not the only school in north Lanarkshire that falls into that category. Probably another 100 schools are in an equally bad position and require work to be done on them.
Partly, it has to be said, because of a constituency interest, I am interested in looking at alternative ways of financing new school buildings other than public-private partnerships. In that respect, are you able to say anything about what has been happening in Moray, Orkney and the Western Isles, where a slightly different approach has been taken?
You are quite right to say that what is happening in those three areas is perhaps different from what is happening in the main school building programme, because non-profit-distributing trusts, special purpose vehicles and so on have been involved. Moray Council received an indicative offer of support from the then Scottish Executive on 21 December 2004. Although the schools programme was originally conceived as a conventional PFI project, it was very quickly discovered that the council could not deliver it on that basis and it was agreed that it be switched to an NPD delivery model that, unlike PFI, caps returns to the private operator. The project went to procurement in 2008; a preferred bidder was appointed in November 2009; and the council hopes to reach financial close within the next few weeks.
Have any other local authorities shown interest in the special purpose vehicle model? Are there lessons to be learned from it for local authorities elsewhere in the future?
That is part of the Scottish Futures Trust’s continuing work. It is involved in discussions with the three councils that I mentioned to ensure that they get the best possible value for money out of the projects involving a special purpose vehicle or a non-profit-distributing trust. The Scottish Futures Trust is doing substantial work on that model and may produce something along those lines for application in other councils, but the three councils that I mentioned are the most advanced with those models.
Is the model applicable only in situations in which councils feel that they are unable to get private involvement or is it more widely applicable than that? Do you envisage that it will be investigated for wider use?
I am not sure about the special purpose vehicle. However, the non-profit-distributing trust eliminates certain features of PPP that we find unacceptable—in particular, the high profits that are often made. Also, the supposed transfer of risk under PPP was a bit illusory. For example, when the PPP schools project in East Lothian failed, it became evident that the council tax payer or the taxpayer would pick up the ultimate bill. To the extent that those models—in particular, the non-profit-distributing trust—start to eliminate some of the worst aspects of PPP, they may be more widely applicable throughout Scotland, rather than just in the areas that I mentioned.
Minister, you said in response to the convener that local councils are best able to decide what their local circumstances demand. Will you give us some background on the pilot project that is taking place with Midlothian Council and East Renfrewshire Council? Why does the Scottish Futures Trust have to be involved in that?
The reason, in essence, is that it is a pilot to find out whether two different authorities can collaborate. There are similarities in size between the two authorities concerned, but they are in different parts of the country.
A press release in, I think, March identified a possible saving of £2 million in that new venture. Will you give a little bit of background on where that £2 million would be saved? Is it simply in the bidding costs being driven down or are there other factors that you think would save a lot of money?
Yes. The other factors will be that the councils concerned will be able to draw on the latest advice on architecture and design. For example, they will be able to draw on advice on problems and imperatives in acoustics.
If you are right, the pilot will be taken up by other local authorities that want to do the same thing so that they can drive down costs. How confident are you that that process will still preserve the needs of local authorities to identify any special circumstances that they might have? Do you think that the pilot will be rolled out across Scotland?
Yes, I do. In my experience, councils have been crying out for that additional support for a long time, although probably less so in the larger councils that felt that they had the capacity to accommodate very large PPP projects. Given that 77 per cent of pupils are now in good or satisfactory schools, which reduces the number that are left to be replaced, councils will continue to find it attractive to work together and to have the SFT as a central point to which they can go for advice and support. In my experience, many councils have wanted that for a long time.
Are we talking about new builds or refurbishment? I can see that there might be some areas in which that might not be quite so attractive for refurbishments.
I am not so sure about that. One thing that has inhibited refurbishment, even when it is the best alternative, is the fact that the project can be more difficult. First, there is the issue of decant, which can be quite disruptive to children’s education. Sometimes a refurbishment project can be more difficult than a straightforward new building. The advice that the SFT can give about refurbishments will be valuable to those councils, especially when it taps into Architecture and Design Scotland. As has been said, each council will make decisions according to its local needs, so I cannot be sure, but perhaps they will start to look more favourably on refurbishment in the future. The Scottish Futures Trust will be applicable in those circumstances as well.
The convener made a point about the huge and uneven demographic changes in different areas of Scotland. That could have an implication for contracts under the joined-up working that you are talking about. How much has that been taken into consideration by local authorities? Will local authorities co-operate with one another if they are experiencing similar demographic changes, or will that depend on the school’s local circumstances?
There is bound to be a baseline at which we will have to provide certain schools in certain areas, but you are right to say that demographic change is going on. We are going through the process just now, and the Scottish Futures Trust is in discussion with each individual council. When I said to the convener that we are talking about a like-for-like basis, there is a degree of discussion about future school rolls and, in particular, the question of sufficiency for future needs. There will still be a need for certain schools to be provided in certain areas.
As the minister said, these issues are for discussion between the SFT and each council. The flexibility around the school roll or the projected school roll has been built in from the beginning. We expect the SFT to discuss that constructively with each authority, and those discussions are taking place.
So you are absolutely confident that there is a variety of opportunities to invest in a way that is applicable to the circumstances of individual councils rather than taking a broad umbrella approach.
That must be the case. There needs to be scope for local flexibility, while taking into account the quantum of the whole investment programme. As the minister said, if more money is given to one authority or to one school, that limits the investment that can be made in other schools or authorities. However, there needs to be flexibility and it has been built into the programme from the beginning.
Although the programme has that flexibility, standardisation is still quite important because it can help to drive down costs. The SFT is also looking at where standard things can be provided across the country. Obviously the more standardisation that we have, the more efficiencies we can find, but that is not a hard-and-fast rule. We want to keep an eye on it because it is good for value for money, but the programme will be driven by local needs.
To what degree could progress on the school estate be stalled by current financial conditions such as, for example, the likely reductions in Scotland’s budget in the years ahead?
Progress has already been stalled. We would like to have gone much further; I think it was the convener who mentioned that hundreds of thousands of pupils are in substandard accommodation.
The minister mentioned borrowing consent. The Northern Ireland Assembly has borrowing consent for £2.5 billion, while Scotland has zero. What impact would the granting of borrowing consent have on the school estate programme? The figure would be pro rata; Scotland has a population almost three times that of Northern Ireland. What would be the impact if we gained such powers in the next year or so?
From a rough and ready calculation based on the figures that Kenneth Gibson has given, £7.5 billion would potentially be available through borrowing—if the Government wanted to borrow all that money at one time, which would obviously have revenue implications.
A few weeks ago I asked a parliamentary question about the extent of PPP and PFI debt that is accruing to the Scottish Government. I understand that it is around £26.7 billion, with repayments increasing year on year. What impact does that have on the Scottish Government’s ability to deliver new schools?
That is an important point. There is evidence that education expenditure in local authorities is growing, in terms of what is spent on pupils, teachers, materials and so on. That debt is an increasing call on those resources, and it is the first call: a council’s first contractual obligation is to pay for the legacy of PPP schools, if it has them. That comes straight out of the education budget.
Of course, not every school that has been built is a PPP school. In my constituency, two schools were opened in the same year. Both had a capacity of about 350. The PPP school cost £45 million and the other school, which was built using traditional procurement methods, cost £14 million. What is the Government doing to track investment that councils have made in the school estate, by whatever funding method, including traditional procurement methods?
One of the main means of tracking is the cheques that have to be signed—the Government pays a large proportion of the costs. We speak to all local authorities to get an idea of what their investment has been. Not all the investment is made as a result of PPP projects. Councils have built and refurbished their own schools outwith previous Governments’ programmes.
Can you give any examples of large investment that councils are making at the moment that is outwith either PPP or the Scottish schools investment programme?
Yes. The right page in my briefing note has miraculously appeared. There are quite a few such examples. It is not surprising that the larger councils are the ones that are undertaking larger projects. North Lanarkshire Council is spending £200 million on new build and refurbishment across the school estate up to 2013. That sits outwith either previous PPP projects or the ones that we have announced. South Lanarkshire Council has a primary schools modernisation programme of £850 million for 108 new schools over 15 years. Fife Council, under the building Fife’s future programme, has announced £126 million spend over 10 years on six new schools. I should say that we have increased capital allocations to councils, which have helped with those programmes, too. Renfrewshire Council announced a £92 million community infrastructure programme on 25 June last year, which includes about £55 million for school projects. Highland Council is investing around £88 million in schools in the region over four years, which will see five new primary schools being built. Quite a lot is happening outwith the central Government-supported programmes, whether PPP or the new ones.
I noticed that you were very keen to highlight the failings of PPP and its expense. However, North Lanarkshire Council has carried out an analysis of the cost of PPP versus the SFT. It believes that the cost to it of using the SFT for one school would be in the region of 41 per cent more than the arrangements that it currently has for its 24 new PPP schools. What would you say to North Lanarkshire Council about that?
I would have to see the basis on which the council has made that statement, because it has not made such a statement to me or provided me with the figures. It would certainly jar with my experience. It is true to say that things are different for larger councils, which have always been more able to undertake such programmes—Glasgow City Council is another case in point—because of their scale, but they have not been suitable for every single council. I think that North Lanarkshire Council is one of the councils that is paying higher costs for its PPP programme, which crowds out opportunities for future investment and resources for schools. The council’s gross revenue expenditure for 2008-09 was £339 million, which included £15.4 million on PFI unitary payments, of which we provided £9.71 million.
It is obvious that you believe that. Has an academic study been done on the costs of PPP versus SFT? If so, will you share that information with the committee?
I am happy to provide the committee with any information that we have. Academic studies have been undertaken at the University of Edinburgh. Unison undertook a good study on the costs of PPP. I do not have those studies with me, but I recollect that they showed that the level of profit and the lack of risk transfer—a much-vaunted feature of PPP—were fundamental problems with PPP.
Has the Scottish Government done a cost benefit analysis on SFT?
Yes. We think that there are substantial savings—
Will you provide that information to the committee?
Yes. We can pass that to the committee.
Thank you.
I will ask about the concern that a two-tier estate will be created. When the committee previously took evidence on school buildings, concern was expressed—you acknowledged it in an earlier answer—that schools that have maintenance contracts would be protected from local authority cuts to school maintenance budgets. Are you concerned about that? Will that problem emerge if local authority spending is restricted? If so, what can the Scottish Government do to address it?
First and foremost, the question is for local authorities, which should not propose projects whose maintenance they cannot fund in future years. That is being partially addressed in the school estate strategy, which I have mentioned.
Concerns have been raised not just about the new schools that an authority might build but about whether the maintenance costs that are associated with the existing school estate are seen as an area where reductions could be made or whether PPP schools will be protected. We have had recent reports from parent councils about the sums that they are raising within schools and what that money is being spent on. In some cases, it is going towards maintenance costs and improving the fabric of the building. What is the Government’s view on parents making contributions to maintenance costs? Do you think that that is appropriate? Do you have concerns about the cuts that might be made to the existing school estate’s maintenance costs?
From my experience in an education authority, I am not aware that that is any more of a feature now than it has been in the past. All I can say is that councils should not be making proposals for either refurbishments or new builds that they are not confident that they can maintain. That is mainly to ensure the proper education of pupils but also because it is not sound investment practice. Through the school estate management plan we are putting in place, jointly with councils, proper management procedures so that maintenance can be carried forward. It should not be the case that parents have to pay directly, in addition to what they otherwise pay through tax, to maintain school buildings. Councils should take that on. They have both the discretion and, I believe, the resources to do that, through the abolition of much ring fencing and through their increased capital budgets, as well as the support from the Scottish Government for new schools that we have announced.
I want to ask about the accelerated capital funding, which I think you touched on earlier. In 2008 the Government brought forward £100 million capital spend from the 2010-11 budget—£10 million was to be spent in 2008-09 and £90 million was to be spent in 2009-10. You said earlier that a fairly significant amount of that money was spent on schools. Will you give us a bit more information on that?
Certainly. Around £100 million of capital spend was accelerated in 2009-10 through the local government settlement, which enabled councils to accelerate their investments in their school estate, if they chose to do so. The moneys were distributed to the councils according to their priorities. The total value that we can determine was then spent on education was around £73.8 million, which demonstrates the importance that councils attach to education and the school estate. I can give various examples—I am trying to think of an example that would be of particular relevance to Margaret Smith. There are various examples from Lothian. In West Lothian—which I know is not Margaret Smith’s constituency—£291,000 went towards completion of a library and a new east extension and refurbishment at St Kentigern’s academy. Improvements were carried out at both Linlithgow academy and St Margaret’s academy. Upgrades were done in East Lothian, Fife, Highland and throughout the rest of the school estate. Around three quarters of the additional accelerated capital funding that we provided was used for education purposes.
That level of take-up for schools was because of a mixture of two reasons. One is that there is a significant backlog of schools in which pupils are being taught in conditions about which we and councils are not happy. The other reason is that because funding has been accelerated, it is a case of jam today, but not a lot of jam tomorrow. The councils would know that this was almost a last-gasp opportunity before a period of some restriction on the work that they wanted to do. That might be part of the motivation behind there being such a high take-up.
I am not sure that that is entirely true. Part of what was going on was that the money was not budgeted for; it was not part of a larger programme in the way that the previous PPP projects or the tranche that we have announced were. It was outwith that, which gave councils the flexibility and the speed not to address huge issues, but to carry out refurbishments in schools that are currently not fit for purpose. That was one of the attractions for councils. Of course, the attraction for both councils and the Government was that that money was being spent on construction projects, which was also beneficial to the economy at a time of recession. Those were perhaps the two main attractions for councils, although there might have been an element of their realising that the public finances were going in a particular direction and wanting to address some serious things with that money.
I return to the Scottish Futures Trust. We know that it is not doing what the SNP first suggested it would some years ago. You hinted that—if I may paraphrase you—the role that it is taking on of sharing information and best practice may make it more useful to smaller councils. To what extent is it the case that the Scottish Futures Trust is involved in everything in the school building programme, such that a council will have to have involvement with it regardless of whether it is a small, medium-sized or large council? How much of the SFT’s work is in responding to councils that seek its assistance on some of the central issues about which you have talked? In that second role, to what extent is it the smaller councils that regard the SFT as a central resource that assists them in getting information and expertise that they might not have themselves? Is there a split between the use that smaller and larger councils make of the SFT?
You are probably right that different councils might see different potential benefits in the SFT, but both things are going on. With the moneys that we have announced for the programme, projects are being mediated and taken forward through the SFT, whether the council concerned is large or small. Therefore, every council will engage with the SFT in relation to that programme.
When the SFT was first set up, there were three models of financing—traditional procurement, PPP and NPD—and the SFT was going to develop a new one. I thought that that had been abandoned. Are you saying that it is still trying to do that?
Yes, it is. It may propose a model based on non-profit-distributing trusts but it is examining the question not only because it was originally tasked to do so but because we are in a different financial situation so it is considering innovative ways of raising finance.
We have had several announcements about school programmes and other programmes but the new model has not emerged yet. How long will it take and when can we expect it?
It should emerge within the next year. However, as you mentioned, the fact that it has not yet emerged has not prevented us from cracking on with the schools programme or honouring previous programmes. That work continues. Construction is going on and schools are being completed in the meantime. In previous times, it took five and a half years to get things up and running, but I confidently expect that a new model will be up and running before that time expires with the SFT.
Can you give us any outline of what the model will look like and what elements will be different?
That is what the SFT is working on now. If you want, I can get more information from John Swinney’s office as to what the current situation is. The SFT has a number of different financial models that are beyond my expertise. It may come back with a non-profit-distributing trust model or with something quite different. That is up to it, but the important point is that its consideration will not stop the current construction programme.
I hope that the SFT will produce its model before the parliamentary session ends. Will the funding of any schools under the new model be announced? Will any more schools be announced as part of the programme?
More schools should be announced later in this calendar year. We will have to wait and see whether they benefit from the SFT’s new model.
The Government’s commitment is clear—the remaining 20 schools in the original programme of 55 will be announced by the end of this year. As the minister said, we will take into account any developments, such as funding models, from the Scottish Futures Trust.
Financial and implementation plans are to be produced as part of the school estate strategy. When will they be published?
The financial plan will follow the implementation plan, which is well advanced. Councils are getting to grips with the implementation plan through the existing school estate management plan. The financial management plan is more difficult and must adapt to the financial situation in which we and councils find ourselves. The implementation plan is being dealt with now and the financial plan will follow it.
Will those documents be published and made available to the Parliament?
Yes—the documents will be public. The implementation plan will be published in full by the end of the year. As I said, it will include revised guidance on school estate management planning for local authorities. The financial plan, which we expect in 2011, will follow receipt of the implementation plan.
When the implementation plan is published this year, will that be before, after or at the same time as the rest of the schools in the programme are announced?
We do not know yet, but the next tranche will be announced and the implementation plan will be published towards the second half of this year.
You talked about the number of pupils who will still be in categories C and D schools. What percentage, or how many thousands, of pupils will still be in unsatisfactory schools at the end of 2011 and at the end of the Scottish Government’s school building programme, which does not finish until a few years after 2011?
The proportion of schools whose condition is rated D, which is bad, or C, which is poor, has decreased from 31 per cent last year to 23 per cent this year. Just over 148,000 pupils—22 per cent of the total—are in schools that are rated in C or D condition. That is down from 201,000 in the previous year.
No. It is not possible to predict figures to 2011 in that way. The 2011 stats on the school estate will make it clear how much progress has been made. As the minister said, the aim is to have 90 per cent of pupils in schools whose condition is good or satisfactory. Predicting accurately the number of children who will be in category A or B schools in 2011 is not possible at this stage.
Is it possible to work out how many pupils will be in category A or B schools at the end of the school building programme—the SFT or Scottish Government programme?
That is partly dependent on the next tranche that is announced, but we are able to work out the numbers that will remain in category C or D schools. We can get that information to you later, unless Michael Kellet has it here.
We predict that 35,000 pupils in total will be lifted in the new school building programme. Obviously, given that schools are still to be announced, that figure could fluctuate either way. We do not yet know.
Approximately 35,000 would be the total.
For the 55 schools, yes.
So, the remaining figure of more than 100,000 depends on local authorities’ traditional procurement or other methods.
Yes.
Do you expect the figures to be part of the implementation of the financial plan? I could be wrong, but it sounds like you are planning for 100,000 or more pupils to be in unsatisfactory schools at the end of this programme.
No, we are not doing that. You are right that the financial plan is crucial to what councils are able to do and at what time. The intention is to have 100 per cent of pupils in good or satisfactory schools. The ability to do that and the time that it will take will depend on the available finance, which the financial plan will lay out. Even that cannot be definitive, because things can change. For example, the Parliament could get borrowing powers—Mr Gibson mentioned that—or the financial situation could change; you never know. The plan will lay out a route map towards achieving that kind of figure.
Will it lay out a route to getting 100 per cent of pupils into satisfactory schools or just 85 per cent or something like that?
It is worth saying that 77 per cent is a far better figure than we have had for decades, so we are starting from a pretty good base. It is also true to say that it is not possible to achieve 100 per cent, because schools will fall into lower categories at certain times as they age. The idea is to maximise as quickly as possible the number of pupils in good schools.
The Scottish Government’s plans cannot possibly cover 100 per cent. They can cover only 85 per cent. You will be relying on local authorities or others to make up the difference.
We have provided the money, which is obviously borrowing moneys. We have provided that facility to the SFT. It is discussing with councils when they will access that money. They will not access the money in advance of building the schools. At that point, they will start to get money passed across.
When might that be?
As I said earlier, perhaps before you came in, there are different timescales for different schools. When each council starts to incur costs, they will start to get the support from the Scottish Government.
Without being too parochial, I point out that one of the first schools is Eastwood high school. Do you know when it will get some money?
There is nothing wrong with being parochial.
“Show me the money.” That is the phrase, is it not?
The council will start to receive support for that in 2011-12.
Some time in 2011-12?
Yes.
Will any of the primary schools receive support sooner?
Yes.
Perhaps I could answer that. The first tranche of funding will become available this financial year to support the development of the primary schools, as you said.
Have any contracts been signed for these new schools?
No.
When will the first contract be signed?
We expect the first schools to be started this year. Obviously the contracts will be signed in advance of that.
One of the reasons I ask, apart from there being a concern about moving the programme on as quickly as possible, is to find out whether you are concerned about the vulnerability of any of the schools or plans to the financial situation. Say, for example, that the Westminster Government imposes strong cuts on the capital programme. Would that affect the programme?
I could be corrected on this, but I do not think that we anticipate constraints on the capital programme greater than those that we have already seen. We have perhaps seen the biggest cut in the capital programme coming now. We are not going to put forward projects if we are not confident that they can be delivered. I cannot speak for the Westminster Government—we are all very conscious of the previous Chief Secretary to the Treasury’s note to the new one, which said that there is no money left. We have to live within that reality, but we would not put forward schools projects if we were not confident that we could afford to fund them.
I think that the letter to which you refer was a joke, although it does not seem to have been taken that way.
It was not a particularly funny one.
It was not meant as a public joke; it was meant as a private joke between ministers.
Every council would say that there have been times when they have had to expand their capital programme timeline or the timeline of particular projects in that programme. Sometimes a timeline can be shortened because other things are not being taken forward for whatever reason. There must always be such flexibility. However, we are confident that we will keep our side of the bargain on the support that we provide.
If you have to make 10 or 12 per cent efficiency savings, for example, will 10 or 12 per cent efficiency savings have to be made in the programme?
I do not know what savings will come from the Westminster Government. Obviously, the budget is on 22 June and the spending review is to come, but the programmes have been devised over some time, taking into account the resources that we think will be available. Therefore, they are soundly based and we do not expect them to change. It is probably fair to say that the biggest pressures that we are likely to feel—you are right to identify them—will be on the revenue side, but we do not know what they will be. In the meantime, we must go ahead and make our plans on the basis of financial reality, and we have done that.
I want to pick up on issues relating to private finance initiative costs. The Cabinet Secretary for Education and Lifelong Learning said in reply to a parliamentary question that I asked:
You probably know about the matter better than I do if you have visited councils such as the City of Edinburgh Council. They will be able to tell you exactly what pressures they are under.
My colleagues in South Lanarkshire are very concerned that they have to top-slice their budget before they employ a teacher or buy a pencil.
That is a good point. Individuals across the political spectrum have raised doubts about how robust those categories are, not least when it comes to bids for new schools. Some schools drop through the categories in a short period of time. It is important to have a robust basis for categorising schools.
You said that you are now collecting information on the 2008 guidance from local authorities. How will that information be used to set standards? How quickly will you develop the further guidance on sufficiency?
I might ask Michael Kellet or Julie Humphreys to come in on that. The information collected will be fed into our school estate management plan so that you know where you are starting from in terms of the school’s condition, suitability and sufficiency. That will be the main use for that information. Once that is in place, councils and the Government can make investment decisions based on robust information. Julie or Michael might want to add to that.
The information will be fed into the school estate statistics that are collected every year. We have just gone round all the councils to ensure that they are using the suitability guidance consistently and that they are all using the same definitions to determine properly the condition or suitability of their school estate. We found that councils will use the guidance consistently when they provide data to us.
I have a couple of points. Everyone on the committee knows that, wherever I go, I take my notebook with me and I scribble lots of notes. For the sake of the record, I should say that the figure that we got from the City of Edinburgh city council for the first year of full costs of the PPP was roughly £33 million. As the minister said, as time goes on, the costs will go up as the full cost of the PPP project comes on board.
I have not. As you know, previously there was capital consent and councils could not go beyond that. It was an iron constraint. Prudential borrowing is designed to allow councils to borrow what they can afford to repay—quite a good nostrum for these times. I have not heard of any threat to councils’ ability to borrow prudentially. Alongside that, there is the question of borrowing powers for the Parliament, which is also important and might have an impact, but I have not heard of any threat to prudential borrowing. I do not know whether my officials have heard anything from finance colleagues in that regard.
No, I have not. Neither the City of Edinburgh Council nor any other authority has approached us directly about that issue. If any council did, we would want to look into it.
The two issues of prudential borrowing and the borrowing powers of the Scottish Parliament are fundamental for the school estate and capital spending. Have you yet had conversations with the UK Government on those two issues?
We have been managing our discussions with the new UK Government according to a tiered approach. The First Minister met the Prime Minister early on, as you know. Cabinet secretaries are now meeting their opposite numbers—sometimes there is more than one of them. Being at the bottom of the tree, I have yet to meet my counterparts. I am sure that those two issues will be discussed by finance colleagues.
The committee visited a shared campus in Oban, and we were quite impressed by the way in which it worked. I saw one in Rothesay on Monday, too. Argyll and Bute Council is clearly going down that road, and is looking to develop a further such campus in Campbeltown. What is the Scottish Government doing to encourage shared campuses between primary and secondary schools? In Argyll, and possibly in other rural areas, they are quite successful, and it seems to offer a way of getting more bang for our buck.
You used the word “encourage”—that is what we are doing. We are identifying the best practice and the benefits of shared campuses. Like you, I think that they are extremely beneficial. I have been to two of them, in Midlothian and Ayrshire. The Ayrshire campus incorporates a primary school, a secondary school and a special school, and the benefits are obvious. More recently, I visited another primary school that feeds into the same secondary school, but which is not co-located with it. That provides a comparison between the co-located primary school and the other primary school.
Minister, you believe in the benefits of it, but your funding mechanism does nothing to support local authorities to go down that road. As you said to me earlier, the funding mechanism involves replacing like with like. If a local authority wishes to move to a shared campus model, it will not get any additional funding to allow it to do that.
As I think I explained, we have agreed to exactly that proposal in relation to Inverclyde. It is possible for councils to do that.
I will try to get some perspective on this. Perhaps Mr Kellet will be able to help you with some of the factual information. The announcement today is of £300 million to be spread over roughly four financial years. If the money were distributed evenly, that would be approximately £7 million a year for school building. Can you give me the average amount that the Scottish Government has invested in new school building over the past five years?
We do have that amount. Michael Kellet is trying to find the exact figure. I think that it exceeds the investment by the previous two Executives, on average. I think that it is in excess of £500 million compared with an average of around £400 million. Today’s announcement is of £300 million at today’s prices; the actual amount of money will exceed that substantially, as we will take account of inflation—not just general inflation, but construction inflation. We realise that, when the bills fall due, the figure will be substantially in excess of £300 million. Do you have the figure, Michael?
The current Administration expects—
I am not interested in the politics of it. What I am interested in is the year-by-year investment in 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008 and 2009.
Sorry. I thought that your question was about how much will be spent during the current session. The average investment in schools will be £700 million per annum over the session. To give some context—which I would like to do—the figure was £531 million per annum over the previous eight financial years and the previous two sessions. Broken down in terms of schools, that is 1.44 schools per week compared with 0.79 schools per week under the previous two Administrations. So, with investment of £700 million per annum over four years, that is about—
I am sorry, Mr Brown, but I am not interested in your political justifications. You have said that you are going to spend, on average, £75 million a year on new schools between 2011 and 2014-15—that is your plan. I am interested in comparing that with what was spent annually in the period between 2004-05 and 2010-11. I believe that the figure is substantially greater; I just want the quantification. That should be relatively straightforward. It does not require any political flannel; it is just a question about numbers.
I wonder whether I can give the answer that I would like to give rather than the answer that you want. I repeat that, on average, £700 million per annum will be spent on schools over the current session, which exceeds by a substantial margin what was spent in previous years. The figures that you have now asked for are different from what you first asked for, and we are happy to get those for you.
Maybe I can put it in a different context. You referred to the difference in school building between smaller and larger local authorities. My constituency spans two relatively small local authorities—East Dunbartonshire Council and West Dunbartonshire Council—both of which have had new PPP schools programmes in recent years. In both instances, the local authority was provided with something of the order of £100 million, so those two small local authorities were given £200 million. If I understand you correctly, you are saying that, over a four-year period, the total amount that could be made available under the funding mechanisms that you are putting in place is £300 million. In effect, that is only £100 million more than was made available to two of the smallest local authorities in Scotland under the previous arrangements.
That does not take into account the fact that we are still paying for the previous programme. I repeat that £700 million per annum will be spent on schools over the current session compared with £531 million per annum over the previous two sessions. That is what we are spending on schools throughout Scotland. On top of that, we have announced the £300 million to which you refer, which is additional to the money that we are already spending on schools.
Let me be absolutely clear. If I understand you correctly, you are saying that the £700 million includes some of the costs of previous schools and that you expect to spend £300 million on new schools over a four-year period. That is substantially less than was spent in any of the previous five years.
No. I am not sure that that is right. The £700 million to which I have referred—that is, spending an average of £700 million every year during the current session—includes some new schools that have been built since 2007, some old schools the costs of which are still being paid for, and some schools that were under construction but have been completed since 2007. The important point, and the point that perhaps you are trying to get at, is that we are spending substantially more on our schools during the current session than the previous two Executives spent.
Minister, I am not sure that that is necessarily borne out by the figures, but can I move on to a different tack? You said in the previous version of the announcement that you would provide 50 per cent of the funding for new primary schools and 66 per cent or two thirds of the funding for new secondary schools. Can we be specific about that? Let us take the case of Garrowhill primary school in Glasgow. How much are you contributing to that?
It is exactly as you said—50 per cent will be allocated for every primary school. I mentioned before that there is some flexibility. We have asked the Scottish Futures Trust to be flexible on that, although that will tend to be in relation to the scale of projects rather than our contribution towards them. The figure is 50 per cent of the eventual costs. I do not know whether Michael Kellet wants to add to that.
No. That is exactly the position. There is a commitment to meet 50 per cent of the costs of each primary school on a like-for-like basis.
I have already looked into the matter, obviously, and Garrowhill primary school will take £10 million to replace. You are saying that you will provide £5 million to Glasgow City Council to build Garrowhill primary.
No. The price will be the price that is agreed between the council and the Scottish Futures Trust. It will not be the case—I do not think that any Government would accept this—that a price tag will simply be attributed by one party to the funding mechanism. The price tag will be agreed by both parties and the sum will be 50 per cent of that price tag.
Actually, I do not think that you are right. My information is that it will be worked out according to a fixed formula that is based on a combination of space standards, so it will not necessarily be half of what the school costs.
Obviously, the process is continuing, but the figure that I have is about £12.1 million for the construction costs, which is 67 per cent, and not the figure that you suggest.
Excuse me, but that is not the amount that Scottish National Party-run West Dunbartonshire Council says it will cost to build the school that it wants to build on a replacement basis. It is not putting in swimming pools or anything else like that, as far as I am aware. You said that you will contribute two thirds of the costs of building the school, but the council says that you are not doing that. If funding is based on the formula that you suggest, you will short-change every council in Scotland, if I am right.
I do not think that you are right. As I mentioned before, we will provide 67 per cent of the agreed replacement costs of the school. As I said, if individual councils want to go beyond simply replacing a school and add further facilities, they will bear the cost of that.
There is nothing much to add to what the minister said. The position with Dumbarton academy is that the SFT, working with the local authority, will agree the full costs of the construction of the new school, and the Scottish Government’s commitment is to pay two thirds of that sum.
But it is two thirds of a formula. It is not actually two thirds of the building costs of the school. Is that correct?
No, it is two thirds of the agreed building costs of the school.
But the agreed building costs of the school are based on a formula. That is how you make that assessment. Is that correct?
Some people have asserted that the council has received £8 million less and have used the phrase “a cut-price school”, even though the council has acknowledged that its original estimate of £30 million for a new school was out of date. The news that the Government will fund 67 per cent of the costs of constructing the school has been welcomed by the parent council, the headteacher and the council. I do not know how else to say it—we will provide 67 per cent of the construction costs.
There is a question mark over that. You have made great play of the on-cost to councils of paying for PPP schools. What will be the annual cost to West Dunbartonshire Council of paying its share of the cost of Dumbarton academy for the next 30 years, assuming that you provide two thirds of the money?
As soon as the detailed year-by-year cost figures are available, I will be happy to give them to you. We await those figures, but I think that they will demonstrate that that way of funding the school is substantially more effective, not least because the cost of borrowing is substantially cheaper than under the PPP model, and for the other reasons that I mentioned. I will be happy to provide that information as soon as it becomes available. The figures will demonstrate that we will pay 67 per cent of the cost of building the school.
As a local representative, I know something about West Dunbartonshire. With the PPP schools, because there was no affordability gap, the costs on the council are almost zero. In other words, the PPP schools have not necessarily resulted in council tax payers in West Dunbartonshire paying any more than they were paying before. However, as I understand it, under the mechanism that you propose, the new school could cost them £600,000 or £700,000 a year, which they will have to pay for through the council tax.
I am not aware of any figures that show that previous PPP projects have been undertaken at zero cost to the council. The costs of those projects are on-going. In every case, the unitary charge that councils across Scotland must pay every year is a substantial sum of money, which comes directly out of their budgets. Despite what you say, the cost to West Dunbartonshire Council of its previous school building projects will, quite rightly, be substantial. I believe that under the way in which we propose to fund new schools, the overall construction costs will be lower. As I say, I will be happy to provide the figures that the member has asked for.
I will be interested to see them.
To be frank, absolutely not. It does not really matter which way you rearrange the figures: £700 million is being spent under this Government each year on school building projects; previously, the figure was £531 million. You cannot rearrange or try to detract from that figure.
I thank the minister for his answers and his participation at the committee today. That concludes our questions.
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